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    Arman Financial

    ARMANFIN
    Financial Services·14 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Arman Financial Services faced significant headwinds in its microfinance segment in Q3 FY25, leading to a consolidated AUM decline of 6.5% YoY and a 28% drop in disbursements. The microfinance business reported a loss of Rs. 17.2 crores due to increased impairment costs, and MFI PAR-31 to PAR-90 worsened to 7.1%. In response, the company has adopted a cautious approach, prioritizing asset quality and collections, while its MSME, two-wheeler, and LAP segments demonstrated encouraging growth, with AUM up 30.9% YoY and PAT at Rs. 9.9 crores.

    Highlights

    5
    • MSME two-wheeler and LAP AUM grew by 30.9% YoY to Rs. 512 crores.

    • MSME two-wheeler and LAP PAT increased to Rs. 9.9 crores in Q3 FY25.

    • Strong capital adequacy ratios maintained: 45.7% for microfinance and 39.45% for standalone Arman.

    • Collection efficiency for December 2024 stood at 95.3%.

    • Zero DPD flow forward rates showing minor improvements, reaching 98% plus in December and January.

    Concerns

    5
    • Consolidated AUM declined 6.5% YoY to Rs. 2,280 crores.

    • Consolidated disbursements for Q3 FY25 were Rs. 338 crores, down 28% YoY.

    • Microfinance segment reported a loss of Rs. 17.2 crores in Q3 FY25, primarily due to Rs. 67 crores in impairment costs.

    • MFI PAR-31 to PAR-90 increased from 4.4% in March to 7.1% currently.

    • Industry-wide challenges including over-leveraging, weakening meeting discipline, and deterioration of the JLG model.

    What Changed3

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items11 → 3 (-8)Risks discussed5 → 7 (+2)Q&A highlights6 → 8 (+2)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated AUM₹2,280 Cr-6.5%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated Disbursement₹338 Cr-28.0%YoY
    3. 03Consolidated Gross Total Income₹164 Cr-2.4%YoY
    4. 04Consolidated PPOP₹69 Cr-4.7%YoY
    5. 05Consolidated Gross Total Income 9M₹530 Cr+10.9%YoY

    Segment breakdown

    • Microfinance₹1,768 Cr77.5%
    • MSME/Two-wheeler/LAP₹512 Cr22.5%
    Donut· Share of AUM

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Liquidity

    Cash ₹262 crores · Undrawn ₹120 crores

    Liquidity position includes cash and bank balances, liquid investments, and undrawn CC limits of Rs. 262 crores, plus Rs. 120 crores in undrawn sanctions from existing lenders. Total borrowing stood at Rs. 1,765 crores with a diversified funding mix: 34% from banks, 11% from NBFCs/FIs, 20% from NCDs, 30% from direct assignments/off-balance sheet, and the rest from DFIs.

    Guidance & targets

    3
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Cost
    CGFMU Premium Cost
    1.3%
    High
    Disbursement
    Micro LAP Disbursement Run Rate
    Not crossing 5-7 crores/month
    Medium
    Disbursement
    MSME Disbursement Run Rate
    60 odd crores/month
    Medium

    Microfinance Zero DPD Flow Forward Rates

    Next quarter
    Current98% plus (Dec/Jan)
    Target99%

    Why it matters

    Indicator of asset quality improvement and potential cyclical turnaround in microfinance.

    until the zero DPD flow forward rates return to 99, I would not say this is over or this is behind us.

    How to verify

    risks_and_concerns[risk='Microfinance Zero DPD Flow Forward Rates']

    Risks & concerns

    7
    RiskSeverity

    Industry-wide over-leveraging and weakening meeting discipline

    The microfinance sector has faced challenges including over-leveraging, weakening of meeting discipline, deterioration of the JLG model, and rising employment attrition, leading to increased household indebtedness and strain on repayment ability.Management acknowledged

    high

    Increased impairment cost across the industry

    Delinquencies and corresponding rise in impairment costs have been witnessed across the industry for the past two quarters, exacerbating financial stress.Management acknowledged

    high

    Lower disbursements and AUM contraction

    Concerted efforts to strengthen underwriting standards and mitigate risk have led to high rejection rates and, consequently, lower disbursements and AUM contraction.Management acknowledged

    high

    Stretched field bandwidth and staff attrition

    Increased focus on collection has stretched field bandwidth, impacting sourcing efforts and contributing to staff attrition.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Microfinance segment Q3 PAT loss

    The microfinance business reported a loss of Rs. 17.2 crores in Q3 FY25 due to increased impairment cost of Rs. 67 crores.Management acknowledged

    high

    Deterioration of MFI PAR-31 to PAR-90

    MFI PAR-31 to PAR-90 increased from 4.4% in March to 7.1% currently, indicating worsening asset quality.Management acknowledged

    high

    Fragility of MFI business model

    An analyst questioned the fragility of the MFI business model due to high borrowing costs and collection expenses, to which management acknowledged the challenges but defended the model's necessity.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “See, as far as green shoots are concerned, typically what we look at to judge whether we are coming out of it is zero DPD flow forward rates. This means people who were previously paying regular who have now crossed, who have become one day overdue at this point. So normally in the MFI segment, we would experience that at about 99%.”

