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    Sterlite Tech.

    STLTECHGood
    Telecommunication·17 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Sterlite Technologies reported a mixed Q3 FY25, with consolidated revenue of ₹1261 crores and an EBITDA margin of 10.5%. The Optical Networking Business showed healthy improvement in revenue and margins, while STL Digital achieved its first EBITDA positive quarter. The company's order book remains robust at ₹9050 crores, and the demerger of the services business is progressing, with final NCLT approval expected in Q4 FY25. Management expressed optimism for market recovery and demand growth from 2025 onwards, particularly in data centers and government-backed fiber deployments.

    Highlights

    8
    • Consolidated Revenue for Q3 FY25 stood at ₹1261 crores.

    • Consolidated EBITDA for Q3 FY25 was ₹133 crores, with a margin of 10.5%.

    • Consolidated Profit After Tax (PAT) Loss for Q3 FY25 was ₹23 crores, narrowing year-on-year.

    • Optical Networking Business (ONB) revenue was ₹924 crores, with an EBITDA margin of 12.9%.

    • STL Digital achieved its first EBITDA positive quarter with ₹4 crores on ₹77 crores revenue.

    • The company's open order book remained strong at ₹9050 crores as of Q3 FY25.

    • Net debt was reported at ₹2195 crores.

    • Secured a ₹2600 crore BharatNet phase three project in Jammu Kashmir for Global Services.

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items7 → 19 (+12)Risks discussed3 → 4 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    9

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    6
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹1,261 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA
      ₹133 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin
      10.5%
    • Consolidated PAT Loss
      ₹23 Cr
    • Net Debt
      ₹2,195 Cr

    9M

    3
    • FY25 Revenue
      ₹3,892 Cr
    • FY25 EBITDA
      ₹378 Cr
    • FY25 PAT Loss
      ₹83 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    • Optical Networking Business₹924 Cr71.6%
    • Global Services₹289 Cr22.4%
    • STL Digital₹77 Cr6.0%
    Donut· Share of Revenue

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Demerger
    Demerger Completion
    Q1 FY26
    High
    Demerger
    NCLT Final Approval
    Q4 FY25
    High
    Market Growth
    North America FTTx Growth
    14.6%
    High
    Market Growth
    Middle East FTTx Growth
    11%
    High
    Market Growth
    Eastern Europe FTTx Growth
    19%
    High
    Market Growth
    OFC Annual Growth ex-China
    8.5%
    High
    Market Growth
    North America Demand Growth
    12% in 2025 and 14% till 2028
    High
    Market Coverage
    US FTTx Coverage
    100%
    High
    Market Demand
    Fiber Optic Cable Demand
    620 million fiber kilometers
    High
    Market Demand
    North America Fiber Demand
    north of 120 million fiber kilometers annually
    Medium
    Program Impact
    BEAD Program Initial Investments
    H2 CY25
    Medium
    Program Impact
    BEAD Program Larger Demand
    CY26
    Medium
    Cost Management
    Interest Cost Reduction
    down
    Medium
    Profitability
    Optical Network Business EBITDA Margin
    20%
    Medium
    Capacity Utilization
    Optical Network Business Capacity Utilization for 20% EBITDA Margin
    70-75%
    Medium
    Capex
    Annual Capital Spend
    ₹120-130 crores maximum
    High

    Risks & concerns

    6
    RiskSeverity

    Global OFC demand contraction

    Global OFC demand contracted through 2024, driven by reduced demand in China, with 2024 volumes estimated to be the lowest in four years.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Inventory absorption in North America and Europe

    North America still has 'a quarter or quarter or two left of inventory absorption'; Europe experienced flattish demand due to high inventory over the last 12-15 months.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Slower working capital reduction due to state government payment delays

    Working capital reduction in the service business is slower than expected due to delays in budgetary allocation from state governments for projects like T-Fiber and MahaNet.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Pricing pressure and reduced realizations

    Realizations in America and Europe are 'probably between 20-30% down' from peak prices due to lower demand, though expected to improve as demand recovers.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Specific revenue breakdown for data center vs. enterprise segments
    • Exact margin percentage for the BharatNet project

