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    Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited

    TMPV
    Automobile and Auto Components·14 Nov 2025
    Management Summary

    Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited (TMPV) reported a challenging Q2 FY26, primarily due to a cyber incident at Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) which led to a PBT loss of ~GBP 485 million and negative FCF of GBP 791 million for JLR. Consolidated PBT was a loss of ~Rs. 5,500 Cr, and net auto debt rose to ~Rs. 20,000 Cr. However, the domestic PV business showed strong recovery with 10% YoY volume growth, record offtakes, and improving EV penetration and profitability, with JLR production now back to capacity.

    Highlights

    5
    • Domestic PV business volumes grew 10% YoY, driven by strong demand and new launches.

    • TMPV recorded all-time high monthly offtakes of over 60,000 units in September and October.

    • EV penetration for TMPV sharply improved from 12% to 17%, with EV profitability beginning to come through well.

    • TMPV's segment profitability is nearly back to FY25 levels, supported by 15% YoY revenue growth.

    • JLR production has resumed and plants are operating at or close to capacity after the cyber incident.

    Concerns

    5
    • JLR reported a PBT loss of ~GBP 485 million for the quarter due to a cyber incident.

    • JLR's Free Cash Flow was negative GBP 791 million for the quarter, contributing to a negative GBP 1.5 billion for H1.

    • Consolidated PBT resulted in a loss of ~Rs. 5,500 Cr for the quarter.

    • Net auto debt increased to ~Rs. 20,000 Cr from a net cash position at the end of the last fiscal year.

    • JLR's full-year FY26 FCF guidance is negative GBP 2.2 billion to negative GBP 2.5 billion.

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY26

    Guidance items14 → 9 (-5)Risks discussed8 → 5 (-3)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated PBT₹-5,500 Cr
    2. 02JLR Revenue Growth-24%
    3. 03TMPV Domestic PV Volume Growth10%
    4. 04TMPV Revenue Growth15%
    5. 05JLR Free Cash Flow-791 Mn

    Segment breakdown

    Jaguar Land Rover (JLR)
    66,000 Wholesales-24% Revenues-8.6% EBIT-485 Mn PBT-791 Mn Free Cash Flow
    Tata Passenger Vehicles business
    10% Volumes15% Revenue Growth6.4% ICE EBITDA margins₹125 Cr EV PLI accrued
    List

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    GBP 828 million

    Debt

    Net ₹20,000 crores

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Efforts have been taken to keep liquidity at JLR at very comfortable levels. TMPV had ~Rs. 1,600 Cr of free cash flow this quarter, with cash profit after tax covering investment spend.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Profitability
    JLR FY full year EBIT
    0% to 2% positive
    Medium
    Profitability
    TMPV ICE profitability
    improvement
    Medium
    Profitability
    TMPV EV profitability
    continue to improve
    Medium
    Debt
    JLR FY full year FCF
    negative GBP 2.2 billion to negative GBP 2.5 billion
    Medium
    Volume
    TMPV Overall FY industry growth
    ~5% (+/-2%)
    Medium
    Product Launch
    TMPV Sierra launch
    launched
    High
    Capacity
    Agratas India cell manufacturing plant
    stand up
    Medium

    JLR Q3 Production & Volume Recovery

    Q3 FY26
    CurrentOctober production ~17,000 cars, plants at capacity. ~50,000 units lost production, ~20,000 impacted Q2, balance in Q3.
    TargetQ3 production volumes reflecting recovery of lost Q2 volumes, plants operating at sustained capacity.

    Why it matters

    Essential to track the operational recovery and volume ramp-up post the cyber incident, directly impacting revenue and profitability.

    So the total loss production you will be able to work out for yourselves from that is around 50,000 units. Of that, you will note that we took a hit of about 20,000 units in Q2, coming down from a volume of 87K to one of 66K. And the logic of that is that the balance is going to occur in Q3.

