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    Federal Bank

    FEDERALBNK
    Financial Services·28 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Federal Bank reported a quarter of strategic reorientation, focusing on granular, quality growth and a more stable liability base. Despite a marginal drop in total deposits and a slight increase in slippages, the bank improved its LCR significantly and maintained its credit cost guidance. Management emphasized a shift towards fixed-rate loans and mid-yield segments, acknowledging short-term headwinds but expressing confidence in long-term value creation and asset quality.

    Highlights

    5
    • Average CASA grew by 2.3% this quarter, reflecting a strategic shift to quality and stability in the deposit base. (KVS Manian, Page 4)

    • LCR improved remarkably from 111% last quarter to 133% this quarter, indicating enhanced liquidity. (KVS Manian, Page 5)

    • Commercial Banking grew 5.65% quarter-on-quarter and 24.5% year-on-year, showing healthy momentum. (KVS Manian, Page 5)

    • The Bank successfully protected its P&L while implementing strategic measures, with the one-time impact of reorientation on PBT being 292 crores. (KVS Manian, Page 6)

    • Credit cost guidance for the full year remains at 40-45 basis points, despite accelerated provisioning, demonstrating confidence in asset quality. (Venkatraman V., Page 7)

    Concerns

    5
    • Total deposits marginally dropped from ₹266,563 crore to ₹264,829 crore, primarily due to a decline in end-of-period CASA and wholesale term deposits. (KVS Manian, Page 4)

    • Fresh slippages increased slightly from 428 Crores to 486 Crores compared to last quarter. (KVS Manian, Page 6)

    • MFI segment is experiencing a high level of stress, although the Bank's asset quality in this segment is better than the industry average. (Harsh Dugar, Page 8)

    • RBI guidelines may slightly impact growth in Gold Loans in the near future. (KVS Manian, Page 5, Harsh Dugar, Page 14)

    • Short-term headwinds are expected due to the strategic reorientation and transition to new approaches. (KVS Manian, Page 6, 13)

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items6 → 5 (-1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Total Deposits₹2.65L Cr-0.7%QoQ
    2. 02Average CASA Growth2.3%+2.3%QoQ
    3. 03Exit LCR133%+19.8%QoQ
    4. 04Fresh Slippages₹486 Cr+13.6%QoQ
    5. 05Write-offs₹496 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Commercial Banking
    5.7% QoQ Growth24.5% YoY Growth
    Business Banking
    13% YoY Growth
    Gold Loans
    30% YoY Growth
    LAP
    20% YoY Growth
    Auto Loans
    25% YoY Growth
    MFI
    100% QoQ Growth
    Unsecured Portfolio (Cards, MFI, Personal Loan)
    5% Share of Total Advances
    List

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Tier 1 Capital Ratio is 13.8%. LCR improved from 111% to 133% (exit LCR).

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Credit Cost
    Annualized Credit Cost
    40-45 basis points
    High
    Credit Cost
    Credit Cost Range
    40-45 bps
    High
    Loan Growth
    Loan Growth vs System
    1.5 times system growth
    Medium
    NIM
    Net Interest Margin
    Improve NIMs
    Low
    Unsecured Lending
    Unsecured Portfolio Growth
    Not expecting change
    High

    Credit Cost

    Next quarter (Q4 FY25)
    Current41 bps YTD annualized
    Target40-45 bps for full year FY25

    Why it matters

    To confirm the bank's ability to maintain its credit cost guidance despite accelerated provisioning and MFI stress.

    our guidance for the year continues to be 40 to 45 basis points.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Annualized Credit Cost']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    MFI segment stress

    High level of stress in MFI compared to the sector, though the bank's asset quality is better. Expect some pain in Q4 but improving thereafter.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of RBI guidelines on Gold Loans

    New RBI guidelines may slightly impact growth in Gold Loans, causing 1-2 quarters of disruption before stabilization.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Short-term headwinds from strategic reorientation

    Transitioning from one approach to another involves friction and short-term volume/revenue impacts.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Rate competitiveness in low-yield assets (e.g., home loans)

    Rate competitiveness remains a challenge for low-yield assets like home loans.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “reorientation is never complete, I think it's a process. We cannot expect it to be over in a month, but like I said, we will balance growth and reorientation all the time... The credit cost for YTD is 41 bps... the right offs are all basically fully provided accounts.”

