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    VG
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Venture Global Q2 FY26 earnings call VG

    Aug 11, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Venture Global Q2 FY26 — Record EBITDA and Accelerated Expansion

    Venture Global delivered a strong second quarter, marked by record EBITDA and significant operational milestones, including the 1,000th cargo export. The company raised its full-year EBITDA guidance, reflecting robust production and favorable market conditions, while also increasing its dividend. Strategic capital structure optimization and accelerated expansion plans for CP2 and Plaquemines underscore a confident outlook, balancing long-term contracts with flexible short-to-medium term opportunities.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved largest ever quarterly EBITDA of $2.5 billion, a 79% increase year-over-year.

    • Increased 2026 EBITDA guidance to $8.7 billion-$9.1 billion, up from $8.2 billion-$8.5 billion.

    • Exported 127 cargoes in Q2, contributing to the 1,000th cargo milestone just 4 years after first cargo.

    • Executed over 2 MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements, increasing 2026 contracted position to 91%.

    • Increased quarterly common dividend by 122% to $0.04 per share.

    Concerns

    2
    • Maintained a broader-than-usual guidance range due to outsized LNG price volatility related to events in the Middle East.

    • European gas inventories remain well below normal levels, indicating potential exposure to severe winter weather.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
    $8.7 billion to $9.1 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Cargo Range
    Tightening and raising the midpoint
    medium materiality
    High
    CP2 Expansion First LNG Production
    Late 2028
    high materiality
    High
    Plaquemines Expansion Phase 1 FID
    First half of next year
    high materiality
    High
    Plaquemines Expansion Phase 1 Production
    2029
    high materiality
    High
    Run rate production across all 3 projects
    Approximately 85 MTPA
    high materiality
    High
    Annual interest and coupon obligations reduction
    More than $100 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Dividend growth
    Continue to grow over time
    medium materiality
    High
    Share repurchases
    May also pursue
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Operational metrics

    21
    Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
    $2.5 billionUp 79% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Largest ever quarterly EBITDA, compared to $1.4 billion in Q2 FY25.

    Revenue
    $4.6 billionUp 48% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by higher sales volumes and higher net LNG sales prices.

    Income from operations
    $2.2 billionUp 111% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily driven by higher sales volumes and higher LNG sales prices net of feed gas cost.

    Net income attributable to common stockholders
    $1.3 billionUp 266% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Higher interest expense was offset by favorable changes in interest rate swaps; income taxes were higher.

    Operating and maintenance costs
    $118 million higherYoY
    Q2 FY26

    Due to increased commissioning work at Plaquemines and more Venture Global owned ships in operation.

    G&A expenses
    Largely unchangedYoY
    Q2 FY26

    Despite a larger headcount.

    Development costs
    LowerYoY
    Q2 FY26

    As more costs were capitalized associated with CP2, pipeline, and bolt-on expansions.

    EBITDA margin
    54%
    Q2 FY26

    Higher volumes and better pricing not accompanied by commensurate cost increases.

    Refinancing amount
    $5.3 billion
    Since last earnings call

    Refinanced in June and July, including $2.25 billion of senior secured notes, $1.5 billion in vessel financing, and $1.07 billion Term Loan B.

    Debt repaid
    $1.4 billion
    Through July FY26

    Part of strategic deleveraging.

    LNG cargoes exported
    127
    Q2 FY26

    At the high end of expected production range.

    LNG sales volumes
    466 TBtuvs 329 TBtu in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Contributed to revenue increase.

    New/increased LNG offtake agreements
    Over 2 MTPA
    Q2 FY26

    With new and existing customers.

    Contracted position for 2026
    Over 91%Up from 84%
    FY26

    Increased from Q1 earnings call.

    1,000th cargo milestone
    1,000th cargo4 years after first cargo
    First week of March 2022

    Achieved through tireless efforts and operational improvements.

    LNG carriers
    9
    Current

    Used for new $1.5 billion term loan financing.

    Total capital raised or refinanced
    More than $103 billion
    Cumulative

    Reflects significant financial activity.

