Automotive Axles Limited — Q3 FY26 earnings call

Call held 6 Feb 2026

Management summary

Automotive Axles reported a strong Q3 FY26 with revenue growing 21% QoQ to ₹562 crores and EBITDA expanding 26% QoQ to ₹72.5 crores, driven by efficient order book conversion and new product traction. Margins improved despite an exceptional item of ₹12 crores related to a new wage code. While the non-MHCV segment faced headwinds, the company maintains its market share with key customers and is preparing for future demand with capacity expansions.

Highlights

  • Revenue of ₹562 crores, up 21% QoQ and 6% YoY, driven by strong demand conversion.

  • EBITDA grew by 26% QoQ and 14% YoY, reaching ₹72.5 crores, with margin expanding by 52 bps QoQ and 93 bps YoY to 12.9%.

  • New product MS185 is gaining traction, contributing positively to the product mix and overall volume growth.

  • Current capacity utilization is around 80%, with plans to fully meet peak demand by Q3 FY27 through ongoing investments.

  • Management confirmed no loss of market share with key customers like Ashok Leyland, despite industry-wide product mix shifts.

Concerns

  • An exceptional item of ₹12 crores (₹119 million) related to the new wage code impacted PBT and PAT for the quarter.

  • Non-MHCV segments (export, off-highway, defense) experienced a decline, with export being the primary factor, ranging from 5% to 15% reduction.

  • Overall revenue growth did not fully mirror the industry's 17% growth, partly due to product mix shifts towards bus axles where the company is less present.

  • Launch of the new bus axle product is on hold pending clarity on government mandates for low-floor city buses (9-plus meter).

Key financials

  1. Revenue ₹562 Cr +6%YoY
  2. Total Income ₹570 Cr
  3. Expenses ₹507 Cr
  4. EBITDA ₹72.5 Cr +14%YoY
  5. EBITDA Margin 12.9% +0.93%YoY
  6. PBT ₹51.2 Cr
  7. PBT Margin 9.1%
  8. PAT ₹38.8 Cr
  9. PAT Margin 7%
  10. Exceptional Item ₹12 Cr

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue up 5.7%, net profit up 27.8% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue495 531 560 489 462 −7%562 +6%664 +19%517 +6%
EBITDA51 57 63 48 48 −6%64 +12%77 +22%60 +25%
Net profit36 40 46 36 36 +0%39 −2%54 +17%46 +28%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Guidance & targets

Volume

  • Industry Volume Growth (Q4 FY26) Volume · Q4 FY26 · Medium confidence 5% to 10% better than last year
    Looking forward, the next quarter, which is this quarter, which is typically again a very high quarter in the financial cycle for the several past years, the momentum is going forward. So we are expecting it to be better than last year, at least by 5% to 10%.

    — Kishan Kumar

Capacity

  • Capacity to meet peak demand Capacity · by Q3 FY27 · High confidence Fully improved
    by Q3 FY '27, we'll be completely improved our capacity to meet the peak demand in the next 3 years.

    — Nagaraja Gargeshwari

  • Capacity addition for M&HCV segment Capacity · by Q3 FY27 · High confidence Required for 500,000 M&HCV segment
    So capacity-wise, we'll be like we discussed about, we are investing it and starting from Q1 FY '27 and by Q3 FY '27, we would have added all the capacities that is required for the outlook of somewhere around 500,000 M&HCV segment.

    — Nagaraja Gargeshwari

Revenue

  • Non-MHCV sales decline Revenue · next couple of months · Medium confidence 5% to 15%
    internal analysis shows that it can be 5% to 15% now and also going forward in at least the next couple of months because the response I gave in the previous part of the question...

    — Management

What to watch in Q4 FY26

Q4 FY26 Industry Volume Growth

next quarter
Current Expected to be better than last year by 5% to 10%
Target Actual Q4 FY26 industry volume growth

Why it matters

To assess if the company's performance aligns with the anticipated market momentum.

Looking forward, the next quarter, which is this quarter, which is typically again a very high quarter in the financial cycle for the several past years, the momentum is going forward. So we are expecting it to be better than last year, at least by 5% to 10%.