    Clarifies that the strategic reorientation is an ongoing process, not a one-time event, and confirms the nature of the write-offs and credit cost guidance.

    asked by Mahrukh Adajania

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Reorientation and Granular Growth Philosophy

    Federal Bank has embarked on a strategic reorientation under its new MD & CEO, KVS Manian, focusing on 'granular growth' rather than high-value deposit-driven asset growth. This involves building a solid foundation for future growth by prioritizing quality, responsibility, and sustainability. The bank aims to achieve a 'triple A culture' of being astute, agile, and alert, with a detailed strategic plan reflecting collective aspirations. The reorientation is viewed as an ongoing process, not a quick fix, with the goal of balancing growth and strategic shifts.

    02

    Liability Side Focus and CASA Improvement

    A critical pillar of the reorientation is improving the liability base, with a shift in internal focus to Average CASA as a key metric. This quarter, Average CASA grew by 2.3%, with SA averages up 2.5% and CA averages up 1% quarter-on-quarter, despite an end-of-period CASA decline. Total deposits marginally dropped from ₹266,563 crore to ₹264,829 crore, attributed to a decline in end-of-period CA and a ₹4,000 crore reduction in wholesale term deposits (above ₹3 crore). The bank is actively de-risking its deposit base by reducing concentration from top 20 depositors by 33% and decreasing deposits from LCR unfriendly sectors by over ₹5,000 crore.

    03

    Asset Side Strategy and Portfolio Tweaks

    On the asset side, the bank is adopting a measured and calculated approach, not accelerating growth in unsecured lending due to credit cost environment. Instead, it's tweaking variables to enhance yields and optimize portfolio performance. Low-yield assets like home loans grew 9% YoY, while auto loans grew 25% YoY, with a strategic pivot from floating to fixed rates (80% fixed-rate disbursements this quarter). Commercial Banking grew 5.65% QoQ and 24.5% YoY, Business Banking grew 13% YoY, and Gold Loans increased over 30% YoY. The unsecured portfolio (cards, MFI, personal loans) constitutes about 5% of total advances.

    04

    Asset Quality and Provisioning Changes

    The bank has adopted a more robust provisioning framework for retail unsecured loans, aligning with industry best practices. This led to an accelerated provision of ₹292 crores this quarter, which, if not for this, would have resulted in record profits. Fresh slippages increased slightly from ₹428 crores to ₹486 crores, and ₹496 crore was written off, effectively reducing net advances. Despite these changes, the year-to-date annualized credit cost increased to 41 basis points, but the guidance for the full year remains at 40-45 basis points, with expectations for it to remain in this range going forward.

    05

    NIM and Profitability Outlook

    Despite a marginal increase in the cost of deposits, the bank maintained its NIMs due to proactive margin management efforts. The NIM improvement is influenced by average advances and liabilities. Management aims to improve NIMs in the medium term by focusing on granular growth, improving CASA, and pivoting towards mid-yield segments. While acknowledging that rate drops could impact NIM, the bank will adapt its strategy. The one-time📎 PBT impact of ₹292 crores from reorientation was highlighted, indicating underlying profitability strength.

    06

    Regulatory Impact and Unsecured Lending Caution

    The MFI segment is experiencing high stress, though the bank's asset quality in this area is better than the industry. The bank is not planning to aggressively grow unsecured segments in the short term, viewing it as 'wading into the storm.' New RBI guidelines for Gold Loans are causing disruption, with 1-2 quarters of impact expected before stabilization. The bank is compliant with all regulatory changes and is in discussion with RBI regarding smoothing out the gold loan process. The overall unsecured portfolio remains small, at about 5% of total advances.

    07

    Capital Adequacy and Future Growth

    The bank's Tier 1 Capital Ratio stands at 13.8%. Management indicated that the current year's profit and dividend decisions will contribute to capital adequacy, but no specific guidance on capital was provided for the immediate future. The improved LCR (133% exit) also reflects a stronger liquidity position, supporting future growth without immediate dilution concerns. The bank's strategy is to prepare for better growth by strengthening its foundation and processes.

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