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    Lloyds Metals

    LLOYDSME
    Metals & Mining·29 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Lloyds Metals reported a strong Q3 FY25 with 11% YoY revenue growth and 31% YoY EBITDA growth for 9M FY25, driven by robust iron ore and sponge iron volumes and improved iron ore realizations. The company is progressing well on its expansion projects, including the Ghugus DRI and pellet plant nearing completion, and has spent INR 2,700 crores on capex in 9M FY25. While market volatility in sponge iron and muted power prices impacted some segments, the company remains focused on cost efficiency and strategic integration, with the Thriveni MDO business expected to contribute from April 2025.

    Highlights

    7
    • Sponge iron division recorded highest ever production during the 9-month period, operating at optimum capacity utilization.

    • Iron ore dispatches stood at 7.8 million tons for 9M FY25 and 2.4 million tons for Q3 FY25.

    • Revenue grew by 11% year-on-year in 9M FY25, supported by robust iron ore and sponge iron volume.

    • EBITDA grew by a robust 31% year-on-year in 9M FY25, mirroring revenue performance.

    • Iron ore realizations per ton improved by 8% year-on-year in Q3 FY25 to INR 5,894 and by 10% year-on-year for 9M FY25 to INR 5,718.

    • Iron ore EBITDA per ton for Q3 FY25 was INR 2,021, marking a 21% year-on-year increase.

    • Capex of INR 2,700 crores in 9M FY25 and a total of INR 4,400 crores till date.

    Concerns

    4
    • Market conditions for sponge iron continue to be volatile.

    • Muted power prices in Q3 FY25 had an impact on the EBITDA of the power segment.

    • DRI realizations were muted in Q3 FY25.

    • The public hearing process for EC approval for 25 million tons mining is expected to take 60 to 70 days.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items15 → 11 (-4)Risks discussed3 → 4 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    4

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    3
    • Revenue Growth
      11%
    • EBITDA Growth
      31%
    • Total Capex Till Date
      ₹4,400 Cr

    9M

    1
    • FY25 Capex
      ₹2,700 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Iron Ore
    7.8 Mn Dispatches (9M FY25)2.4 Mn Dispatches (Q3 FY25)5,894 INR Realization/ton (Q3 FY25)5,718 INR Realization/ton (9M FY25)2,021 INR EBITDA/ton (Q3 FY25)1,860 INR EBITDA/ton (9M FY25)
    DRI
    78,000 tons Production (Q3 FY25)2,39,000 tons Production (9M FY25)muted qualitative Realizations
    Power
    flat yoy Volumesmuted power prices qualitative EBITDA Impact
    List

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹5,000 crores

    M&A

    Thriveni MDO business

    acquisition · pending regulatory

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Iron Ore Mining/Dispatch Volume
    25 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Iron Ore Mining Volume
    10 million tons
    High
    EC Approval
    EC Approval for 25 MT Mining
    60 to 70 days
    Medium
    Project Commissioning
    Ghugus DRI and 4 MT Pellet Plant
    operational
    High
    Project Commissioning
    BHQ Beneficiation Plant Phase 1
    completed
    High
    Project Commissioning
    BHQ Beneficiation Plant Modules
    15 million tons per module
    High
    Capex
    Total Capex
    INR 5,000 crores
    High
    Capex
    Annual Capex
    INR 6,000 crores to INR 6,500 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Revenue Target
    over and above INR 40,000 crores
    High
    Renewable Energy
    Renewable Energy Capacity
    100-megawatt
    High
    Renewable Energy
    Landed Cost of Renewable Power
    INR 4.50-4.75 per unit
    High

    EC Approval for 25 MT Mining

    Next quarter (Q4 FY25 or Q1 FY26)
    CurrentPublic hearing completed, awaiting outcome (60-70 days process)
    TargetEC approval received

    Why it matters

    Essential for unlocking full iron ore mining capacity and achieving volume targets.

