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    VNOM
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Viper Energy Q2 FY26 earnings call VNOM

    Aug 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Viper Energy Q2 FY26 — Capital Allocation Shift and Strong Organic Growth

    Viper Energy announced a significant shift in its capital allocation strategy, moving from a variable dividend framework to a higher, more stable base dividend of $2 per Class A share annually, representing a 32% increase. This change, coupled with the removal of the 75% cash distribution commitment, aims to provide greater flexibility for opportunistic share repurchases, debt reduction, and disciplined M&A, addressing the market's perceived undervaluation of its growth profile and free cash flow generation. The company continues to see strong organic growth from both Diamondback and third-party operators.

    Highlights

    5
    • Operators turned 691 gross horizontal wells to production on Viper's acreage.

    • Third quarter production guidance implies roughly 4.5% growth relative to Q2 FY26.

    • Midpoint of Q3 guidance implies an approximate 15% annualized oil production per share growth rate relative to Q4 FY25.

    • Base dividend increased by 32% to $2 per Class A share on an annual basis, implying an annualized yield of approximately 4.5%.

    • Viper has achieved a 17% CAGR in per share growth (excluding price impacts) over time.

    Concerns

    3
    • Market is not currently valuing the variable dividend framework, leading to its removal.

    • Viper's valuation does not reflect its 17% CAGR in per share growth or 15% annualized oil production growth.

    • Market is not rewarding Viper for its growth prospects, leading to aggressive share repurchases.

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q3 Production Growth
    roughly 4.5% growth relative to the second quarter
    high materiality
    High
    Annualized Oil Production per Share Growth
    approximate 15%
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Base Dividend
    $2 per Class A share
    high materiality
    High
    Quarterly Cash Available for Distribution Commitment
    Removed
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    11
    Share repurchases
    $132 million
    Q2 FY26

    Completed during the quarter.

    Combined dividend per share
    $0.67
    Q2 FY26
    Annualized base dividend yield
    approximately 4.5%
    Current

    At current share price.

    Per share growth CAGR
    17%
    Long-term

    Excludes price impacts, based on production per million shares.

    Gross horizontal wells turned to production
    691
    Q2 FY26

    On Viper's acreage, with an average 3% net revenue interest.

    Organic production growth
    1,000 barrels a dayquarter-over-quarter growth
    Q3 FY26 vs Q2 FY26

    Implied by Q3 guidance, excluding Riverbend contribution.

    Organic growth rate
    high single-digit
    FY26

    For Permian production, stripping out non-Permian divestiture noise.

    Lease bonuses for deep pay
    $25 million to $30 million
    Early 2021 to H1 2025

    Represents about 1/3 of total leasing effort over that period.

    Diamondback gross activity capture rate
    75% to 80%
    Consistent over 5 years

    Viper's exposure to Diamondback's gross activity, with around a 6% average NRI.

    Riverbend asset production contribution
    2,000 barrels a day
    Q3 FY26

    Incorporated into Q3 guidance.

    M&A spend
    $103 million
    Q2 FY26

    Announced in the quarter.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Basin level production volumehigh single-digit%
    FCF shareholder distributionsapproximately 50%%

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    RiverbendAcquisition of assets$160 million

    Acquisition of assets, contributing 2,000 bbl/d to Q3 production.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Market undervaluation of Viper's growth and dividend frameworkCurrent

    Implied current valuation is a "double-digit type yield, low double-digit type yield"; company is "severely mispriced" and its valuation "does not reflect that reality".

    Mitigation: Shifting capital allocation strategy, increasing base dividend, aggressive share repurchases, aiming for S&P 500 inclusion.

    Volatility in the A&D marketLast couple of months

    Stated that "volatility has not been helpful".

    Mitigation: Maintaining flexibility in capital allocation, opportunistic M&A, weighing M&A against share repurchases.

    Share buybacks not effectively moving stock priceOngoing

    Management noted that "stock doesn't respond" and "doesn't seem that it quite move the needle".

