Skip to content
    AAL
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    American Airlines Group Inc. AAL

    Jul 23, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    American Airlines Group Q2 FY26 — Record Revenue Despite Fuel Headwinds

    American Airlines delivered record revenue in Q2 FY26, driven by robust demand across all cabins and regions, and strong execution of its four-pillar commercial strategy. Despite significant fuel headwinds, the company demonstrated strong cost discipline and liquidity. Management remains confident in its ability to expand margins and generate sustained free cash flow as fuel prices normalize, positioning American for long-term value creation.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved record quarterly revenue with more than 16% year-over-year growth.

    • Premium revenue outpaced non-premium, increasing 19% year-over-year, driven by strong leisure and corporate demand.

    • AAdvantage program enrollments grew over 30% year-over-year, surpassing record growth from Q1.

    • Ended the quarter with over $11 billion in available liquidity.

    • Managed corporate revenue increased 26% over the prior year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.

    Concerns

    4
    • Fuel expense increased by over $2.2 billion or 83% year-over-year in Q2.

    • Expected Q3 fuel expense increased by more than $700 million since early July, leading to a $1.7 billion year-over-year increase.

    • Full-year adjusted EPS guidance revised to a wider range of a loss of $0.65 to a profit of $0.65 per diluted share due to fuel volatility.

    • Q3 capacity reduced by approximately 2 points at the midpoint of original plan due to elevated fuel prices.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year adjusted earnings
    breakeven at the midpoint
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q3 FY26 Average Fuel Price
    $3.75 per gallon
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 Capacity Growth
    3% to 5% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 CASM-ex Growth
    2.5% to 4.5% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 Revenue Growth
    16% to 19% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 Adjusted Loss Per Diluted Share
    $0.70 to $0.10
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted EPS
    loss of $0.65 to a profit of $0.65 per diluted share
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Capital Expenditures
    approximately $4 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    FY27 Capital Expenditures
    around $4.5 billion
    medium materiality
    Medium
    CASM-ex Growth (mid-single digit capacity growth)
    around low single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Domestic
    Washington National, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Los Angeles were standouts.
    Unit revenue growth: nearly 11% year-over-year
    Atlantic
    Led by London, with London unit revenue up 20% in the quarter. New routes to Budapest and Prague from Philadelphia, and Athens from DFW are hitting projections.
    Unit revenue growth: approximately 9% year-over-year
    Pacific
    Japan performance was noteworthy. Upgauged a number of Asia routes out of DFW.
    Unit revenue growth: 15% year-over-year
    Latin America
    Key by recovery of Mexico beach demand. Central America was strong. Resumed service to Venezuela (Caracas and Maracaibo).
    Unit revenue growth: approximately 7% year-over-year
    Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) Hub
    Rebank schedule implemented in April driving improvements. Misconnects across the system are down nearly 25% year-over-year. Satisfaction scores are up.
    Unit revenue outperformance vs system average: approximately 4 points

    Operational metrics

    25
    Fuel expense increase
    $2.2 billion83% year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Company recovered nearly half of this increase with strong revenue performance.

    Nonfuel unit cost growth
    under 3%year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects focus on efficiency.

    Available liquidity
    $11.3 billion
    Q2 FY26 end

    Bolstered by several financings during the quarter.

    Total revenue growth
    16.3%year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Came in at the high end of initial guidance.

    Net Promoter Score (NPS)
    5 pointsincreased year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    For on-time flights, NPS improved for the 15th time in 17 months.

    ACSI survey improvement
    7%year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    One of the strongest gains in the industry.

    Premium capacity growth
    nearly twice as fastvs main cabin capacity
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by new deliveries and fleet retrofit programs.

    Misconnects across the system
    nearly 25%down year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Result of significant changes to the bank structure at DFW.

    Premium unit revenue growth
    more than 13%year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by strong leisure and corporate demand.

    Main Cabin unit revenue growth
    nearly 9%increased year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Accelerated during the quarter.

    Upsell rates from Basic Economy to Main Cabin
    5 pointsincrease
    Q2 FY26

    Following enhancements to product attributes.

    Managed corporate revenue growth
    26%over prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.

    AAdvantage program enrollments growth
    more than 30%year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Surpassing record growth from Q1. Biggest growth in NYC, Chicago, LA, and international markets (e.g., London doubled).

    Co-branded credit card spend growth
    8%year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Card performance remained encouraging.

    Expected Q3 fuel expense increase
    $1.7 billionyear-over-year
    Q3 FY26

    Based on forward curve as of July 21.

    Expected full year fuel headwind
    $6 billionyear-over-year
    FY26

    Anticipated increase in fuel costs.

    Aircraft deliveries
    48
    FY26

    New aircraft expected this year.

    Net debt
    lowerthan at start of year
    FY26 end

    Expected at the midpoint of current 2026 guide.

    Total debt target
    inside $35 billion
    Longer term

    Long-term balance sheet goal.

    Net debt target
    well inside $30 billion
    Longer term

    Long-term balance sheet goal.

    Net debt to EBITDA target
    inside 3 turns
    Longer term

    Required to achieve BB credit rating.

    Premium seat growth
    5%
    FY26

    Non-premium seats growing 3%.

    Non-premium seat growth
    3%
    FY26

    Premium seat growth 5%.

    Revenue from households making $150K+
    nearly 60%
    Q2 FY26

    Of total revenue, indicating demand resilience.

