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    Jindal Steel

    JINDALSTEL
    Metals & Mining·13 Aug 2025
    Management Summary

    Jindal Steel reported a strong Q1 FY26 with significant improvements in profitability metrics, including a 35% QoQ rise in adjusted EBITDA per tonne and a 36% QoQ increase in PAT. This was driven by lower input costs, particularly a $11 per tonne reduction in coking coal costs, and higher ASP. Despite a 10% QoQ decline in sales volume due to seasonal factors and an increase in net debt, the company remains committed to its FY26 guidance and strategic project timelines, including the commissioning of Blast Furnace-2 in Q2 FY26.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA stood at ₹2,984 crores.

    • Adjusted EBITDA per tonne was ₹15,680, marking a 35% increase QoQ.

    • Consolidated PAT reached ₹1,496 crores, 36% higher than the adjusted PAT QoQ.

    • Coking coal cost reduced by $11 per tonne, aligning with the guidance of $10-15 per tonne saving.

    • Successfully commissioned the first 0.2 million tonnes continuous galvanizing line at Angul.

    Concerns

    3
    • Sales volume declined 10% QoQ to 1.90 million tonnes due to seasonal weakness and early monsoon.

    • Net debt increased by ₹2,443 crores QoQ to ₹14,400 crores, primarily due to working capital build-up.

    • Domestic steel prices are currently lower by 5-7% compared to Q1.

    What Changed2

    vs Q2 FY26

    Guidance items8 → 13 (+5)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    08 metrics
    1. 01Production Volume2.09 MT-1%QoQ
    2. 02Sales Volume1.9 MT-10%QoQ
    3. 03Consolidated Gross Revenue₹14,336 Cr-8%QoQ
    4. 04Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA₹2,984 Cr
    5. 05Adjusted EBITDA per tonne₹15,680+35%QoQ

    Segment breakdown

    Product Mix
    44% Flats Share of Sales56% Longs Share of Sales3% Auto Share of Sales72% Value-added Sales Growth
    List

    Capital allocation

    4
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹2,226 crores this quarter · ₹7,500 crores (FY26) planned

    Debt

    Net ₹14,400 crores · 1.5x EBITDA

    M&A

    Roida-I iron ore and manganese block

    acquisition · closed

    M&A

    Saradhapur Jalatap coal block

    acquisition · announced

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Production and Sales Volume
    8.5-9 million tonnes
    High
    Cost
    Coking Coal Consumption Cost
    lower by ~$5 per tonne
    High
    Project Commissioning
    Blast Furnace-2 (BF-2) Commissioning
    Q2 FY26 (first hot metal this month)
    High
    Project Commissioning
    Basic Oxygen Furnace-2 (BOF-2) Commissioning
    very close to BF-2 commissioning
    Medium
    Project Commissioning
    Slurry Pipeline Commissioning
    during the current fiscal year
    High
    Project Commissioning
    Color Coating Line Commissioning
    by end of Q3 FY26
    High
    Project Commissioning
    Two more lines (Galvanizing and Color Coating #2)
    by Q4 FY26
    High
    Project Commissioning
    Blast Furnace-3 (BF-3) Commissioning
    Q4 FY26
    High
    Project Commissioning
    DRI-2 Commissioning
    FY27
    High
    Project Commissioning
    Pellet Plant-2 Commissioning
    FY27
    High
    Mining
    Utkal B1 Coal Mine
    on track this quarter
    High
    Mining
    Roida-I Iron Ore Extraction
    ~1.6 million tonnes
    High
    Capex
    Annual Capex
    ₹7,500-10,000 crores
    High

    Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio

    next quarter
    Current1.49x
    TargetBelow 1.5x

    Why it matters

    Management committed to not breaching 1.5x, and Q1 increase was attributed to working capital build-up expected to liquidate in Q2.

