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    Mahanagar Gas

    MGL
    Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels·8 May 2026
    Management Summary

    Mahanagar Gas reported a mixed Q4 FY26, with strong volume growth across segments, particularly in industrial and commercial, and significant progress in infrastructure expansion. However, profitability saw a decline both QoQ and YoY, primarily impacted by supply disruptions from the West Asia crisis and the inability to fully pass on increased gas costs for CNG. The company remains optimistic about future volume growth driven by regulatory support and LPG conversion, while aiming to maintain EBITDA per SCM above INR8.

    Highlights

    6
    • Overall average sales volume increased by 6.13% YoY to 4.672 mmscmd in Q4 FY26, and by 1.12% QoQ.

    • FY26 average gas sales grew by 8.26% YoY to 4.585 mmscmd, with industrial and commercial volumes up 15.03% YoY.

    • Connected 1,43,997 domestic households in Q4 FY26, establishing connectivity for nearly 3.21 million households.

    • Added 28 CNG stations in Q4 FY26, bringing the total to 518 stations as of March 31, 2026.

    • Declared a final dividend of INR18 per equity share, bringing the total dividend for FY26 to INR30 per share.

    • Regulatory changes easing CGD infrastructure development, including faster permissions and reduced road reinstatement charges.

    Concerns

    5
    • Net profit after tax for Q4 FY26 declined to INR132 crores from INR202 crores in the previous quarter.

    • FY26 Net profit after tax decreased to INR847 crores from INR1,041 crores in the previous financial year.

    • EBITDA from operations for FY26 declined to INR1,451 crores from INR1,570 crores in the previous financial year.

    • LNG supplies disrupted due to West Asia crisis, leading to curtailment of industrial and commercial customers to approximately 80%.

    • Gas cost increases for CNG are 'not fully passed on' due to short-term volatility and Brent-linked prices.

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01Net Profit After Tax₹132 Cr-34.6%QoQ
    2. 02EBITDA from Operations (FY)₹1,451 Cr-7.6%YoY
    3. 03Net Profit After Tax (FY)₹847 Cr-18.6%YoY
    4. 04Overall Average Sales Volume4.672 mmscmd+6.1%YoY
    5. 05Average Gas Sales (FY)4.585 mmscmd+8.3%YoY

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹1,200 crores

    Dividend

    ₹18/share (final)

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Overall Volume Growth
    10%
    Medium
    Volume
    DPNG Volume Growth
    more than 10%
    Medium
    Volume
    DPNG Volume Increase from Customer Base
    12% or so
    Low
    Capex
    Capex Spend
    INR1,200 crores range
    Medium
    Margin
    EBITDA per SCM
    more than INR8
    Medium

    Overall Volume Growth

    FY27
    Current8.25% YoY for FY26
    Target>10% or double digit

    Why it matters

    Key indicator of business expansion and market penetration, reflecting the effectiveness of infrastructure build-out and demand conversion.

    if I have clocked 8.25 overall volume growth this year, it should be certainly more than that. We should be able to cross double digit if this remains for a longer time, and we are able to see.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Average Gas Sales (FY)'].yoy_growth

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Supply disruptions due to geopolitical crisis

    Recent ongoing geopolitical crisis in Iran and wider Gulf region adversely impacted LNG facilities and global LNG supply chain, leading to curtailment of industrial and commercial customers.Management acknowledged

    high

    Volatility in gas prices

    Prices may be affected due to global indices in the near term, though expected to improve over time. Short-term volatility makes it difficult to fully pass on costs for CNG.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Uncertainty of gas availability and sourcing mix

    Availability of pooled and NWG quantities is changing, and term contracts can go under force majeure, leading to reliance on spot purchases for incremental needs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Constraints on labor and resources for infrastructure development

    All CGDs are competing for the same pool of labor, plumbers, and contractors, which could limit the pace of infrastructure laying and customer connections.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Monsoon impact on infrastructure laying

    Monsoon season will slow down infrastructure laying on public roads, though work in housing societies and industrial premises will continue.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Overall, in the month of March, we lost about 1.25 lakh, 1.3 lakh scmd out of, let's say, Feb average of 5.75. About 20%, 22% volume we lost.”

    Quantifies the direct volume impact of geopolitical supply disruptions on industrial and commercial sales in March.

    asked by Probal Sen

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q4 FY26 Operational and Financial Performance

    Mahanagar Gas reported an overall average sales volume of 4.672 mmscmd in Q4 FY26, marking a 1.12% increase QoQ and a 6.13% increase YoY. CNG sales volume grew by 7.16% YoY to 3.349 mmscmd, while domestic DPNG sales increased by 2.37% YoY to 0.605 mmscmd. Industrial and commercial sales saw a 4.81% YoY increase to 0.719 mmscmd. Despite volume growth, net profit after tax for the quarter was INR132 crores, a decline from INR202 crores in the previous quarter.

    02

    FY26 Annual Performance Highlights

    For the full financial year 2026, Mahanagar Gas achieved an average gas sales volume of 4.585 mmscmd, an 8.26% increase over FY25. CNG sales volume grew by 7.00% to 3.26 mmscmd, domestic PNG by 6.11% to 0.590 mmscmd, and industrial and commercial volumes by 15.03% to 0.727 mmscmd. However, EBITDA from operations for FY26 stood at INR1,451 crores, down from INR1,570 crores in FY25, and net profit after tax was INR847 crores, compared to INR1,041 crores in the prior year.

    03

    Impact of Geopolitical Crisis and Supply Disruptions

    The company faced significant challenges due to supply disruptions arising from the geopolitical crisis in Iran and the wider Gulf region, impacting LNG facilities and the global LNG supply chain. This led to the curtailment of gas supplies to industrial and commercial customers by approximately 80%. While domestic gas production supports 100% of DPNG and a major part of CNG requirements, the disruption has affected volumes and may impact prices in the near term, though improvement is expected over time.

    04

    Infrastructure Expansion and Customer Connectivity

    MGL continues to expand its CGD infrastructure, connecting 1,43,997 domestic households in Q4 FY26, bringing the total to nearly 3.21 million. The company laid 138.48 kilometers of steel and PE pipeline, increasing the total length to over 8,320.43 kilometers. Additionally, 28 new CNG stations were added in Q4 FY26, reaching a total of 518 stations. For the full year, 3,42,157 domestic households were connected, 499 kilometers of pipeline laid, and 52 CNG stations added.

    05

    Pricing Strategy and Margin Management

    In response to increased gas costs, MGL implemented a price hike of INR1 for domestic PNG on April 22, 2026, which largely covers the cost increase. For CNG, however, the company has not fully passed on the cost increases due to short-term volatility and the desire to maintain stable pricing. Management aims to maintain EBITDA per SCM above INR8 in the long run, leveraging higher Brent-linked realizations in the industrial and commercial segments.

    06

    Volume Growth Outlook and Regulatory Support

    The company is positive about future volume growth, aiming for double-digit overall growth if current conditions persist, and 10% if customer additions accelerate. Regulatory changes, such as eased CGD functioning, faster permissions, and reduced road reinstatement charges, are expected to boost volumes, especially for PNG. The government's push for faster adoption of PNG due to LPG supply issues also presents a significant opportunity for MGL to increase its volumes.

    07

    Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

    MGL's Board approved a final dividend of INR18 per equity share, bringing the total dividend for FY26 to INR30 per share, including the interim dividend of INR12. For FY27, the company anticipates a capex spend in the range of INR1,200 crores, focusing on infrastructure development. Management indicated that while margins are important, the current focus is also on increasing infrastructure and volumes, seizing growth opportunities.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.