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    GRP

    GRPLTD
    Capital Goods·28 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    GRP Limited reported a strong 20% YoY growth in total income for both Q3 and 9M FY25, driven by increased volumes in both Reclaim and non-Reclaim businesses. Despite this, gross margins faced pressure due to elevated raw material prices and fixed customer pricing, leading to a 246 bps YoY decline in Q3. The company is progressing with its INR 250 crore capex plan for the tyre recycling ecosystem, with the first pyrolysis line expected to commence operations by Q4 FY25, and anticipates margin stabilization from Q4 FY25 due to pricing adjustments.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total income for Q3 FY25 was INR 1,327 million, reflecting a 20% YoY growth.

    • Total income for 9M FY25 was INR 3,912 million, reflecting a 20% YoY growth.

    • EBITDA for Q3 FY25 increased 20% YoY to INR 130 million.

    • EBITDA for 9M FY25 increased 22% YoY to INR 363 million.

    • The non-Reclaim business saw a 24% increase in volume, contributing to overall growth.

    Concerns

    4
    • Gross margin for Q3 FY25 declined 246 bps YoY to 53.1%, primarily due to elevated raw material prices.

    • Gross margin for 9M FY25 declined 153 bps YoY to 52.3%.

    • Subsidiaries (GRP Circular Solutions Limited and GSPL) incurred a loss of INR 43 million on a revenue of INR 210 million for YTD FY25.

    • EBITDA margin for Q3 FY25 saw a slight decline of 7 bps YoY to 9.8%.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items9 → 6 (-3)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    12

    Periods

    2

    Q3 FY25

    6
    • Total Income
      1,327 Mn
      YoY+20%
    • Gross Profit
      704 Mn
      YoY+15%
    • Gross Margin
      53.1%
      YoY-2.5%
    • EBITDA
      130 Mn
      YoY+20%
    • EBITDA Margin
      9.8%
      YoY-0.1%

    9M FY25

    6
    • Total Income
      3,912 Mn
      YoY+20%
    • Gross Profit
      2,044 Mn
      YoY+17%
    • Gross Margin
      52.3%
      YoY-1.5%
    • EBITDA
      363 Mn
      YoY+22%
    • EBITDA Margin
      9.3%
      YoY+0.2%

    Segment breakdown

    Reclaim Rubber Volumes
    9% 9M FY25 Volume Growth
    Non-Reclaim Business Volumes
    24% Volume Growth
    EPR Credits
    121 Mn Income YTD FY25180 Mn Stock Value as of Dec 2024
    Subsidiaries (GRP Circular Solutions Limited and GSPL)
    210 Mn Revenue YTD FY2543 Mn Loss YTD FY25
    List

    Order Book

    low confidence

    "The company reported volume growth in both Reclaim (9% for 9M FY25) and non-Reclaim (24% for Q3 FY25) businesses, driven by increased adoption of Reclaim Rubber and strategic initiatives in the non-Reclaim segment. While no traditional 'order book' was quantified, management discussed demand trends and approvals for new products."

    Source:
    Inferred

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹33 crores this quarter · ₹250 crores (ongoing) planned

    Line of credit from French DFI Proparco and additional INR 150 crores through Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP)

    Debt

    Gross ₹125 crores · 0.7x EBITDA

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Margin
    Consolidated EBITDA Margin
    mid-teens to high-teen
    Medium
    Margin
    Rubber Recycling Business EBITDA Margin
    mid- to high-teen
    Medium
    Margin
    New Pyrolysis Business (GE) EBITDA Margin
    12% to 14%
    High
    Margin
    Core Business Gross Margins
    stabilize and return to normal levels
    Medium
    Profitability
    Subsidiary Profitability
    not continue to bleed or make losses
    Medium
    Operations
    Pyrolysis Line Commencement
    start operating
    High

    Subsidiary Profitability Turnaround

    Post March/April 2025
    CurrentIncurred loss of INR 43 million YTD FY25
    TargetNot bleeding/making profits

    Why it matters

    Cessation of losses will significantly improve consolidated profitability and validate the new business segment.

    As we expect that the demand will shoot up post March, April of this year once the regulation kicks in, the utilizations will improve, and therefore, the business will not continue to bleed or make losses.

