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    Swiggy Limited

    SWIGGY
    Consumer Services·9 May 2025
    Management Summary

    Swiggy reported strong growth in Q4 FY25 for both quick commerce and food delivery, with Instamart's GOV up 20% and food delivery's GOV up 17.6%. While customer acquisition was robust with 2.8 million new MTUs, the company experienced a ₹1,000 crores operating cash burn. Management revised Instamart's contribution margin breakeven timeline to Q1 FY27, citing strategic investments amidst competitive intensity, and indicated that the major capex phase is largely over.

    Highlights

    5
    • Quick Commerce GOV grew 20% in Q4 FY25, indicating strong growth momentum.

    • Food Delivery business is profitable, run-rating at ₹1,000 crores EBITDA, providing a cash cow for the company.

    • Unprecedented 2.8 million MTU additions in quick commerce, showing strong customer acquisition.

    • Bolt initiative contributes 12% of overall order volumes, demonstrating successful innovation and incrementality.

    • Major capex cycle for quick commerce network expansion is largely complete, expecting future reductions in spend.

    Concerns

    4
    • Operating cash burn of ₹1,000 crores in Q4 FY25 led to a ₹1,500 crores decline in cash balances.

    • Instamart contribution margin breakeven guidance revised from Q3 FY26 to Q1 FY27, indicating a delay in profitability.

    • Quick Commerce NOV/GOV gap widened from 85% to 76% in two quarters, with discounts impacting contribution by 250 bps.

    • Food Delivery GOV growth of 17.6% is at the lower end of the 18-22% guidance, influenced by macroeconomic volatility.

    What Changed1

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items4 → 5 (+1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01Operating Cash Burn₹1,000 Cr
    2. 02Cash Balance₹6,700 Cr
    3. 03Quick Commerce Contribution Margin-5.6%
    4. 04Quick Commerce MTU Additions2.8 Mn
    5. 05Quick Commerce Capex₹425 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Food Delivery
    17.6% GOV Growth80 bps Operating Leverage₹1,000 Cr EBITDA Run Rate
    Quick Commerce (Instamart)
    16% NOV Growth20% GOV Growth101% GOV Growth Acceleration-5.6% Contribution Margin2.8 Mn MTU Additions314 count Store Additions
    List

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹425 crores

    Liquidity

    Cash ₹6,700 crores

    Cash balance after a decline of ₹1,500 crores this quarter due to operating cash burn and capex.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Profitability
    Instamart Contribution Margin Breakeven
    Q1 FY27
    Medium
    Profitability
    Out-of-Home Consumption (Dineout) EBITDA
    4% positive EBITDA
    High
    Growth
    Food Delivery GOV Growth
    18-22%
    Medium
    Growth
    Quick Commerce AOV Growth
    high teens growth
    High
    Margin
    Food Delivery Operating Leverage Expansion
    100-150 bps
    High

    Instamart Contribution Margin Breakeven

    Next quarter
    CurrentWithin 3-5 quarters (from May 2025)
    TargetCloser to December 2025 or June 2026

    Why it matters

    This is a key profitability milestone for the quick commerce business, and management revised the timeline this quarter.

    So there are not any frequent changes. As I said, we had last mentioned about December quarter. As I said, we are seeking flexibility over two more quarters, it could happen in December, it could happen in the June quarter of the next calendar year.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[category='Profitability'][metric='Instamart Contribution Margin Breakeven']

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Competitive Intensity in Quick Commerce

    Competitive pressure continues to increase, with new players entering the market, impacting investment flexibility and breakeven timelines.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Macroeconomic Volatility and Geopolitical Situation

    Makes it difficult to predict food delivery growth trajectory, influencing the lower end of the guidance range.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Underutilization of Quick Commerce Network

    Costs are currently high due to many new stores being less than 3 months old, but expected to decrease as utilization improves quarter-on-quarter.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Bolt has grown at a faster clip and contributes 12% of overall order volumes today. Having said that, look, this is a category by itself in a way, and I dare say not just in India but globally, and it's less than 6 months vintage. So we are building it very purposefully and thoughtfully. The AOVs on Bolt are within range of platform, and there is no significant concern we have on the economics of this business.”

    Clarifies Swiggy's confidence in Bolt despite a peer shutting down a similar service, highlighting its contribution and unit economics.

    asked by Ankur Rudra

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q4 FY25 Performance Overview

    Swiggy reported robust growth in Q4 FY25, with its quick commerce (Instamart) segment achieving 20% GOV growth and 16% NOV growth. The company added an unprecedented🌐 2.8 million MTUs in quick commerce during the quarter. The food delivery business also performed well, recording 17.6% GOV growth and operating at a run-rate EBITDA of ₹1,000 crores. However, the quarter saw an operating cash burn of ₹1,000 crores, leading to a decline of ₹1,500 crores in cash balances, which now stand at ₹6,700 crores.

    02

    Quick Commerce Expansion and Unit Economics

    Swiggy expanded its quick commerce network by adding 314 stores in Q4 FY25, incurring a capex of ₹425 crores. Management clarified that the per dark store expenditure does not exceed ₹80 lakhs and that the major capex cycle for warehousing and network deployment is largely complete, anticipating reduced capex going forward. The NOV/GOV gap in quick commerce widened from 85% to 76% over two quarters, with discounts contributing 250 bps to this impact, primarily due to expanding selection and new user incentives.

    03

    Instamart Profitability and Guidance Revision

    The quick commerce segment's contribution margin stood at -5.6% in Q4 FY25. Swiggy revised its guidance for Instamart's contribution margin breakeven from Q3 FY26 to Q1 FY27. This adjustment reflects the need for flexibility to invest in growth amidst increasing competitive intensity and the underutilization of its rapidly expanded network. Management expects contribution margin to improve quarter-on-quarter as network utilization increases and newer stores mature, typically taking 6-12 months to reach optimal operational levels.

    04

    Food Delivery Business Outlook

    The food delivery business, a key cash generator for Swiggy, is currently run-rating at ₹1,000 crores EBITDA. The company provided a year-on-year growth guidance of 18-22% for food delivery for FY26, though management noted that current trends are towards the lower end of this range due to macroeconomic volatility🌐. Swiggy expects to achieve an additional 100-150 basis points expansion in operating leverage, contributing to its steady-state EBITDA guidance for the segment.

    05

    Innovation and Customer Strategy

    Swiggy's Bolt initiative, offering 10-minute deliveries, now accounts for 12% of overall order volumes and is driving higher conversion rates due to faster service. New offerings like Maxxsaver (for orders over ₹999) and Megapods are designed to cater to diverse consumer needs, with Maxxsaver maintaining similar economics due to higher AOVs and Megapods showing strong profitability in mature locations. The company's customer acquisition strategy focuses on trials and building habit, with incentives aimed at driving initial transactions and fostering long-term retention and frequency.

    06

    Competitive Landscape and Market Share

    Management acknowledged the increasing competitive intensity in the quick commerce space, with existing and new players entering the market. They noted the difficulty in accurately estimating market share due to varying GOV definitions but expressed confidence in their growth strategy, focusing on MTU quality and AMV growth. For food delivery, while competition is present, the company believes its strong platform, stable teams, and continuous innovation will enable it to maintain its market position and drive growth.

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