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    Dhampur Sugar

    DHAMPURSUG
    Fast Moving Consumer Goods·16 May 2025
    Management Summary

    Dhampur Sugar Mills reported a challenging FY25 with significant drops in profitability, primarily due to lower cane crush and restricted ethanol volumes from sugarcane. However, Q4 FY25 showed signs of recovery with strong revenue growth and improved EBITDA, driven by higher sugarcane crushing in the season and increased potable spirits production. The company is actively addressing cane development and varietal shifts to mitigate the impact of red rot disease, with major improvements expected from FY27.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q4 FY25 revenue from operations grew 21.46% YoY to INR810.3 crores.

    • Q4 FY25 EBITDA grew 1.79% YoY to INR102.5 crores.

    • Company crushed marginally higher sugarcane in sugar season '24-'25 compared to '23-'24, implying the worst might be behind.

    • Potable spirits production increased to 8.27 lakh cases in Q4 FY25 from 4.95 lakh cases last year.

    • Power segment's EBIT contribution increased to 49.3% in FY25 from 33% last year.

    Concerns

    5
    • FY25 Profit after tax dropped 61.04% YoY to INR52.4 crores from INR134.5 crores.

    • FY25 EBITDA dropped 36.16% YoY to INR187.3 crores from INR293.4 crores.

    • Overall cane crush during FY25 dropped 22% to 28.49 lakh tons, significantly impacting financial performance.

    • Ethanol's contribution to profit mix dropped from 48.2% to 13.3% in FY25 due to lower sales volume and feedstock restrictions.

    • Red rot disease impacted sugarcane yield and recovery, leading to lower gross recovery in Q4 FY25 (11.27% vs 11.73% last year).

    Key financials

    Metrics

    10

    Periods

    2

    Q4 FY25

    5
    • Revenue
      ₹810.3 Cr
      YoY+21.5%
    • EBITDA
      ₹102.5 Cr
      YoY+1.8%
    • Profit Before Tax
      ₹71.2 Cr
      YoY+3.5%
    • Profit After Tax
      ₹49 Cr
      YoY-5.6%
    • Cash Profit
      ₹77.8 Cr
      YoY+5.7%

    FY25

    5
    • Revenue
      ₹2,656.4 Cr
      YoY+0.4%
    • EBITDA
      ₹187.3 Cr
      YoY-36.2%
    • Profit Before Tax
      ₹75.1 Cr
      YoY-60.9%
    • Profit After Tax
      ₹52.4 Cr
      YoY-61.0%
    • Cash Profit
      ₹124.2 Cr
      YoY-43.0%

    Segment breakdown

    SugarEthanolPowerPotable Spirits
    Revenue Mix (FY25)56.5%20.5%9.9%3.3%
    Profit Mix EBIT (FY25)28.1%13.3%49.3%9.5%
    Revenue Mix (Q4 FY25)51.5%23.2%16.1%2.8%
    Profit Mix EBIT (Q4 FY25)31.7%10.4%55.6%4.6%
    Heatmap· 4 shared metrics

    Capital allocation

    1
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Buyback

    ₹20 crores

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Cane Variety Composition
    CO238 variety percentage in Rajpura
    about 48%
    High
    Cane Variety Composition
    CO238 variety percentage in Dhampur
    about 65%
    High
    Cane Variety Composition
    CO238 variety percentage (both areas)
    not be more than 10%
    High
    Sugar Price
    Ex-factory sugar price
    INR40.5 per kg to 41.5 per kg
    Medium
    Ethanol Profitability
    EBIT margins
    in the same range
    Medium
    Ethanol Production
    Ethanol production volume
    higher
    Medium
    Cane Crushing
    Cane crushing volume
    higher
    Medium
    Power Tariff
    Average power tariff increase
    approximately INR0.82
    High

    Ethanol production volume (overall and maize-based)

    FY26
    CurrentFY25 production 678.37 lakh liters (303.69 lakh liters from maize)
    TargetHigher than FY25, with full maize plant operation

    Why it matters

    Ethanol is a key revenue and profit contributor; increased production is vital for overall performance recovery.

    So in FY '26, for surely, it will be higher because we have got more feedstock than what we had last year and also because we have got the full of maize.

