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    Adani Total Gas

    ATGL
    Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels·27 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Adani Total Gas reported a strong Q3 FY25 with a 12% YoY revenue increase to ₹1,397 crores and 15% overall volume growth, despite facing significant reductions in APM gas allocation. The company effectively managed supply through diversified sourcing and maintained profitability with an EBITDA of ₹272 crores. ATGL also made substantial progress in its e-mobility and CBG businesses, expanding its EV charging network and commencing CBG production.

    Highlights

    5
    • Revenue from operations increased by 12% YoY to ₹1,397 crores, demonstrating strong top-line growth despite challenges.

    • Overall volumes grew by a robust 15% YoY, driven by a 19% increase in CNG volumes and an 8% increase in PNG volumes, showcasing strong demand.

    • The company successfully managed gas sourcing challenges, including APM allocation reductions, by utilizing existing contracts, IGX spot market, and new well gas, ensuring continuous supply.

    • Significant expansion in the e-mobility sector, reaching 1,914 EV charging points and aiming for 3,000 by March-April 2025, positioning ATGL as a major player in airport EV charging.

    • Commenced production and sales of CBG from the Barsana plant, diversifying into newer emerging businesses.

    Concerns

    2
    • APM allocation for CNG was reduced twice during the quarter, from 63% to 51% and then to 37%, necessitating reliance on higher-priced alternative sources.

    • EBITDA for the quarter was ₹272 crores, with PBT at ₹193 crores and PAT at ₹143 crores, indicating potential margin pressure due to increased gas prices and reduced APM allocation.

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    09 metrics
    1. 01Revenue from Operations₹1,397 Cr+12%YoY
    2. 02EBITDA₹272 Cr
    3. 03PBT₹193 Cr
    4. 04PAT₹143 Cr
    5. 05Overall Volume Growth0.15 decimal fraction+15%YoY

    Segment breakdown

    Overall Volume Mix
    66% CNG Share32% PNG Share
    PNG Volume Mix (as % of Overall Volume)
    23% Industrial Share8% Domestic Share2% Commercial Share
    List

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹900 crores

    Guidance & targets

    2
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    EV Charging Points
    3,000
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA per SCM
    INR10 to INR12
    Medium

    APM Allocation for CNG

    February 2025 (for Oct-Dec demand review) and May 2025 (for Jan-Mar demand review)
    CurrentIncreased from 37% to 51% as of Jan 16, 2025
    TargetFurther restoration or stability in allocation post-review

    Why it matters

    APM allocation significantly impacts gas sourcing costs and profitability, so any further changes are crucial.

    Recently, with effect from 16th January 2025, APM allocation for CNG has increased from 37% to 51% and we expect to see some positive impact in this case in the current quarter that is going by. ... So, there is a 45-day lag after every calendar quarter till the APM reallocation is done.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    APM allocation reductions

    APM allocation for CNG was reduced from 63% to 51% and then to 37% during the quarter, requiring alternative sourcing.Management acknowledged

    high

    Reliance on higher-priced gas

    Shortfall from APM reductions was met through IGX spot market and new well gas, which can be higher priced.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Balancing affordability and profitability

    Company focuses on calibrating end prices to balance consumer affordability with company profitability amidst gas price volatility.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So, Yogesh, as far as the breakup is concerned in terms of contribution of CNG volume in the newer geographies to the existing geographies, the existing geographies are contributing 68%, whilst the newer geographies are contributing to the balance 32%.”

    Provides a clear breakdown of where CNG volume growth is originating, highlighting the success of expansion into newer geographies.

    asked by Yogesh Patil

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Operational and Financial Performance

    Adani Total Gas delivered a robust Q3 FY25, with revenue from operations increasing by 12% year-on-year to ₹1,397 crores. The company achieved a 15% year-on-year growth in overall volumes, driven by a 19% increase in CNG volumes to 171 MMSCM and an 8% increase in PNG volumes to 86 MMSCM. Quarter-on-quarter, volumes also rose by approximately 6%. EBITDA for the quarter stood at ₹272 crores, with PBT at ₹193 crores and PAT at ₹143 crores, reflecting effective management despite challenging gas sourcing conditions.

    02

    Dynamic Gas Sourcing and APM Allocation Management

    The company faced significant reductions in APM gas allocation during the quarter, with allocations for CNG dropping from 63% to 51% and further to 37%. To ensure continuous supply, ATGL strategically utilized existing contracts, purchased gas from the IGX spot market, and leveraged new well gas allocations. As of January 16, 2025, APM allocation for CNG has been restored to 51%, which is expected to positively impact the current quarter. Management emphasized balancing consumer affordability with company profitability through calibrated end prices.

    03

    Expansion in New Emerging Businesses

    ATGL continued to expand its presence in new emerging businesses. In e-mobility, the company has commissioned 1,914 EV charging points across 22 states and 226 cities, with a target to reach 3,000 points by March-April 2025. ATGL is now a leading airport EV charge point operator. In the biomass business, production and sales of Compressed Biogas (CBG) have commenced from the Barsana plant, with plans to enhance offerings including fermented organic manure (FOM) and phosphate-rich organic manure (PROM). The company also initiated its first LNG station for long-haul trucks and buses in Tirupur, Tamil Nadu.

    04

    Capital Expenditure and Network Growth

    The company's steel pipeline infrastructure expanded to 13,082-inch kilometers. ATGL now serves over 922,000 domestic PNG connections, adding 28,677 connections in Q3 FY25 and over 100,000 for the nine-month period. For industrial and commercial consumers, the network reached 8,913 connections, with 167 additions in Q3 FY25. The 9-month capex, including cash spent and commitments for newer rounds, was approximately ₹650 crores, with an additional ₹1,000 crores committed for pure CGD. The total year-ending capex is projected to be in the range of ₹900-1,000 crores.

    05

    Gas Sourcing Mix and Future Outlook

    ATGL's current gas sourcing portfolio comprises approximately 40% APM, 7-8% new well gas (NWG), 25% HPHT gas, and the remaining 28% as RLNG. Management expects new well gas volumes to increase, encouraged by a premium over APM gas for producers. The company's LNG sourcing primarily relies on long-term contracts, with spot purchases typically kept below 5-7%, though it increased to about 10% due to recent APM reductions. The long-term LNG contracts are linked to Henry Hub (17-18%) and Brent (6-7%) indices.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.