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Verisk (VRSK) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Information Technology· Apr 29, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Verisk Q1 FY26 — Solid Start with Strong Subscription Growth and AI Innovation

Verisk delivered a solid Q1 FY26, marked by resilient subscription revenue growth and margin expansion, despite temporary headwinds from weather, prior-year comparisons, and a government contract issue. The company is actively leveraging its proprietary data and AI investments to drive innovation and client engagement, positioning for improved growth throughout the year and reaffirming its long-term targets. Management noted increased complexity in contracting for AI solutions, leading to extended sales cycles, but views this as part of a growing opportunity.

Highlights

5
  • Organic constant currency revenue grew 4.7% in Q1 FY26.

  • Subscription revenues grew 7% on an organic constant currency basis, comprising 84% of total revenues.

  • Organic constant currency adjusted EBITDA grew 5.9%, leading to 60 basis points of margin expansion.

  • Strong price realization on multi-year renewals, averaging 4-5 year contract terms.

  • Catastrophe and Risk Solutions delivered double-digit growth, driven by contract expansions and new client wins.

Concerns

4
  • Organic constant currency revenue growth of 4.7% was modestly below typical levels due to low weather activity, tough prior-year renewal comparisons, and a federal government contract work stoppage.

  • Transactional revenues declined 6.1% on an organic constant currency basis, primarily due to lower volumes in property and restoration solutions from low weather events.

  • Net cash from operating activities decreased 12% to $390 million, and free cash flow decreased 17% to $326 million, mainly due to a non-recurring prior-year tax refund and higher interest payments.

  • Extended sales cycles for some AI solutions due to increased complexity in contracting for AI governance and compliance.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Consolidated Revenue
$3.19 billion to $3.24 billion
high materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA
$1.79 billion and $1.83 billion
high materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
56% to 56.5%
high materiality
High
Net Interest Expense
$190 million to $200 million
medium materiality
High
Effective Tax Rate
23% to 26%
medium materiality
High
Adjusted Earnings Per Share
$7.45 to $7.75
high materiality
High
Organic Constant Currency Revenue Growth Rate
gradual improvement
high materiality
High
Q2 FY26 Organic Constant Currency Revenue Growth Rate
falling below our long-term guidance range
medium materiality
Medium
Q2 FY26 Reported Margins
not expect to recur
low materiality
High

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Digital Media Forensicsexpansion
Wind and Hail Peril Scores and Remaining Life Analyticslaunch
Updated U.S. Tropical Cyclone Model & Verisk Energy Studioupdate

Deals & partnerships

Global insurance firm Strategic partnership to support the creation of a next-generation digitally native underwriting entity.

Verisk will contribute its established data, actuarial, and analytics capabilities alongside a growing suite of AI-driven platforms and marketplace solutions to co-develop the operating model. This opportunity reflects continued momentum in commercializing Verisk's multiyear investments in agentic technologies.

Major life and annuity carrier First combined Fast Insurance Bay deal.

Recently closed the first combined Fast Insurance Bay deal with a major life and annuity carrier.

Risks & headwinds

Lower weather activity Q1 FY26, carryover impact

Impacted Q1 FY26 revenue growth, particularly transactional revenues in property and restoration solutions.

Mitigation:Expect gradual improvement in revenue growth as short-term factors resolve.

Tougher comparisons from strong renewals last year Q1 FY26, carryover impact into H1 FY26

Impacted Q1 FY26 revenue growth.

Mitigation:Expect gradual improvement in revenue growth as short-term factors resolve.

Work stoppage in a federal government contract Q1 FY26, carryover impact

Impacted Q1 FY26 revenue growth.

Mitigation:Expect gradual improvement in revenue growth as short-term factors resolve.

Extended sales cycles for AI solutions

Increased complexity in contracting for AI governance and compliance.

Mitigation:Verisk's expertise in data governance, security, and privacy helps resolve these issues; growing pipeline of opportunities suggests long-term potential despite near-term delays.

Higher interest expense Q1 FY26 and ongoing

Net interest expense was $43 million in Q1 FY26, compared to $36 million in Q1 FY25. Anticipate higher run rate quarterly interest expense.