    How to verify

    key_financials.segment_breakdown[name='Jaguar Land Rover (JLR)'].metrics[label='Wholesales']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Cyber Incident at JLR

    Caused significant production disruption, revenue loss (24% YoY), and a PBT loss of GBP 485 million in Q2.Management acknowledged

    high

    Challenging Macroeconomic Environment & Global Demand

    Geopolitical tensions, regulatory surprises, supply chain shocks, and weak demand in key markets like China and Europe are keeping VME levels elevated.Management acknowledged

    high

    US Tariffs & China Luxury Tax

    These are considered 'structural changes' that are impacting JLR's margins, with companies absorbing most of the costs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Semiconductor Supply Chain (Nexperia Stand-off)

    While resolving, potential for future supply holes exists due to the complex value chain, requiring aggressive alternative sourcing.Management acknowledged

    medium

    E20 Fuel Transition Impact

    Mileage drop is acknowledged, but all 2025+ cars are E20 compliant, older cars are covered by warranty, and no significant cost or resale value impact is foreseen.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So the total loss production you will be able to work out for yourselves from that is around 50,000 units. Of that, you will note that we took a hit of about 20,000 units in Q2, coming down from a volume of 87K to one of 66K. And the logic of that is that the balance is going to occur in Q3. Q4 for us will be a normal quarter.”

    Management provided details on production recovery and volume impact on Q3, but refrained from giving a specific full-year volume range, indicating ongoing uncertainty.

    asked by Kapil Singh, Nomura

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    JLR's Challenging Quarter Due to Cyber Incident

    Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) experienced a difficult Q2 FY26, with revenues dropping by 24% year-on-year and a PBT loss of GBP 485 million. This was primarily attributed to a cyber incident in September that forced a shutdown of systems during a high-volume month, leading to a loss of approximately 50,000 units of production. The incident also resulted in an exceptional charge📎 of GBP 238 million, covering direct costs and a voluntary redundancy program for ~500 employees. Free cash flow for the quarter was negative GBP 791 million, contributing to a negative GBP 1.5 billion for the first half of the year.

    02

    Consolidated Financial Performance and Debt Increase

    The consolidated entity reported a PBT loss of ~Rs. 5,500 Cr for the quarter, largely driven by JLR's performance. This was partially offset by a 15% top-line growth in the India business and translation benefits. Net auto debt increased significantly from a net cash position at the end of the last fiscal year to ~Rs. 20,000 Cr, predominantly due to JLR's negative free cash flow. The domestic India business, however, remains net cash, providing flexibility for product investments.

    03

    Strong Rebound in Domestic Passenger Vehicle Business

    In contrast to JLR, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV) saw a strong rebound in Q2 FY26, with volumes growing 10% year-on-year. The business achieved all-time record monthly offtakes of over 60,000 units in both September and October. Market share recovered to 12.8% for the quarter, reaching 13.7-14% during the festive months. This growth was significantly boosted by GST rate cuts, new product launches like Harrier.ev, and strong demand across segments, particularly compact SUVs.

    04

    Improving EV Penetration and Profitability for TMPV

    EV penetration for TMPV sharply improved from 12% to 17% in Q2, with EV offtakes reaching 24,000 units for the quarter, up from a plateau of 15,000-16,000. EV profitability is beginning to show positive trends due to better operating leverage, mix, and PLI benefits, with Rs. 125 Cr accrued in Q2. Nexon.ev and Harrier.ev are expected to contribute further PLI accruals in Q3 and Q4, respectively, as they meet the 50% DVA thresholds, supporting continued EV profitability improvement.

    05

    JLR's Recovery and Outlook

    JLR's production has resumed, with plants operating at or close to capacity since October 8, producing ~17,000 cars in October. Management expects the balance of lost production from Q2 (~30,000 units) to occur in Q3, with Q4 returning to a normal quarter. However, the full-year FY26 EBIT is guided to be 0-2% positive, and free cash flow is projected to be negative GBP 2.2 billion to negative GBP 2.5 billion, with limited recovery expected this fiscal year due to capacity constraints.

    06

    Strategic Focus on Cost, Demand, and EV Transition

    Both JLR and TMPV are focused on strategic initiatives to navigate challenging environments. JLR is hardening its systems, stepping up engineering intensity, and managing a macroeconomic environment with elevated VME and structural tariff impact🌐s. TMPV aims to sustain growth momentum through new product launches like Sierra.ev in November 2025, enhance profitability through operating leverage and cost reduction, and continue its rapid EV product interventions, including the development of Agratas cell manufacturing plants in India and the UK by end of next year.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.