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    TD Power Systems Limited

    TDPOWERSYS
    Capital Goods·31 Oct 2025
    Management Summary

    TD Power Systems reported a strong H1 FY26, with standalone total income growing 33% and PAT by 37%. The company saw robust order inflows, including a 45% QoQ increase in Q2, driven by high demand in gas turbine and gas engine segments. Management revised FY26 revenue guidance upwards to INR 18 billion and provided initial FY27 guidance over INR 20 billion, supported by significant capacity. However, gross profit margins were impacted by product mix in Q1, and cash conversion was low due to inventory build-up for rapid production scaling.

    Highlights

    5
    • H1 FY26 Standalone Total Income grew 33% YoY to INR 7.64 billion from INR 5.77 billion.

    • H1 FY26 Standalone PAT & Comprehensive Income increased 37% YoY to INR 989 million from INR 720 million.

    • Consolidated Total Income for H1 FY26 rose 42% YoY to INR 8.33 billion from INR 5.89 billion.

    • Q2 FY26 order inflow increased 45% QoQ to INR 5.24 billion, with H1 FY26 inflow up 39% YoY to INR 9.16 billion.

    • Gas turbine and gas engine business experiencing 'extremely high' demand and a 'very large uptick' in orders.

    Concerns

    3
    • Gross Profit (GP) went down by 250 basis points in Q1, attributed to product mix, though expected to normalize in Q3/Q4.

    • CFO to EBITDA conversion was less than 10% for H1 FY26, primarily due to increased inventory for rapid production ramp-up.

    • Uncertainty regarding the US-India trade deal could lead to 15-20% import duties, potentially requiring a shift in export production to Turkey.

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY26

    Risks discussed2 → 4 (+2)Q&A highlights6 → 8 (+2)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01H1 Standalone Total Income$7.64B+33%YoY
    2. 02H1 Standalone EBITDA Margin18.4%
    3. 03H1 Standalone PAT & Comprehensive Income$0.989B+37%YoY
    4. 04H1 Consolidated Total Income$8.33B+42%YoY
    5. 05H1 Consolidated PAT & Comprehensive Income$1.108B+45%YoY

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 15.87 billion

    as of 2025-09-30

    quantified

    Inflow this qtr

    ₹ 5.24 billion

    Composition

    Mix4 products
    • Generator business77.8%
    • Motor business19.9%
    • Railway business0.4%
    • Spares & aftermarket (Turkey)1.8%

    Share of order book by product

    "The company has a robust order book with strong inflows, particularly from exports and the gas turbine/engine segment, indicating sustained growth."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    Liquidity

    Cash ₹1.93 billion

    The company continues to maintain a strong cash balance.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    FY26 Revenue
    INR 18 billion
    High
    Revenue
    FY27 Revenue
    Over INR 20 billion
    High
    Order Inflow
    Quarterly Order Booking Run Rate
    INR 550 crores per quarter
    High
    Capacity
    Maximum Capacity Potential
    INR 2,500-2,600 crores
    Medium
    Profitability
    GP Margin
    normal GP range
    High
    Product Development
    Large Generator (50-150 MW) Orders
    larger orders
    High
    Product Development
    Railway Business Volume Production
    volume production
    High
    Segment Growth
    Hydro Segment Performance
    one of the highest in history
    High
    Segment Growth
    Steam Turbine Business Growth
    10% to 12%
    High
    Segment Growth
    Motor Business Revenue
    INR 500 crores
    Medium

    GP Margin Recovery

    Q3 and Q4 FY26
    CurrentDown 250 bps in Q1
    TargetReturn to normal GP range

    Why it matters

    Indicates the company's ability to manage product mix and pricing for sustained profitability.

