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    ZTO
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    ZTO Express (Cayman) Q1 FY26 earnings call ZTO

    May 20, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    ZTO Express Q1 FY26 — Strong Volume Growth and Profitability Improvement

    ZTO Express delivered strong Q1 FY26 results, driven by robust parcel volume growth and market share expansion, alongside significant improvements in operating efficiency and unit cost reduction in transportation and sorting. The company continues to align with anti-involution policies, focusing on high-quality development and leveraging AI for operational enhancements. Management remains committed to maintaining a healthy industry ecosystem and delivering consistent shareholder returns.

    Highlights

    5
    • Parcel volume grew 13.2% year-over-year to 9.67 billion, significantly outpacing industry growth.

    • Market share expanded by 1.2 percentage points, further solidifying leadership position.

    • Adjusted operating profit increased 22% year-over-year to RMB 2.6 billion (excluding non-operating items).

    • Combined unit cost of transportation and sorting decreased by RMB 0.06 year-over-year.

    • Retail parcel volume grew 65% year-over-year, optimizing product mix.

    Concerns

    4
    • Adjusted net income growth of 5.2% year-over-year was lower than adjusted operating profit growth.

    • Overall unit cost for the core express delivery business increased 8.8% or RMB 0.08, primarily due to KA cost increase.

    • Gross profit margin rate decreased slightly by 0.3 percentage points to 24.4%.

    • Income from operations margin rate decreased 2.9 points to 19.2%.

    Guidance & targets

    1
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Parcel Volume Growth
    10% to 13% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    24
    Adjusted operating profit
    RMB 2.6 billionincreased 22% year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Excluding non-operating items such as government subsidies or tax rebates.

    Adjusted net income
    RMB 2.4 billionincreased 5.2%
    Q1 FY26
    Total revenue
    RMB 13.3 billionincreased 22%
    Q1 FY26
    ASP for core express delivery
    RMB 0.11rose 8.2%
    Q1 FY26
    Total cost of revenue
    RMB 10 billionincreased 22.5%
    Q1 FY26
    Overall unit cost for core express delivery business
    RMB 0.08increased 8.8%
    Q1 FY26
    Unit cost of line haul transportation
    RMB 0.37decreased 10.5%
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting optimized route planning and enhanced load efficiency.

    Unit sorting costs
    RMB 0.25decreased 6.4%
    Q1 FY26

    Thanks to continued improvements in labor and automation productivity.

    Gross profit
    RMB 3.2 billionincreased 20.3%
    Q1 FY26
    Gross profit margin rate
    24.4%decreased 0.3 percentage points
    Q1 FY26
    SG&A expenses (excluding SBC)
    RMB 594.5 millionincreased 14.9%
    Q1 FY26
    SG&A (excluding SBC) as percentage of revenue
    4.5%declined
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting strong corporate cost efficiency.

    Income from operations
    RMB 2.5 billionincreased 5.8%
    Q1 FY26
    Operating margin rate
    19.2%decreased 2.9 points
    Q1 FY26
    Adjusted EBITDA
    RMB 3.9 billionincreased 6.9%
    Q1 FY26
    Capital expenditure
    RMB 1.8 billion
    Q1 FY26
    AI-driven missorting rate reduction
    over 60%
    Q1 FY26

    Achieved through 3D digital twins and machine vision technology.

    AI-powered customer service automation
    over 70%
    Q1 FY26

    Percentage of end-to-end service tickets processed automatically.

    AI-powered customer service human escalation reduction
    5 percentage pointsfurther reduced
    Q1 FY26
    AI-driven last mile transportation cost reduction
    20%
    Q1 FY26

    Achieved through AI application in post site selection and delivery route optimization.

    Total parcel volume
    9.67 billionup 13.2% year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Significantly outpacing industry growth of 5.8% year-over-year.

    Retail parcel volume growth
    65%year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Product mix continued to optimize.

    Average daily reverse logistics parcel volume
    exceeding 9.4 millionfurther increased
    Q2 FY26

    Current volume for the second quarter.

    Operational decision-making time reduction (regional management)
    from several days to just hours
    Q1 FY26

    Achieved through smart data inquiry system across various domains.