    Mitigation: Continued aggressive buybacks, belief in value accretion below NAV, aiming for S&P 500 inclusion to broaden investor base.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Share repurchase pace

    Next quarter
    Current$132 million in Q2 FY26
    TargetContinued aggressive daily pace

    Why it matters

    Demonstrates management's conviction in stock undervaluation and commitment to shareholder returns.

    I mean I think we did a little under $150 million in Q2. We've kind of continued at a similar daily pace. Obviously, it's hard during the blackout window to alter your pace much, but after the window opens, we'll see💬 where the stock is in the next couple of days and be back in the market aggressively.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Unpack the rationale for changing the cash return strategy and how it reflects Viper's long-term value proposition and competitive advantage against E&P peers.

    Kaes Van't Hof explained that the market wasn't rewarding the variable dividend yield, so they opted for a high, secure base dividend (4.5% yield, protected to $30/barrel WTI) to highlight Viper's unique position. This allows flexibility for share repurchases or M&A, addressing the market's mispricing of Viper's 17% CAGR in per-share growth and 15% annualized oil production growth.

    We kind of all came to the conclusion that the cash distribution yield was not being rewarded by the market. And instead, we figured that a very high base dividend yield that is higher than higher than majors, higher than our E&P competitors higher than mid-cap E&Ps, higher than utilities, but with a utility level of protection, should be something that gets rewarded by the market.

    asked by Wei Jiang · answered by Kaes Van't Hof

    2 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    New Capital Allocation Framework

    Viper Energy has fundamentally shifted its capital allocation strategy, moving away from a fixed 75% cash available for distribution commitment and a variable dividend. The new framework centers on a significantly increased base dividend of $2 per Class A share annually, representing a 32% increase, which the company believes offers a highly secure yield of approximately 4.5% at current share prices. This change provides greater flexibility to allocate excess cash flow towards opportunistic share repurchases, debt reduction, or disciplined M&A, aiming to create long-term shareholder value.

    02

    Rationale for Capital Allocation Shift

    Management believes the market was not adequately valuing the previous variable dividend framework or Viper's strong organic growth profile. The new strategy is designed to highlight the durability and attractiveness of Viper's dividend, which is protected down to $30/barrel WTI, and to pair it with a more compelling growth outlook. The company aims to be valued against S&P 500 comps, emphasizing its growth and capital efficiency.

    03

    Organic Growth and Activity

    Viper continues to demonstrate strong organic growth, with 691 gross horizontal wells turned to production on its acreage during Q2 FY26. The Q3 FY26 production guidance implies approximately 4.5% sequential growth, and an impressive 15% annualized oil production per share growth rate relative to Q4 FY25. This growth is driven by steady development activity from both Diamondback and third-party operators, with a focus on high-quality undeveloped acreage in the Permian Basin.

    04

    M&A Strategy and Funding

    The company sees a robust M&A market, particularly for larger deals, and aims to play a significant role. The new capital allocation framework, by retaining excess cash, allows for self-funding of deals without relying on equity markets for every transaction. While opportunistic, M&A decisions will be weighed against share repurchases, especially given the current perceived undervaluation of Viper's stock.

    05

    Share Repurchase Program

    Viper completed $132 million in share repurchases during Q2 FY26 and plans to continue aggressive buybacks when the stock is deemed undervalued. Management expressed frustration with the market's valuation of Viper, which trades at a lower multiple than some non-commodity exposed royalty streams despite its 17% CAGR in per share growth and strong Permian exposure.

    06

    Deep Benches Development

    Leasing activity in deep benches, particularly the Woodford and Delaware formations, has significantly increased over the last few quarters. Viper has invested $25 million to $30 million in lease bonuses for deep pay, representing about one-third of its total leasing effort. This activity is expected to translate into more production growth within a three-year timeframe as operators develop these minerals.

    07

    Diamondback's High NRI Development

    Diamondback plans significant development in high Net Revenue Interest (NRI) areas for Viper, such as the Barnett and Spanish Trail. A full pad targeting these areas is expected to be a top-decile project in terms of return and NPV for the combined inventory. Successful execution here is anticipated to lead to rapid development of these areas, further boosting Viper's net exposure and production.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.