Risks & concerns

  • Exceptional item due to new wage code

    medium

    An exceptional item of ₹12 crores was taken in Q3 FY26 due to the impact of the new wage code, affecting PBT and PAT.

    Management acknowledged

  • Product mix shift impacting growth alignment with industry

    medium

    Shift in product mix, particularly towards bus axles where the company has less presence, caused overall growth to not fully align with broader industry growth.

    Management acknowledged

  • Decline in non-MHCV segments (export, off-highway, defense)

    medium

    The non-MHCV segments, especially export, have seen a decline, ranging from 5% to 15%, impacting overall revenue.

    Management acknowledged

  • Uncertainty regarding new bus axle product launch due to government mandate

    medium

    The launch of the new bus axle product is on hold as the company re-evaluates its strategy based on the government's new mandate for low-floor city buses.

    Management acknowledged

Q&A highlights

5 direct
Volume growth vs pricing and product mix impact Direct
For us, it's a little bit tricky and a bit difficult for us to quantify the overall growth with respect to a specific product or product mix. What we can -- I can tell you is the product mix has been positive. And our new product, what we have introduced, MS185, that volume is getting traction, which along with the operational efficiency, which has really helped us converting those additional sales.

Clarifies that product mix and new product traction are key drivers, making it hard to isolate volume vs. pricing impact.

Asked by Shikha Mehta

Ashok Leyland's M&HCV volume growth not reflecting in AUTOAXLES numbers Partial
So I have not even seen the data. But going by what you're saying, if there is a change shift of 20% to 25%, that will translate into volumes considering where we have a single source, which means we are the 100% suppliers. That is with us. We convert that completely. That is what we did in the previous quarter. And then there is a common source where the customer has a dual sourcing strategy, they can buy either from us or the competition.

Explains that AUTOAXLES captures 100% of single-source demand, but dual-sourcing strategies with OEMs can lead to variations in growth alignment.

Asked by Shikha Mehta

Loss of wallet share/market share with Ashok Leyland and deviation from OE growth Direct
This did not result in any drop in the market share of -- our share of business with the customer. Of course, there were mix changes where single source was the priority. As you understand, no line stockage is expected. So we were able to do that. And the second question is, again, which comes again and again, if there was a way to plot our growth, removing all other elements from the revenue, which is coming from non-on-highway or M&HCV segment, then you will see that it is as on par with the industry growth, right?

Management denies market share loss, attributing growth deviation to product mix shifts and performance of non-MHCV segments (export, off-highway, defense).

Asked by Pritesh

Shrinkage in the 20% non-MHCV business Partial
See, like I will just put it this way. Maybe, see, out of the total wallet share, as Kishan mentioned, so we have between exports and the other business, we have closer to about 20% -- somewhere it ranges between 15% to 25%. So when I see a total 9-month window, so this -- again, depending on the quarter, there are a lot of other factors that come in. So that's the reason we are not able to exactly give you how this movement happens because you have to factor up all the macroeconomic stuff and everything that's going on.

Management explains the variability and macroeconomic influence on the non-MHCV segment, making it difficult to quantify shrinkage precisely.

Asked by Pritesh

Significant jump in 'other expense' (₹81 crores vs ₹60 crores) Direct
So I'll take this question. So see, it's like -- I think we have already explained, right? So we have the technical fee arrangement with Meritor. So whatever is the revenue growth, so to that extent because it works as a percentage on the revenue. So you'll see the same amount that will also move in the other expenses. So maybe that is one significant portion. Given that revenue has grown by about 22%, you would see a similar kind of a growth there. So yes, that's mostly about that.

Clarifies that the increase in 'other expense' is primarily due to technical fees linked to revenue growth, not an unusual cost spike.

Asked by Ankur Kumar

Benefits of India-US FDA/EU deal for the company in 3-4 years Partial
Coming to the U.S. tariff, it's not just the tariff when it is U.S. It's important to understand what the market is -- what is happening in the market there. And as we stand beginning of February, I think the market is still expected to be low. And when I say market there, the addressable market for us is in the commercial vehicle is the Class 8, which is the heavy duty. That is where our strongest presence is. And until unless the market improves, the tariff alone will not drive any major shift.

