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    Vardhman Special Steels Limited

    VSSL
    Capital Goods·21 Jan 2026
    Management Summary

    Vardhman Special Steels Limited reported a strong Q3 FY26 with a 33.33% YoY increase in EBITDA to INR 56 crores, driven by higher volumes and operational efficiencies, despite marginal revenue growth due to price declines. The company announced a significant INR 475 crore forging project and renewed its technical partnership with Aichi. Strategic capex for a new steel plant and operational improvements are underway, with the solar power project set for imminent commissioning, though rising raw material prices pose a near-term concern.

    Highlights

    5
    • Sales volume (rolled vs rolled) increased to 55,000 tons in Q3 FY26, up 4.56% YoY from 52,600 tons.

    • EBITDA for Q3 FY26 grew significantly by 33.33% YoY to INR 56 crores, compared to INR 42 crores in the corresponding quarter last year.

    • The company achieved its highest ever PAT for the 9-month period, reaching INR 88 crores, a 20.55% increase from INR 73 crores in 9M FY25.

    • Renewed technical assistance agreement with Aichi for another 3 years, and announced a new forging project with an investment of INR 475 crores.

    • Solar power project is nearing commissioning, expected to reduce carbon footprint and lead to cost savings.

    Concerns

    3
    • Revenue growth was marginal at 0.94% YoY, reaching INR 430 crores, primarily due to a decline in prices mitigating volume growth.

    • Raw material prices started rising in late December and early January, which is expected to impact the fourth quarter and first quarter of next year.

    • The company is currently capacity constrained, noting they could have sold an additional 5,000 tons in the full year if capacity was available.

    Key financials

    Metrics

    5

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    4
    • Sales Volume (Rolled)
      55,000 tons
      YoY+4.6%
    • Revenue
      ₹430 Cr
      YoY+0.9%
    • EBITDA
      ₹56 Cr
      YoY+33.3%
    • EBITDA per ton (excl. non-operational income)
      ₹9,263

    9M FY26

    1
    • PAT
      ₹88 Cr
      YoY+20.5%

    Order Book

    low confidence

    "Management indicated strong demand, stating they could have sold an additional 5,000 tons if capacity was available, but did not provide a quantified order book."

    Source:
    Inferred

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton
    INR 7,000 to INR 10,000
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton
    INR 8,000 to INR 11,000
    High
    Profitability
    Aspirational EBITDA per ton
    INR 12,000
    Low
    Capacity
    Total finished steel production
    ~720,000 tons
    Medium
    Capacity
    New steel plant capacity
    500,000 tons (expected to produce more)
    High
    Sales Volume
    Sales target
    2,25,000 tons
    High
    Sales Volume
    Sales target
    2,70,000 to 2,75,000 tons
    High
    Product Mix
    Non-automotive steel segment share
    30%
    Medium
    Project Timeline
    Solar power commissioning
    Next week, 10 days
    High
    Project Timeline
    Reheating furnace commissioning
    March
    High
    Project Timeline
    Non-destructive testing line capacity
    June or July '26
    High

    What to watch in Q4 FY26

    5

    Reheating furnace commissioning and benefits realization

    Next quarter (Q4 FY26 / Q1 FY27)
    CurrentIn progress, expected commissioning by March 2026
    TargetFull benefits from mid-April/May 2026

    Why it matters

    Expected to improve yield, reduce job work outsourcing, and contribute to the bottom line.

    As far as Vardhman Steel is concerned itself, the reheating furnace capex is in progress. It is likely to get commissioned by March, and we should get the full benefits of it from mid-April onwards. So let's say, May onwards, we'll get the full benefits of the new reheating furnace.

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Raw material price volatility

    Raw material prices started rising in late December and early January, with an expected impact on Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27 margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Capacity constraints limiting sales

    The company noted it could have sold an additional 5,000 tons in the full year if it had the capacity, indicating demand outstrips current supply.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Uncertainty in government policy for green steel

    The timing of government mandates for green steel, which could unlock significant commercial gains, is difficult to predict.Management acknowledged

    low

    Project execution delays for new facilities

    While projects are on track, management noted that commissioning timelines for new plants can vary from 1 to 5 years, introducing some uncertainty.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Those details will come in. But once both the lines are established, we should be able to get a decent return on capital employed.”

    Analyst sought specific financial projections for a major new investment, but management deferred detailed figures, indicating they are still being worked out.

    asked by Amit Agicha

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY26 Performance Overview

    Vardhman Special Steels Limited reported a robust Q3 FY26 with sales volume (rolled vs rolled) increasing by 4.56% YoY to 55,000 tons. Despite a marginal revenue growth of 0.94% YoY to INR 430 crores, primarily due to price reductions offsetting volume gains, EBITDA saw a significant 33.33% YoY increase to INR 56 crores. The EBITDA per ton for the quarter stood at INR 10,200, or INR 9,263 excluding non-operational income. The company also achieved its highest ever 9-month PAT of INR 88 crores, marking a 20.55% YoY growth.

    02

    Strategic Growth Initiatives: Forging Project

    The company announced a new forging project with an investment of INR 475 crores, targeting commissioning by July 2028. This project leverages the expertise of Aichi, a Toyota Group company, known for its strong capabilities in forgings. The investment includes land, buildings, and provisions for a second line, aiming to transfer Toyota's manufacturing systems and capabilities to the new plant. This initiative is expected to significantly expand Vardhman's product offerings and market reach.

    03

    Greenfield Steel Plant & Capacity Expansion

    Vardhman is progressing with its Greenfield steel plant project, which is expected to have a capacity of 500,000 tons and will be commissioned by July 2029. The total investment for this plant is estimated at INR 2,000 crores. Land purchase for this project is in its final stages and is expected to be completed this quarter. This expansion will enable the company to produce larger sizes (90mm and above) and diversify into non-automotive steels, which are currently not part of its portfolio.

    04

    Technology & Product Mix Diversification

    The company renewed its technical assistance agreement with Aichi for another three years, reinforcing its commitment to advanced technology. With the new steel plant, Vardhman aims to expand its product mix beyond smaller and medium sizes, catering to crankshaft materials, specialized gears, and products for commercial and off-highway vehicles. The long-term vision includes developing technical capabilities to enter non-automotive segments like bearings, railways, defense, and aerospace, targeting 30% of its business from these areas within the next 10 years.

    05

    Operational Efficiency Improvements

    The reheating furnace capex is on track for commissioning by March 2026, with full benefits expected from mid-April/May. This upgrade is anticipated to reduce job work outsourcing, improve yield by increasing billet sizes from 4.2 to 5.2 meters, and enhance overall servicing to the market. Additionally, the Kocks Block operation has already improved bar roundness, enabled precise diameter delivery (to 0.1mm), and reduced size changeover time, leading to better quality and flexibility.

    06

    Raw Material & Market Outlook

    Raw material prices, which had been declining, started rising in the last week of December and continued into January. This trend is expected to have an impact on the company's costs in Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27. Despite this, demand remains strong, with management indicating they could have sold an additional 5,000 tons if capacity were available. The company's export markets primarily include Thailand (over 70% of direct exports), with indirect exports (components made from their steel) going to the US and Europe.

    07

    Green Initiatives: Solar Power & Green Steel

    The solar power plant is in its final stages of commissioning, with connectivity issues resolved and stringing completed. It is expected to be operational within the next week to 10 days. This initiative will reduce the company's carbon footprint from 0.73 to 0.48 and lead to cost savings. While direct commercial advantages for green steel are not yet realized, customer interest, particularly from European OEMs and Indian Tier 1/2 suppliers, is high, and management anticipates future government mandates will drive its adoption.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.