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    CEAT

    CEATLTD
    Automobile and Auto Components·29 Apr 2026
    Management Summary

    CEAT Limited reported a strong Q4 and FY26, with standalone revenue growing 18.2% YoY in Q4 and 15.5% for the full year, crossing ₹15,000 crores. Full-year standalone EBITDA improved by 214 basis points to ₹2,042 crores. However, the company anticipates a steep 15-20% increase in raw material costs in Q1 FY27, necessitating price hikes and leading to a moderated demand outlook due to geopolitical uncertainties and fuel prices. The CAMSO integration is progressing, with full value chain control expected by end of FY27.

    Highlights

    5
    • Standalone revenue grew 18.2% YoY in Q4 FY26 to ₹4,036 crores.

    • Full-year standalone revenue grew 15.5% to ₹15,215 crores, crossing ₹15,000 crores.

    • Full-year standalone EBITDA improved by 214 bps to ₹2,042 crores.

    • International Business saliency improved from 19% to 20.4% in Q4.

    • Dividend of 350% (₹35 per share) recommended for FY26.

    Concerns

    3
    • Raw material prices expected to increase by 15% in Q1 FY27, potentially reaching 20% by end of Q1.

    • Near-term demand outlook expected to moderate due to West Asia conflict and related fuel price expectations.

    • CAMSO business remains in a transition phase, with full value chain control expected by end of FY27 and sales ramp-up in H2 FY27.

    Key financials

    Metrics

    15

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    9
    • Standalone Revenue (FY)
      ₹15,215 Cr
      YoY+15.5%
    • Consolidated Revenue (FY)
      ₹15,678 Cr
    • Standalone EBITDA (FY)
      ₹2,042 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA (FY)
      ₹2,063 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin (FY)
      13.2%

    Q4

    6
    • Standalone Revenue
      ₹4,036 Cr
      YoY+18%
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹4,219 Cr
    • Standalone EBITDA
      ₹587 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA
      ₹598 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin
      14.2%

    Segment breakdown

    Overall Volume Growth (Q4 YoY)
    20% Volume Growth
    International Business Volume Growth (Q4 YoY)
    25% Volume Growth
    Replacement Volume Growth (Q4 YoY)
    17.5% Volume Growth
    OEM Volume Growth (Q4 YoY)
    17.5% Volume Growth
    List

    Capital allocation

    4
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹407 crores this quarter · ₹1,350 crores (FY27) planned

    Debt

    1.5x EBITDA

    Dividend

    ₹35/share (final)

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Balance sheet is strong enough to provide and continue to provide growth capital to the business.

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Raw Material Cost
    Raw material cost increase
    15%
    High
    Raw Material Cost
    Raw material cost increase (replacement cost)
    a little higher than 15%
    Medium
    Pricing
    Cumulative price increase (Replacement)
    10%
    High
    Pricing
    Cumulative price increase (International Business)
    ~8%
    Medium
    CAMSO Integration
    Customer interface control
    ~90%
    High
    CAMSO Integration
    Full value chain control (upstream equipment)
    Complete
    High
    CAMSO Growth
    Aftermarket growth
    Stabilize and grow faster
    Medium
    CAMSO Growth
    OEM growth
    Start coming
    Low
    Capex
    Capex (India, excluding CAMSO)
    ₹1,350 crores to ₹1,400 crores
    High
    Capex
    CAMSO upstream capex
    $30 million approximately
    High
    Debt
    Debt level
    Similar to previous 3 quarters
    High
    Volume
    Replacement demand MHCV
    High single digit
    High
    Volume
    Passenger car near-term growth
    Healthy single digit
    High
    Volume
    Truck Bus Radial Replacement Demand
    Single digit (may fall to low single digit)
    Medium
    Volume
    PCR Replacement Growth
    3-4% or 5% at best
    Medium
    Volume
    2-Wheeler Replacement Growth
    Single digit to high single digit
    High

    Raw Material Cost Realization

    Next quarter (Q1 FY27 results)
    Current15% expected increase in Q1 FY27
    TargetActual realized increase and its impact on margins

    Why it matters

    This is the primary headwind for margins, and its actual impact will determine profitability.

