Skip to content

    Vardhman Special

    VSSL
    Capital Goods·29 Apr 2026
    Management Summary

    Vardhman Special Steels Limited reported a record FY26 with its highest-ever volumes of 225,000 tons and profits of INR122 crores. The company is undertaking aggressive capacity expansion with new steel and forging plants, aiming for a total capacity of 900,000 tons and strategic diversification into non-automotive steels. Despite raw material price volatility, management expressed confidence in future growth and margin expansion, raising its EBITDA guidance for the coming years.

    Highlights

    5
    • FY26 marked a record year with highest volume of 225,000 tons, meeting budget targets.

    • Achieved record profits of INR122 crores for FY26, indicating strong financial performance.

    • EBITDA guidance for two years from now increased to INR9,000-12,000 per ton, reflecting confidence in future profitability.

    • Commissioned a solar plant and new 210X210 section, improving productivity and reducing rework.

    • Board recommended a dividend of INR3.50 per share, demonstrating shareholder return commitment.

    Concerns

    3
    • Raw material prices, including gas, increased substantially due to global geopolitical events (Iran-US war scare).

    • Environmental approval for increasing melting capacity beyond 3 lakh tons is uncertain (50-50 chance) due to Ludhiana being a critically polluted zone.

    • Significant product mix changes and impact from futuristic businesses are projected to take 5-7 years or more to materialize for investors.

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    04 metrics
    1. 01PAT₹122 Cr
    2. 02Volume2,25,000 tons
    3. 03EBITDA per ton₹8,500
    4. 04Dividend per share₹3.5

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹2,600 crores

    Approximately INR1,200 crores equity infusion and INR1,200 crores debt

    Debt

    0.5x EBITDA

    Dividend

    ₹3.5/share (final)

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton
    INR8,000-11,000
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton
    INR9,000-12,000
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA on Capital Employed
    >20%
    High
    Volume
    Sales Volume (Existing Plant)
    250,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    Sales Volume (Existing Plant)
    270,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Rolling Capacity (Existing Plant)
    270,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Melting Production (Existing Plant)
    360,000 tons
    Medium
    Capacity
    New Steel Plant Commissioning
    July 2029
    High
    Capacity
    New Steel Plant Capacity
    500,000-600,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Forging Plant Commissioning
    Q4 FY28
    High
    Capacity
    Forging Plant First Line Operations
    Q1 FY27-28
    High
    Product Mix
    Non-automotive steel proportion
    30%
    High
    Incentives
    Punjab Government Subsidies
    INR12-13 crores
    High

    Land acquisition for new greenfield plant

    May (next quarter)
    CurrentIn last stages
    TargetClosed

    Why it matters

    Completion of land acquisition is a prerequisite for the new steel plant project to proceed as planned.

    We are in the last stages. It should happen in the next within May, we should be closing it.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.capex.purposes

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Raw Material Price Volatility

    Raw material prices, including gas costs, increased substantially due to global geopolitical events like the Iran-US war scare.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Environmental Approval for Capacity Expansion

    Obtaining environmental approval to increase melting capacity beyond 3 lakh tons is uncertain (50-50 chance) due to Ludhiana being a critically polluted zone.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Global Economic Recession

    Management noted a possible recession in the global economy as a factor that could influence future trends.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    5

    “We don't disclose project by project. And one line, as you can make out, will not be sufficient. So we will soon be adding a second line and a third line. So we have plans to add at least 3 lines of forging. So that's when it will be completed. And we'll see by when we complete this entire forging project. But the first line will start operations in the first quarter of '27-'28.”

    Management declined to provide project-specific ROCE for the forging unit, instead focusing on the multi-phase expansion plan, indicating a lack of granular profitability disclosure for new ventures.

    asked by Shlok Bhartiya

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Performance in FY26 and Strategic Growth Initiatives

    Vardhman Special Steels Limited concluded FY26 with a record performance, achieving its highest-ever volume of 225,000 tons and record profits of INR122 crores. The company commissioned a new reheating furnace in March, boosting rolling capacity to 270,000 tons, and a solar plant that will generate 9 crore units of power annually. Additionally, a new 210X210 section was introduced, enhancing productivity and reducing rework, contributing to overall operational efficiency.

    02

    Ambitious Capacity Expansion and Diversification Plans

    The company is embarking on significant expansion, targeting a new steel plant with 500,000-600,000 tons capacity to be commissioned by July 2029, which will bring the total capacity to approximately 900,000 tons. A new forging plant is also planned, with equipment ordered and commissioning expected in Q4 FY28 (Jan-March 2028), focusing on high-value products like ring gears. Strategically, Vardhman aims to diversify its product portfolio, targeting 30% non-automotive steels (e.g., railways, oil & gas, defence) within the next 10 years, and exploring advanced alloys and materials in the next 3-5 years.

    03

    Enhanced Profitability Guidance and Cost Efficiencies

    Management has revised its EBITDA guidance upwards, from the previous INR7,000-10,000 per ton to INR8,000-11,000 per ton for FY27, and further to INR9,000-12,000 per ton for two years from now. This improved outlook is primarily driven by expected volume growth, ongoing cost-cutting measures, and process improvements, rather than immediate significant shifts in product mix. The company's focus remains on maintaining healthy spreads, despite facing challenges from rising raw material and gas costs.

    04

    Significant Capital Expenditure and Funding Strategy

    Vardhman Special Steels has committed approximately INR2,600 crores towards its expansion projects, including INR2,000 crores for the new steel plant and INR475 crores for the forging project, alongside internal and replacement capex. The funding strategy involves roughly INR1,200 crores in equity infusion, with INR385 crores already secured, and approximately INR1,200 crores in debt. The company aims to maintain a peak net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.75, with a comfortable target of 0.5, ensuring financial prudence during this growth phase.

    05

    Strategic Shift Towards Indirect Exports and European Market

    The company is strategically shifting its export focus from direct steel exports to indirect exports via components manufactured in India. This pivot is driven by higher operating costs in Europe and the impending CBAM regulations, positioning Vardhman to leverage its green steel capabilities and India's cost advantages. Management is engaging with global forging majors and OEs to supply components, anticipating that indirect exports will form a larger proportion of its future international business.

    06

    Customer Validation and Aichi Partnership for Forging Business

    Entering the new forging business, customer validation is a critical step for Vardhman. The company is leveraging its partnership with Aichi, a world leader in forging, to accelerate customer approvals. By potentially supplying from Japan initially and having Aichi personnel lead the forging division, Vardhman aims to reduce the approval process and time. This collaboration is crucial for successful market entry and ramp-up for products like ring gears, where Aichi's expertise provides a competitive edge.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.