    Accordingly, net debt to EBITDA stood at 1.49x at the end of the quarter. We reiterate our commitment to cap the net debt to EBITDA at 1.5x... I think the stress is behind us now.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.debt.net_debt_to_ebitda

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Weak Domestic Demand

    Weak domestic demand contributed to HRC price correction after initial support from safeguard duty.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Early Monsoon Onset

    Early onset of monsoon impacted Q1 sales volume and TMT prices.Management acknowledged

    low

    Global Steel Price Impact from Chinese Exports

    Chinese steel production outpaces domestic demand, leading to elevated exports (116 million tonnes annualized) impacting global prices.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “Sales volume was certainly impacted by 10%, but that happened because of the early onset of monsoon. Also had an inventory buildup, which certainly will get liquidated over the entire course of the year. As far as guidance towards the production and sales, for the balance of the year and for the full financial year, we remain on course, and we remain committed to those numbers.”

    Analyst questioned the validity of full-year volume guidance given Q1 decline, and management reaffirmed commitment.

    asked by Rajesh Ravi

    3 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Profitability Despite Volume Headwinds

    Jindal Steel reported a robust Q1 FY26 in terms of profitability, with Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA reaching ₹2,984 crores and Adjusted EBITDA per tonne increasing by 35% QoQ to ₹15,680. Consolidated PAT also saw a significant rise of 36% QoQ to ₹1,496 crores. This strong performance was primarily driven by higher average selling prices (ASP) and effective cost management, including a notable $11 per tonne reduction in coking coal costs. However, sales volume for the quarter declined by 10% QoQ to 1.90 million tonnes, and production was marginally down by 1% QoQ to 2.09 million tonnes, attributed to seasonal weakness and the early onset of monsoon.

    02

    Strategic Project Commissioning Underway

    The company is making significant progress on its strategic expansion projects. The first 0.2 million tonnes continuous galvanizing line at Angul has been successfully commissioned. Commissioning activities for Blast Furnace-2 (BF-2) have begun, with the first hot metal expected in August 2025, placing its full commissioning in Q2 FY26. Basic Oxygen Furnace-2 (BOF-2) is also expected to start very close to BF-2. The Slurry Pipeline is targeted for commissioning within the current fiscal year, and a new color coating line is anticipated by the end of Q3 FY26, with two more lines (galvanizing and color coating #2) by Q4 FY26.

    03

    Debt Management and Capital Expenditure

    Consolidated net debt as of June 30, 2025, stood at ₹14,400 crores, an increase of ₹2,443 crores QoQ, mainly due to working capital build-up. The net debt to EBITDA ratio was 1.49x, which management reiterated is at the top of their self-imposed 1.5x limit and will not be breached, expecting inventory liquidation in Q2 to improve cash position. Total CAPEX for Q1 FY26 was ₹2,226 crores. The company has a total announced CAPEX of ₹47,043 crores, with ₹28,150 crores spent till June 30, 2025, and an annual CAPEX plan of ₹7,500-10,000 crores for FY26.

    04

    Raw Material Security and Mining Assets

    Jindal Steel is enhancing its raw material security through strategic mining acquisitions. The company won the Roida-I iron ore and manganese block in Odisha, with an EC capacity of 3 million tonnes per annum and estimated reserves of 126 million tonnes, planning to extract around 1.6 million tonnes in FY26. Additionally, the Saradhapur Jalatap coal block, with a geological reserve of 3.2 billion tonnes, was recently won and is undergoing exploration. The existing Utkal B1 coal mine is on track to meet the company's coal requirements from its own mines this fiscal year, with 90-95% of Q1 thermal coal coming from captive sources.

    05

    Market Outlook and Demand Revival

    The domestic steel market experienced some softness in Q1, with HRC prices correcting due to weak demand and TMT prices drifting down with the early monsoon. However, management noted that Chinese HRC imports have practically stopped due to the provisional 12% safeguard duty and improved Chinese prices. Looking ahead, early indicators suggest a possibility of a market turnaround, with strong demand revival signs already visible in August from the construction, yellow goods, and construction equipment sectors. Management expects inventory to ease in Q2 and anticipates good demand quarters ahead.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.