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    Vedanta

    VEDL
    Metals & Mining·30 Apr 2025
    Management Summary

    Vedanta delivered a strong Q4 and full-year FY25, achieving record revenues and EBITDA, driven by robust operational performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company made significant strides in deleveraging, reducing net debt and improving leverage ratios. While global economic uncertainties persist, Vedanta is well-positioned with its enhanced asset base and ongoing project commissioning to drive future growth and margin improvement.

    Highlights

    5
    • Highest ever annual revenue of ₹150,725 crores, up 10% YoY, reflecting strong operational performance.

    • Second highest EBITDA of ₹43,541 crores, up 37% YoY, with Q4 EBITDA margin at 35%, a 465 bps surge YoY.

    • Highest ever annual metal production for Aluminum (2,422 kt) and Zinc (1.095 million tons mined metal), surpassing FY25 volume guidance.

    • Net debt reduced by over ₹3,000 crores YoY to ₹53,251 crores, and net debt-to-EBITDA improved to 1.2x from 1.5x in FY24.

    • Significant progress on the $9.5 billion capex program, with $5.5 billion already spent, and key growth projects like Lanjigarh Refinery Train 2 and BALCO smelter expansion on track for commissioning.

    Concerns

    3
    • Global economy facing uncertainty due to announced US tariffs and retaliatory tariffs, leading to a volatile start for FY26.

    • LME prices for zinc and aluminum are lower compared to their annual average levels of FY25, though input costs have also declined.

    • Aluminum cost of production in Q4 FY25 saw an increase due to the carry forward of high-cost alumina inventory from the previous quarter.

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items7 → 39 (+32)Q&A highlights4 → 8 (+4)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    9

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • Annual Revenue
      ₹1.51L Cr
      YoY+10%
    • Annual EBITDA
      ₹43,541 Cr
      YoY+37%
    • Annual EBITDA Margin
      34%
    • Annual PAT
      ₹20,535 Cr
      YoY+1.7%
    • Annual ROCE
      27%

    Q4

    4
    • Revenue
      ₹39,789 Cr
      YoY+14.0%
    • EBITDA
      ₹11,618 Cr
      YoY+30%
    • EBITDA Margin
      35%
    • PAT
      ₹4,961 Cr
      YoY+118%

    Segment breakdown

    Aluminum Business
    2,422 kt Annual Metal Production338 kt Q4 Value-Added Product Sales16% Q4 Value-Added Product Sales Growth300 $/ton Q4 Net Effective Premium920 $/ton Q4 Hot Metal Production Cost (ex-alumina)880 $/ton Q4 EBITDA Margin47% Q4 EBITDA Margin Growth
    Zinc India
    3,10,000 tons Q4 Mined Metal Production2,70,000 tons Q4 Refined Metal Production10,95,000 tons Annual Mined Metal Production10,52,000 tons Annual Refined Metal Production994 $/ton Q4 Production Cost5% Q4 Production Cost Improvement
    Zinc International
    50,000 tons Overall Volume52% Overall Volume Growth9% Overall Volume Growth QoQ41,000 tons Gamsberg MIC Production89% Gamsberg MIC Production Growth15% Gamsberg MIC Production Growth QoQ1,300 $/ton Full Year Production Cost
    Oil and Gas Business
    96.2 kboepd Q4 Production
    Iron Ore Business
    24% Q4 Production Growth40% Q4 Production Growth QoQ
    List

    Capital allocation

    5
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    USD 4,000 million

    Debt

    Net ₹53,251 crores · 1.2x EBITDA

    Maturity: More than three years (for VEDL); more than eight years (for VRL refinanced bonds)

    M&A

    Vedanta Resources

    Other · closed · Consideration ₹NaN (other)

    M&A

    Zinc shares

    divestment · closed · Consideration ₹NaN (cash)

    Liquidity

    Cash ₹20,602 crores

    Representing a 34% increase YoY in liquidity position.

