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    AWL Agri Busine.

    AWL
    Fast Moving Consumer Goods·27 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Adani Wilmar reported a strong Q3 FY25 with significant revenue, EBITDA, and PAT growth, driven by healthy volume expansion in Food & FMCG and improved edible oil performance. Despite a loss in the Food & FMCG segment due to rice inventory valuation, the company is optimistic about future growth, supported by new capacity additions like the Gohana facility and strategic distribution expansion. Management highlighted consistent margin improvement and a focus on market share consolidation across key categories.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated revenue grew 31% YoY to INR 16,859 crores, marking one of the best quarters since inception.

    • EBITDA increased by 57% YoY to INR 792 crores, and PAT grew 105% YoY to INR 411 crores.

    • Food & FMCG segment delivered a strong 23% volume growth in Q3 FY25 and 32% for 9M FY25.

    • Edible oil business showed consistent improvement, with ROCE at ~22% and EBITDA increasing from INR 1,532 crores in FY22 to INR 2,375 crores in the last 12 months.

    • The new Gohana integrated food facility commenced production in January 2025, expected to be fully operational by Q1 next financial year, enhancing capacity and efficiency.

    Concerns

    5
    • Food & FMCG segment reported a loss of INR 46 crores in Q3 FY25 and INR 23 crores for 9M FY25, primarily due to rice inventory valuation loss.

    • Basmati rice market share declined from 7.4% to 6.1%, though management expects recovery post Gohana plant operationalization.

    • Industry Essential segment degrew by 3% in volume for Q3 FY25 and 9% for 9M FY25.

    • Palm oil prices remained elevated and costlier than sun and soya, with volatility due to geopolitical factors and biodiesel programs, coupled with high import duties.

    • Urban consumption remains stretched, contrasting with a recovering rural demand.

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items6 → 9 (+3)Risks discussed6 → 5 (-1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated Revenue₹16,859 Cr+31%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated Volume Growth5%
    3. 03Consolidated EBITDA₹792 Cr+57.0%YoY
    4. 04Consolidated PAT₹411 Cr+105%YoY
    5. 05Overall ROCE (Trailing 12M)13%

    Segment breakdown

    • Edible Oil₹571 Cr81.7%
    • Food & FMCG₹46 Cr6.6%
    • Industry Essential₹82 Cr11.7%
    Donut· Share of Segment Profit (Q3 FY25)

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    majorly funded through an IPO funding

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Food & FMCG Revenue
    INR 10,000 crores
    High
    Market Share
    Basmati Rice Market Share
    up
    Medium
    Distribution
    Direct Coverage
    1 million outlets
    High
    Volume
    Edible Oil Volume Growth
    8-9%
    Medium
    Volume
    Food & FMCG Average Growth Rate
    >20%
    High
    Margin
    Food & FMCG EBITDA
    neutral
    High
    Margin
    Rice EBITDA
    10%
    Medium
    Margin
    Wheat Flour EBITDA
    6-7%
    Medium
    Market Position
    Market Position in Food Categories
    Top 3 (surely), maybe 1-2
    Medium

    Gohana Integrated Food Facility Operationalization

    end of Q1 next financial year
    CurrentProduction commenced in Jan '25 for rice and mustard oil
    TargetFully operational

    Why it matters

    Full operationalization is expected to enhance volume, reduce costs, and improve dispatch efficiency, impacting overall profitability.

    This integrated facility is expected to be fully operational by end of first quarter of next financial year.

