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    XPO
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    XPO Q2 FY26 earnings call XPO

    Jul 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    XPO Q2 FY26 — Record Performance Driven by LTL Operating Ratio Below 80% and Strong Volume Acceleration

    XPO delivered record Q2 FY26 results, driven by strong LTL performance with an adjusted operating ratio below 80% and significant volume acceleration in July. The company's strategic investments in capacity, technology, and service quality are yielding substantial operating leverage and market share gains, reinforcing confidence in achieving long-term margin expansion and free cash flow generation. The European segment also showed strong growth, with acceleration expected in the second half of the year.

    Highlights

    5
    • Company-wide achieved record revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted diluted EPS.

    • North American LTL adjusted operating ratio improved by 300 basis points YoY to a new record of 79.9%.

    • Damage claims ratio reached its best historical level, remaining below 0.2% for the second consecutive quarter.

    • Productivity improved by nearly 2.5 points versus last year, exceeding the quarterly target of 1.5%.

    • Free cash flow is now expected to more than double for the full year 2026 compared to 2025.

    Concerns

    3
    • Fuel operating expense and supplies increased 24% or $53 million YoY due to higher fuel prices.

    • Salary, wages, and benefits expense increased 7% or $46 million YoY due to inflationary pressures.

    • The hiring market for drivers is tightening, particularly in the truckload space.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    LTL Adjusted Operating Ratio
    below 81%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Margin Improvement
    at least 200 basis points
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Tonnage Growth
    up a few points
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Free Cash Flow
    more than double 2025
    high materiality
    High
    LTL Operating Ratio
    low 70s or better
    high materiality
    High
    Cumulative Free Cash Flow
    billions of dollars
    high materiality
    High
    European Adjusted EBITDA Growth
    high teens
    medium materiality
    High
    Weight per Shipment
    inflect positive
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    LTL
    Revenue increased 15% year-over-year, reflecting acceleration in both yield and volume growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased 27% excluding real estate gains. Adjusted operating income grew 36%. Adjusted operating ratio improved 300 bps YoY to a new company record, outperforming normal seasonality.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $390 millionAdjusted Operating Income: $287 millionAdjusted Operating Ratio: 79.9%Shipments per day: +2.8% YoYWeight per shipment: -1.8% YoYTonnage per day: +1% YoYYield, excluding fuel: +4.4% YoY
    $1.4 billion15%27.4% adjusted EBITDA margin
    European Transportation
    Achieved record revenue, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of growth on a constant currency basis. Adjusted EBITDA increased 9% year-over-year, with growth expected to accelerate in the second half of the year.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $48 millionAdjusted EBITDA growth: +9% YoY
    Record
    Corporate
    Reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $4 million.
    $4 million loss

    Operational metrics

    34
    Total Company Revenue
    $2.4 billion13% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide record revenue.

    Total Company Adjusted EBITDA
    $425 million25% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding $9 million of real estate gains. Company-wide record adjusted EBITDA.

    Total Company Adjusted Diluted EPS
    $1.6456% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding $0.06 per share of real estate gains. Company-wide record adjusted diluted EPS.

    Net Capital Expenditures
    $101 million
    Q2 FY26

    Part of cash performance, after which $298 million cash on hand remained.

    Common Stock Repurchases
    $70 million
    Q2 FY26

    Part of capital allocation.

    Term Loan Repayments
    $70 million
    Q2 FY26

    Additional $100 million paid down in July, bringing year-to-date debt paydown to $200 million.

    Cash on Hand
    $298 million
    Q2 FY26 end

    After completing net capital expenditures, stock repurchases, and term loan repayments.

    Total Liquidity
    $898 million
    Q2 FY26 end

    Includes cash on hand and available capacity under committed borrowing facility.

    Net Leverage Ratio
    2.1xvs 2.3x at Q1 FY26 end
    Q2 FY26 end

    Improved compared to the end of the first quarter.