    How to verify

    key_financials.segment_breakdown[name='Ethanol'].metrics[label='Production Volume']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Red rot disease impact on sugarcane yield and recovery

    Red rot disease led to lower gross recovery (11.27% in Q4 FY25 vs 11.73% last year) and lower overall cane crush in FY25, necessitating intensive cane development programs.Management acknowledged

    high

    Lower ethanol volumes and profitability due to restrictions on sugarcane syrup and B-Heavy molasses

    Ethanol's contribution to profit mix dropped from 48.2% to 13.3% in FY25 due to lower sales volume caused by restrictions, partially compensated by maize-based ethanol.Management acknowledged

    high

    Volatility in maize prices affecting ethanol margins

    Maize prices are fluid and fluctuate significantly (e.g., from INR25.5 to INR22.9), making it hard to predict future ethanol margins from maize-based production.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Difficulty in predicting future sugar numbers due to market probabilities

    Management stated it's 'very, very hard to predict future numbers because of the probabilities which are there. And a lot of them aren't in the company's hands.'Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So basically, that was basically because of change of transfer pricing that has been done because of the lower pol in cane, which is there in sugarcane as of now. So that is the main reason is transfer price of B-Heavy and syrup. So that is why you have seen a lower profit in that.”

    Management explained the reason for margin compression in the ethanol segment, attributing it to raw material quality and transfer pricing changes.

    asked by Rusmik Oza

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Overall Financial Performance and Q4 Recovery

    Dhampur Sugar Mills reported a challenging FY25 with consolidated revenue from operations at INR2,656.4 crores, a marginal increase of 0.36% YoY. However, profitability saw a significant decline, with PAT dropping 61.04% to INR52.4 crores and EBITDA falling 36.16% to INR187.3 crores. This was primarily due to a 22% drop in overall cane crush and restricted ethanol feedstock. The fourth quarter (Q4 FY25) showed signs of recovery, with revenue growing 21.46% YoY to INR810.3 crores and EBITDA increasing 1.79% to INR102.5 crores, indicating a potential turnaround.

    02

    Sugar Segment Performance and Cane Development

    The sugar segment crushed 28.49 lakh tons of sugarcane in FY25, a 22% decline from the previous year, mainly due to red rot disease and lower yields. Despite this, the sugar season '24-'25 saw a marginal increase in crushing compared to '23-'24, suggesting the worst is over. Sugar contributed 56.5% to FY25 revenue and 28.1% to EBIT. The company is undertaking intensive cane development programs, including varietal shifts, to improve yields, with major impacts expected from FY27. The problematic CO238 variety is targeted to reduce to 48% in Rajpura and 65% in Dhampur by FY26, and below 10% in both areas within two years.

    03

    Ethanol Business Challenges and Maize Diversification

    The ethanol segment faced significant headwinds in FY25, with its contribution to the profit mix plummeting from 48.2% to 13.3%. This was largely due to lower sales volumes caused by government restrictions on using sugarcane syrup and B-Heavy molasses for ethanol production. Total ethanol production for FY25 was 678.37 lakh liters, with 45% coming from maize. For FY26, the company expects higher ethanol production, leveraging its full maize plant operations to compensate for sugarcane-based feedstock limitations. However, management noted that margins from maize-based ethanol are lower, and transfer pricing changes have also impacted profitability.

    04

    Power and Potable Spirits Growth

    The power segment demonstrated robust growth, with its revenue contribution increasing from 8% to 9.9% in FY25 and its EBIT contribution rising from 33% to 49.3%. This performance is set to improve further with a retrospective power tariff increase of approximately INR0.82 per unit effective from April 1, 2024. The potable spirits business also saw strong growth, with production increasing to 8.27 lakh cases in Q4 FY25 from 4.95 lakh cases last year, driven by the commissioning of two new tetra pack lines. Potable spirits' contribution to EBIT rose from 2.6% to 9.5% in FY25.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Future Outlook

    Dhampur Sugar Mills announced a buyback of equity shares up to a total consideration of INR20 crores, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns. The company has no major capex plans for FY26, as its plants are fully set up. Management expressed caution regarding the FY26 profitability target of INR150 crores, deeming it a 'stretch' due to inherent uncertainties in the sugar business. The company's focus remains on cane development and improving recovery rates, with the full benefits of these initiatives anticipated from FY27.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.