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    WEC
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    WEC ENERGY GROUP Q2 FY26 earnings call WEC

    Jul 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    WEC Energy Group Q2 FY26 — Strong Data Center Growth Drives Capital Plan and Reaffirmed Guidance

    WEC Energy Group delivered solid Q2 FY26 results, reaffirming its full-year earnings guidance, primarily driven by robust economic development and significant data center demand in its service region. The company's $37.5 billion capital plan is designed to meet this growing demand, with a substantial portion dedicated to very large customers, underpinning a long-term EPS growth target of 7% to 8%. While facing some weather impacts and operational cost increases, WEC is actively managing regulatory processes and financing needs, including a substantial ATM program, to support its ambitious investment strategy and consistent dividend growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q2 FY26 earnings increased by $0.15 per share YoY to $0.91, driven by utility operations and energy infrastructure.

    • Reaffirmed full-year 2026 earnings guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share, assuming normal weather.

    • Robust 5-year capital plan of $37.5 billion, with 15% of asset base dedicated to very large customers by 2030.

    • Long-term EPS growth target of 7% to 8% annually (2026-2030), accelerating to the upper half of the range starting 2028.

    • Increased dividend by 6.7%, marking the 23rd consecutive year of higher dividends, consistent with 6.5% to 7% growth plan.

    Concerns

    5
    • Weather negatively impacted Q2 FY26 earnings by $0.05 per share compared to Q2 FY25.

    • Higher depreciation and amortization expense reduced Q2 earnings by $0.05 per share.

    • Higher day-to-day O&M reduced Q2 earnings by $0.03 per share.

    • Labor force challenges are slowing the pipe retirement program in Chicago, reducing 2026 spending.

    • Oracle's lawsuit against the VLC tariff and credit requirements, though management expresses confidence in the project's timeline.

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Adjusted EPS
    $5.51 to $5.61 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term EPS growth rate
    7% to 8% a year
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EPS
    $0.92 to $0.98 per share
    medium materiality
    High
    Dividend growth rate
    6.5% to 7%
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    18
    Adjusted EPS
    $0.91up $0.15 YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to Q2 FY25.

    Utility Operations EPS contribution
    $0.06higher vs Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Driver for overall EPS increase.

    Weather impact on EPS
    -$0.05negative impact vs Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to normal conditions, Q2 FY26 had a $0.03 negative impact, while Q2 FY25 had a $0.02 positive impact.

    Grid-based growth EPS contribution
    $0.13
    Q2 FY26

    Mostly from projects supporting VLC customers.

    Sales growth, tax, and other items EPS contribution
    $0.06
    Q2 FY26

    Positive drivers for earnings.

    Depreciation and amortization expense impact on EPS
    -$0.05
    Q2 FY26

    Offsetting positive drivers.

    Day-to-day O&M expense impact on EPS
    -$0.03
    Q2 FY26

    Offsetting positive drivers.

    Retail sales (volume) growth
    4.2%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Weather-normal.

    Retail sales (volume) growth
    1.2%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Weather-normal.

    Retail sales (volume) growth outlook
    relatively evenvs 2025
    FY26

    Expect full year 2026 weather-normalized electric sales, excluding the iron ore mine and VLC customers, to be relatively even with 2025.

    ATC EPS contribution
    $0.03incremental vs Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by significant capital investment growth.

    Energy Infrastructure segment EPS contribution
    $0.11higher vs Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Q2 FY25 included a loss from asset impairment due to storm damages. Q2 FY26 included an insurance payment for prior storm damages.

    Corporate and Other segment EPS impact
    -$0.03decreased
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by tax timing and higher interest expense.

    Common equity issued
    $760 million
    H1 FY26

    To be settled in the future.

    Common equity issuance
    $1.1 billion
    FY26

    Total expected for the year.

    Equity content for incremental capital
    50%
    Future

    Any incremental capital beyond the current plan is expected to be funded with 50% equity content.

    Customer savings from data centers
    $100 million
    Next 2 years

    From the value of the data centers, not including grocer receipts tax and state taxes.

    Water consumption from generation
    down 25% to 30%vs 2015
    2015-2030

    Projected reduction from the time of Integrys acquisition to 2030.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Adjusted operating EPS$0.91USD per share
    Multi year capital plan$37.5 billionUSD
    Dividend per share growth6.7%%
    Allowed ROE equity layer rate cases
    Combined electric gas framework mandates
    Major regulated project construction progress

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Microsoft Data Center Demand2.6 GW2026-07-29

    Forecasted demand increase in Pleasant Prairie region through 2030, with opportunity for further expansion.

    Vantage Data Centers (Oracle) Current Demand1.3 GW2026-07-29

    Demand in forecast over the next 5 years for the Vantage site.

    Vantage Data Centers (Oracle) Potential Demand3.5 GW2026-07-29

    Potential demand for the Vantage site over time.

    Potential New Large Customers Pipeline400 to 500 MW2026-07-29

    Typical size of potential new very large customers currently in discussion.

    Deals & partnerships

    5
    MicrosoftPurchase of land for data center developmentmore than 2,200 acres

    Microsoft has purchased more than 2,200 acres to date in the I-94 corridor south of Milwaukee for data center development.

    Vantage Data Centers (for Oracle)Development of data center facilitiesapproximately 1,900 acres

    Vantage Data Centers is developing facilities for Oracle on approximately 1,900 acres, with the initial phase on 670 acres. First facility could come online as soon as late 2027.

    Rehlko (formerly Kohler Energy)Expansion of production operations

    Plans to expand production operations in Kenosha, expected to complete in 2027, to produce backup generators for data centers.