    How to verify

    detailed_narrative

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Rice inventory valuation loss

    Food & FMCG segment incurred INR 46 crores loss in Q3 FY25 due to downward correction in rice market prices.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Palm oil price volatility and high import duties

    Palm oil prices remain elevated and volatile due to geopolitical factors and biodiesel programs, with high government duties impacting costs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Subdued demand in edible oil and wheat flour industry

    Industry-wide low single-digit volume growth in edible oil and wheat flour for the last five quarters, indicating weak demand.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Stretched urban consumption

    Urban demand continues to be under stress, contrasting with recovering rural demand.Management acknowledged

    low

    Basmati rice market share decline

    Basmati rice market share decreased from 7.4% to 6.1%, requiring interventions for recovery.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So the inventory loss right now sitting in this number which is, again, this time we have taken given the fact that market has corrected downward is close to INR50 crores. So if we normalize this, I think we have been consistently declaring the EBIT of food positive.”

    Clarified the reason for the Food & FMCG segment loss and provided a normalized view, indicating underlying profitability.

    asked by Harit Kapoor

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q3 FY25 Performance and Margin Improvement

    Adani Wilmar reported a robust Q3 FY25, achieving consolidated revenue of INR 16,859 crores, a 31% year-on-year growth, with underlying volume growth of 5%. EBITDA surged by 57% to INR 792 crores, and PAT more than doubled to INR 411 crores. The company highlighted consistent improvement in gross margins and EBITDA over the past five quarters, primarily driven by the edible oil business. The EBITDA per ton for the quarter stood at INR 4,956, benefiting from favorable market positions and inventory gains.

    02

    Segmental Performance: Food & FMCG Leads Volume Growth

    The Food & FMCG segment demonstrated strong volume growth of 23% in Q3 FY25 and 32% for the nine months ended December 2024. However, this segment recorded a loss of INR 46 crores in Q3 and INR 23 crores for 9M, mainly due to inventory valuation losses in rice. The edible oil segment grew 4% in volume for Q3 and 11% for 9M, registering a segment profit of INR 571 crores. The Industry Essential segment experienced a degrowth of 3% in Q3 and 9% in 9M, primarily due to lower edible oil business, though oleochemicals continued double-digit growth with healthy margins.

    03

    Strategic Capacity Expansion and Operational Efficiency

    The company's IPO-funded Gohana integrated food facility, with an overall capital outlay of approximately INR 1,300 crores, commenced production for rice and mustard oil in January 2025. This facility, expected to be fully operational by Q1 next financial year, will significantly enhance processing capabilities (600 tons paddy/day, 500 tons rice/day) and improve logistics. Additionally, Adani Wilmar is expanding its pulses processing capacity with three new plants in Nagpur, Neemuch, and Kadi, each with a 240 metric tons/day capacity, aiming to become the largest chana processors in the country.

    04

    Distribution Expansion and Channel Strategy

    Adani Wilmar continues to focus on expanding its distribution network, aiming for 1 million direct coverage outlets by the end of FY27, up from over 8 lakh currently. Total reach exceeds 2.1 million outlets, with rural distribution expanding to over 40,000 towns. Alternate channels, including e-commerce and quick-commerce, showed robust growth of 41% and 81% respectively in Q3, contributing over INR 3,000 crores to trailing 12-month revenue. The HoReCa channel also grew to INR 600 crores in the last 12 months.

    05

    Market Dynamics and Pricing Challenges

    The edible oil market saw elevated prices for soya, sun, and palm, with palm oil being unusually costlier than sun and soya. This trend, coupled with high import duties imposed in September 2024, contributed to price volatility. Management noted that while prices corrected in late December, they remain higher year-on-year. The industry experienced subdued volume growth of 5% in Q3, with rural demand showing a stronger 8% growth compared to urban areas, which remain stretched.

    06

    Long-term Vision for Food & FMCG Segment

    Adani Wilmar targets an average growth rate of over 20% for its Food & FMCG business, aiming for INR 10,000 crores in revenue by FY27. The company plans to maintain the segment as EBITDA neutral until FY28, prioritizing market share and volume growth. Post-FY28, it targets EBITDA margins of approximately 10% for rice and 6-7% for wheat flour within 3-4 years. The strategy involves achieving a top 3, or even top 1-2, market position in each food category.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.