    Industry KPIs

    9
    MetricValueDetails
    Smb b2b mix65%%
    Long term targetssteady earnings growth
    Average daily volume9.7 millionunits/day
    Network reconfiguration
    Revenue per piece yieldRMB 0.11RMB
    Fuel surcharge mechanicsabsorbed
    Cost per piece rpp cpp spreadRMB 0.06RMB
    Cost reduction program progressfurther decrease
    Workforce structural cost itemsincrease

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Potential increase in per-parcel cost due to Social Security implementation for delivery workersShort term

    May lead to an increase in per parcel cost

    Mitigation: Long-term benefits of enhanced network cohesiveness, reduced workforce turnover, and solidified last-mile services; ZTO will proactively support policy implementation and help network partners cope with additional costs through ongoing cost reduction initiatives.

    Diesel price volatility due to Middle East tensionsQ2 FY26

    Prices increased significantly in March, then declined in late April

    Mitigation: Price recovery driven by anti-involution policies and fuel surcharges have largely offset the impact; expected limited impact on total network-wide cost in Q2.

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    4

    Impact of Social Security implementation on per-parcel cost

    Next quarter
    CurrentPotential increase acknowledged
    TargetStable or managed cost impact

    Why it matters

    This could impact profitability and network partner economics, a key focus for the company's shared success philosophy.

    In the short term, the rollout of these policies may lead to an increase in per parcel cost.

    Q&A highlights

    4

    What were the key drivers of Q1 cost efficiency, are full-year cost targets changing, how will diesel price hikes affect costs, and what is the outlook for pricing dynamics under anti-involution?

    Q1 cost reduction was driven by automation, digitalization, and refined management, improving vehicle load rates and per capita efficiency. Full-year core transit costs are expected to decrease further, with a focus on end-to-end cost reduction. Diesel price volatility is expected to have limited impact in Q2 due to anti-involution-driven price recovery and fuel surcharges. Anti-involution policies have been effective, reducing low-price parcels and stabilizing pricing.

    The price recovery driven by the anti-involution policies has largely offset the impact of high fuel costs, and certain provinces have absorbed rising diesel costs through fuel surcharges.

    asked by Qianlei Fan · answered by Huiping Yan

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Industry Dynamics and Anti-Involution Policy

    China's express delivery industry maintained overall growth with parcel volume up 5.8% year-over-year in Q1 FY26. Anti-involution policies continued to deepen, leading to pricing recovery and a return to rationality in competition. ZTO, as an industry leader, proactively upheld a healthy industry ecosystem by supporting these policies and committing to rational, value-driven competition, which provided a solid foundation for sustainable growth.

    02

    Operational Efficiency and Cost Advantage

    ZTO achieved a RMB 0.06 year-over-year decrease in the combined unit cost of transportation and sorting, driven by digitalization and lean management. This included optimizing route planning, enhancing load efficiency, and improving fleet management, leading to a 10.5% decrease in unit cost of line haul transportation to RMB 0.37 and a 6.4% decrease in unit sorting costs to RMB 0.25. The company expects core transit-related costs to further decrease for the full year, with a focus on end-to-end cost reduction.

    03

    Product Mix Optimization and Retail Parcel Growth

    The company focused on optimizing its product mix, with retail parcel volume growing 65% year-over-year. This strategic shift towards higher-value retail parcels and reverse logistics is driving a structural change from single-channel e-commerce volume to a more diversified and improved value mix. Average daily retail parcel volume reached approximately 9.7 million in Q1, with reverse logistics parcel volume exceeding 9.4 million average daily in Q2, contributing higher unit profit than traditional e-commerce parcels.

    04

    AI Integration and Digital Transformation

    ZTO is deepening AI integration across its network to enhance operational empowerment. AI-powered solutions have reduced missorting rates by over 60% in approximately 25 sorting centers, automated over 70% of end-to-end customer service tickets, and reduced human agent escalations by 5 percentage points. AI also optimized last-mile dispatch, cutting short-distance transportation costs by 20% for large network outlets and supporting tens of millions of daily retail parcel orders.

    05

    Shareholder Returns and Long-Term Strategy

    Backed by strong profitability and cash flow, ZTO plans to refine its regular cash dividend and share repurchase mechanisms to optimize capital return structure and deliver consistent returns to shareholders. The company's long-term strategy prioritizes high-quality market presence, service, low end-to-end costs, and sound profitability, aiming for steady earnings growth for network partners, continuous wage improvements for couriers, and healthy longevity for ZTO.

    06

    Social Security and Workforce Welfare

    ZTO welcomes the implementation of Social Security policies for delivery workers, viewing it as aligned with anti-involution goals to safeguard frontline workers' interests. While acknowledging potential short-term per-parcel cost increases, the company believes a more stable employment system will enhance network cohesiveness, reduce turnover, and solidify last-mile service quality in the long run. ZTO will proactively support policy implementation and help network partners cope with additional costs.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.