    Analyst asked about signs of recovery, and management pointed to zero DPD flow forward rates as a key indicator, noting minor improvements.

    asked by Apoorv Singh

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Industry Challenges and Arman's Strategic Response

    The microfinance sector has been grappling with significant challenges, including over-leveraging, weakening meeting discipline, deterioration of the Joint Liability Group (JLG) model, and rising employment attrition. These factors have led to increased household indebtedness and strain on borrowers' repayment ability, resulting in higher delinquencies and impairment costs across the industry. In response, Arman Financial has adopted a cautious approach, prioritizing portfolio quality and collections over aggressive growth, which has led to lower disbursements and AUM contraction, but is expected to strengthen financial resilience long-term.

    02

    Q3 FY25 Consolidated Performance Overview

    For Q3 FY25, Arman Financial's consolidated assets under management (AUM) stood at Rs. 2,280 crores, marking a 6.5% year-on-year decline. Disbursements for the quarter amounted to Rs. 338 crores, a 28% decrease compared to the previous year. Gross total income for the quarter was Rs. 164 crores, down 2.4% YoY, while pre-provisioning operating profit (PPOP) was Rs. 69 crores, a 4.7% YoY decrease. For the nine-month period, gross total income grew 10.9% to Rs. 530 crores, and PPOP grew 13% to Rs. 231.6 crores.

    03

    Microfinance Segment Performance

    The wholly-owned microfinance subsidiary, Namra Finance, reported an AUM of Rs. 1,768 crores as of December 31, 2024, a 13.6% year-on-year decline. Disbursements for Q3 FY25 were Rs. 214 crores, significantly lower than Rs. 459 crores in the same quarter last year. The segment recorded a loss of Rs. 17.2 crores in Q3 FY25, primarily due to increased impairment costs of Rs. 67 crores. Despite these challenges, Namra maintained a strong capital adequacy ratio of 45.7%, with a gross NPA of 4.4% and net NPA of 0.56%.

    04

    MSME, Two-wheeler, and LAP Segment Resilience

    The MSME, two-wheeler, and Loan Against Property (LAP) segment, part of the standalone Arman entity, demonstrated encouraging growth. AUM for this segment grew by 30.9% year-on-year to Rs. 512 crores. Gross total income for Q3 FY25 stood at Rs. 44.9 crores, growing 32.4% year-on-year, and PAT increased to Rs. 9.9 crores. The standalone Arman entity maintained a healthy capital adequacy ratio of 39.45%. Asset quality for MSME stood at 3.43% GNPA, and for Two-Wheeler, it was 4.03% GNPA, indicating resilience despite industry challenges🌐.

    05

    Liquidity and Funding Mix

    Arman's liquidity position remains strong, with cash and bank balances, liquid investments, and undrawn CC limits totaling Rs. 262 crores. Additionally, the company has Rs. 120 crores in undrawn sanctions from existing lenders, ensuring continued financial flexibility. Total borrowing stood at Rs. 1,765 crores, with a diversified funding mix: 34% from banks, 11% from NBFCs and financial institutions, 20% from NCDs, and approximately 30% from direct assignments or off-balance sheet liabilities, with the remainder from DFIs like NABARD and SIDBI.

    06

    Strategic Initiatives and Asset Quality Focus

    In response to current challenges, Arman has reinforced underwriting standards and expanded its collection team, now with about 350 recovery officers. A dedicated credit department has been introduced at the branch level to separate credit from sales in microfinance, covering about 120 branches by March. Early indicators from December and January show improving trends in the credit cycle, with zero DPD flow forward rates stabilizing at 98% plus. The company has also started using the Credit Guarantee Fund for Micro Units (CGFMU) scheme, which covers about 72% of the principal in default for a premium of 1% (plus GST) per year.

    07

    Micro LAP Segment Update

    The new Micro LAP segment, introduced last year, is currently in a pilot stage and has gained encouraging traction, representing about 1% of the total AUM. The product is offered in Gujarat and piloted in Telangana and MP, focusing on tier three and four and rural locations. The average ticket size for LAP loans is about Rs. 4.5 lakhs. The company is currently dispersing from 15 branches and plans to expand to at least 25 branches soon, with a current disbursement run rate of around Rs. 3 crores per month, not expected to cross Rs. 5-7 crores in the coming 3-4 quarters.

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