    Liquefaction fee sensitivity
    $180 million to $210 millionPer $1/MMBtu change
    FY26

    Expected adjustment to consolidated adjusted EBITDA for a $1/MMBtu increase or decrease in fixed liquefaction fees over the remainder of 2026.

    Liquefaction fee sensitivity
    $650 million to $700 millionPer $1/MMBtu change
    FY27

    Expected adjustment to consolidated adjusted EBITDA for a $1/MMBtu increase or decrease in liquefaction fees for 2027, reflecting greater contracted position and market exposure.

    Assets
    $61 billion to $62 billion
    Current

    Growing asset base supporting cash generation.

    Asset additions
    $8 billion plus
    This year

    Year-on-year additions around $15 billion.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Pipeline throughput storage
    Realized price differential$102 millionUSD
    Sanctioned expansion backlog
    FCF shareholder distributions$0.04USD per share
    Take or pay contract structure91%%

    Orderbook & backlog

    3
    Total MTPA committed under long and medium-term contracts53 MTPAQ2 FY26

    Out of approximately 85 MTPA run rate production across all 3 projects.

    Additional MTPA available for marketing32 MTPAQ2 FY26

    Comprised of excess capacity and the addition of CP2 and Plaquemines Phase 1 bolt-on expansions.

    Nameplate capacity contracted100%Q2 FY26

    Across the first 3 projects.

    Deals & partnerships

    5
    TotalEnergiesNew or increased LNG offtake agreement

    Part of over 2 MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements executed in Q2.

    VTOLNew or increased LNG offtake agreement

    Part of over 2 MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements executed in Q2.

    BMWNew or increased LNG offtake agreement

    Part of over 2 MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements executed in Q2.

    Atlantic-SEENew or increased LNG offtake agreement

    Part of over 2 MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements executed in Q2.

    WhiteWaterRepricing of senior secured Term Loan B and Blackfin Pipeline partnership$1.07 billion

    Repriced the $1.07 billion senior secured Term Loan B in July. Also partnered on the Blackfin Pipeline.

    Capital programs

    4
    CP2 Constructionunderway
    Start: July 28, 2025 (FID)

    Just over a year from FID, roots raised on all 4 LNG storage tanks, 16 fabricated liquefaction modules on site, 5 gas and steam turbines on foundations. Assembling 5 heat recovery steam generators (Herzigs) off-site at Morgan City facility, 9 stories tall, 1,500 tons each.

    CP2 Expansionannounced
    Spent to date: Material equity contributions

    Benefit: 10 MTPA

    Application filed with FERC in May for expansion entirely within existing CP2 footprint. Received prefiling waiver from FERC. Long-lead equipment (power modules, liquefaction trains from Baker Hughes) already ordered. Targeting FID in early 2027.

    Plaquemines Expansion Phase 1announced
    Spent to date: Material equity contributions

    Benefit: 6.4 MTPA (8 liquefaction trains)

    Targeting FID in the first half of 2027. Filed to permit full 31 MTPA expansion of Plaquemines in multiple phases late last year.

    Cloud Connector Pipelineplanned

    Benefit: Facilitate Plaquemines expansion

    New pipeline to North Louisiana to facilitate the expansion of Plaquemines. Expected to connect with Williams' Delta Access project.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    LNG price volatilityRemainder of 2026

    Outsized

    Mitigation: Maintained a broader-than-usual guidance range; expect to tighten range after Q3 as remaining volumes are contracted.

    Middle East conflict impact on contractingLast 90 days

    Uptick in shorter-term contracting interest

    Mitigation: Company is active in both 20-year and 5-year deals, leveraging portfolio flexibility to meet varied customer needs.

    European gas inventories below normal levelsWinter

    Well below normal

    Mitigation: Likely to drive higher winter demand and pricing, but also exposes Europe to severe winter weather risks.