    LTL Expense for Salary, Wages and Benefits
    $46 million7% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Productivity initiatives helped mitigate impact of higher inflation and freight volumes.

    LTL Cost for Fuel Operating Expense and Supplies
    $53 million24% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily due to higher fuel prices.

    LTL Purchase Transportation Cost
    $8 million
    Q2 FY26

    Increased due to in-sourcing strategy reducing exposure to truckload rate volatility.

    LTL Depreciation Expense
    $4 million5% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Consistent with continued investments in the network.

    LTL Productivity Improvement
    2.5 pointsversus last year
    Q2 FY26

    Outperformed quarterly target of 1.5% due to workforce planning technology.

    LTL Route Optimization Coverage
    more than 2/3
    Q2 FY26

    Operations using this technology for pickup and delivery, seeing measurable results with fewer miles and more stops per hour.

    LTL Trailer Loading Technology Pilot Results
    40%
    Q2 FY26

    AI-based application in pilot sites, contributing to service quality and operating efficiency. Rollout across entire network in H2.

    LTL Tonnage per Day
    -1.5%YoY
    April FY26

    Improved trajectory throughout the quarter.

    LTL Tonnage per Day
    0.5%YoY
    May FY26

    Improved trajectory throughout the quarter.

    LTL Tonnage per Day
    4%YoY
    June FY26

    Improved trajectory throughout the quarter.

    LTL Tonnage per Day
    >6%YoY
    July FY26 estimate

    Improvements continued in July, outperforming normal seasonal patterns.

    LTL Weight per Shipment
    roughly flatYoY
    July FY26 estimate

    Outperformed normal seasonal patterns, pointing to improvement in underlying core pricing.

    LTL OR Improvement over 3 years
    nearly 800 bps
    Last 3 years

    Achieved through a historic freight recession, with plenty of runway ahead.

    LTL Contract Renewal Pricing
    mid- to high single-digit range
    Q2 FY26

    Accelerated, contributing to pricing strength.

    LTL Outsourced Miles
    mid-single-digit percentage
    Q2 FY26

    Lowest level in company history, expected to remain at this level for the rest of 2026.

    New Customer Logos (Small-to-Medium)
    2,700 to 2,800vs 2,500 run rating
    Q2 FY26

    Step up from last year's run rate in this channel.

    Average Truck Age
    sub 4 years
    Current

    Contributes to success in hiring drivers.

    Industry Service Center Count
    down ~10%
    Since 2021

    Shrinking industry capacity.

    Industry Door Count
    down mid-single digits
    Since 2021

    Shrinking industry capacity.

    Truckload Rates
    up more than 40%
    YTD

    Suggests potential for truckload to LTL conversion.

    LTL Pricing Gap Opportunity
    low teens
    Long-term

    Opportunity to achieve above market pricing growth.

    LTL Yield Outperformance vs Market
    2 to 3 points
    Per year

    Expected consistent outperformance driven by service, premium services, and small-to-medium customers.

    Premium Services Contribution to Yield
    1 point
    Per year

    Expected incremental contribution to yield outperformance.

    Small-to-Medium Customers Contribution to Yield
    0.5 point
    Per year

    Expected incremental contribution to yield outperformance.

    LTL Incremental Margin
    40%
    Through the cycle

    Expected to be generated, driven by yield initiatives.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Safetybelow 0.2%%
    Operating ratio79.9%%
    Revenue per load ex fuel4.4%%
    Intermodal truckload volume2.8%%
    Labor productivity headcount2.5 pointspoints

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    Trailer loading technologylaunch

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Higher Fuel PricesQ2 FY26

    Fuel operating expense and supplies increased 24% or $53 million YoY.

    Mitigation: In-sourcing strategy is performing as planned, reducing exposure to truckload rate volatility.

    Wage and Benefit InflationQ2 FY26

    Expense for salary, wages, and benefits increased 7% or $46 million YoY.

