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    RBL Bank

    RBLBANKGood
    Financial Services·20 Jul 2024
    Management Summary

    RBL Bank reported a strong Q1 FY25, demonstrating healthy growth in advances and granular deposits, coupled with improved NII and net profit. While asset quality saw some pressure from collection migration in credit cards and microfinance, management expects stabilization by Q3. The bank remains on track with its Vision 2026 objectives, focusing on profitable sourcing and maintaining capital adequacy.

    Highlights

    8
    • Advances grew 19% Y-o-Y and 3% sequentially, with retail advances up 31% Y-o-Y and 9% sequentially.

    • Granular deposits (less than INR3 crores) reached 49.3% of total, growing 25% Y-o-Y and 5% sequentially.

    • Net Interest Income (NII) was INR1,700 crores, a 20% Y-o-Y and 6% sequential increase.

    • Net Profit for the quarter stood at INR372 crores, up 29% Y-o-Y and 5% sequentially.

    • Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) improved to 2.69% from 3.22% a year ago, while Net NPA remained steady at 0.74%.

    • Credit cost for the quarter was 59 bps, compared to 53 bps in the previous quarter, partly due to collection migration in cards.

    • Cost-to-income ratio improved to 65.7% from 69.3% in Q1 last year, despite some transition-related costs.

    • Contingent provisions of INR283 crores (1% of book) are held on credit cards and microfinance for cushion against downturns.

    What Changed3

    vs Q3 FY25

    Tone shiftMixed → GoodGuidance items13 → 20 (+7)Risks discussed4 → 5 (+1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    10 metrics
    1. 01NII₹1,700 Cr+20%YoY
    2. 02Net Profit₹372 Cr+29.0%YoY
    3. 03GNPA2.7%-16.5%YoY
    4. 04NNPA74%0%QoQ
    5. 05Advances Growth19%+3%QoQ

    Guidance & targets

    20
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Deposits
    Overall Total Deposits Growth
    18-20% range
    High
    Deposits
    Granular Deposit Growth
    23-25% range
    High
    Deposits
    Granular Deposit Share
    50% plus
    Medium
    Balance Sheet
    Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR)
    83-85% range
    High
    Asset Quality
    Slippages (Cards & Microfinance)
    stabilize and improve
    Medium
    Asset Quality
    Slippages (Microfinance)
    flattish over Q1
    Medium
    Operating Costs
    Cost Growth
    lower than advances and balance sheet growth
    Medium
    Operating Costs
    Business Acquisition and Collections Cost Trend
    downward from Q3 onwards, more in line with advances growth
    Medium
    Credit Costs
    Credit Costs Range
    2.1-2.2%
    High
    Credit Costs
    Credit Costs for the year
    1.75-2.25% (higher end)
    Medium
    Profitability
    ROE/ROA Growth
    around 20% over last year
    Medium
    Profitability
    Exit ROA
    1.15% range
    Medium
    Profitability
    Margins
    flattish in Q2, then slightly improve in H2
    Medium
    Operating Efficiency
    Cost-to-Income Ratio Reduction
    2-3% per annum reduction
    Medium
    Sourcing Strategy
    Non-DSA Sourcing Share
    50%
    Medium
    Branch Expansion
    RBL Finserve (RFL) Subsidiary Branches
    around 200 branches
    Medium
    Capital
    Tier 2 Capital Raise
    raise
    High
    Capital
    Equity Capital Raise
    yes
    Medium
    Capital
    Equity Capital Raise (Immediate)
    no
    High
    Capital
    Operational Risk RWA Impact on Capital
    burn around 20-25 bps
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Increased slippages and costs due to collection migration in credit cards

    INR60 crores increase in slippages compared to Q4, with spillover expected in Q2, but stabilization anticipated from Q3 onwards.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Microfinance slippages not yet at early last year levels

    Slippages in microfinance were lower versus Q4 FY'24, but still not at the levels seen in the early parts of last year.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of elections and heatwave on collection efficiencies and microfinance disbursements