Management explains that while the deals bring certainty, market conditions (especially in US Class 8 commercial vehicles) are more critical than tariffs alone for driving growth.

Asked by Rakesh Sharma

Next year will see meaningful volume growth due to fresh capacity addition Direct
Let me just talk about this. See, we did not have any capacity constraints for the current market volumes. So we did not lose any revenue because of the capacity portion of it. Like Kishan has always mentioned, it was a product mix in the industry and at the same time, other than M&HCV, whatever the industry impact was there, that is what is kind of slowing us down in terms of growth or matching with the M&HCV growth. What we talked the capacity is basically to look at the future capacity whenever the M&HCV market and then export demands come back in next 6 to 12 to 18 months, we will be ready to convert those demands without having to lose that potential orders.

Clarifies that current capacity is not a constraint, and future capacity additions are for anticipated M&HCV and export demand in the next 6-18 months, not for immediate volume growth.

Asked by Saket Kapoor

Losing market to OEMs doing in-source manufacturing for axles Direct
When you -- okay, let me start with what we are seeing globally. We're seeing globally OEMs are actually moving away from doing anything to do with axle. So we have examples in Europe and North America where discussions are going on where OEMs are asking us do our axles, even including their own design, right? That's the trend where the focus is on other technology and the other relevant value that they want to create on the vehicles.

Management states the global trend is OEMs moving away from in-house axle manufacturing, which is favorable for component suppliers like Automotive Axles.

Asked by Akash Vora

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q3 FY26 Financial Performance Overview

Automotive Axles reported a robust Q3 FY26, with revenue reaching ₹562 crores, marking a 21% sequential growth and 6% year-on-year increase. Total income stood at ₹570 crores. EBITDA for the quarter was ₹72.5 crores, reflecting a 26% QoQ and 14% YoY growth, with the EBITDA margin improving by 52 basis points QoQ and 93 basis points YoY to 12.9%. Profit Before Tax (PBT) was ₹51.2 crores (9.1% margin) and Profit After Tax (PAT) was ₹38.8 crores (7% margin), both impacted by an exceptional item of ₹12 crores related to a new wage code.

Market Outlook and Product Mix Dynamics

The company observed a significant ramp-up in demand post-September, with strong volume traction from almost all OEM partners. The product mix has been positive, with the new MS185 product gaining traction. Management noted that the shift towards heavy-duty, multi-axle, and tractor-trailer segments is a continuing trend. For Q4 FY26, the company expects industry volume growth to be 5% to 10% better than the previous year, with OEM inventory levels remaining healthy, indicating real sales conversion.

Capacity Expansion and New Products

Current capacity utilization is approximately 80%. Automotive Axles is investing in capacity expansion, with additions planned from Q1 FY27 and expected to be fully operational by Q3 FY27, targeting an outlook of around 500,000 M&HCV segments. The company introduced three new products: the 394 brake (in production since December), a new tipper axle (entering pilot production this quarter), and a bus axle (ready but awaiting clarity on government mandates). The new tipper axle is an upgrade, while the bus axle addresses a key product gap.

Non-MHCV Segment Performance and Market Share

While the MHCV segment showed strong performance, the non-MHCV segments, including export, off-highway, and defense, experienced a decline. Export was identified as the primary factor for this reduction, with an internal analysis indicating a 5% to 15% decline in non-MHCV sales. Despite this, management asserted no loss of market share with key customers like Ashok Leyland, attributing any growth deviation to product mix shifts and the performance of these other segments.

Cost Structure and Margins

The company's expense structure has been stable, with all expenses closing at about ₹507 crores. The gross margin improvement trend is expected to continue, driven by a focus on optimizing the supply chain, developing innovative and lighter designs, and better realization from new products. The increase in 'other expenses' was attributed to the technical fee arrangement with Meritor, which scales with revenue growth. An exceptional item of ₹12 crores was recorded due to the new wage code, impacting profitability.

Regulatory Impact on Bus Axle Product

The new bus axle product, which is ready and tested, faces uncertainty due to a recent government mandate requiring all 9-plus meter city buses to be low-floor from October 2026. The company is re-evaluating the implications of this mandate on OEM powertrain strategies and its own product architecture, delaying the launch of this product until further clarity emerges.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.