    Mitigation: Productivity initiatives (2.5 points improvement) helped mitigate the impact; continued management of labor adjusted to freight volume.

    Tightening Driver MarketCurrent

    Hiring market for drivers is tightening, partly due to capacity going out in the truckload space.

    Mitigation: XPO's benefits and compensation packages, young fleet (sub 4 years average truck age), and over 130 driver training schools support successful hiring efforts in needed markets.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    LTL Operating Ratio

    Q3 FY26
    Current79.9% in Q2 FY26
    TargetBelow 81% in Q3 FY26

    Why it matters

    Verifying the LTL OR remains below 81% in Q3 FY26 will confirm continued margin expansion and outperformance of normal seasonality, which is crucial for the company's long-term OR goals.

    We do expect another strong quarter for margin performance here in the third quarter... for abroad to be below 81% here in the third quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Asked for parameters on accelerating earnings for Q3 and how the massive AI-driven improvements (50% damage reduction, 40% load quality increase) translate to expense savings.

    Mario Harik guided for Q3 OR to be below 81%, outperforming normal seasonality, driven by price, volumes, and cost efficiency. He explained the AI trailer loading technology, noting its real-time feedback for dock workers and its role in productivity improvements.

    We do expect another strong quarter for margin performance here in the third quarter... for abroad to be below 81% here in the third quarter.

    asked by Ken Hoexter · answered by Mario Harik

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    LTL Operational Excellence and Margin Expansion

    XPO achieved a record LTL adjusted operating ratio of 79.9% in Q2 FY26, marking a 300 basis point improvement year-over-year and significantly outperforming normal seasonality. This strong performance was supported by a damage claims ratio below 0.2% for the second consecutive quarter, the best in company history, reflecting disciplined execution and strategic investments in capacity and proprietary technology. The company has improved its OR by nearly 800 basis points over the past three years.

    02

    Technology-Driven Productivity Gains

    The company's proprietary technology continues to drive significant productivity improvements. Workforce planning technology improved productivity by nearly 2.5 points versus last year, exceeding the quarterly target of 1.5%. Route optimization is now used in over two-thirds of operations, leading to fewer miles and more stops per hour. A pilot of AI-powered trailer loading technology showed impressive results, reducing damages by 50% and improving load quality by over 40%, with a network-wide rollout planned for the second half of the year.

    03

    Accelerating Volume and Strong Pricing Trends

    LTL volumes strengthened throughout Q2 FY26, with shipments per day increasing from 0.2% YoY in April to 5.1% in June, and tonnage per day improving from a 1.5% decline to a 4% increase over the same period. July saw further acceleration, with both shipments and tonnage per day estimated to be up over 6% YoY. Pricing remained a key strength, with yield excluding fuel increasing 4.4% YoY, supported by accelerating contract renewal pricing in the mid-to-high single-digit range. The company expects revenue per shipment ex-fuel to accelerate more than previously expected in Q3 and Q4.

    04

    Strategic Capacity and Workforce Management

    Since 2021, XPO has proactively invested in its network, increasing its trailer fleet by over 30%, tractor count by over 20%, and expanding door capacity by 15%. This provides substantial runway for volume growth. The company's headcount is only slightly down over the last few years, and it can handle an additional low to mid-single-digit percentage of shipments with the existing workforce. Proactive hiring efforts are underway in some markets, supported by improved employee retention and over 130 driver training schools.

    05

    European Segment Outperformance and Strategic Outlook

    The European transportation segment delivered its tenth consecutive quarter of constant currency revenue growth, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 9% year-over-year in Q2 FY26. The company anticipates this growth to accelerate to high teens in the second half of the year, driven by similar strategies to the US, including cost control, sales expansion, and new vertical penetration. While the long-term goal is to sell the business, XPO remains patient to achieve the right price, intending to use proceeds to accelerate capital returns to shareholders.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.