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    HFCL

    HFCLGood
    Telecommunication·17 Oct 2025
    Management Summary

    HFCL reported a strong rebound in Q2 FY26, with significant improvements in EBITDA and PAT margins, driven by improved fiber optic cable realizations and rectifying chipset supply issues. The company is aggressively expanding its OFC and high fibre count cable capacities, targeting global markets and hyperscalers. The defense segment is emerging as a key growth driver with substantial order pipeline and ambitious revenue targets, supported by new product developments and a dedicated manufacturing complex.

    Highlights

    8
    • Revenue for Q2 FY26 stood at ₹1043.34 crores, a 19.78% QoQ increase but a 4.59% YoY decline.

    • EBITDA surged to ₹203.37 crores in Q2 FY26, with an EBITDA margin of 19.49%, significantly up from 4.93% in Q1 FY26.

    • PAT was ₹71.92 crores in Q2 FY26, recovering from a loss of ₹29.30 crores in Q1 FY26, with a PAT margin of 6.89%.

    • The company maintains its 20% revenue growth guidance for FY26.

    • Total OFC capacity is set to reach 42.36 million fkm per annum by June 2026, with high fibre count cable capacity expanding to 19.01 million fkm p.a.

    • Secured export orders exceeding ₹650 crores for OFC in H1 FY26, to be executed by April 2026.

    • Defense business is projected to generate over ₹200 crores in the current year, exceeding ₹500 crores next year, and reaching four figures in the year after.

    • Order book as of September 30, 2025, was ₹9981 crores, a 4.76% QoQ decrease.

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY26

    Guidance items16 → 19 (+3)Risks discussed3 → 4 (+1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Revenue₹1,043.34 Cr-4.6%YoY
    2. 02EBITDA₹203.37 Cr+18.4%YoY
    3. 03EBITDA Margin19.5%
    4. 04PAT₹71.92 Cr-1.9%YoY
    5. 05PAT Margin6.9%

    Segment breakdown

    Telecom Products
    51.4% Revenue Share
    List

    Guidance & targets

    19
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Overall Revenue Growth
    20%
    High
    Capacity
    Total OFC Capacity
    42.36 million fkm per annum
    High
    Capacity
    High Fibre Count Cable Manufacturing Capacity
    19.01 million fkm p.a.
    High
    Defense Revenue
    Defense Revenue (Current Year)
    ~INR200+ crores
    Medium
    Defense Revenue
    Defense Revenue (Next Year)
    exceed INR500 crores
    Medium
    Defense Revenue
    Defense Revenue (Year after Next)
    4 figures (crores)
    Medium
    Defense Revenue
    Hosur Facility Annual Revenue Capability
    INR400-500 crores
    High
    Profitability
    Defense Net Margin
    15%
    Medium
    Profitability
    EBITDA Margin
    18-20%
    Medium
    Passive Connectivity Solutions Revenue
    Passive Connectivity Solutions Revenue (Current Year)
    ~INR400 crores
    Medium
    Passive Connectivity Solutions Revenue
    Passive Connectivity Solutions Revenue (Next Financial Year)
    4 figures (crores)
    Medium
    O&M Business
    O&M Contracts Contribution
    major contribution
    Medium
    O&M Business
    O&M Margin
    20%
    Medium
    Working Capital
    EPC Working Capital Cycle
    180 days
    High
    Receivables
    NFS Receivables Mitigation
    INR400 crores
    High
    Debt
    Debt-Equity Ratio
    0.35
    High
    Defense Capex
    Hosur Facility Additional Capex
    INR50 crores
    High
    UBR Development
    UBR Point-to-Multipoint Development
    20-30 subscribers per base station
    Medium
    PCS Revenue
    Total PCS Revenue (Next Year)
    INR900 to INR1,000 crores
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    6
    RiskSeverity

    Chipset supply issues impacting 5G product revenue

    5G product revenue was lower in Q2 FY26 due to supply problems from a major chipset vendor, though this issue has been rectified.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Payment delays from state government authorities for EPC projects