    Arbitration processesBefore year-end 2026 and into 2027

    Resolution of next one expected before year-end; hearing for subsequent one begins end of November

    Mitigation: Company remains open and constructive on settling outstanding arbitrations and optimistic on successful resolution.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    2026 EBITDA guidance range

    After Q3 FY26
    Current$8.7 billion to $9.1 billion
    TargetTightened range

    Why it matters

    A tighter guidance range will reflect increased certainty in market outlook and contracted volumes, impacting investor confidence and valuation.

    As we contract the remainder of our expected volumes for the year, we expect to tighten this range following third quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    What are the key factors contributing to the significant increase in 2026 EBITDA guidance, which is almost 60% higher than original guidance?

    The guidance raise is primarily driven by strong operational execution and consistent production at facilities, including successful maintenance activities without significant downtime due to modular configuration. This, combined with a conservative market outlook for LNG pricing, supports the increased EBITDA projection.

    The basis, obviously, of all of it is our -- the execution by the team and the production at our facilities. And so we continue to be confident of the quality of the continued production that we expect for the balance of the year.

    asked by Manav Gupta · answered by Michael Sabel

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Operational Excellence and Production Milestones

    Venture Global achieved its largest ever quarterly EBITDA of $2.5 billion, driven by significant growth in volumes and revenue. The company exported 127 cargoes in Q2 2026 and reached its 1,000th cargo milestone just four years after its first cargo. Operational and capital investments have reduced the adverse impact of summer temperatures, leading to stable production. The modular configuration and built-in redundancies allowed for significant planned maintenance, including hot gas path inspections, without substantial production downtime, demonstrating unique operational efficiency.

    02

    Commercial Momentum and Contracting Strategy

    Commercial momentum continued with over 2 MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements, including with TotalEnergies, VTOL, BMW, and Atlantic-SEE. This increased the 2026 contracted position to over 91% of the portfolio, up from 84% in Q1. The company maintains a portfolio approach, anticipating contracting the majority of available capacity through a mix of long-term agreements for financing support and medium-term contracts to enhance returns and retain flexibility. This strategy aims to capture outsized returns from shorter-dated contracts during cyclical strength, leveraging the historical premium of short-to-intermediate term contracts.

    03

    Capital Structure Optimization and Shareholder Returns

    The company was active in optimizing its capital structure, refinancing over $5.3 billion of capital, including term loans, bonds, and preferred equity. These efforts are expected to reduce annual interest and coupon obligations by more than $100 million. A new $1.5 billion term loan was added against 9 LNG carriers. The Board approved a 122% increase in the quarterly common dividend to $0.04 per share, reflecting confidence in cash flow resiliency and a commitment to rewarding shareholders, with plans for continued dividend growth and potential share buybacks.

    04

    Project Development and Expansion Plans

    Construction at CP2 is progressing on time and on budget, with roots raised on all four LNG storage tanks, 16 liquefaction modules on site, and 5 power plant turbines on foundations. The company is building its own 9-story, 1,500-ton heat recovery steam generators (Herzigs) off-site, removing a major construction bottleneck. An application was filed for a 10 MTPA expansion of CP2, targeting FID in early 2027 and first LNG in late 2028. For Plaquemines, Phase 1 of a 6.4 MTPA bolt-on expansion is targeting FID in H1 2027 with production in 2029, supported by a new Cloud Connector pipeline.

    05

    Market Outlook and Demand Dynamics

    Despite impacts from Middle East events, LNG demand has shown resilience, with substantial Asian markets rebounding. High temperatures in Asia and Europe have driven increased power demand, and industrial demand remains inelastic. European gas inventories are well below normal levels, suggesting higher winter demand and pricing. The company notes a significant uptick in interest for shorter-term contracting (5-year deals) due to geopolitical uncertainty🌐, while also continuing long-term contract negotiations.

    06

    Feed Gas Supply and Infrastructure

    Venture Global actively negotiates a mixed blend of gas supply, opportunistically. The company believes there is ample gas supply for domestic demand, including LNG production and future data centers, but emphasizes the importance of interconnect and transportation capacity. Significant investments have been made in infrastructure, including a nitrogen removal unit at CP2, the CPX lateral, and the Blackfin Pipeline, to ensure dedicated supply and delivery, providing a competitive advantage.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.