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    Northern ARC

    NORTHARCGood
    Financial Services·1 Oct 2024
    Management Summary

    Northern Arc Capital reported a strong Q1 FY25, achieving its most profitable quarter to date with robust growth in AUM, revenue, and PAT. The company demonstrated resilient asset quality with declining GNPA and NNPA, while strategically managing credit costs. Management highlighted diversification, proprietary technology, and deep sectoral expertise as key drivers, expressing confidence in continued growth and profitability, particularly with the recent equity infusion from its IPO.

    Highlights

    8
    • Assets Under Management (AUM) reached INR 11,869 crores in June 2024, marking a robust 32% YoY growth and 2% QoQ increase.

    • Net Revenue, including fees and other income, stood at INR 297 crores in Q1FY25, reflecting a 40% YoY growth and 12% QoQ increase.

    • Pre-provisioning Operating Profit (PPoP) grew 43% YoY and 26% QoQ, reaching INR 174 crores.

    • Profit After Tax (PAT) for the quarter was INR 93 crores, a 43% YoY increase and 4% QoQ growth, marking the most profitable quarter to date.

    • Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) improved to 0.47% in Q1FY25 from 0.49% in Q1FY24, with Net NPA reducing to 0.12%.

    • Credit cost in Q1FY25 was INR 51 crores, or 1.7% of average total assets, including a 60-bps impact from a change in ECL methodology.

    • The company maintained a stable cost of borrowing at 9.3% QoQ and YoY, despite a high-interest rate environment.

    • Capital adequacy remains strong at 21.5%, with the debt-equity ratio at 3.2x in June 2024, expected to improve post-IPO.

    Concerns

    1
    • Over-leveraging and increased indebtedness in Microfinance (MFI) sector

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items14 → 4 (-10)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    10 metrics
    1. 01AUM₹11,869 Cr+32%YoY
    2. 02Net Revenue₹297 Cr+40%YoY
    3. 03PPoP₹174 Cr+43%YoY
    4. 04PAT₹93 Cr+43%YoY
    5. 05GNPA47%

    Segment breakdown

    AUM Mix
    52% Direct-to-Customer48% Intermediate Retail
    Microfinance (MFI) Book
    22% Share of Balance Sheet (June 2024)28% Share of Balance Sheet (June 2023)
    List

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Growth
    Balance Sheet Growth
    faster than the industry
    High
    Growth
    Overall Growth Rate
    similar kind of growth rate (30%+ CAGR)
    Medium
    Profitability
    Credit Cost
    consistent
    Medium
    Debt
    Debt-Equity Ratio
    below 3x
    High

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Increase in delinquencies in unsecured MSME sector

    Management observed some increase in delinquencies over the last two quarters, expecting it to persist for another two quarters, but anticipates pricing adjustments to reflect inherent risk.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Over-leveraging and increased indebtedness in Microfinance (MFI) sector

    Post RBI norm changes in Oct '22, the MFI sector saw exuberance leading to multiple loans per borrower, an issue across the country, though more pronounced in certain pockets.Management acknowledged

    high

    Social/political disruption and calamities impacting MFI portfolio

    Loan waivers, heat waves, etc., in areas like Punjab and Rajasthan have added stress to the MFI portfolio.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(1)

    • specific PAT growth targets for future quarters

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “As Ashish alluded to earlier, post the RBI changing certain norms for the microfinance sector in October '22, it is true that the sector saw some amount of exuberance. And there was significant increase in leveraging at the individual borrower level on account of multiple loans.”

    This question directly addresses a key sector-specific risk and how Northern Arc manages it across its direct and partner-originated portfolios.

    asked by Yash, Citigroup

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Robust Q1 FY25 Financial Performance

    Northern Arc reported a strong Q1 FY25, achieving its highest-ever quarterly PAT of INR 93 crores, representing a 43% YoY and 4% QoQ growth. Assets Under Management (AUM) expanded by 32% YoY to INR 11,869 crores. Net Revenue, including fees and other income, grew 40% YoY to INR 297 crores, driven by significant productivity improvements and technology enhancements. The company's Pre-provisioning Operating Profit (PPoP) also saw a substantial increase of 43% YoY to INR 174 crores.

    02

    Strong Asset Quality and Risk Management

    The company maintained industry-leading asset quality, with GNPA at 0.47% in Q1FY25, down from 0.49% in Q1FY24, and Net NPA at 0.12%. Credit cost for the quarter was INR 51 crores (1.7% of average total assets), which included a 60-bps impact from a change in ECL methodology. Management emphasized a disciplined risk management approach, proactive provisioning, and strong collection capabilities, resulting in a Provision Coverage Ratio (PCR) of over 74%.

    03

    Diversified Business Model and Sectoral Focus

    Northern Arc operates a diversified financial services business across six key sectors: MSME, Microfinance, Consumer Finance, Vehicle Finance, Affordable Housing, and Agricultural Supply Chain. The AUM mix is 52% direct-to-customer and 48% intermediate retail. The Microfinance book, which was 28% of the balance sheet in June 2023, has been strategically moderated to 22% in June 2024, with corresponding increases in MSME and consumer finance, demonstrating the company's ability to 'dial up and dial down' exposures based on market conditions.

    04

    Technology and Network as Competitive Moats

    The company leverages its proprietary technology stack, including 'Nimbus' for seamless credit flow (financing INR 1 trillion out of INR 1.8 trillion total), 'nPOS' for real-time underwriting (20,000-25,000 loans/day), and 'Altifi' for democratizing securities. Northern Arc's extensive distribution network includes 340+ branches, 50+ retail lending partners, 340+ originator partners, and 1,000+ investor partners, covering over 80% of India's geography.

    05

    Liability Franchise and Capital Position

    Northern Arc has built a strong and diversified liability franchise, maintaining a stable cost of borrowing at 9.3% despite market volatility🌐. Offshore lending contributes 28% to its funding profile. The debt-equity ratio stood at 3.2x in June 2024, with expectations to improve below 3x following the recent equity infusion from its IPO. Capital adequacy remains robust at 21.5%, well above regulatory requirements.

    06

    Outlook and Growth Strategy

    Management expressed confidence in growing its balance sheet faster than the industry and maintaining a growth rate similar to its past 3-year CAGR of 30%+. They anticipate consistent credit costs due to proactive risk management. The company expects to benefit from a potential lower interest rate environment, with 65-70% of its borrowings being floating rate and 35-40% of its assets linked to internal benchmarks, allowing for re-pricing.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.