    Guidance & targets

    39
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Aluminum Annual Metal Production
    2,422 kt
    High
    Volume
    Zinc India Annual Mined Metal Production
    1.095 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Zinc International Production
    235,000-265,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Production (Lanjigarh)
    3.1 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Exit Run Rate (Lanjigarh)
    close to 4 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Total Production (Lanjigarh)
    just over 3 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Run Rate (Lanjigarh)
    2.6-2.7 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Run Rate (Lanjigarh)
    3 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Run Rate (Lanjigarh)
    3 million tons
    High
    Volume
    Alumina Production (Lanjigarh)
    5 million tons
    High
    Volume
    KCM Copper Production
    150,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    KCM Copper Production (Revised Outlook)
    170,000-180,000 tons
    Medium
    Volume
    Oil & Gas Production
    95-100 kboepd
    High
    Volume
    Oil & Gas Production (Q1 FY26)
    98-99 kboepd
    High
    Volume
    Oil & Gas OALP Contribution
    8-10%
    Medium
    Volume
    Oil & Gas DSF Contribution
    20-25%
    Medium
    Cost
    Zinc International Production Cost
    $1,300 per ton
    High
    Capacity
    Lanjigarh Refinery Train 2 Commissioning
    Commissioned
    High
    Capacity
    BALCO Smelter Expansion
    Commissioned
    High
    Capacity
    Zinc India Debari Roaster
    Commissioned
    High
    Capacity
    Zinc India Fertilizer Plant
    Commissioned
    High
    Capacity
    Zinc International Phase-2 Expansion
    Commissioning
    High
    Capacity
    Meenakshi Power Plant (remaining capacity)
    700 MW
    High
    Capacity
    Athena Power Plant Unit-1
    Commissioning
    High
    Capacity
    Athena Power Plant Unit-2
    Start Operation
    High
    Capacity
    ESL Hot Metal Capacity
    3.2 million tons per annum
    High
    Capacity
    ESL Hot Metal Capacity (Debottlenecking)
    3.5 million tons per annum
    High
    Mine Development
    Sijimali Mine Operation
    Commence operation
    High
    Mine Development
    Kuraloi Coal Mine Operation
    Commence operation
    High
    Mine Development
    Ghogharpalli Coal Mine Operation
    Commence operation
    High
    Capex
    KCM Investment
    $1 billion
    High
    Capex
    KCM Investment (FY26)
    $300 million
    High
    Profitability
    Athena Power Plant EBITDA
    Rs. 2 per unit
    High
    Profitability
    Athena Power Plant Generation Cost
    Rs. 3.5 per unit
    High
    Product Mix
    Aluminum Value-Added Product Proportion
    70%
    High
    Debt
    VRL Debt Repayment
    $675 million
    High
    Debt
    VRL Debt Reduction
    $600 million
    High
    Debt
    VRL Debt Target
    $3 billion
    High
    Demerger
    Demerger Completion
    Complete
    High

    Alumina Production Run Rate

    Next Quarter (Q1 FY26)
    CurrentUnder 2 million tons
    Target2.6-2.7 million tons by May, 3 million tons by June

    Why it matters

    Verifies the ramp-up of Lanjigarh alumina refinery and its contribution to backward integration and cost reduction.

    So the 3 million run rate is now we are going to, in the May month itself we are going to touch the 2.6 million, 2.7 million. And 3 million, by June we are going to touch the 3 million run rate.

    How to verify

    key_financials.segment_breakdown[name='Aluminum Business'].metrics[label='Alumina Production']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Global economic uncertainty and tariffs

    FY26 started on a volatile note due to announced US tariffs and retaliatory tariffs, potentially impacting the broader macroeconomic environment.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Alumina inventory cost carry forward

    High-cost alumina inventory from the previous quarter increased Q4 FY25 aluminum production cost, but benefits of softening prices are expected in Q1/Q2 FY26.Management acknowledged

    low

    RoDTEP on SEZ withdrawal

    The withdrawal of RoDTEP on SEZ takes away around $20 from aluminum cost, impacting profitability.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Lower LME and indices impact

    Lower LME prices and indices take away around $30 from aluminum cost, affecting margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Litigation on OMC bauxite price

    Management acknowledges a small litigation but states the current price is what is being used, implying no immediate material impact.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So the 3 million run rate is now we are going to, in the May month itself we are going to touch the 2.6 million, 2.7 million. And 3 million, by June we are going to touch the 3 million run rate. So in 2nd Quarter definitely we can see 3 million ton run rate.”