    Fuel supplied from Gulf
    around 65%
    Current

    Flexibility to minimize price where possible.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Fuel$3.75per gallon
    Casm ex2.5% to 4.5%%
    Capacity3% to 5%%
    Fleet mro48new aircraft
    Unit revenuestronger
    Loyalty co brandmore than 30%%
    Demand indicatorsstrong
    Premium diverse revenue mix19%%

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    StarLink Wi-Filaunch
    A320 and A319 retrofit programsupdate
    777 modification programupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    CitiExclusive co-branded credit card partnership10-year agreement

    The partnership is essential to American's loyalty offering, with card performance remaining encouraging and spend growing 8% year-over-year. Management is excited about its potential.

    Capital programs

    1
    Fleet retrofit programs (777-300s, 777-200s, A320s, A319s)on schedule

    Benefit: Expand premium seating and improve customer experience

    These programs support the strategy to expand premium seating and improve the customer experience. They are increasing the number of first-class seats domestically and premium leisure, as well as reconfiguring 787-8s.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Elevated Fuel PricesQ2 FY26, Q3 FY26, FY26

    Q2 fuel expense up $2.2 billion (83% YoY); Q3 expected to be up $1.7 billion YoY; full-year expected $6 billion YoY headwind.

    Mitigation: Strong revenue performance (offset nearly 50% of Q2 increase); capacity reductions (Q3 capacity down 2 points at midpoint); focus on efficiency and cost management; fuel procurement team minimizing price; operations team managing fuel burn.

    Fuel Price VolatilityQ3 FY26, remainder of FY26

    Q3 fuel expense forecast increased by over $700 million since early July, and $230 million in the last week.

    Mitigation: Wider guidance ranges for Q3 adjusted EPS; continuous evaluation of capacity levels based on fuel prices and demand trends; American is 'well poised to operate in an environment of volatility'.

    Labor Agreement NegotiationsFY27

    Pilot agreement becomes amendable in August 2027; pilot increase in January 2027.

    Mitigation: American has labor cost certainty with market-based wages already baked in; focus on revenue production to offset potential cost increases.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Q3 Fuel Expense Impact

    next quarter
    CurrentExpected $1.7B YoY increase
    TargetActual impact vs. guidance

    Why it matters

    Fuel expense is the primary headwind impacting profitability and guidance revisions. Verifying the actual impact against the guided increase will show if volatility has stabilized or worsened.

    Based on the forward curve as of July 21, we expect an average fuel price of approximately $3.75 per gallon in the third quarter, resulting in a $1.7 billion year-over-year increase in fuel expense in the quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Given the fuel volatility and American's position as a low-margin producer, why isn't there a greater sense of urgency to cut capacity? How does this shape intermediate-term views?

    Robert Isom stated that American matches its network and capacity to the demand environment and reacts quickly to volatility. They adjusted Q3 capacity and are diligently reviewing Q4. He noted that just weeks prior, the fuel forecast was significantly better, impacting near-term expectations.

    American has always been smart and quick about reacting, and we're going to do the same and follow the same as we go forward.

    asked by Duane Pfennigwerth · answered by Robert Isom

    2 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Commercial Strategy Driving Revenue Growth

    American's four-pillar commercial strategy, focused on elevating customer experience, growing the global network, driving premium revenue, and leading in loyalty, is producing meaningful results. The company achieved record quarterly revenue with over 16% year-over-year growth, offsetting nearly 50% of the $2.2 billion year-over-year increase in fuel expense. This broad-based performance reflects robust demand and an improving pricing environment across all entities and cabins.

    02

    Operational Efficiency and Liquidity

    Despite significant fuel headwinds, American held nonfuel year-over-year unit cost growth to under 3%, demonstrating strong efficiency. The company ended the second quarter with over $11 billion in available liquidity, bolstered by recent financings. Management emphasized its commitment to reducing debt, lowering interest expense, and achieving leverage objectives, with positive free cash flow expected for the full year.

    03

    Premium and Loyalty Momentum

    Premium revenue continues to outpace non-premium, increasing 19% year-over-year, driven by strong leisure and corporate demand. Managed corporate revenue was up 26% over the prior year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. The AAdvantage program saw record enrollment growth of over 30% year-over-year, with significant gains in key markets like New York City, Chicago, and Los Angeles, and international traction.

    04

    Network Optimization and International Expansion

    American is focused on maximizing hub performance through targeted rational growth. Significant changes to the bank structure at Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) in April led to a nearly 25% year-over-year reduction in misconnects and DFW unit revenue outperforming the system average by approximately 4 points. The company also bolstered its international position with new routes to Budapest, Prague, Athens, and resumed service to Venezuela, leveraging its industry-leading Latin American network.

    05

    Fleet Modernization and Customer Experience Enhancements

    Investments in customer experience include new and retrofitted aircraft, expanded lounge footprints, and technology upgrades like StarLink Wi-Fi installation beginning in 2027. American increased premium economy capacity nearly twice as fast as main cabin capacity, aiming to capture higher-margin demand. Fleet retrofit programs on 777-300s, 777-200s, A320s, and A319s are on schedule to expand premium seating and improve the customer experience.

    06

    Fuel Volatility and Capacity Adjustments

    Fuel expense increased by over $2.2 billion year-over-year in Q2, and Q3 is expected to see a $1.7 billion year-over-year increase based on current forward curves. In response to elevated fuel prices, American reduced its Q3 capacity growth guidance by approximately 2 points at the midpoint, now expecting 3% to 5% year-over-year growth. The company will continue to evaluate capacity levels based on fuel prices and demand trends.

    07

    Long-Term Outlook and Balance Sheet Goals

    Despite near-term fuel-related challenges, American anticipates producing positive free cash flow for FY26 and ending the year with lower net debt. The company remains committed to achieving its long-term balance sheet goals of less than $35 billion total debt, net debt well inside $30 billion, and a BB credit rating, which requires net debt to EBITDA inside 3 turns. Management expects material margin expansion when fuel prices normalize, driven by revenue performance and cost execution.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.