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    AAPL
    Earnings call· Sep 2023(Q4 FY23)

    Apple Q4 FY23 earnings call AAPL

    Nov 2, 2023 Source

    Executive summary

    Apple Q4 FY23 — iPhone and Services Drive Record Revenue Amidst Macro Headwinds

    Apple delivered a resilient Q4 FY23, with record iPhone and Services revenue offsetting declines in Mac, iPad, and Wearables amidst an uneven macroeconomic environment and foreign exchange headwinds. The company continues to invest in innovation, including the upcoming Vision Pro and M3 chips, while maintaining a strong capital return program. Management is optimistic about the December quarter, expecting total revenue to be similar to last year despite one less week, driven by iPhone growth and an acceleration in Mac performance.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total revenue of $89.5 billion, down less than 1% YoY, grew on a constant currency basis.

    • iPhone revenue reached a September quarter record of $43.8 billion, up 3% YoY.

    • Services revenue set an all-time record of $22.3 billion, up 16% YoY, with broad-based growth across categories and geographies.

    • Company gross margin set a September quarter record at 45.2%, up 70 bps sequentially.

    • Diluted EPS was $1.46, up 13% YoY and a September quarter record.

    Concerns

    5
    • Mac revenue was $7.6 billion, down 34% YoY due to challenging market conditions and difficult compares.

    • iPad revenue was $6.4 billion, down 10% YoY, also impacted by difficult compares.

    • Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue was $9.3 billion, down 3% YoY.

    • Foreign exchange had a negative impact of over 2 percentage points on revenue.

    • iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max are currently supply constrained, though expected to balance by quarter-end.

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    December quarter total company revenue
    similar to last year
    high materiality
    Medium
    December quarter iPhone revenue
    grow year-over-year on an absolute basis
    high materiality
    Medium
    December quarter Mac year-over-year performance
    significantly accelerate from the September quarter
    medium materiality
    Medium
    December quarter iPad year-over-year revenue performance
    decelerate significantly from the September quarter
    medium materiality
    Medium
    December quarter Wearables, Home and Accessories year-over-year revenue performance
    decelerate significantly from the September quarter
    medium materiality
    Medium
    December quarter Services average revenue per week
    grow at a similar strong double-digit rate as it did during the September quarter
    high materiality
    Medium
    December quarter gross margin
    between 45% and 46%
    high materiality
    Medium
    December quarter Operating Expenses (OpEx)
    between $14.4 billion and $14.6 billion
    medium materiality
    Medium
    December quarter Other Income and Expense (OI&E)
    around negative $200 million
    low materiality
    Medium
    December quarter tax rate
    around 16%
    low materiality
    Medium
    Carbon neutrality goal
    every product across our lineup carbon-neutral by the end of the decade
    low materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    9
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Americas
    Set a September quarter record.
    grew year-over-year
    Greater China
    Grew in constant currency (FX impact nearly 6 points). iPhone set a September quarter record. Mac and iPad performance pulled down by difficult compares.
    $15.08B-2%
    India
    Achieved an all-time revenue record. Low share in a large market with significant headroom.
    very strong double digits
    Products
    Due to very challenging compares on Mac and iPad. iPhone reached a September quarter record.
    $67.2B-5%
    Services
    Set an all-time record. Broad-based performance with new records in every category and geographic segment.
    $22.3B16%accelerating sequentially from the June quarter
    iPhone
    New September quarter record, ahead of expectations. Strong performance in several markets including an all-time record in India and September quarter records in Canada, Latin America, the Middle East and South Asia.
    $43.8B3%
    Mac
    Driven by challenging market conditions and difficult compares against supply disruptions and subsequent demand recapture a year ago. Also affected by launch timing differences.
    $7.6B-34%
    iPad
    Similar to Mac, results were a function of difficult compares from supply disruptions and subsequent fulfillment of pent-up demand in the prior year's September quarter.
    $6.4B-10%
    Wearables, Home and Accessories
    September quarter record in Europe and strong performance in several emerging markets.
    $9.3B-3%

    Operational metrics

    35
    Total revenue
    $89.5Bdown less than 1% YoY
    Q4 FY23

    Achieved an all-time revenue record in India and September quarter records in several countries.

    Company gross margin
    45.2%up 70 bps sequentially
    Q4 FY23

    Strong levels of gross margin, starting from a better position than a year ago.

    Products gross margin
    36.6%up 120 bps sequentially
    Q4 FY23

    Improved costs and mix on the product side contributing to margin expansion.

    Services gross margin
    70.9%up 40 bps from last quarter
    Q4 FY23

    Services gross margins are accretive to total company gross margin.

    Operating expenses
    $13.5Bup 2% YoY
    Q4 FY23

    Reflects continued investment in the future and long-term management.

