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    MDGL
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS Q2 FY26 earnings call MDGL

    Jul 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Q2 FY26 — Rezdiffra Exceeds Expectations with Strong Patient Adds and Robust Sales Growth

    Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported strong Q2 FY26 results, with Rezdiffra exceeding expectations in patient adds and sales, reinforcing its mega-blockbuster potential. The company is strategically expanding its pipeline with combination therapies to build on Rezdiffra's foundational role in the rapidly growing MASH market. While investing heavily in commercialization and R&D, Madrigal aims to define the future of MASH care, despite current net losses and European reimbursement challenges.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q2 FY26 net sales were $364.3 million, representing 71% year-over-year growth.

    • Active patients on Rezdiffra surpassed 49,000 by the end of Q2, more than double a year ago, and exceeded 50,000 in early Q3.

    • Trailing 12-month net sales for Rezdiffra reached nearly $1.3 billion, reinforcing its mega blockbuster potential.

    • The U.S. addressable MASH market grew nearly 50% from 315,000 to 460,000 diagnosed F2/F3 patients from year-end 2023 to year-end 2025.

    • Secured 3 additional patents for Rezdiffra in July, reinforcing protection in F2-F3 and supporting a potential F4c indication.

    Concerns

    5
    • Net loss for Q2 FY26 was $57.9 million, compared to $42.3 million in the prior year period.

    • Cost of sales increased to $49 million in Q2 FY26 from $9.1 million in the prior year, driven by royalties and inventory write-down.

    • R&D expenses increased to $91.2 million in Q2 FY26 from $54.1 million in the prior year, primarily due to a $25 million upfront business development expense.

    • SG&A expenses increased to $289.4 million in Q2 FY26 from $196.9 million in the prior year, due to continued investment in commercial activities and field force expansion.

    • European reimbursement for Rezdiffra is challenged due to the MFN context and policy uncertainty, leading to negligible contribution.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Gross to net discount
    mid- to high 30s
    medium materiality
    High
    R&D expenses
    roughly the same as 2025
    medium materiality
    High
    SG&A expenses
    increase compared to 2025
    medium materiality
    High
    Quarterly sales growth rate
    comfortable with consensus
    high materiality
    High
    MASH market expansion
    double-digit pace
    high materiality
    High
    F4c MAESTRO outcome study readout
    2027
    high materiality
    High
    F2/F3 MAESTRO-NASH study data
    2028
    medium materiality
    High
    Phase II trial initiation (MGL-2086 + resmetirom)
    2027
    medium materiality
    High
    Phase II trial initiation (Ervogastat + resmetirom)
    2027
    medium materiality
    High
    Phase II trial initiation (PNPLA3 siRNA + resmetirom)
    2027
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    1
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Rezdiffra
    Rezdiffra continues to exceed expectations with strong demand and patient adds, tracking in line with best-in-class specialty launches. The product is performing exceptionally well in the real world, driving increased prescriber depth and patient adherence.
    Net Sales: $364.3 millionYoY Growth: 71%Trailing 12-month Net Sales: $1.3 billionActive Patients (Q2 end): >49,000Active Patients (early Q3): >50,000

    Operational metrics

    15
    Cost of sales
    $49 millionvs $9.1 million prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily driven by an increase in royalties payable to Roche and a write-down of certain work-in-process inventory.

    R&D expenses
    $91.2 millionvs $54.1 million prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily due to a one-time upfront business development expense of $25 million related to the in-licensing of MGL-0795.

    SG&A expenses
    $289.4 millionvs $196.9 million prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily due to continued investment in commercial activities for Rezdiffra, including headcount for endocrinology field force expansion and marketing efforts like the DTC campaign.

    Noncash stock-based compensation expense
    $35.4 millionvs $25.2 million prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Total noncash stock-based compensation expense included in operating expenses.

    Net loss
    $57.9 millionvs $42.3 million prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Net loss for the second quarter, inclusive of a $25 million one-time upfront business development expense.

    Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities
    $838.9 millionvs $988.6 million year-end 2025
    Q2 FY26 end

    Balance sheet position at the end of the second quarter 2026.

    US Addressable MASH Market (F2/F3 diagnosed patients)
    460,000up nearly 50% from 315,000 year-end 2023
    Year-end 2025

    Growth in the number of diagnosed F2/F3 MASH patients at target specialists.

    MASH Market Penetration
    1%
    Current

    Calculated as 10% diagnosis rate multiplied by 10% penetration rate.

    Prescriber Base
    >10,000
    Cumulative

    Number of prescribers who have written for Rezdiffra.

    Patient Persistency (Rezdiffra)
    60-70%
    1-year mark

    Persistency rate for well-tolerated oral medications, observed for Rezdiffra.

    F4c MASH Patient Population
    245,000
    Current

    Estimated number of patients with well-compensated MASH cirrhosis in the U.S. under specialist care.

    Rezdiffra Patents
    3 additional patents
    July 2026

    Built on the foundational 2045 F2-F3 patent, these new patents further strengthen the long-term value of the franchise.

    Liver Stiffness Reduction (Real-world)
    nearly halfachieved at least a 25% reduction
    Over ~9 months

    Real-world data supporting Rezdiffra's performance in reducing liver stiffness.

    Oral GLP-1 (MGL-2086) Phase I SAD study
    June 2026

    Initiated dosing in a Phase I single ascending dose study for MGL-2086, with results to inform the Phase II trial.

    PNPLA3 siRNA (MGL-0795) candidate
    Recent

    Nominated the first candidate from the Arrowhead licensing deal to move into IND-enabling studies.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Launch access metricsBroad first-line commercial access
    Pipeline read out calendarMultiple programs
    Peak long term sales guidanceMega blockbuster potential
    Prescription volume new starts>49,000patients
    Clinical trial efficacy safety dataImprovements across key subgroups

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Arrowhead PharmaceuticalsIn-licensing of a clinical stage siRNA program targeting PNPLA3 (MGL-0795).$25 million

    The in-licensing of MGL-0795, a clinical stage siRNA program from Arrowhead, was a primary driver of increased R&D expenses in Q2 FY26.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    European Reimbursement ChallengesNext 12-18 months

    Negligible contribution to revenue.

    Mitigation: Engaging with governments to find a long-term solution amidst Most Favored Nation (MFN) context and policy uncertainty.

    Increased Operating ExpensesQ2 FY26

    Cost of sales $49M (vs $9.1M YoY), R&D $91.2M (vs $54.1M YoY), SG&A $289.4M (vs $196.9M YoY) in Q2 FY26.

    Mitigation: Continued investment in commercial activities and pipeline advancement, with full year R&D expected to be similar to 2025 and SG&A to increase.

    Net LossQ2 FY26

    $57.9 million in Q2 FY26.

    Mitigation: Focus remains on supporting top-line growth and building the pipeline while preparing for profitability.

    Competitive Entry (Lanifibranor)Q4 FY26

    Potential new oral option with Phase III data expected in Q4 this year.

    Mitigation: Rezdiffra's superior profile (once-daily, well-tolerated, no weight gain) compared to lanifibranor's association with weight gain and edema, which 80% of prescribers in market research would not use.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Rezdiffra Patient Adds

    Q3 FY26 and beyond
    Current>50,000 active patients (early Q3 FY26)
    TargetContinued steady increase

    Why it matters

    This is a core driver of revenue growth and market penetration for the lead product.

    We continue now looking forward to Q3 and beyond to steadily add patients. We've been steadily adding. We're going to continue to steadily add patients through third quarter and through the rest of the year.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    What are the Q3 trends and expectations for net patient adds for the rest of the year? How is endocrinologist uptake progressing, and is it a meaningful growth segment?