    The whole process, should take 60 to 70 days, to complete.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[metric='EC Approval for 25 MT Mining']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Sponge Iron Market Volatility

    Market conditions for sponge iron continue to be volatile, though captive raw material provides a cushion.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Muted Power Prices

    Muted power prices in Q3 FY25 impacted EBITDA, but company is optimizing efficiencies.Management acknowledged

    low

    Muted DRI Realizations

    DRI realizations were muted in Q3 FY25, but captive iron ore supplies helped protect margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Steel Sector Oversupply

    The steel sector has been a little soft on the demand side, with oversupply, though demand growth is 7-9%.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “The whole process, should take 60 to 70 days, to complete. ... Yes, our worst case expectation.”

    Clarifies the expected timeline for critical environmental clearance needed to ramp up iron ore production to 25 million tons.

    asked by Parthiv Jhonsa

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Operational Performance

    The company reported a strong operational performance in Q3 FY25. The sponge iron division achieved its highest-ever production in the 9-month period, operating at optimum capacity. Iron ore dispatches for 9M FY25 stood at 7.8 million tons, with 2.4 million tons dispatched in Q3 FY25. The company is fully mobilized to mine and dispatch 25 million tons, pending EC approval, which is expected within 60-70 days.

    02

    Financial Highlights (9M FY25)

    For the first nine months of FY25, revenue grew by 11% year-on-year, driven by robust iron ore and sponge iron volumes. EBITDA saw a significant 31% year-on-year growth, primarily led by the iron ore and sponge iron segments. Iron ore realizations improved by 8% YoY in Q3 FY25 to INR 5,894 per ton and by 10% YoY in 9M FY25 to INR 5,718 per ton. The EBITDA per ton for iron ore in Q3 FY25 was INR 2,021, a 21% YoY increase.

    03

    Project Updates & Timelines

    Execution of key projects is progressing as planned. The DRI plant at Ghugus and the 4-million-ton pellet plant are nearing completion, with commissioning and testing underway, expected to be operational by the end of this quarter or early next. The 1.2-million-ton steel plant at Chandrapur has completed its designing, and orders for major equipment have been placed. The BHQ beneficiation plant's pilot is ready, consistently delivering 66% Fe content and 37-40% yield, with primary engineering complete and equipment procurement in progress. Phase 1 of the beneficiation plant is targeted for completion by 2027, with subsequent modules (15 million tons each) in following financial years.

    04

    Capital Expenditure & Funding

    The company has spent INR 2,700 crores on capex in the first nine months of FY25, with a total of INR 4,400 crores invested to date. The projected capex for FY25 is around INR 5,000 crores. For the next two years, the company plans to invest INR 6,000-6,500 crores annually to achieve its project goals. Management emphasized maintaining cost competitiveness and sustainable profits through these investments, with a long-term vision to be a cyclical-free steel industry with low debt.

    05

    Thriveni MDO Business Integration

    The integration of the Thriveni MDO business is a strategic move, expected to yield significant benefits. The NCLT process for demerger is ongoing, with the MDO business expected to be fully integrated and contribute to Lloyds Metals from April 1, 2025. This integration is projected to add approximately INR 2,500 crores to Lloyds Metals' revenue from the new Thriveni entity, which has a projected revenue of INR 5,500 crores in FY25. The MDO business will contribute to cost savings and earnings accretion from the immediate basis with increased EC limits.

    06

    Environmental Clearance (EC) for Mining

    A public hearing for the EC approval for 25 million tons of mining was held on January 28, 2025, and went well. Management expects the EC approval process to be completed within 60 to 70 days, with mining operations ready to commence within 30 days of receiving the EC. The company aims to achieve 25 million tons of iron ore production in the next financial year, with 10 million tons targeted for FY25. The JORC certified DSO reserves are 157-160 million tons and BHQ reserves are around 700 million tons, ensuring a long mine life.

    07

    Segmental Performance Nuances & Cost Efficiency

    While iron ore and sponge iron segments showed strong growth, DRI realizations were muted in Q3 FY25. However, captive iron ore supplies played a crucial role in protecting margins. The power segment's volumes remained flat year-on-year, and muted power prices impacted its EBITDA. The company is optimizing efficiencies in the power segment to counter market challenges🌐 and has tied up for 100 MW renewable energy at a landed cost of INR 4.50-4.75 per unit, which is significantly lower than MSEDCL's cost of INR 8.50 per unit.

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