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Cullen/Frost Bankers (CFR) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Financials· Apr 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Cullen/Frost Bankers Q1 FY26 — Strong Loan Growth and Branch Expansion Accretion Amidst Abrupt Call Termination

Cullen/Frost Bankers reported a solid first quarter, driven by robust loan growth, particularly in consumer mortgages, and continued success from its branch expansion strategy which contributed 5.6% to EPS. The company saw strong momentum in new commercial relationships and maintained good credit quality. However, average deposits experienced a seasonal linked-quarter decrease, and the net unrealized loss on the AFS portfolio widened. The call was unfortunately cut short due to technical difficulties, preventing a full discussion of guidance and Q&A.

Highlights

5
  • Net income increased 13.4% to $169.3 million compared to $149.3 million in Q1 FY25.

  • Diluted EPS grew 15.2% to $2.65 from $2.30 in Q1 FY25.

  • Average loans increased to $22 billion, up from $20.8 billion in Q1 FY25.

  • Consumer checking households grew 5.3% year-over-year.

  • Commercial new relationships reached an all-time high for Q1 with 1,016 generated.

Concerns

3
  • Average total deposits decreased $1.1 billion linked-quarter to $42.2 billion.

  • Net unrealized loss on available-for-sale portfolio increased to $1.15 billion from $1.04 billion linked-quarter.

  • The earnings call was abruptly terminated due to technical difficulties before Q&A and full guidance could be provided.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Fed funds rate cuts assumption
125 basis point cut
high materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Branch Expansion
The branch expansion strategy, including 8 additional branches outside announced regions, continues to drive significant growth in loans, deposits, and new households, contributing meaningfully to EPS.
EPS accretion: $0.14EPS accretion percentage: 5.6%Average loans: $2.9 billionAverage loans growth YoY: 33%Average loans as % of total: 12.7%Average deposits: $3.6 billionAverage deposits growth YoY: 21%Average deposits as % of total: 8.3%New households added: 95,000
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CFR operating KPIs by quarter

CFR operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPIThis call Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Net interest margin
3.74% Our net interest margin percentage was 3.74% for the quarter, up 8 basis points from the 3.66% reported last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
3.75% Our net interest margin percentage was 3.75% for the quarter, up 1 basis point from the 3.74% reported last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
0 pt

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Risks & headwinds

Technical difficulties during earnings call Q1 FY26 earnings call

Call terminated prematurely

Mitigation:Company will issue a press release for rescheduling details.

Increase in total problem loans (risk grade 10 or higher) Near-term

$989 million in Q1 FY26, up from $857 million in Q4 FY25

Mitigation:Expects large resolutions in Q2 and Q3 FY26.

Widening of net unrealized loss on available-for-sale portfolio

$1.15 billion in Q1 FY26, up from $1.04 billion in Q4 FY25

What to watch in Q2 FY26

Resolution of problem loans

Q2 FY26 and Q3 FY26
Current $989 million in total problem loans (risk grade 10+)
Target Significant reduction due to large resolutions

Why it matters

The resolution of these higher-risk loans will impact credit quality metrics and potentially reduce future provisions.

Total problem loans, which we define as risk grade 10 or higher, otherwise known as OAEM, totaled $989 million at the end of the first quarter up from $857 million last quarter and $889 million a year ago. All of the net increase can be attributed to loans in the risk grade 10 category and we expect to see some large resolutions in the second and third quarters.

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Detailed narrative

Branch Expansion Strategy Success

Cullen/Frost's organic branch expansion strategy continues to deliver significant accretion, contributing $0.14 or 5.6% to EPS in the first quarter. The expansion branches have grown to $2.9 billion in loans and $3.6 billion in deposits, adding approximately 95,000 new households.

The company opened two new locations in Q1 FY26 and plans to open an additional 10 to 12 branches over the remainder of 2026, demonstrating the scalability and durability of this growth strategy.

Consumer Banking Performance

The consumer line of business showed strong growth, with consumer checking households increasing 5.3% year-over-year and consumer loan balances rising 19% year-over-year. Mortgage products were a key driver, growing $124 million in the quarter to reach $719 million in total outstanding balances.

Consumer checking and savings balances, adjusted for a large estate-related outflow in Q4, increased 3% and 2% respectively on a linked-quarter basis, reflecting household strength.

Commercial Business Momentum and Loan Pipeline

The commercial business segment demonstrated strong momentum, marking the fourth consecutive quarter with over 1,000 new relationships, reaching a record 1,016 in Q1 FY26. The new opportunities loan pipeline surged to $6.8 billion, a 55% increase over the previous quarter and an all-time high. The 90-day weighted pipeline also increased 38% from the prior quarter to almost $2 billion, indicating robust future loan growth.

Credit Quality Overview

Overall credit quality remained strong by historical standards. Nonperforming assets were $73 million at quarter-end, consistent with $72 million last quarter and $85 million a year ago, representing 33 basis points of period-end loans. Net charge-offs for the quarter were $5.8 million, flat linked-quarter and down from $9.7 million a year ago, resulting in an annualized NCO rate of 11 basis points of average loans.

Total problem loans (risk grade 10 or higher) increased to $989 million from $857 million linked-quarter, primarily due to risk grade 10 loans, with expectations for large resolutions in Q2 and Q3.

Net Interest Margin and Investment Portfolio

The net interest margin percentage improved by 8 basis points linked-quarter to 3.74%, primarily driven by lower interest-bearing deposits and repos. The investment portfolio averaged $19.9 billion, with new purchases yielding higher rates. However, the net unrealized loss on the available-for-sale portfolio widened to $1.15 billion from $1.04 billion in the prior quarter.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.