    This is mainly because of the product mix. We had some services and spares jobs that we had done in Q1 and we will be getting back to the normal GP range in Q3 and Q4.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='EBITDA Margin']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Low CFO to EBITDA conversion due to inventory build-up

    CFO to EBITDA conversion was less than 10% for H1 FY26 as retained earnings are being reinvested into inventory for rapid production ramp-up.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Uncertainty of US-India trade deal impacting export duties

    If the trade deal does not materialize, 15-20% import duties could apply, potentially requiring a shift of US-bound production to the Turkey facility.Management acknowledged

    high

    Gas availability hindering large-scale data center investments in India

    Management expressed skepticism about large AI data center investments in India due to unresolved issues with gas availability for power generation.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Increased competition if large manufacturers set up facilities in India

    If large international competitors establish manufacturing facilities in India, the market could become more competitive, potentially impacting TDPS's cost advantage.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Yes. We will never be in a situation that we will be short of capacity. So we will not let that happen. The current capacity, we constantly find ways to push our capacity. ... We don't expect to make any major investments up to FY '28.”

    Analyst questioned if strong demand would lead to capacity constraints, and management confidently stated they have sufficient capacity and expansion plans without major new capex until FY28.

    asked by Mihir Manohar

    3 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong H1 FY26 Financial Performance

    TD Power Systems delivered robust financial results for H1 FY26. On a standalone basis, total income increased by 33% year-on-year to INR 7.64 billion, up from INR 5.77 billion in the previous year. Profit after tax and comprehensive income also saw significant growth, rising 37% to INR 989 million compared to INR 720 million in H1 FY25. Consolidated figures mirrored this strong performance, with total income growing 42% to INR 8.33 billion and PAT increasing 45% to INR 1.108 billion.

    02

    Robust Order Inflow and Order Book

    The company's order book for the manufacturing segment stood at INR 15.87 billion as of September 30, 2025, with generator business contributing INR 12.35 billion and motor business INR 3.16 billion. Order inflow during Q2 FY26 was INR 5.24 billion, marking a 45% quarter-on-quarter increase. For the entire H1 FY26, order inflow reached INR 9.16 billion, a 39% increase over the previous H1. Exports and deemed exports accounted for a significant 76% of the H1 order inflow, totaling INR 6.95 billion.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Utilization Strategy

    TD Power Systems is proactively managing its capacity to meet surging demand. The third plant is expected to be fully commissioned in Q3 FY26 and achieve full operational capability by mid-January 2026, which will significantly ramp up production and sales in Q4. Management stated they can push capacity beyond INR 2,400-2,500 crores with incremental investments and do not anticipate major capital expenditures until FY28, leveraging existing infrastructure with 25% extra space in each building.

    04

    Segmental Growth Drivers

    Demand in the gas turbine and gas engine business is described as 'extremely high', with a 'very large uptick' in orders, exceeding expectations. The steam turbine business continues its steady growth at 10-12% in both captive power plants and exports. The hydro segment has achieved 'excellent order inflow', with FY27 projected to be one of the best years in the company's history for hydro, primarily driven by international markets like Nepal and Vietnam.

    05

    International Market Penetration and Competition

    The company has been building its international brand since 2012-13, with acceptance growing significantly since 2018-19. In the current market, where many large generator manufacturers are at full capacity, TDPS is gaining market share due to its capacity and ability to deliver faster. They are offering high-quality products at competitive prices, addressing a larger part of the market with a single-digit global market share, indicating substantial growth potential.

    06

    Working Capital Management and Cash Flow

    Despite strong revenue and profit growth, the company's CFO to EBITDA conversion for H1 FY26 was less than 10%. Management explained this is a direct result of rapidly ramping up production, which necessitates significant investment in inventory and raw materials. While this impacts short-term cash flows, it is a strategic decision to support high growth without external borrowing, using retained earnings for working capital.

    07

    Strategic Initiatives: Large Generators and Railway Business

    TDPS is making progress on its large generator initiative (50-150 MW), with a machine expected to be offered to customers by December/January. This represents a multi-hundred crores opportunity, with larger orders anticipated by H2 FY26 after testing and qualification. For the railway business, trial units for both US and European markets are expected to be handed over by Q3, with qualification in Q4 and volume production commencing in Q1 next year.

    08

    US-India Trade Deal Contingency Planning

    The company is closely monitoring the US-India trade deal, expected to materialize in November/December. If the deal does not go through, potentially leading to 15-20% import duties, TDPS has a contingency plan to shift US-bound production to its Turkey facility. This preparation, involving a minor cost of INR 1-2 crores, ensures business continuity and competitive pricing for US customers.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.