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    Adani Energy Solutions Limited

    ADANIENSOL
    Power·23 Jan 2026
    Management Summary

    Adani Energy Solutions reported a strong Q3 FY26 with significant growth in income, EBITDA, and PAT, driven by robust performance in transmission and smart metering. The company expanded its project pipeline to ~INR 78,000 crores and is on track to commission several key projects. While facing some execution delays in HVDC and land acquisition, management remains confident in future growth, particularly in smart metering and new C&I and cooling verticals, with a revised FY26 capex target of INR 14,500-15,000 crores.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted PAT grew 30% YoY, considering one-time deferred tax effect of INR 185 crores last year.

    • Consolidated EBITDA reached INR 2,200 crores quarterly, marking a 21% growth.

    • Income grew by 16% YoY, and consolidated PBT rose by 43% to INR 800 crores.

    • Project pipeline expanded to ~INR 78,000 crores, with 7 projects poised for capitalization adding ~INR 25,000 crores gross block.

    • Installed ~1.9 million smart meters in Q3 FY26, bringing the aggregate count to ~9.2 million, on track to cross 10 million by year-end.

    Concerns

    3
    • HVDC Mumbai project commissioning delayed, now expected in 30-45 days due to Vasai creek issues, working permissions, and prolonged rain.

    • FY26 capex guidance revised downwards to INR 14,500-15,000 crores from INR 16,000 crores, mainly due to some transmission projects spilling over into the next financial year.

    • Land acquisition challenges for Bhadla-Fatehpur HVDC and substation land for Jamnagar project, causing delays to original schedules.

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    04 metrics
    1. 01Adjusted PAT Growth30%+30%YoY
    2. 02Income Growth16%+16%YoY
    3. 03Consolidated EBITDA₹2,200 Cr+21%YoY
    4. 04Consolidated PBT₹800 Cr+43%YoY

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 78,000 crores

    as of 2025-12-31

    quantified

    Inflow this qtr

    ₹ 13,600 crores

    Pipeline

    other

    Smart meters yet to be bid out

    "The company has a strong project pipeline in transmission and a significant bidding opportunity in smart metering, expecting to maintain market share."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹15,000 crores

    cut — some projects spilled over by 1 or 2 months into the next financial year, mainly in transmission.

    Debt

    Gross ₹48,000 crores · Net ₹38,000 crores · 4.3x EBITDA

    Maturity: 7.9 years (average for dollar and INR bonds)

    Liquidity

    Cash ₹9,600 crores

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capitalization
    Gross Block Addition
    ~INR 25,000 crores
    High
    Smart Metering
    Total Meter Installations
    1 crore
    High
    Smart Metering
    Daily Meter Installations
    22,000 to 25,000 meters
    High
    Transmission Bidding
    Bidding Opportunity
    INR 70,000-80,000 crores
    High
    Transmission Bidding
    Annual Bidding Opportunity
    INR 80,000-90,000 crores
    Medium
    HVDC Project
    Mumbai HVDC Commissioning
    Commissioned
    High
    Transmission Projects
    Jamnagar and Navinal Completion
    Complete
    High
    Transmission Projects
    Khavda-IV A Completion
    1 element in Q2 FY27, another in Q3 FY27
    High
    Transmission Projects
    Pune-III Completion
    Complete
    High
    C&I Business
    Margin
    INR 0.75+ per unit
    High
    Debt Refinancing
    $500M Bond Refinancing
    Refinanced
    High

    What to watch in Q4 FY26

    5

    Mumbai HVDC Commissioning

    next 30-45 days
    CurrentTesting and commissioning ongoing
    TargetCommercial operation

    Why it matters

    Timely commissioning of this landmark project will contribute to capitalization and revenue.

    So, all the work is completed there. Testing and commissioning is going on. So, we expect that to get commissioned in another 30 to 45 days.