    Madrigal expects to continue to steadily add patients through Q3 and the rest of the year, having surpassed 50,000 active patients in early July. The company is comfortable with consensus quarterly growth rates for Q3 and Q4. Endocrinologist uptake is still early, about 9 months into the launch focus, but shows promising long-term potential despite requiring time to wire their systems.

    We continue now looking forward to Q3 and beyond to steadily add patients. We've been steadily adding. We're going to continue to steadily add patients through third quarter and through the rest of the year.

    asked by Prakhar Agrawal · answered by William Sibold

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Rezdiffra Commercial Performance and Market Leadership

    Rezdiffra continues to demonstrate strong commercial execution, with Q2 FY26 net sales reaching $364.3 million, a 71% year-over-year increase. The company ended the quarter with over 49,000 active patients on Rezdiffra, more than double the prior year, and surpassed the 50,000 patient milestone in early Q3. This performance reinforces Rezdiffra's position as a foundational therapy in MASH, tracking in line with or exceeding best-in-class specialty launches and contributing to nearly $1.3 billion in trailing 12-month net sales.

    02

    Expanding MASH Market Opportunity

    The U.S. addressable MASH market for diagnosed F2/F3 patients has grown significantly, increasing by nearly 50% from 315,000 at year-end 2023 to 460,000 at year-end 2025. This growth is driven by increased disease awareness, diagnosis rates, and specialist referrals. Madrigal anticipates the MASH market will continue to expand at a double-digit pace for the foreseeable future, comparing its evolution to other large chronic disease markets like rheumatoid arthritis and IBD, which now support numerous products and billions in annual sales.

    03

    Strategic Pipeline Advancement and Combination Therapies

    Madrigal is building on Rezdiffra's foundation by developing an industry-leading MASH pipeline with over 10 programs, including 4 clinical-stage assets. The strategy focuses on complementary mechanisms to enhance efficacy, broaden patient reach, and define next-generation MASH therapies. Planned Phase II trials in 2027 include combinations of resmetirom with MGL-2086 (oral GLP-1), Ervogastat (DGAT-2 inhibitor), and a PNPLA3 siRNA, aiming to potentiate resmetirom's antifibrotic effects and target specific patient subgroups.

    04

    F4c MASH Cirrhosis Opportunity and Clinical Evidence

    The company highlights the significant unmet need in well-compensated MASH cirrhosis (F4c), representing an untapped market of approximately 245,000 U.S. patients. The ongoing event-driven MAESTRO outcome trial in F4c is expected to read out in 2027 and, if positive, could support label expansion and full approval across F2 to F4c. Early data from the MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial using the Anticipate NASH model suggests resmetirom's potential to delay disease progression and improve long-term outcomes in F4c patients.

    05

    Strengthening Intellectual Property

    Madrigal has strategically strengthened Rezdiffra's intellectual property estate. Following the pivotal 2045 F2-F3 patent secured last year, the company announced 3 additional patents in July. Two of these patents reinforce F2-F3 protection by covering important safety information in the label, while one supports the potential F4c indication. These additions extend and solidify the long-term value and protection of the Rezdiffra franchise.

    06

    Real-World Efficacy and Subgroup Consistency

    Rezdiffra demonstrates consistent efficacy across diverse MASH patient subgroups, including those with varying fibrosis stages, diabetes status, BMI, and genetic backgrounds, as shown in MAESTRO-NASH data. Real-world evidence from a large gastroenterology practice indicated nearly half of patients achieved at least a 25% reduction in liver stiffness over approximately 9 months. Additionally, secondary analyses showed significant reductions in cardiometabolic risk factors like ApoB, Lp(a), and LDL, suggesting broader patient benefits.

    07

    Financial Performance and Capital Allocation

    Madrigal ended Q2 FY26 with $838.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities. While the company reported a net loss of $57.9 million, it continues to invest significantly in R&D ($91.2 million) and SG&A ($289.4 million) to support the Rezdiffra launch and pipeline advancement. The company expects full-year 2026 R&D expenses to be similar to 2025 and SG&A expenses to increase, reflecting its commitment to long-term growth and market leadership.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.