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    Centum Electron

    CENTUMGood
    Capital Goods·14 Nov 2024
    Management Summary

    Centum Electronics reported a mixed Q2 FY25, with consolidated revenue growing 4.7% YoY and EBITDA up 18%. The company anticipates a significantly stronger second half, driven by Built-to-Spec (BTS) deliveries and improved subsidiary performance, targeting 18-20% full-year revenue growth and 10-11% EBITDA margin. A robust order book of INR1,772 crores and planned equity fundraising of up to INR250 crores underscore confidence in future growth and capacity expansion.

    Highlights

    8
    • Consolidated revenue from operations for Q2 FY25 increased by 4.7% YoY to INR260 crores.

    • Adjusted for net accounting, Q2 FY25 revenue grew 11% YoY.

    • Consolidated EBITDA for Q2 FY25 rose 18% YoY to INR20 crores, with a margin of 7.81%.

    • The company reported a minor consolidated net loss of INR0.3 crores in Q2 FY25.

    • Order book expanded to INR1,772 crores as of September 30, 2024, driven by defense and space contracts.

    • Management guided for 18-20% consolidated revenue growth and 10-11% EBITDA margin for full-year FY25.

    • A fundraise of up to INR250 crores via equity is planned over the next two years for working capital and capex.

    • Capex guidance for FY25-FY26 combined is INR100 crores (INR50 crores per annum).

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated Revenue₹260 Cr+4.7%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated EBITDA₹20 Cr+18%YoY
    3. 03Consolidated EBITDA Margin7.8%
    4. 04Consolidated Net Loss₹0.3 Cr
    5. 05Standalone Revenue₹167 Cr+4.2%YoY

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Consolidated Revenue Growth (Gross Basis)
    18% to 20%
    High
    Revenue
    Consolidated Revenue Growth (Net Basis)
    14% to 15%
    Medium
    Revenue
    Consolidated Revenue Growth
    more than 20%
    High
    Revenue
    FY25 Revenue Mix - BTS
    25%
    High
    Revenue
    FY25 Revenue Mix - Engineering Services
    30%
    High
    Revenue
    FY25 Revenue Mix - EMS
    45%
    High
    Profitability
    Consolidated EBITDA
    INR130 crores
    High
    Profitability
    Subsidiary Profitability Contribution
    positive contribution
    High
    Profitability
    Subsidiary Actual Profitability
    kick in
    High
    Margin
    Consolidated EBITDA Margin
    10% to 11%
    High
    Margin
    Consolidated EBITDA Margin
    14% or 15%
    Medium
    Headcount
    Quarterly Employee Cost Run Rate
    INR88 to INR90 crores
    Medium
    Other
    Equity Fundraise
    upto INR250 crores
    High
    Capex
    Total Capex
    INR100 crores
    High
    Tax
    Consolidated Tax Rate
    less than 25%
    Medium
    Debt
    Debt Level
    peak at current level, will reduce
    High

    Risks & concerns

    2
    RiskSeverity

    Seasonality and lumpiness of BTS business impacting quarterly performance

    The BTS business is seasonal and lumpy, leading to variations in quarterly performance, with H1 FY25 being poor but expected to be compensated in H2.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Delays in government budget allocations and commercial bid opening for the Indra system MOU

    The company is awaiting final decisions from the government regarding budget allocations and commercial bid opening for a significant project, which is causing delays.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “We have been saying that on a full year basis, we are targeting to have something in the range of 18% to 20% growth on a consolidated revenue basis. And this is accounting for the specific contract I talked about. We continue to maintain that target that we are driving towards. Similarly, on an EBITDA level, we are targeting to have between 10% to 11% EBITDA for the full year.”

    This question clarified the expected significant improvement in the second half of FY25 and provided specific full-year revenue and EBITDA margin targets, including the impact of net accounting for a specific contract.

    asked by Ankit Babel

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q2 FY25 Consolidated and Standalone Performance

    Centum Electronics reported consolidated revenue from operations of INR260 crores for Q2 FY25, marking a 4.7% year-on-year increase. When adjusted for a specific contract accounted for on a net basis, revenue growth was 11% year-on-year. Consolidated EBITDA for the quarter grew 18% year-on-year to INR20 crores, achieving an EBITDA margin of 7.81%. The company recorded a minor consolidated net loss of INR0.3 crores, a substantial improvement from the INR5 crores loss in the prior year. Standalone revenue for Q2 FY25 was INR167 crores, up 4.2% YoY, with a net profit of INR10 crores, flat year-on-year.

    02

    H1 FY25 Financial Overview

    For the first half of FY25, consolidated revenue from operations reached INR505 crores, representing a 2% year-on-year growth. Consolidated EBITDA for H1 FY25 was INR36 crores, experiencing an 8% year-on-year decline, with an EBITDA margin of 7.08%. The consolidated net loss for the period was INR4 crores. Standalone H1 FY25 revenue stood at INR300 crores, growing 4% YoY, while standalone net profit was INR14 crores, down 16% YoY.

    03

    Robust Order Book and Market Opportunities

    The company's order book expanded to INR1,772 crores as of September 30, 2024, driven by new contract wins from domestic Built-to-Spec (BTS) customers in the defense and space sectors. Management highlighted a strong pipeline across both BTS and Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) segments. They noted increased order intake from export customers due to global geopolitical shifts and new customer additions, particularly benefiting from 'China plus one' and 'Make in India' initiatives in industrial equipment.

    04

    Optimistic H2 FY25 Outlook and Full-Year Guidance

    Centum Electronics anticipates a significant improvement in performance during the second half of FY25, primarily due to increased BTS deliveries to defense and space clients and enhanced contributions from EMS and subsidiaries. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company targets consolidated revenue growth of 18-20% (on a gross accounting basis) and an EBITDA margin of 10-11%, aiming for approximately INR130 crores in EBITDA. If net accounting continues, revenue growth would be 14-15%.

    05

    Strategic Equity Fundraise and Capex Plans

    The company plans to raise up to INR250 crores through equity over the next two years. This capital infusion is earmarked for increasing working capital and funding capital expenditures necessary for growth, rather than for inorganic opportunities. Combined capex for FY25 and FY26 is projected to be INR100 crores, equating to approximately INR50 crores per annum, to expand manufacturing lines and capacities. This strategy aims to manage existing debt and support future expansion.

    06

    Long-Term Growth and Margin Trajectory

    Centum Electronics projects consolidated revenue growth exceeding 20% in the coming years, with standalone growth expected to be even higher at over 25%. The company targets a consolidated EBITDA margin of 14-15% within the next 2-3 years, driven by a stepwise improvement, particularly in subsidiary profitability. The revenue mix for FY25 is anticipated to be approximately 25% from BTS, 30% from Engineering Services, and 45% from EMS.

    07

    Subsidiary Profitability and Tax Outlook

    Management expects the subsidiary to achieve a positive contribution in Q3 and Q4 FY25, with actual profitability commencing in FY26. Q2 is typically the slowest quarter for the subsidiary due to fewer working days. On a consolidated basis, the tax rate is projected to be less than 25%, as the standalone entity maintains a 25% rate, while the subsidiary is expected to offset simulated losses against future profits, potentially incurring no tax.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.