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    HVDC Project Commissioning Delays

    Mumbai HVDC project delayed due to Vasai creek issues, working permissions, and prolonged rain, now expected in 30-45 days.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Land Acquisition Challenges

    Challenges in land acquisition for Fatehpur (Bhadla-Fatehpur HVDC) and substation land for Jamnagar project, causing delays.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Regulatory Delays for Transmission Projects

    Navinal project delayed due to the issuance of transmission license from CERC, impacting 164 approval.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Execution Challenges (Equipment, Manpower, ROW)

    General execution challenges related to equipment supply, manpower availability, and Right of Way (ROW) issues, exacerbated by abnormal rain.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Tendering Slowdown

    Tendering activity slowed down as certain transmission projects were re-evaluated based on changes in generation and demand profiles.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “As far as smart meter bidding is concerned, there are a few states where bidding is yet to happen or yet to conclude. One is Tamil Nadu, that bidding happened, but I think they will reinvite the bid. But there are a few other states like Karnataka, Telangana. They got the DPR approved under RDSS. I believe those states have now filed the DPR with MOP. And on receipt of that approval, they will also come out with bidding. So we expect that significant action we will see in smart metering bidding in next couple of quarters.”

    Analyst inquired about the lack of new smart meter order wins, and management provided an update on upcoming bidding opportunities from various states.

    asked by Mohit Kumar

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 & 9M FY26 Financial Performance Highlights

    Adani Energy Solutions Limited delivered a strong financial performance in Q3 FY26, with income growing by 16% YoY. Consolidated EBITDA reached INR 2,200 crores, marking a 21% growth, while consolidated PBT rose by 43% to INR 800 crores. The adjusted PAT growth stood at 30% YoY, accounting for a one-time📎 deferred tax effect from the previous year. This robust performance reflects significant progress across the company's transmission and smart metering businesses.

    02

    Transmission Business Update and Pipeline

    The company's project pipeline has expanded to approximately INR 78,000 crores. In the first 9 months of FY26, four transmission projects were commissioned, including NKTL, Khavda Phase-II Part-A, Khavda Pooling Station, and Sangod Transmission project. An additional three projects, including the landmark HVDC project, are on track for commissioning in the coming months. Management anticipates annual transmission capex to be in the range of INR 18,000-20,000 crores for the next five years.

    03

    Smart Metering Progress and Outlook

    Adani Energy Solutions installed approximately 1.9 million smart meters during Q3 FY26, bringing the aggregate installed base to about 9.2 million meters. The company is on track to surpass 1 crore (10 million) installations by the end of FY26. Management noted a daily installation rate of 22,000-25,000 meters. The pipeline for smart metering remains strong, with over 100 million meters yet to be bid out, and the company expects to maintain its market share, targeting about 5 crore meters in the long term.

    04

    Capital Management and Debt Profile

    The company's net debt currently stands at INR 38,000 crores, with gross debt at INR 48,000 crores and a cash balance of INR 9,600 crores. The net debt to EBITDA leverage is 4.3x, consistent with the target range of 4.0-4.5x. Approximately INR 25,000 crores of the total debt comprises dollar bonds. The company plans to refinance a $500 million bond maturing in August '27 within the next 1-2 months. AEML also conducted bond buybacks totaling $95 million in FY26.

    05

    New Growth Verticals: C&I, Cooling, and Data Centers

    The C&I (Commercial & Industrial) business is identified as a major growth driver, with the aggregate load reaching 1,300 megawatts, serving 31 consumers. Management expects high margins of over INR 0.75 per unit from this segment. In the cooling business, Adani Energy Solutions is developing India's largest district cooling facility of 40,000 metric tons of refrigeration at Mundra. The company also sees significant value in data centers by providing end-to-end power infrastructure and connectivity solutions.

    06

    Execution Challenges and Mitigation

    The company faced some execution challenges, leading to delays in the Mumbai HVDC project due to issues at Vasai creek, working permissions, and prolonged rain. Land acquisition for the Bhadla-Fatehpur HVDC and Jamnagar projects also caused delays. Additionally, the Navinal project was delayed due to the issuance of a transmission license from CERC. To address manpower challenges, the company has established a training facility at Gorda, aiming to provide 400-500 trained personnel quarterly for EPC partners.

    07

    Future Bidding Opportunities and Capex Outlook

    Management anticipates significant bidding opportunities in transmission, with INR 70,000-80,000 crores expected in the next 12 months, and an annual run rate of INR 80,000-90,000 crores. The FY26 capex guidance has been revised downwards to INR 14,500-15,000 crores from the earlier INR 16,000 crores, primarily due to some transmission projects spilling over into the next financial year. However, the company expects capitalization of at least INR 25,000 crores in the next 12-15 months from ongoing projects.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.