Mitigation:Leverage stands at 2.4x debt to adjusted EBITDA, well within the targeted range of 2 to 3x.

Higher effective tax rate Q1 FY26

Reported effective tax rate was 24.1% in Q1 FY26, compared to 21.6% in Q1 FY25.

Mitigation:Company expects full-year tax rate to be in the 23% to 26% range.

Divestiture of Verisk Marketing Solutions FY26

Contributed $68 million in revenue in 2025, representing an $0.11 headwind to earnings per share for 2026.

Mitigation:Impact is already factored into 2026 guidance.

What to watch in Q2 FY26

Organic Constant Currency Revenue Growth

Q2 FY26
Current 4.7%
Target Gradual improvement, potentially still below long-term range in Q2

Why it matters

Key indicator of core business health and recovery from temporary headwinds.

we expect the first quarter of 2026 to be a trough, both in terms of organic constant currency revenue growth rate as absolute dollars, and forecast a gradual improvement as we move through the year.

Find out whether VRSK delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How are AWPs impacting pricing, and how is pricing achieved on non-indiscernible contracts?

Management noted consistent stronger price increases on multi-year renewals, averaging 4-5 year terms, reflecting the criticality of their data. Annual increases also reflect greater value provided through the Core Lines Reimagine initiative.

“both at our large client multiyear renewals, we have seen a consistent trend of our ability to achieve stronger price increases on an annualized basis for those multiyear contracts, as well as either similar terms or longer terms, reflecting the criticality of the data, the importance, particularly in this AI environment.”

asked by Ashish Sabadra · answered by Lee Shavel

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q1 Performance & Outlook

Verisk reported a solid start to 2026 with 4.7% organic constant currency (OCC) revenue growth and 5.9% OCC adjusted EBITDA growth, leading to 60 basis points of margin expansion. This performance was slightly ahead of expectations despite temporary headwinds from unusually low weather activity, tough comparisons from strong prior-year renewals, and a federal government contract work stoppage.

Management expressed confidence that these short-term factors will resolve, leading to gradual improvement in revenue growth throughout the year and enabling the company to meet its long-term growth targets.

Strategic Initiatives & Investor Day

The company reiterated its strategy to drive compounding growth through four key initiatives: strengthening client relationships, expanding proprietary data advantage, delivering continuous innovation, and expanding networks. These initiatives, along with 3-year growth targets and detailed divisional overviews, were presented at a recent Investor Day.

Verisk's business model is characterized by consistent growth across varying macroeconomic and industry environments, supported by the mission-critical nature of its solutions and diversified offerings.

AI Innovation & Client Engagement

Verisk is actively investing in new technologies, particularly AI, to support clients in understanding risk. Innovations include enhanced aerial imagery offerings (growing revenue >30% over two years) and digital media forensics, an AI-powered solution for fraud detection, which recently onboarded its sixth top 10 carrier.

Client engagement is high, with record attendance at industry events (IFM, VIC) where AI-driven product innovation was a prominent topic. Verisk was selected as a strategic partner by a global insurance firm to co-develop a next-generation digitally native underwriting entity, leveraging its data, analytics, and AI platforms.

Subscription Revenue Strength

Subscription revenues, which constitute 84% of total revenues, grew 7% on an OCC basis, building on a 10.6% increase in the prior year. This growth reflects strong price realization in renewals, enhanced value from the Core Lines Reimagine initiative, and the release of 7 new client-facing modules in Q1 (with 25 anticipated for 2026).

The company also added 4 new carriers to its core lines contributory data program and now has contributions representing over $15 billion in premium for its new excess and surplus lines program.

Cash Flow & Capital Allocation

Net cash from operating activities decreased 12% to $390 million, and free cash flow decreased 17% to $326 million, primarily due to a non-recurring tax refund in the prior year and higher interest payments. Despite this, Verisk remains committed to returning capital to shareholders, paying a cash dividend of $0.50 per share (an 11% increase) and initiating a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program.

The company repurchased 7.6 million shares in Q1 FY26 and has approximately $1 billion remaining under its share repurchase authorization, maintaining a leverage ratio of 2.4x debt to adjusted EBITDA, within its target range.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.