    Clarifies the timeline for achieving the 3 million ton run rate for alumina production and confirms Sijimali mine is expected to commence operations by Q2 FY26, with alternative bauxite sourcing plans in place.

    asked by Ashish Kejriwal

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Vedanta 2.0 Vision and Strategic Growth

    Vedanta is embarking on 'Vedanta 2.0', aiming to transform into a $100 billion company and a global leader in critical minerals, energy, and technology. This vision is supported by a $9.5 billion capital expenditure program, with $5.5 billion already spent, and the remaining $4 billion to be invested over the next three years. The company's strategy focuses on volume expansion, backward integration, and cost optimization, positioning it to benefit from India's robust economic growth, which is forecasted at over 6% for FY26 despite global uncertainties.

    02

    Strong FY25 Financial and Operational Performance

    For FY25, Vedanta achieved its highest annual revenue of ₹150,725 crores, marking a 10% year-on-year increase. EBITDA reached its second-highest level at ₹43,541 crores, up 37% year-on-year, with an annual EBITDA margin of 34%. Q4 FY25 also demonstrated strong performance, with revenue of ₹39,789 crores (up 14% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹11,618 crores (up 30% YoY), resulting in a 35% EBITDA margin, the highest in the last 12 quarters. The Aluminum business recorded its highest ever annual metal production of 2,422 kt, and Zinc India achieved its highest ever annual mined metal production of 1.095 million tons.

    03

    Commodity Market Dynamics and Cost Management

    While LME prices for zinc and aluminum are currently lower than their FY25 peaks, input costs have also seen a material decline. For instance, aluminum prices declined by approximately $300 per ton, and alumina prices dropped by around $450 per ton. The Aluminum business achieved a hot metal production cost (excluding alumina) of $920 per ton in Q4, its lowest in four years, and an EBITDA margin of $880 per ton, up 47% YoY. Zinc India's production cost improved by 5% YoY to $994 per ton in Q4. The company expects further cost optimization in FY26 due to softening alumina and power costs.

    04

    Key Growth Projects and Capacity Expansion

    Vedanta is actively commissioning several key growth projects. The Lanjigarh Refinery Train 2 is on track for commissioning in Q1 FY26, with an exit run rate targeting close to 4 million tons by end of FY26 and 5 million tons by FY27. The BALCO smelter expansion (435,000 tons per annum) is targeted for H1 FY26. In Zinc India, a 160,000 tons per annum roaster at Debari will be commissioned in Q1 FY26, and a 510,000 tons per annum fertilizer plant in Q4 FY26. ESL's hot metal capacity is set to increase from 1.7 million tons to 3.2 million tons by FY26 end, with further debottlenecking to 3.5 million tons by FY27. The Sijimali bauxite mine is expected to commence operations by Q2 FY26, and Kuraloi and Ghogharpalli coal mines by Q3 and Q4 FY26, respectively.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Deleveraging Efforts

    Vedanta successfully reduced its net debt by over ₹3,000 crores YoY to ₹53,251 crores as of March 2025, improving its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 1.2x from 1.5x in FY24. The parent company, Vedanta Resources (VRL), has seen its debt decrease to $5 billion, the lowest in a decade, and aims for a $3 billion debt target within two years. VRL's FY26 cash requirements of $1.4-1.5 billion are expected to be met through a $400 million brand fee and an estimated $800 million in dividends, targeting a $600 million deleveraging for the fiscal year. The company also completed a QIP of ₹8,500 crores, an OFS for Zinc shares of ₹3,150 crores, and refinanced VRL's $3.1 billion bond portfolio.

    06

    Demerger Progress and ESG Commitments

    The demerger plan is progressing, with the company anticipating completion by September 2025, following favorable shareholder and creditor voting and NCLT approval. Vedanta remains committed to ESG principles, with safety as a core value and a zero-fatality goal. In FY25, the company secured power delivery agreements for over 1 gigawatt of renewable energy, aiming for significant emission reductions. Vedanta Aluminum and Hindustan Zinc achieved top rankings in the S&P Global Corporate Sustainability Assessment, reflecting strong progress in sustainability.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.