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    Divi's Lab.

    DIVISLABMixed
    Healthcare·25 May 2024
    Management Summary

    Divi's ended FY24 with a strong Q4 (21% constant currency growth) despite flat full-year performance (-2% cc). CS crossed 51% of Q4 revenue for the first time, signaling the strategic mix shift. A major long-term CS supply agreement was signed involving ~₹650-700 crores of dedicated CAPEX. Generic pricing pressure persisted but volumes were maintained with new molecules like Ticagrelor and Lacosamide in the pipeline. Kakinada Phase 1 on track for Q3 FY25 start.

    Highlights

    8
    • Q4 FY24 total income ₹2,382 crores vs ₹2,017 crores YoY (+18%); constant currency growth 21%

    • Q4 PBT ₹713 crores; PAT ₹538 crores; material consumption at 39%

    • FY24 total income ₹8,184 crores; PBT ₹2,163 crores; PAT ₹1,600 crores; constant currency growth -2%

    • Q4 product mix: Generics 49%, CS 51%; FY24: Generics 55%, CS 45%

    • Nutraceutical business ₹188 crores for Q4 and ₹724 crores for FY24

    • Signed long-term supply agreement (~₹650-700 crores CAPEX) for CS project

    • Cash on books ₹3,980 crores; CWIP ₹778 crores; Kakinada commercialization expected Q3 FY25

    • Future generics pipeline: Ticagrelor, Lacosamide, Brivaracetam to contribute from FY26-27

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY25

    Tone shiftNeutral → MixedGuidance items1 → 2 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Q4

    3
    • Total Income
      ₹2,382 Cr
      YoY+18%
    • PBT
      ₹713 Cr
    • PAT
      ₹538 Cr

    FY24

    3
    • Total Income
      ₹8,184 Cr
    • PBT
      ₹2,163 Cr
    • PAT
      ₹1,600 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Generics
    49% Q4 Share55% FY24 Share
    Custom Synthesis
    51% Q4 Share45% FY24 Share
    Nutraceuticals
    ₹188 Cr Q4 Revenue₹724 Cr FY24 Revenue
    Geographic
    87% Export Share70% US+Europe
    List

    Guidance & targets

    2
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Kakinada
    Commercialization start
    Around Q3 FY25
    High
    Generics
    New molecules contributing
    Ticagrelor, Lacosamide, Brivaracetam from FY26-27
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    FY24 constant currency growth was -2% despite strong Q4

    Full year contraction reflects first three quarters of weak generic pricing and inventory destocking. Q4 recovery promising but sustainability uncertain.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Generic pricing pressure with no clear stabilization timeline

    Pricing constraints across regulated and non-regulated markets. Could take 1-2 years to normalize based on historical cycles.Both acknowledged

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(3)

    • CS project details
    • Kakinada Phase 2 plans
    • Product-specific revenue

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “It's very hard to say when this will stabilize. Sometimes it takes one year, sometimes it takes 2 years. This has happened in the past in the year 2009-10, so it's repeating again, but prices will stabilize over time”

    Honest assessment of pricing cycle uncertainty; historical parallel to 2009-10 suggests multi-year normalization possible

    asked by Neha Manpuria (Bank of America)

    1 min read3 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q4 Recovery After Weak FY24

    Q4 FY24 delivered 21% constant currency growth and CS mix of 51% against a full-year cc growth of -2%. The quarter marked an inflection point with custom synthesis momentum improving significantly. Material consumption at 39% was favorable. FY24 total income stood at ₹8,184 crores with ₹1,600 crores PAT. Cash position remained strong at ₹3,980 crores despite Kakinada investments.

    02

    Custom Synthesis Pipeline and Long-Term Agreements

    CS crossed 51% of Q4 revenue driven by increased customer engagement and RFP activity from China Plus One and regulatory trends. A major long-term supply agreement requiring ~₹650-700 crores dedicated CAPEX was signed, expected to contribute from FY27 timeline. Protected amino acids business for GLP-1 innovators continuing. Contrast media progressing through qualifications with multiple innovators.

    03

    Generic Business: Volume Stable, Pricing Under Pressure

    Core generics like Naproxen, Gabapentin maintained volumes with Naproxen seeing 1% market growth. Future generics pipeline includes Ticagrelor, Lacosamide, Brivaracetam expected to contribute from FY26-27. Industry-wide pricing deflation comparable to 2009-10 cycle. Management maintains volumes through process efficiency and leadership position but honest about uncertain pricing recovery timeline.

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