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    Vardhman Special

    VSSL
    Capital Goods·21 Jan 2026
    Management Summary

    Vardhman Special Steels reported a strong Q3 FY26 with a 34% YoY EBITDA growth to ₹56 crores and record 9M PAT of ₹88 crores, driven by robust volumes. The company announced a significant ₹475 crore forging project and renewed its technical partnership with Aichi. While revenue growth was tempered by price reductions, management expressed confidence in future growth through capacity expansion and product diversification, despite rising raw material costs.

    Highlights

    6
    • Sales volume for Q3 FY26 was 55,000 tons, a marginal increase from 52,600 tons in Q3 FY25, indicating strong demand.

    • EBITDA for Q3 FY26 increased by 34% to ₹56 crores, up from ₹42 crores in the corresponding quarter last year.

    • The company achieved its highest-ever 9-month PAT of ₹88 crores, compared to ₹73 crores in the prior year.

    • A new forging project with an investment of ₹475 crores was announced, expected to commence production by July 2028.

    • The technical assistance agreement with Aichi was renewed for another 3 years, ensuring continued access to advanced capabilities.

    • The solar plant is expected to be commissioned within 1-2 weeks, which will reduce carbon footprint and lead to cost savings.

    Concerns

    2
    • Revenue growth was marginal at ₹430 crores (Q3 FY26) vs ₹426 crores (Q3 FY25) due to price reductions offsetting volume gains.

    • Raw material prices started rising in late December and January, which may impact Q4 FY26 or Q1 FY27 margins.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY26

    Guidance items13 → 10 (-3)Q&A highlights5 → 7 (+2)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • Sales Volume (Rolled)
      55,000 tons
      YoY+4.6%
    • Revenue
      ₹430 Cr
      YoY+0.9%
    • EBITDA
      ₹56 Cr
      YoY+33.3%
    • EBITDA per ton
      ₹10,200
    • EBITDA per ton (Excl. Other Income)
      ₹9,263

    9M

    1
    • PAT
      ₹88 Cr
      YoY+20.5%

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton
    ₹7,000 to ₹10,000
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton
    ₹8,000 to ₹11,000
    High
    Profitability
    Aspirational EBITDA per ton
    ₹12,000
    Low
    Capacity
    Finished Steel Production (Post-commissioning)
    720,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    New Steel Plant Capacity
    500,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Rolling Mill Capacity
    270,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Non-destructive testing line capacity
    full capacity
    High
    Sales Volume
    Annual Sales Target
    225,000 tons
    High
    Sales Volume
    Annual Sales Target (Pre-new steel plant)
    270,000 to 275,000 tons
    High
    Product Mix
    Non-automotive steel segment share
    30%
    Medium

    Reheating furnace commissioning and benefits

    Next quarter (Q4 FY26 / Q1 FY27)
    CurrentIn progress, expected by March 2026
    TargetCommissioned, full benefits from mid-April/May 2026

    Why it matters

    This project is expected to improve yield, reduce job work outsourcing, and enhance servicing, directly impacting profitability.

    As far as Vardhman Steel is concerned itself, the reheating furnace capex is in progress. It is likely to get commissioned by March, and we should get the full benefits of it from mid-April onwards. So let's say, May onwards, we'll get the full benefits of the new reheating furnace.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.capex.purposes[description='Reheating furnace']

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Raw material price volatility

    Raw material prices started rising in late December and January, which may impact margins in Q4 FY26 or Q1 FY27.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Capacity constraints if green steel demand accelerates

    If government policies on green steel kick in before the new plant is ready, the company may not have sufficient capacity to meet demand.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Uncertainty in non-automotive steel market entry timeline

    While targeting 30% non-automotive steel in 10 years, the specific segments and timelines for entry are still being studied.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “Those details will come in. But once both the lines are established, we should be able to get a decent return on capital employed.”

    Analysts sought specific financial projections for the newly announced forging project, but management deferred providing detailed numbers.

    asked by Amit Agicha

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY26 Performance Overview

    Vardhman Special Steels reported a Q3 FY26 sales volume of 55,000 tons (rolled vs rolled), a slight increase from 52,600 tons in Q3 FY25. Revenue for the quarter was ₹430 crores, marginally up from ₹426 crores YoY, primarily due to price reductions offsetting volume gains. EBITDA saw a significant 34% YoY increase to ₹56 crores, with EBITDA per ton at ₹10,200 (₹9,263 excluding non-operational income). The company achieved its highest-ever 9-month PAT of ₹88 crores, compared to ₹73 crores in the previous year.

    02

    Strategic Expansion: Forging Project

    The company announced a new forging project with an investment of ₹475 crores, which includes land and buildings for the first line. This project is expected to commence production by July 2028, one year before the new steel plant. The forging capabilities will be transferred from Aichi, a Toyota Group company, aiming to serve the Indian market, including customers like Sona Comstar and GNA Axles.

    03

    New Steel Plant & Product Diversification

    The Greenfield steel plant project is progressing, with land purchase expected to be completed this quarter. The new steel plant, with an estimated capacity of 500,000 tons, is targeted for commissioning in July 2029. This expansion will enable the company to produce larger sizes (90mm and above) and enter non-automotive specialized steel segments, which currently constitute a negligible portion of their business. The long-term goal is to achieve 30% non-automotive steel business within the next 10 years.

    04

    Operational Efficiency Initiatives

    Several initiatives are underway to enhance operational efficiency. The reheating furnace capex is expected to be commissioned by March 2026, with full benefits from mid-April/May. This will reduce job work outsourcing, improve yield, and enhance market servicing. The Kocks Block operation has already improved bar roundness, enabled production of exact diameters, and reduced size change time, contributing to better quality and working capital reduction. The rolling mill capacity will increase from 210,000 tons to 270,000 tons from April 2026.

    05

    Green Steel & Sustainability Efforts

    The solar plant is in its final stages of commissioning and is expected to be operational within the next 1-2 weeks. This will reduce the company's carbon footprint from 0.73 to 0.48 and lead to cost savings. While there are no immediate commercial advantages for green steel, it is generating preferential access and attention from European customers. Management believes mandatory green steel policies in India would lead to commercial gains, though the timeline for such policies is uncertain.

    06

    Capacity Utilization & Future Growth

    The company targets 225,000 tons in sales for the current year and aims to reach 270,000-275,000 tons in the next three years, prior to the new steel plant commissioning. Once all capacities are fully commissioned, the company expects to produce approximately 720,000 tons of finished steel. The melting shop capacity, currently at 3 lakh tons, has the potential to increase further in a year's time if regulatory licenses are obtained.

    07

    Shareholder Support

    Aichi Steel has increased its stake to 24.9% and expressed willingness to invest more capital as needed. Similarly, the Vardhman Group has also committed to providing capital for new projects, indicating strong shareholder confidence and support for the company's expansion plans.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.