    Net income
    $23B
    Q4 FY23

    Strong financial performance for the quarter.

    Diluted earnings per share
    $1.46up 13% vs last year
    Q4 FY23

    Record EPS for the September quarter.

    Cash and marketable securities
    over $162B
    Q4 FY23

    Strong liquidity position.

    Total debt
    $111B
    Q4 FY23

    Increased commercial paper by $2 billion.

    Net cash
    $51B
    Q4 FY23

    Goal of becoming net cash-neutral over time remains unchanged.

    Total capital returned to shareholders
    nearly $25B
    Q4 FY23

    Includes dividends and share repurchases.

    Dividends and equivalents
    $3.8B
    Q4 FY23

    Part of the capital return program.

    Open market share repurchases
    $15.5B
    Q4 FY23

    Significant share repurchase activity.

    Accelerated Share Repurchase (ASR) program
    $5B
    Q4 FY23

    Initiated in August, resulting in initial share delivery and retirement.

    Annual revenue
    $383Bdown 3% from prior year
    FY23

    Year-over-year revenue performance improved each quarter through the year.

    Emerging markets revenue
    all-time recorddouble-digit growth in constant currency
    FY23

    Strong momentum and opportunity in emerging markets.

    Foreign exchange impact on December quarter revenue
    negative 1 percentage pointYoY
    Q1 FY24

    Expected FX headwind for the upcoming quarter.

    Extra week revenue contribution (prior year)
    approximately 7 percentage points
    Q1 FY23

    The December quarter last year spanned 14 weeks, adding 7 percentage points to total revenue.

    Cash dividend per share
    $0.24
    Q4 FY23

    Declared by the Board of Directors.

    iPhone active installed base
    new all-time high
    Q4 FY23

    Fiscal 2023 was another record year for switchers.

    Mac installed base
    all-time high
    Q4 FY23

    Half of Mac buyers during the quarter were new to the product, driven by MacBook Air.

    iPad new customers
    over half
    Q4 FY23

    Over half of customers who purchased iPads during the quarter were new to the product.

    Apple Watch new customers
    nearly 2/3
    Q4 FY23

    Nearly two-thirds of customers purchasing an Apple Watch during the quarter were new to the product.

    Installed base of active devices
    over 2 billioncontinues to grow at a nice pace
    Q4 FY23

    Establishes a solid foundation for the future expansion of the ecosystem.

    Transacting accounts
    new all-time highgrew double digits YoY
    Q4 FY23

    Increased customer engagement with Services.

    Paid accounts
    new all-time highgrew double digits YoY
    Q4 FY23

    Increased customer engagement with Services.

    Paid subscriptions
    well over 1 billionnearly double the number we had only 3 years ago
    Q4 FY23

    Strong growth in paid subscriptions across the platform.

    iPhone customer satisfaction (U.S.)
    98%
    Q4 FY23

    Extremely high levels of customer satisfaction.

    Mac customer satisfaction (U.S.)
    97%
    Q4 FY23

    High customer satisfaction for Mac products.

    iPad customer satisfaction (U.S.)
    98%
    Q4 FY23

    High customer satisfaction for iPad products.

    Apple Watch customer satisfaction (U.S.)
    97%
    Q4 FY23

    High customer satisfaction for Apple Watch products.

    Apple TV+ award nominations
    nearly 1,600
    since launch

    Reflects the quality of content on Apple TV+.

    Apple TV+ award wins
    nearly 400
    since launch

    Reflects the quality of content on Apple TV+.

    MLS Season Pass subscriptions
    exceeded our expectations
    first year

    Successful partnership with Major League Soccer.

    Suppliers committed to 100% clean energy for Apple production
    over 300
    by 2030

    Part of Apple's environmental goals.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Capital return FCFnearly $25BUSD
    Gross margin drivers45.2%%
    Company specific kpis
    Market share commentarygained share
    Component supply constraintsconstrained
    Installed base refresh runwayall-time high
    Revenue mix by end market segment

    Product announcements

    8
    ProductTypeDetails
    Apple Vision Proroadmap
    iPhone 15 lineuplaunch
    M3 chips (M3, M3 Pro, M3 Max)launch
    Apple Watch Series 9 and Apple Watch Ultra 2launch
    iOS 17update
    macOS Sonomaupdate
    iPadOS 17update
    watchOS 10update

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Uneven macroeconomic environmentQ4 FY23

    impacted revenue growth

    Mitigation: Navigated by investing in the future, managing for the long term, adapting continuously, and being thoughtful on spending.

    Foreign exchange headwindsQ4 FY23 and Q1 FY24

    negative impact of over 2 percentage points on Q4 FY23 revenue; expected negative 1 percentage point YoY revenue impact for December quarter

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but management acknowledges and factors into guidance.

