Detailed Narrative
Development Leasing Momentum
EastGroup saw a significant pick-up in development leasing activity, with year-to-date volume reaching 54% of last year's total. This included a 107,000 sq ft lease in Atlanta secured faster than anticipated due to competitive demand. The company commenced construction on four projects totaling 586,000 sq ft in Q1, with 27% pre-leased, and one project in April, totaling $105 million in starts. Development leasing was broad-based, occurring in nine different markets, with projects active in 13 markets.
Data Center and Advanced Manufacturing Demand
A new source of demand is emerging from data center suppliers and advanced manufacturing, contributing significantly to recent leasing. Approximately half of the 685,000 sq ft of development leasing year-to-date was related to data center users, including those focused on construction and servicing. This trend is seen as crowding the demand field for industrial space, potentially leading to higher rents and more development opportunities, without displacing existing customer bases.
Market Fundamentals and Rent Growth Outlook
Management is more constructive on market fundamentals, noting that while supply has been down for a few years, an inflection point in rents has not yet been seen outside of California. However, the recent pickup in demand, if sustained, is expected to eventually lead to rent growth. Fast-growing markets like Raleigh, Charlotte, Atlanta, Florida, Dallas, Houston, and Phoenix are showing strong activity, while some larger California markets remain slower.
Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Strategy
The company's balance sheet remains strong, evidenced by Moody's upgrade to Baa1 with a stable outlook. EastGroup ended the quarter with no draws on its $675 million unsecured bank credit facility. The company issued $70 million in common stock through its ATM program at over $1.91 per share and has an additional $50 million in forward equity sale agreements. This opportunistic access to equity markets has diversified its capital proceeds mix for the year.
Last Mile Criticality
Higher diesel prices and increasing traffic congestion in fast-growing cities are making last-mile locations more critical for tenants. This trend allows tenants to save on fuel costs by being closer to end consumers, which in turn supports higher rents for well-located shallow bay properties. The company observes customers increasingly needing space in multiple parts of a market due to traffic challenges, reinforcing the value of its diversified portfolio.