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    Mahanagar Gas Limited

    MGLNeutral
    Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels·30 Oct 2025
    Management Summary

    Mahanagar Gas (MGL) reported a quarter of robust volume growth offset by significant margin compression. While overall volumes grew 9.2% YoY, EBITDA and PAT saw sharp sequential declines due to reduced APM gas allocation, higher sourcing costs (Spot RLNG and HPHT), and unfavorable exchange rate movements. Management remains focused on volume growth, targeting 10%+ for the full year, while guiding for a normalized EBITDA margin of ₹8.5 to ₹9.0 per SCM.

    Highlights

    8
    • Average sales volume reached 4.593 MMSCMD, up 9.22% YoY and 3.11% QoQ

    • EBITDA for the quarter stood at ₹338 crores, a significant decline from ₹501 crores in Q1 FY26

    • Net Profit (PAT) reported at ₹193 crores, down from ₹320 crores in the previous quarter

    • EBITDA per SCM compressed to approximately ₹8.0 from ₹9.68 in Q1 FY26

    • CNG volumes grew 2.19% QoQ to 3.255 MMSCMD, while Industrial & Commercial volumes rose 8.45% to 0.757 MMSCMD

    • Capex guidance for FY26 maintained at ₹1,100 - ₹1,200 crores for the combined entity

    • APM gas allocation has dropped to approximately 35% of domestic requirements, necessitating higher-cost sourcing

    • Added 14 new CNG stations in Q2, bringing the total network to 485 stations

    Concerns

    1
    • Declining APM Gas Allocation

    What Changed3

    vs Q3 FY26

    Guidance items3 → 4 (+1)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)Q&A highlights6 → 3 (-3)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    04 metrics
    1. 01EBITDA₹338 Cr-32.5%QoQ
    2. 02PAT₹193 Cr-39.7%QoQ
    3. 03Average Sales Volume4.593 MMSCMD+9.2%YoY
    4. 04EBITDA per SCM₹8-17.4%QoQ

    Segment breakdown

    • CNG3.255 MMSCMD70.9%
    • Domestic PNG0.582 MMSCMD12.7%
    • Industrial & Commercial0.757 MMSCMD16.5%
    Donut· Share of Average Volume

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capex
    Total Group Capex
    ₹1,100-1,200 crores
    High
    Margin
    EBITDA per SCM
    ₹8.5-9.0
    Medium
    Volume
    Annual Volume Growth
    10% or more
    High
    Capacity
    New CNG Stations
    80
    High

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Declining APM Gas Allocation

    APM allocation has dropped from 80-90% historically to ~35%, forcing reliance on expensive spot and term contracts.Management acknowledged

    high

    Exchange Rate Volatility

    A ₹2 movement in the exchange rate contributed to a ₹0.50 per SCM increase in gas costs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Alternate Fuel Price Competition

    Lower bulk LPG prices have compressed margins in the Industrial & Commercial segment by at least ₹2 per SCM.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Specific proportion of CBG in the gas mix
    • Tentative plans for listing new business investments like IBC

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “Gas mix. As we have grown in volumes, the weighted average cost has gone up because of catering through spot RLNG and HPHT. Some amount of NWG has also come down compared to Q1.”

    Reveals the structural challenge of declining low-cost APM gas allocation and the resulting impact on unit economics.

    asked by Probal Sen, ICICI Securities

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Margin Compression and Gas Sourcing Mix

    MGL faced significant margin pressure in Q2 FY26, with EBITDA per SCM falling to approximately ₹8.0 from ₹9.68 in the previous quarter. This was primarily driven by a sharp reduction in APM gas allocation, which now covers only about 35% of domestic requirements compared to 80-90% historically. To bridge the gap, the company increased its reliance on higher-cost sources including HPHT gas, New Well Gas (NWG), and spot RLNG. Additionally, a ₹2 depreciation in the exchange rate added roughly ₹0.50 per SCM to procurement costs, while lower alternate fuel prices (LPG) impacted realizations in the I&C segment.

    02

    Robust Volume Growth Trajectory

    Despite margin headwinds, MGL achieved strong volume growth, with overall average sales reaching 4.593 MMSCMD, a 9.22% YoY increase. The Industrial & Commercial (I&C) segment was a standout performer, growing 8.45% sequentially to 0.757 MMSCMD. CNG volumes also showed steady growth of 2.19% QoQ, supported by the addition of 27,150 CNG vehicles during the quarter. Management remains confident in maintaining this momentum, targeting 10% or higher volume growth for the full financial year.

    03

    Infrastructure Expansion and Capex Guidance

    The company is aggressively expanding its infrastructure to support future growth, laying 87.4 km of pipeline in Q2 to reach a total length of over 8,061 km. MGL added 14 CNG stations during the quarter, bringing the total to 485, and is on track to add approximately 80 stations for the full year. Total group capex for FY26 is guided at ₹1,100 to ₹1,200 crores, with ₹900-1,000 crores allocated to MGL's three original Geographical Areas (GAs) and ₹150-200 crores for the newly amalgamated UEPL GAs.

    04

    Strategic Response to EV Policy and Competition

    Management addressed concerns regarding the Maharashtra EV policy, noting that while targets are defined, implementation mechanisms remain unclear. In the core Mumbai market, EV penetration in the 3-wheeler segment remains negligible due to severe constraints in parking and charging infrastructure. MGL is countering potential EV competition by launching new incentive schemes, such as the 'fleet program,' which offers digital loyalty incentives and slabs of discounts for transporters and bulk consumers to encourage CNG adoption and retrofitment.

    05

    Merger Synergies and Tax Benefits

    The amalgamation of Unison Enviro Private Limited (UEPL) with MGL is now effective, and all financial reporting has been restated to reflect the consolidated entity. Beyond operational synergies, the merger is expected to yield significant tax benefits. Management estimates that approximately ₹35 crores in income tax benefits will accrue over the next two years due to the ability to depreciate license costs and utilize UEPL's accumulated losses. While UEPL's current EBITDA per SCM of ~₹7 is slightly lower than MGL's, its high volume growth of 30-35% is expected to drive overhead absorption and margin alignment over time.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.