    Challenging market conditions for Mac and iPadQ4 FY23

    Mac revenue down 34% YoY; iPad revenue down 10% YoY

    Mitigation: New M3 chips for Mac and iMac expected to accelerate performance in Q1 FY24. iPad continues to attract new customers.

    Difficult year-over-year compares for Mac and iPadQ4 FY23

    Mac revenue down 34% YoY; iPad revenue down 10% YoY

    Mitigation: Prior year benefited from demand recapture after supply disruptions. New product launches (M3 Macs) expected to improve performance in Q1 FY24.

    Supply constraints for iPhone 15 Pro and Pro MaxQ4 FY23, early Q1 FY24

    constrained today

    Mitigation: Working hard to get products to customers; expect to be in supply-demand balance by the end of the December quarter.

    One less week in December quarter this yearQ1 FY24

    December quarter this year will last 13 weeks, whereas last year spanned 14 weeks (added ~7 percentage points to revenue)

    Mitigation: Despite this, total company revenue expected to be similar to last year, and iPhone revenue expected to grow after normalizing for this and prior year supply disruptions.

    Deceleration in iPad and Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue performanceQ1 FY24

    expected to decelerate significantly from the September quarter

    Mitigation: Due to different timing of product launches compared to the prior year. No specific mitigation mentioned beyond acknowledging the timing difference.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Is demand for storage driving a mix shift to higher storage iPhone models, or are consumers opting for iCloud+? What are the strategic and financial considerations?

    Apple started the iPhone Pro Max line at 256GB this year, leading to a different mix compared to last year. Beyond that, no significant changes in storage mix were observed.

    As you probably know, we started the line with the iPhone Pro Max at 256, and so we are seeing a different mix, if you will, this year than last year. Outside of that, not significant changes.

    asked by Michael Ng · answered by Timothy Cook

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    iPhone Performance and Product Launch

    iPhone revenue reached a September quarter record of $43.8 billion, marking a 3% year-over-year increase. This was ahead of expectations, with strong performance in emerging markets like India (all-time record) and China Mainland (September quarter record). The new iPhone 15 lineup, including the iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max with A17 Pro chip and titanium design, has received positive customer reviews. While the Pro models are currently supply-constrained, Apple expects to achieve supply-demand balance by the end of the December quarter.

    02

    Services Business Momentum

    Services revenue achieved an all-time record of $22.3 billion, growing 16% year-over-year, accelerating from the prior quarter. This growth was broad-based, with all-time records in the Americas, Europe, and Rest of Asia Pacific, and a September quarter record in Greater China. All Services categories, including App Store, advertising, AppleCare, iCloud, payment services, and video, set new records. The installed base of over 2 billion active devices continues to grow, driving increased customer engagement, transacting accounts, paid accounts, and over 1 billion paid subscriptions across the platform.

    03

    Mac and iPad Challenges and Outlook

    Mac revenue declined 34% year-over-year to $7.6 billion, and iPad revenue decreased 10% year-over-year to $6.4 billion. These declines were attributed to challenging market conditions and difficult year-over-year compares due to supply disruptions in the prior year's June quarter and subsequent demand recapture in the September quarter. Despite the current quarter's performance, Apple is optimistic about the Mac lineup, particularly with the recent launch of M3-powered MacBook Pro and iMac, expecting a significant acceleration in year-over-year performance for the December quarter.

    04

    Emerging Markets Expansion

    Apple achieved an all-time revenue record in India and September quarter records in several other countries, including Brazil, Canada, France, Indonesia, Mexico, the Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, UAE, and Vietnam. Emerging markets saw double-digit growth in both iPhone and Services. The company is expanding its direct presence in these markets, with new retail stores in India and online stores in Vietnam and Chile, and continues to offer affordability programs to serve customers effectively. Fiscal 2023 marked an all-time record for revenue in emerging markets.

    05

    Innovation and AI Investment

    Apple continues to invest heavily in innovation, with R&D expenditures increasing. Key areas of investment include Apple Vision Pro, which is generating excitement among developers, and AI/Machine Learning, which is integral to virtually every product. Features like Personal Voice and Live Voicemail in iOS 17, and life-saving features on Apple Watch and iPhone, are powered by AI. The company is also actively working on generative AI, with plans to integrate these technologies responsibly into future product advancements. The transition to internal silicon (Apple Silicon) has enabled the development of products that would not be possible otherwise, reinforcing Apple's strategy to own primary technologies.

    06

    Environmental Initiatives

    Apple is committed to environmental sustainability, with its first-ever carbon-neutral products launched this quarter. The company aims to make every product across its lineup carbon-neutral by the end of the decade. Over 300 suppliers have committed to using 100% clean energy for Apple production by 2030. Apple also supports entrepreneurs in green technology and clean energy through its Impact Accelerator program.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.