    Projects like UP Jal Nigam faced execution slowdowns due to non-payment from state governments, though funds are expected to be released.Management acknowledged

    medium

    5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) product pricing needs to decrease for higher demand

    While demand exists for FWA, current prices and ARPU make it less economically viable for operators, who are looking for price reductions of $20-30.Management acknowledged

    low

    Initial problems and delays in new defense product development and trials

    Developing new defense products locally for the first time involves a learning curve, trials, and potential initial problems, leading to delays (e.g., fuze trials).Management acknowledged

    low

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • specific details on US tariff mitigation methodology
    • exact effective tariff rate

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “impact of U.S. tariff, this is something,- can anybody predict what is going to be tomorrow? Not even Government of India can predict what Mr. Trump will come out with something else tomorrow. But anyway, having said that, we have been able to minimise tariff impact on HFCL. I don't want to go into that detail, but we have been able to minimise through completely legal procedures.”

    The analyst pressed for details on effective tariff rates and mitigation, but management declined to provide specifics, citing confidentiality, which leaves some uncertainty for investors.

    asked by Abhishek Jain

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q2 FY26 Performance and Margin Recovery

    HFCL demonstrated a robust financial recovery in Q2 FY26, with revenue reaching ₹1043.34 crores, a significant increase from the previous quarter. EBITDA saw a substantial jump to ₹203.37 crores, leading to an EBITDA margin of 19.49%, a sharp improvement from Q1 FY26's 4.93%. Net profit turned positive at ₹71.92 crores, reversing a loss of ₹29.30 crores in the prior quarter. This strong performance is attributed to improved fiber optic cable realizations and the resolution of chipset supply issues that impacted earlier quarters.

    02

    Aggressive Capacity Expansion in Optical Fibre and Cables

    The company is undertaking a transformative capacity expansion, aiming to increase its high fibre count cable manufacturing capacity from 1.73 million fkm p.a. to 19.01 million fkm p.a. by June 2026. Upon completion, HFCL's total OFC capacity will reach 42.36 million fkm per annum, positioning it among top global manufacturers. This expansion is driven by surging global demand from hyperscalers and data center operators, with current optical fibre capacity already at 28 million fkm p.a. and running at full utilization.

    03

    Defense Segment Emerges as Key Growth Driver

    HFCL is making significant strides in the defense sector, securing a ₹101.82 crore contract from the Indian Army for Tactical Optical Fiber Cable and an approximately ₹50 crore order for Thermal Weapon Sights. The company projects defense revenue to exceed ₹200 crores in the current year, grow beyond ₹500 crores next year, and reach four figures in the subsequent year. Electronic fuzes are in final trial stages, expected to complete by November, and a 1000-acre land parcel has been sanctioned in Andhra Pradesh for a defense manufacturing complex.

    04

    Global Market Expansion and OFC Pricing Trends

    HFCL has strengthened its global footprint, securing export orders exceeding ₹650 crores for OFC in H1 FY26, to be executed by April 2026. Management noted an improvement in fiber optic cable realization by approximately INR100 per kilometre. The demand for high-fiber-count cables, particularly for data centers and telcos, is very strong, leading to buyers seeking 3-year capacity commitments and an expectation of further price increases in the coming months.

    05

    Strategic Focus and Debt Management

    The company is sharpening its focus on core strengths by divesting its 15.19% stake in Nivetti Systems Private Limited for ₹52.51 crores. Management reiterated its commitment to maintaining a 20% revenue growth for FY26 and an EBITDA margin in the 18-20% range. The debt-equity ratio stands at a low 0.35, and efforts are underway to reduce interest costs by mitigating ₹400 crores in NFS receivables by mid-next financial year.

    06

    Challenges and Opportunities in Telecom Products

    While 5G product revenue was impacted by chipset supply issues in Q2 FY26, these have been resolved, and an improvement is expected. The company is developing advanced passive connectivity solutions for hyperscale data centers, with revenue from these solutions (including telecom) expected to reach ₹400 crores this year and four figures next year. Development of UBR point-to-multipoint solutions is progressing, aiming for 20-30 subscribers per base station within a month.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.