Detailed Narrative
Strategic Shift in Lending Business and AUM Impact
One 97 has proactively shifted its lending strategy, leading to a significant reduction in partner AUM by over 40% as existing lenders opted to forego DLG-based math. This change resulted in new disbursements under DLG being significantly lower. Despite this, both personal and merchant loans demonstrated growth in revenue and disbursals last quarter, with the mix remaining consistent. The company emphasizes its role as a fee-based income distributor, not an owner of the loan book.
Robust Payment Business Profitability and Expansion
The core payment services business has achieved breakeven and is now considered profitable, excluding UPI MDR. This segment, encompassing subscriptions and interchange MDR, is expected to become a 'large profit from payment' driver. The company's full-stack ownership of hardware and software, including card-acquiring machines and QR codes supporting RuPay credit cards, provides a competitive edge. They are actively deploying 'roughly a million plus' POS machines, including advanced card soundboxes, and expanding into enterprise clients.
Strong Margin Expansion and Cost Efficiency
The company reported a 60% contribution margin for the quarter, a substantial increase from 50% in the prior year. Indirect expenses have been reduced by 30-35% from their peak levels, reflecting significant cost efficiency gains. Management guided for future contribution margins in the 'high 50s' and anticipates 'significant improvements' in EBITDA margin from the current 4% by the end of the financial year, driven by revenue growth (31% like-for-like, 28% headline) outpacing indirect expense growth.
POS Market Leadership and Pricing Power
One 97 has maintained or increased its POS market share, exceeding the 78% previously reported by RBI for PPPL. The company successfully implemented price increases, raising charges from Rs 100 to Rs 129, demonstrating 'reverse elasticity' due to the superior quality and robustness of its products compared to competitors. This pricing power is attributed to its differentiated full-stack offering, including proprietary hardware, software, and strong bank relationships.
Leadership Transition and Strategic Focus
Mr. Madhur Deora is transitioning from his board role to dedicate his bandwidth to driving key business initiatives, with a General Counsel being nominated to enhance compliance. This move aligns with the company's intensified focus on core merchant payments, which is considered the primary growth area. Merchant lending continues to be a strong performer, while the recovery of personal loans and BNPL products is anticipated in 'two, three, four quarters' pending resolution of regulatory issues related to small-ticket loans (<Rs 50,000).
Future Growth Drivers and Innovation
The company sees 4-5x growth potential remaining in the payment sector, driven by UPI expansion, merchant base expansion, and online merchant farming. It is also exploring non-linear growth opportunities in consumer products like BNPL and wallet, with some initiatives in pilot stages. Innovation in EMI financing, leveraging multiple subvention parties and offering card benefits to small merchants, is a key differentiator. The company is also focused on integrating AI across all customer products and internal processes.