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “In India, we see that the data center capacity will grow from around one gigawatt now to about between 2-3 gigawatts in the next few years, so clearly again, a large opportunity here. And more and more possibly of the data centers in India will either look for or ask for Made in India solutions. So it presents an interesting opportunity for STL. I think we do have some base of portfolio of products, both on the copper and fiber optic cable, but equally, going forward, if we really have to cater to this market, we need to build a full portfolio of product and make sure that we can really provide an end-to-end solution to the various data center players. From my perspective, I think this will take some period of time, probably over the next 1-2 years. We will continue to build the portfolio, build our own IP and in parallel continue our conversations, which are going on currently as well with various DC players. But as I shared last time as well, this is clearly a priority for us. We cannot give any specific forecast at this time, but what we are starting to call out from this quarter onwards is data center plus enterprise as a segment, we will start calling out what percentage of revenue of optical when the business is coming and as that, we do expect that to continue to grow going forward. To your second question, in terms of breaking out between data center enterprise, we don't want to split that up for competitive reasons”

    Analyst sought clarity on STL's specific data center strategy and revenue breakdown, which management partially addressed by highlighting the market opportunity and product development, but declined to split revenue for competitive reasons.

    asked by Nikhil Chaudhary

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Financial Performance Overview

    Sterlite Technologies reported consolidated revenue of ₹1261 crores for Q3 FY25, with an EBITDA of ₹133 crores, translating to a 10.5% EBITDA margin. The company's profit after tax showed a loss of ₹23 crores, which is narrowing on a year-on-year basis. For the nine months of FY25, revenue stood at ₹3892 crores, with an EBITDA of ₹378 crores and a PAT loss of ₹83 crores. Net debt was reported at ₹2195 crores, with quarterly interest costs around ₹83-84 crores.

    02

    Optical Networking Business (ONB) Growth and Market Share

    The ONB segment recorded ₹924 crores in revenue for Q3 FY25, achieving an EBITDA of ₹119 crores and a margin of 12.9%. Management highlighted an 8% market share in the optical cable market globally (ex-China) and maintained an optical connectivity attach rate of over 20% for three consecutive quarters. The company expects global OFC demand to reach 620 million fiber kilometers by 2028, with North America and India projected to grow even faster, at almost 12% in 2025 and over 14% until 2028 for North America.

    03

    Data Center and Enterprise Segment Expansion

    The data center and enterprise segments contributed 22% of this quarter's revenues, driven by rapid product development. The company anticipates a 22% annual growth in global data center capacity until 2030, with 70% catering to advanced AI workloads. STL is developing a comprehensive data center product suite, including high-density Celeste ribbon cables and advanced MPO panels, to tap into this market, particularly in India where data center capacity is expected to grow from one gigawatt to 2-3 gigawatts in the next few years.

    04

    Global Services Business and BharatNet Win

    The Global Services business generated ₹289 crores in revenue with an EBITDA of ₹20 crores, achieving a 6.8% margin in Q3 FY25. The company secured the strategically significant ₹2600 crore BharatNet phase three project in Jammu Kashmir, which involves a three-year execution and ten-year maintenance. Management expressed confidence in winning this project at healthy margins due to prior experience in the region, and expects formal purchase orders in the coming weeks, with work commencing in Q1 FY26.

    05

    STL Digital's Profitability Milestone

    STL Digital reported revenues of ₹77 crores in Q3 FY25 and achieved its first EBITDA positive quarter with ₹4 crores. The segment's open order book stands at ₹451 crores, supported by new global customers and a strong partnership ecosystem. The company successfully led Vedanta's digital transformation program, spanning eight companies and serving 15,000 users globally, positioning it for future large transformation opportunities.

    06

    Demerger Progress and Future Outlook

    The demerger of the Global Services business is progressing, with shareholders and creditors having approved the scheme. The demerger petition was filed with NCLT in October 2024, and final NCLT approval is expected in Q4 FY25, with listing anticipated in Q1 FY26. Management expects market recovery from 2025, driven by BEAD program investments (picking up H2 CY25, significant demand CY26) and continued telco investments, leading to improved utilization and realizations. The company aims for 70-75% capacity utilization to achieve a 20% EBITDA margin in the optical network business.

    07

    Market Demand and Pricing Dynamics

    While global OFC demand saw contraction in 2024, particularly in China, management noted steady fiber deployment and client commitments. Inventory levels in North America are reducing, with 'a quarter or quarter or two left of inventory absorption.' Pricing, particularly in America and Europe, is estimated to be 20-30% down from peak levels. However, management expects realizations to improve as demand normalizes and factory utilization increases, supported by cost reduction initiatives.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.