    Collection efficiencies saw a dip in April and May due to election disruption, but have been improving since. Microfinance disbursements were lower due to elections and general Q1 weakness.Management acknowledged

    low

    One-time increase in operational risk RWA impacting CET1 ratio

    CET1 ratio declined due to a one-time impact from increased operational risk RWA, but management expects to drive efficiencies and the step-up increase will not happen for the rest of the year.Management acknowledged

    low

    Sequential degrowth in CASA deposits due to seasonal flows and competition

    CASA deposits grew 3% Y-o-Y but degrew sequentially, attributed to seasonal year-end flows and deposit competition.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “the overall total deposits will grow by 18% range, 18% to 20% range and within that we are focusing on a granular deposit which for the last 3 or 4 quarters it is just holding around 25% to average of 25%. In our estimate, we may not go down below that granular deposit growth below 25%.”

    This question addresses the bank's ability to fund its loan growth given competitive deposit environment and provides specific targets for overall and granular deposit growth, as well as LDR.

    asked by Jai Mundhra, ICICI Securities

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Growth in Advances and Granular Deposits

    RBL Bank reported robust advances growth of 19% year-on-year and 3% sequentially in Q1 FY25, driven significantly by retail advances which grew 31% Y-o-Y and 9% sequentially. Newer secured businesses like housing and rural vehicles showed impressive growth rates of 52% and 74% Y-o-Y respectively. On the deposit front, the bank's focus on granular deposits yielded strong results, with deposits less than INR3 crores growing 25% Y-o-Y and 5% sequentially, now constituting 49.3% of total deposits. Management aims to increase this share to over 50% in the coming quarters, supporting an overall deposit growth target of 18-20%.

    02

    Improved Profitability and Operational Efficiency

    The bank's Net Interest Income (NII) increased by 20% Y-o-Y and 6% sequentially to INR1,700 crores, contributing to a 19% Y-o-Y rise in total income to INR2,505 crores. Net Profit for the quarter grew 29% Y-o-Y and 5% sequentially, reaching INR372 crores, with ROAs at 1.14% and ROES at 9.88%. Operational efficiency also saw improvement, with the cost-to-income ratio decreasing to 65.7% from 69.3% in Q1 last year. Management expects cost growth to be lower than advances growth this year and aims for a 2-3% per annum reduction in the cost-to-income ratio.

    03

    Asset Quality Challenges and Outlook

    Asset quality showed mixed trends. While GNPA improved to 2.69% from 3.22% a year ago, and NNPA remained stable at 0.74%, the bank experienced an increase in slippages in Q1. Credit card slippages were INR400 crores and microfinance slippages were INR136 crores, partly due to the transition of collections for co-branded cards and general Q1 weakness. Management anticipates some spillover impact in Q2 but expects stabilization and improvement in slippages from Q3 onwards. The bank maintains contingent provisions of INR283 crores (1% of book) for credit cards and microfinance as a cushion.

    04

    Capital Adequacy and Strategic Initiatives

    The bank's total capital stood at 15.56% and CET1 ratio at 13.85% as of June 2024. The CET1 ratio saw a one-time📎 impact from an increase in operational risk RWA, which management expects to normalize. RBL Bank plans to raise Tier 2 capital this year and may raise equity capital before August of next year, though there are no immediate plans for an equity raise in the near term. Strategic initiatives include diversifying sourcing to achieve 50% non-DSA based origination and expanding the RBL Finserve subsidiary to around 200 branches to drive retail product sourcing.

    05

    Margin Trajectory and Credit Cost Guidance

    The bank's margins were flattish sequentially in Q1, excluding a one-time📎 tax interest refund of INR68-70 crores. Management expects margins to remain flattish in Q2, followed by a slight improvement in the second half of the year, driven by a focus on better risk-adjusted returns across portfolios. For credit costs, the guidance for FY25 is in the range of 2.1-2.2%, with the first half expected to be similar to Q1 and a pull-down anticipated in the second half, aiming for the higher end of the 1.75-2.25% range for the full year.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.