    Waukegan SteelRelocation of headquarters

    Steel fabricating company looking to move its headquarters from Illinois to Pleasant Prairie.

    Harley DavidsonRelocation of motorcycle production operations

    Plans to bring some motorcycle production operations back from overseas to Wisconsin facilities.

    Capital programs

    4
    5-year Capital Planunderway$37.5 billion

    Benefit: 15% of asset base dedicated to very large customers by 2030

    Based on low-risk, highly executable projects, with a good portion serving very large customers. The company is updating its next capital plan and will share details on the Q3 call.

    Vantage Data Centers (Oracle) Phase 1 Developmentunderway$15 billion

    Vantage has stated it expects to invest $15 billion to complete this phase. Construction continues on the initial phase, with structural framework complete on multiple buildings. First facility could come online as soon as late 2027.

    Natural Gas Generation Facilitiesunderway

    Construction continues on new natural gas generation facilities in Paris and Old Creek, Wisconsin. Expected to start coming online in late 2027.

    Peoples Gas Pipe Retirement Programunderway
    Period spend: reduced spending in 2026

    Key driver for Peoples Gas rate request. Spending reduced in 2026 due to labor force challenges, but anticipated to ramp up in 2027.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Weather volatilityQ2 FY26

    Negatively impacted Q2 FY26 earnings by $0.05 per share compared to Q2 FY25; $0.03 negative impact vs normal in Q2 FY26.

    Mitigation: Full-year guidance assumes normal weather for the remainder of the year.

    Higher depreciation and amortization expenseQ2 FY26

    Reduced Q2 FY26 earnings by $0.05 per share.

    Mitigation: Continued focus on operating efficiency.

    Higher day-to-day O&MQ2 FY26

    Reduced Q2 FY26 earnings by $0.03 per share.

    Mitigation: Continued focus on operating efficiency.

    Labor force availability and ramping up workforce2026

    Reduced spending in 2026 for Peoples Gas pipe retirement program.

    Mitigation: Working through a variety of methods to bring in talent and do proper training; anticipate ramping up in 2027.

    Legal challenge to Very Large Customer (VLC) tariff credit requirementsOngoing

    Oracle brought a case in court regarding credit need, despite the tariff requiring A- credit support or collateral at BBB-.

    Mitigation: Management confident in the tariff framework and Oracle's commitment to the project; collateral requirements are protective.

    Potential political pushback or moratoriums on data centersNear-term (election season)

    One gubernatorial candidate identified potential moratorium; some communities have brought up moratoriums.

    Mitigation: Educating candidates and public on economic benefits (customer savings, property taxes, jobs) and addressing concerns like water usage.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    New Capital Plan Details

    Q3 FY26 call
    CurrentIn the process of updating
    TargetDetails shared on Q3 call

    Why it matters

    The updated capital plan will outline future investments and growth drivers, crucial for long-term EPS growth.

    We are in the process of updating our next capital plan, and we look forward to sharing the details with you on our third quarter call.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Inquired about risks to the site timeline, potential expansion, and if the site could be redeployed to another hyperscaler if Oracle fails to fulfill obligations.

    Scott Lauber expressed confidence in Oracle providing required credit support and confirmed construction is on time and budget. He noted that in a worst-case scenario, the site has many opportunities for other hyperscalers, but there's no indication of that currently.

    I think there's a lot of opportunities for that site for anyone else. But at this point, I've no indication that that's the case.

    asked by Shahriar Pourreza · answered by Scott Lauber

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Data Center Growth and Capital Plan

    WEC Energy Group is experiencing significant demand from large data center customers in its service territory. Microsoft's Pleasant Prairie site has its first facility operational, with a forecasted demand increase of 2.6 GW by 2030. Vantage Data Centers, developing for Oracle, is constructing facilities with an expected 1.3 GW demand over the next five years, potentially reaching 3.5 GW over time. This growth underpins the company's $37.5 billion 5-year capital plan, with approximately 15% of assets dedicated to these large customers by 2030.

    02

    Regulatory Framework for Large Customers

    The Public Service Commission of Wisconsin (PSCW) approved WEC's very large customer tariff (VLC), ensuring these customers pay their full share of costs and provide credit support. Oracle is actively working to update its financial security in line with PSCW requirements for its Port Washington project. Management views the VLC tariff as a strong framework for continued data center growth, providing transparency and protecting other ratepayers.

    03

    Rate Cases and Regulatory Progress

    WEC has filed rate requests for forward-looking test years 2027 and 2028 in Wisconsin, with expected final orders by year-end and new rates effective January 2027. In Illinois, the company made progress on the Rider QIP and bad debt rider settlements, resolving 12 open dockets. A decision on the Illinois rate request, driven by the Peoples Gas pipe retirement program, is expected by year-end for test year 2027.

    04

    Financing Strategy and Equity Needs

    The company issued $760 million in common equity in the first half of 2026, including $720 million via its ATM program. It expects to issue a total of $1.1 billion in common equity for the full year. For any incremental capital beyond the current plan, WEC anticipates funding with 50% equity content, leveraging its efficient ATM program and exploring options for faster cash accumulation through current returns on projects.

    05

    Political Environment and Data Center Pushback

    Wisconsin's political landscape is "purple," with ongoing gubernatorial primaries. Management actively engages with both political parties to promote economic growth and reliable infrastructure. While some candidates have suggested data center moratoriums, WEC emphasizes the economic benefits, including $100 million in customer savings over two years from data center value, property taxes, and job creation, alongside addressing concerns about water usage with closed-loop systems.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.