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    KRN Heat Exchan

    KRNGood
    Capital Goods·3 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration Limited reported strong Q3 FY25 results with significant year-on-year growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit, driven by increased demand and initial contributions from its HVAC subsidiary. The company is undertaking a major INR 300 crores+ capacity expansion in Neemrana, targeting a 5x to 6x increase in peak revenue by FY28, with sample production starting in April 2025 and mass production in the second half of next year. While gross margins saw a temporary dip due to increased employee costs for new facility training and raw material price increases, management expects to pass on costs and improve margins post-stabilization.

    Highlights

    8
    • Q3 FY25 Revenue of ₹116.36 crores, up 73.67% YoY.

    • Q3 FY25 EBITDA of ₹15.81 crores, up 34.76% YoY.

    • Q3 FY25 Net Profit of ₹13.73 crores, up 74.44% YoY.

    • 9M FY25 Total Income of ₹305.88 crores, up 32.96% YoY.

    • 9M FY25 Net Profit of ₹38.01 crores, up 39.02% YoY.

    • INR 300 crores+ capacity expansion underway, targeting 5x to 6x peak revenue.

    • Sample production for new facility to begin in April 2025, with mass production in H2 FY26.

    • Exports grew from 9.57% to 14.68% of revenue, with a target to exceed 50% shortly.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items10 → 13 (+3)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    5

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    3
    • Revenue
      ₹116.36 Cr
      YoY+73.7%
    • EBITDA
      ₹15.81 Cr
      YoY+34.8%
    • Net Profit
      ₹13.73 Cr
      YoY+74.4%

    9M FY25

    2
    • Total Income
      ₹305.88 Cr
      YoY+33.0%
    • Net Profit
      ₹38.01 Cr
      YoY+39.0%

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    Peak Revenue Multiple
    5x to 6x of current level
    High
    Capacity
    Capacity Increase Multiple
    6-fold
    High
    Capacity
    Production Volume Increase Multiple
    6X
    High
    Production
    Sample Production Start
    April 2025
    High
    Production
    Mass Production Start (New Facility)
    second half of next year
    High
    Revenue
    MOU with Rajasthan Government
    1000 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Q4 FY25 Revenue Growth
    5%-10%
    Medium
    Revenue
    Revenue Multiple (from FY25 end)
    5 times
    High
    Export Mix
    Export Contribution to Top Line
    more than 50%
    Medium
    Profitability
    Gross Margin Improvement (on existing)
    1% to 2%
    Medium
    Profitability
    Margin Increase (overall)
    slightly increase
    Medium
    Government Incentives
    RIPS Incentive
    1.4% to 1.6% of the top line
    High
    Government Incentives
    PLI Incentive
    6% to 4%
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    6
    RiskSeverity

    Temporary Margin Pressure

    Due to increased employee costs for new facility training (150 new hires) and raw material price increases (China subsidy removal), expected to last 4-5 months.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Execution Delays for New Facility Mass Production

    While sample production starts April 2025, mass production for the new 6x capacity facility is only expected in the 'second half of next year' (H2 FY26), implying a longer ramp-up.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Capacity Constraint for New Customers/Export Demand

    Existing capacity is almost full, leading to an inability to supply new customers and meet all export demand, which the new facility aims to address.Management acknowledged

    low

    Areas of Evasion(3)

    • Specific revenue guidance for FY25/FY26
    • Exact percentage of data center revenue
    • Detailed breakdown of new product capacity vs existing product capacity

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “First is like our employee cost is increased because now we have almost 850 people against last quarter it was 700. So, because now we hired 150 manpower for our new like facility. So, they are under training... And secondly, some impact on the -- for one month for raw material because earlier China giving subsidy almost 13%... from 1st January we already passed this impact to our customer...”

    Directly addresses a key financial concern (margin compression) with specific reasons and a timeline for recovery, indicating temporary nature.

    asked by Rucheeta Kadge

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q3 FY25 Performance and 9M Growth

    KRN Heat Exchanger reported robust financial results for Q3 FY25, with revenue reaching INR 116.36 crores, marking a substantial 73.67% year-on-year increase. EBITDA grew by 34.76% to INR 15.81 crores, and net profit surged by 74.44% to INR 13.73 crores. For the nine months ended December 31, 2024, total income stood at INR 305.88 crores, up 32.96% YoY, with net profit increasing by 39.02% to INR 38.01 crores, reflecting strong execution and demand.

    02

    Transformational Capacity Expansion Underway

    The company is progressing with a transformational capacity expansion in Neemrana, Rajasthan, involving an investment of over INR 300 crores through its subsidiary, KRN HVAC Products Pvt. Ltd. This expansion is expected to result in a 6-fold increase in capacity and generate peak revenue 5x to 6x of the current level. Civil work is nearly complete, machinery trials are underway, and sample production is slated to begin in April 2025, with mass production anticipated in the second half of next year.

    03

    Strategic Diversification and Export Focus

    KRN is strategically expanding into high-growth sectors such as railway, electrification, heavy earth movers, and industrial cooling, alongside its core HVAC and refrigeration business. The company is also entering the bar and plate heat exchanger market, with its facility 'almost ready for production' and proto orders received. Exports have shown steady growth, increasing from 9.57% to 14.68% of total revenue, with a future target to exceed 50% shortly, driven by expansion into Europe and North America and favorable trade policies.

    04

    Temporary Margin Pressure and Recovery Outlook

    Gross margins experienced a temporary dip in Q3 FY25, primarily due to a 150-person increase in employee headcount for new facility training and the withdrawal of a 13% subsidy by the Chinese government on copper and aluminum, impacting raw material costs for one month. Management stated that raw material price increases have been passed on to customers from January 1, 2025, and the impact from employee costs is expected to normalize within the next 4-5 months as mass production commences.

    05

    Government Incentives and Market Opportunities

    KRN is set to benefit from government incentives, including the Rajasthan Investment Promotion Scheme (RIPS) 2024, which offers 1.4% to 1.6% of the top line as an incentive for 10 years, and a potential PLI scheme offering 6% to 4% on the top line for the next 3-5 years. The company also highlighted a competitive advantage in North America due to the USA imposing a 25% duty on imports from Mexico, making KRN's products more competitive for US customers.

    06

    Customer Acquisition and Order Book Strategy

    The company maintains a 'rolling type' order book, with forecasts for 2 months and purchase orders for 1 month, ensuring continuous supply based on customer requirements. KRN is actively adding new customers, with existing clients showing 20-30% growth and data center demand growing over 30%. The new capacity is crucial for onboarding new domestic and export customers, some of whom represent annual requirements of over INR 100 crores.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.