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    TD Power Systems

    TDPOWERSYS
    Capital Goods·30 Jan 2026
    Management Summary

    TD Power Systems delivered robust financial performance in Q3 and nine months FY26, marked by significant revenue and profit growth. The company achieved record quarterly order inflows, driven by strong export demand and a healthy order book. Management provided an optimistic outlook for FY27, projecting continued growth and indicating effective strategies to manage rising commodity costs, despite an increase in Q3 factory expenses.

    Highlights

    7
    • Standalone Total Income for nine months was INR 11.94 billion, a 32% increase YoY.

    • Standalone PAT & Comprehensive Income for nine months was INR 1.54 billion, a 41% increase YoY.

    • Consolidated Total Income for nine months was INR 12.8 billion, a 36% increase YoY.

    • Consolidated PAT & Comprehensive Income for nine months was INR 1.66 billion, a 37% increase YoY.

    • Order inflow during the quarter was INR 6.56 billion, an all-time record, increasing 61% YoY.

    • Nine-month order inflow from direct and deemed exports was INR 12.05 billion, a 62% growth YoY.

    • Pending order for Generators and Motors (excluding railways) has more than doubled in the past 24 months.

    Concerns

    2
    • Factory expenses increased in Q3 due to manpower additions and shifting critical machinery.

    • Drastic increase in copper prices, necessitating renegotiation of prices with customers to pass on costs.

    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    1
    • Cash Position
      ₹193 Cr

    9M

    5
    • Standalone Total Income
      ₹1,194 Cr
      YoY+32%
    • Standalone EBITDA
      18.3%
    • Standalone PAT
      ₹154 Cr
      YoY+41%
    • Consolidated Total Income
      ₹1,280 Cr
      YoY+36%
    • Consolidated PAT
      ₹166 Cr
      YoY+37%

    Segment breakdown

    • Manufacturing Business (Order Book)₹1,560 Cr81.0%
    • Railway Business (Order Book)₹285 Cr14.8%
    • Spares and Aftermarket (Order Book)₹10 Cr0.5%
    • Turkey Business (Order Book)₹72 Cr3.7%
    Donut· Share of Order Book Value

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 1,845 crores

    as of 2025-12-31

    quantified

    Inflow this qtr

    ₹ 656 crores

    Composition

    Mix3 geographys
    • Exports and deemed exports (excluding railway orders)75.0%
    • 9-month order inflow (Exports)79.0%
    • 9-month order inflow (Domestic)21.0%

    Share of order book by geography · partial disclosure (175.0% of book)

    Pipeline

    qualified rfp

    New US market customer for gas turbine in engineering order stage, expected to convert to machine order in weeks with big forecast for next year.

    "The order book for the manufacturing segment is strong, with significant growth in order inflow, particularly from exports. The pending order for Generators and Motors has more than doubled in the last 24 months, indicating robust demand."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Liquidity

    Cash ₹193 crores

    The company continues to maintain a strong cash position.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Production/Sales
    Quarterly Production and Sales
    INR 550-575 crores
    High
    Production/Sales
    Quarterly Production and Sales
    around INR 600 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Total Revenue
    INR 1,800 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Total Revenue
    INR 2,200-plus crores
    Medium
    Revenue
    Motor Business Top Line
    around INR 150 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Peak Revenue (before FY28 bulk investments)
    INR 2,600-2,800 crores
    Medium
    Growth
    India Steam Turbine Market Growth
    10-12%
    High
    Growth
    Motor Business Growth
    10-15%
    Medium
    Capacity
    Bulk Capacity Additions
    No bulk capacity additions
    High
    Profitability
    Gross Margin
    35%
    High

    Q4 Production and Sales Ramp-up

    next quarter (Q4 FY26)
    CurrentINR 450 crores/quarter (Q3)
    TargetINR 550-575 crores/quarter

    Why it matters

    Verifies the effectiveness of new plant commissioning and capacity utilization ramp-up, crucial for meeting FY26 revenue targets.

    In Q4, we'll ramp up to INR 550 crores to INR 575 crores per quarter production and sales

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Standalone Total Income (9M)']

    Risks & concerns

    2
    RiskSeverity

    Increased factory expenses

    Factory expenses increased in Q3 due to manpower additions and shifting critical machinery, with an expectation of another 5% increase in Q4.Management acknowledged

    low

    Commodity price volatility (copper)

    Copper prices have gone up drastically, but management is renegotiating prices with customers to pass on cost increases.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    6

    “In the captive power plant business up to 100 megawatts, we don't see any impact of any Chinese equipment coming into the country. They can come into the country even now.”

    Clarifies that potential relaxation for Chinese equipment imports will not significantly impact TDPS's core domestic market segments.

    asked by Ganeshram

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Financial Performance and Order Book Growth

    TD Power Systems reported a robust Q3 and nine months FY26. Standalone total income for nine months grew 32% YoY to INR 11.94 billion, with PAT and comprehensive income increasing 41% YoY to INR 1.54 billion. Consolidated figures also showed strong growth, with total income at INR 12.8 billion (up 36% YoY) and PAT at INR 1.66 billion (up 37% YoY). The company's cash position remains strong at INR 1.93 billion, underpinning its financial health.

    02

    Record Order Inflow and Export Dominance

    The quarter saw an all-time record order inflow of INR 6.56 billion, marking a 61% increase YoY. For the nine-month period, order inflow from direct and deemed exports surged 62% YoY to INR 12.05 billion. Exports constitute a significant portion, accounting for 79% of the nine-month order inflow. The total manufacturing segment order book stands at INR 18.45 billion, with 75% of exports and deemed exports (excluding railway orders) on a pending order basis, demonstrating strong future revenue visibility.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Production Ramp-up

    The company's third plant became operational on December 18, 2025, though its impact on sales is yet to be fully realized. Management plans to ramp up production and sales to INR 550-575 crores per quarter in Q4, further increasing to around INR 600 crores per quarter from Q1 FY27 onwards. While no bulk capacity additions are planned until FY28, investments will be made in 2-pole generator production and motors, which are identified as major thrust areas from FY28.

    04

    Strategic Management of Costs and FX Volatility

    Factory expenses increased in Q3 due to manpower additions and machinery relocation, with an anticipated further 5% increase in Q4. To counter the drastic rise in copper prices, the company is actively renegotiating prices with customers to pass on cost increases. Furthermore, a strategic decision to stop FX hedging six months ago, amidst rapid INR depreciation, is expected to yield significant margin benefits in Q4 and Q1 FY27, as spot rates are now below previously locked-in rates.

    05

    Segmental Growth and Market Outlook

    The gas turbine and gas engine segments are experiencing the strongest growth, driven by high demand in Europe and the US, particularly from data centers shifting to captive power. The India steam turbine market is expected to grow 10-12%, with a strong export pipeline. The hydro segment in India is also opening up, with good visibility for the next 2-3 years, and the motor business is projected to grow 10-15% annually, aiming for INR 150 crores top line this year.

    06

    Conservative Yet Optimistic Guidance

    TD Power Systems expects to cross INR 1,800 crores in revenue for FY26. For FY27, an upward guidance of INR 2,200-plus crores has been provided, which management considers conservative, with a high probability of further increases. The company anticipates a peak revenue of INR 2,600-2,800 crores with its current capacity before any further bulk investments post-FY28, and expects to sustain a gross margin of 35%.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.