    How to verify

    key_financials.segment_breakdown[name='Subsidiaries'].metrics[label='Loss YTD FY25']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Gross Margin Compression due to Raw Material Prices and Fixed Pricing

    Elevated raw material prices for some reclaim grades, combined with fixed customer pricing, impacted gross margins in Q3 FY25, though recovery is expected from Q4 FY25.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Subsidiary Operating Losses

    The repurpose polyolefins business is currently operating at suboptimal capacity, leading to losses, but a turnaround is expected post April 1, 2025, with new regulations.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Subdued Global Demand for Tyres

    Despite subdued global demand for tyres, the company achieved volume growth, indicating resilience.Management acknowledged

    low

    Delay in Formal Approvals for New Products

    Formal approvals for higher-grade reclaim rubber and TPO from major tyre/carbon black companies are pending commercial scale plant operations, impacting current utilization.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “As recorded, as far as December is concerned, there is always a backlog in generating the credits. But by and large, that is the stock of credits that was available on the portal at the time. ... It includes everything sold so far in the year, up to December 2025.”

    Clarifies the current value and recognition period for EPR credits, a new revenue stream for the company.

    asked by Dikshi Jain

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance Overview

    GRP Limited reported a robust 20% year-on-year growth in total income for Q3 FY25, reaching INR 1,327 million, and a similar 20% growth for the nine-month period to INR 3,912 million. EBITDA for Q3 FY25 also increased by 20% to INR 130 million, with a 22% rise for 9M FY25 to INR 363 million. However, gross margins experienced pressure, declining 246 basis points YoY in Q3 FY25 to 53.1%, primarily due to elevated raw material costs and fixed customer pricing.

    02

    Reclaim Rubber Business Dynamics

    The Reclaim Rubber business saw a 9% increase in volumes for the nine-month period, contributing to the overall 12% volume growth. This growth was achieved despite subdued global demand for tyres, indicating increased adoption of Reclaim Rubber in both tyre and non-tyre segments. While natural rubber prices remained high, they moderated slightly, but are expected to stay elevated in forthcoming quarters.

    03

    Non-Reclaim Business and Subsidiary Performance

    The non-Reclaim business demonstrated strong performance with a 24% increase in volume, though it was somewhat constrained by the Diwali festive season. The company's subsidiary, GRP Circular Solutions Limited, and GSPL, generated INR 210 million in revenue but incurred a loss of INR 43 million for YTD FY25. Management expects the subsidiary to cease bleeding and improve profitability post April 1, 2025, driven by new regulations on circularity.

    04

    EPR Credits and Revenue Recognition

    GRP recorded an income of INR 121 million from EPR credits for YTD FY25. As of December 2024, the stock of EPR credits is valued at approximately INR 180 million, calculated at the minimum support price adjusted for transaction costs. The company plans to execute sales of these credits at appropriate times, acknowledging that the timing and value can fluctuate.

    05

    Operational Efficiencies and Sustainability Initiatives

    The company has achieved operational efficiencies through automation, reducing employee costs from 12.5% to 11.2% during the quarter. Significant savings of INR 0.5 crores from renewable power and INR 2.5 crores from switching to biofuel sources were realized. These initiatives not only mitigate rising power tariffs but also contribute to reducing GHG emissions, aligning with the company's broader vision for sustainable growth.

    06

    Capex and Funding for Tyre Recycling Ecosystem

    GRP's announced capex plan of INR 250 crores for expanding the tyre recycling ecosystem is progressing, with approximately INR 33 crores already incurred. The company expects to receive proceeds from a line of credit from French DFI Proparco in the current quarter and has secured shareholder approval for an additional INR 150 crores through a Qualified Institutional Placement. The first line of crumb rubber and the continuous pyrolysis line are on track to commence operations by Q4 FY25.

    07

    Future Outlook and Margin Expectations

    Management anticipates gross margins to stabilize and return to normal levels from Q4 FY25, following pricing adjustments effective January 1, 2025. Consolidated EBITDA margins are projected to move towards mid-teens and potentially high-teens, while the new pyrolysis business is expected to generate 12-14% EBITDA margins. The company remains committed to its long-term growth strategy, leveraging new technologies and investments in new businesses within the circular economy.

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