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    Fedbank Financi.

    FEDFINAMixed
    Financial Services·23 Oct 2024
    Management Summary

    Fedbank Financial Services reported a busy Q2 FY25 with robust AUM growth driven by both mortgage and gold loans. Despite an 8% QoQ PAT degrowth, YoY growth remained strong at 12%. The company made significant investments in branch expansion and technology, leading to a higher cost-to-income ratio. Management acknowledged a challenging credit environment, particularly in small-ticket mortgages, and increased provisioning while maintaining strong asset quality metrics.

    Highlights

    8
    • AUM grew to ₹14,218 crores, a 7.8% QoQ growth.

    • PAT for Q2 FY25 was ₹64.55 crores, an 8% QoQ degrowth but 12% YoY growth.

    • Disbursements elevated at ₹38 billion, representing a 30% YoY growth.

    • Gold loan tonnage reached 10.7 tons, a 2.4 tons YoY increase.

    • Net Interest Income grew 6% QoQ and 28% YoY.

    • Cost-to-Income ratio increased from 55.4% in Q1 to 58.6% in Q2 due to growth investments.

    • Gross Stage 3 improved to 1.9%, but an additional ECL provision of ₹22 crores was taken.

    • Average blended interest cost reduced by 5 bps QoQ to 8.73%.

    Concerns

    1
    • Changing credit environment and stress in small-ticket mortgages

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY25

    Guidance items6 → 7 (+1)Risks discussed3 → 4 (+1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01AUM₹14,218 Cr+7.8%QoQ
    2. 02PAT₹64.55 Cr+12%YoY
    3. 03Interest Income₹479 Cr+28.0%YoY
    4. 04Net Interest Income+28.0%YoY
    5. 05Cost-to-Income Ratio58.6%

    Segment breakdown

    Mortgage Business
    9% Growth
    Gold Loans
    8.2% Growth10.7 tons Tonnage
    MSME Originations
    ₹1,200 Cr Originations
    Gold Loan Originations
    ₹2,610 Cr Originations
    List

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Profitability
    Credit Cost (ROA basis)
    90-100 bps
    Medium
    Profitability
    Credit Cost (ROA basis)
    100-110 bps
    Medium
    Profitability
    ROE
    2.4%
    Medium
    Capital
    PCR coverage
    at least 100 bps or a little more
    Medium
    Efficiency
    Cost as a percentage of AUM
    30 bps improvement
    Medium
    Branch Expansion
    Branch opening agenda
    done
    High
    Growth
    AUM Growth
    25%
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Changing credit environment and stress in small-ticket mortgages

    Management noted that the credit environment seems to have materially changed, especially for smaller-ticket mortgages, leading to increased provisioning.Management acknowledged

    high

    Elevated interest rates and funding squeeze

    Interest rates haven't declined as expected, and a funding squeeze from banks is making liabilities costly, impacting NIM.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Inflation impacting customer repayment capacity

    Inflation is hitting the informal business segment, reducing real incomes and making it difficult for customers to meet EMI payments.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Regulatory changes (RBI circulars)

    Several regulatory vicissitudes over the past six months require constant analysis and adherence, impacting business operations and potentially co-lending.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “So, I will tell you how we see it. You look at our provisioning. One of our core tenets is to take up the provisioning on the portfolio... The second is that we did achieve good outcomes in the quarter gone by. But that's the result of intensive activity on the field and the signals that we get is that people are finding it a little difficult to come up with their monthly EMIs as opposed to before.”

    Reveals management's proactive stance on asset quality and their forward-looking view of potential stress, even if current reported metrics appear stable.

    asked by Renish, ICICI

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q2 FY25 Performance Overview

    Fedbank Financial Services reported a robust Q2 FY25 with AUM reaching ₹14,218 crores, marking a 7.8% QoQ growth. Both mortgage and gold loan businesses contributed significantly, growing 9% and 8.2% respectively. Disbursements were strong at ₹38 billion, a 30% YoY increase. PAT for the quarter was ₹64.55 crores, an 8% QoQ decline from ₹70.2 crores in Q1, but a 12% YoY growth from ₹57.8 crores in Q2 FY24.

    02

    Asset Quality and Provisioning Strategy

    Despite improving 1+ DPD and 30+ DPD numbers, management took an additional ECL provision of ₹22 crores, increasing total ECL from ₹122 crores to ₹151 crores. This proactive measure reflects a cautious view of the changing credit environment, particularly stress observed in small-ticket mortgages. The gross stage 3 improved to 1.9%, and PCR coverage was increased by 250 basis points QoQ. Full-year credit cost guidance was revised upwards from ~80 bps to 90-100 bps, with Q3 and Q4 expected to be 100-110 bps on an ROA basis.

    03

    Investment in Growth and Operational Efficiency

    The company invested significantly in its future by adding 46 new branches in Q2, bringing the total to 665 across 18 states. This expansion, along with hiring 400 new employees, led to an increase in expenses by ₹18 crores QoQ and a rise in the cost-to-income ratio from 55.4% in Q1 to 58.6% in Q2. Management expects these investments to yield revenue benefits in coming quarters, eventually bringing the cost-to-income ratio back to Q1 levels.

    04

    Funding and Interest Rate Dynamics

    Fedbank successfully reduced its average blended interest cost by 5 bps QoQ to 8.73%, with incremental borrowing costs under 8.60%. Approximately 85% of borrowings are on floating rate benchmarks, with 40% linked to external benchmarks, positioning the company well for potential future interest rate declines. However, management noted that interest rates have remained elevated, and a funding squeeze in the NBFC sector is making liabilities costly, impacting margins.

    05

    Segment Performance and Strategic Focus

    The twin-engine strategy is working well, with gold loans performing handsomely and medium-ticket LAP originations increasing 50% QoQ, showing 130% YoY growth in that book. While small-ticket mortgage growth will be measured due to observed stress, the company aims for overall AUM growth of 25% (annualized 40% currently) for FY25, leveraging its diversified product suite. Co-lending volumes for gold loans were static due to regulatory adjustments, but new partnerships are in the pipeline.

    06

    Regulatory Environment and Rating Upgrade

    The company highlighted several regulatory changes over the past six months, emphasizing its full compliance with all regulations and informal feedback. Fedbank received a rating upgrade from CRISIL to AA+, aligning with its India Ratings and CARE ratings. This improved rating is expected to position the company favorably for long-term borrowings and bond offerings.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.