    So based on inventory that we are carrying and including both raw materials and finished goods, plus the raw materials that we have ordered, we feel that raw material cost increase in quarter 1 could be to the tune of 15%.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='EBITDA Margin']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Raw Material Price Inflation

    Steep raw material price hike of 15-20% expected in Q1 FY27, necessitating price increases.Management acknowledged

    high

    Geopolitical Uncertainties & Fuel Prices

    West Asia conflict and related fuel price expectations are clouding the broader demand environment and impacting Middle East sales.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Demand Moderation Post Price Hikes

    Expectation of some demand moderation in Q1 FY27 as the market experiences 5-10% price hikes.Management acknowledged

    medium

    CAMSO Transition Period

    CAMSO business is in a transition phase, with full value chain control and sales ramp-up expected over the next 4-6 quarters, incurring fixed costs during this period.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Working Capital Increase

    Increase in working capital due to accumulation of GST credit balances (₹120 crores) and higher export receivables.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So based on inventory that we are carrying and including both raw materials and finished goods, plus the raw materials that we have ordered, we feel that raw material cost increase in quarter 1 could be to the tune of 15%. But if we were to take a replacement cost of raw materials today, the number could be a little higher than 15%.”

    Directly addresses the significant raw material inflation expected in the next quarter and its potential impact on margins, indicating a challenging environment.

    asked by Siddhartha Bera

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q4 and FY26 Financial Performance

    CEAT Limited delivered a robust performance in Q4 and FY26. Standalone revenue grew 18.2% YoY in Q4 to ₹4,036 crores, and for the full year, it increased by 15.5% to ₹15,215 crores, marking the first time it crossed the ₹15,000 crore milestone. Full-year standalone EBITDA stood at ₹2,042 crores, reflecting a significant 214 basis points improvement over FY25, while consolidated EBITDA margin for Q4 was 14.2%.

    02

    Raw Material Inflation and Pricing Actions

    The company anticipates a steep increase in raw material costs, with Q1 FY27 expected to see a 15% rise, potentially reaching 20% by the end of the quarter. To mitigate this, CEAT plans a cumulative 10% price increase in the replacement market by June, with 5% already implemented between March and April, and the remaining 5% staggered through May and June. International business prices are also being raised by approximately 8% by the end of Q1 FY27 to offset rising input costs.

    03

    Demand Outlook and Segment Performance

    Near-term demand is expected to moderate due to geopolitical conflicts, fuel price expectations, and the impending price hikes. Despite this, MHCV replacement demand is projected to be in high single digits, and passenger car growth is expected to remain healthy single digit. 2-wheeler demand continues to be strong, with consumption levels surpassing pre-COVID levels, and is expected to maintain high single-digit growth in FY27. OEM segments, particularly MHCV and LCV, showed continued strength with robust growth in Q4.

    04

    CAMSO Integration and Transition Progress

    The CAMSO business is currently in a transition phase, with full control of the value chain, including upstream equipment, expected by March 2027. The company aims to take over 90% of the customer interface by September 2026. Aftermarket sales are expected to stabilize and grow in the second half of FY27, while OEM growth is anticipated to begin in FY28, following new product development and vehicle fitments.

    05

    Capital Expenditure and Debt Management

    CEAT spent ₹407 crores on capex in Q4 FY26, bringing the total for FY26 to ₹1,076 crores. For FY27, the company plans an India-specific capex of ₹1,350-1,400 crores, plus an additional $30 million for CAMSO's upstream facilities, with three-fourths of this spent in FY27. Consolidated debt stood at ₹3,011 crores, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.46 and debt to equity of 0.60, indicating a strong balance sheet capable of supporting growth.

    06

    International Business Growth and Premiumization Focus

    International business saliency improved from 19% to 20.4% in Q4 on a standalone basis, and over 23% including CAMSO, highlighting its margin-attractive nature. The company launched over 130 new off-highway SKUs and established overseas entities to build a permanent localized presence. CEAT continues its focus on premiumization, with 17-inch plus passenger vehicle sales and 250cc plus 2-wheeler sales reaching new highs, and new premium products launched in truck bus radial.

    07

    Working Capital and Other Income Dynamics

    Standalone working capital increased by ₹108 crores in Q4, primarily due to accumulated GST credit balances of approximately ₹120 crores in two states, and increased receivables from exports due to longer cycle times. The company is actively taking steps to return to a negative working capital position. The reported other income of ₹62.5 crores in Q4 was largely driven by non-recurring📎 currency-related gains and is not considered a sustainable run-rate.

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