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Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q2 FY26)· Financials· Feb 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Affirm Holdings Q2 FY26 — Strong GMV Growth and Diversification

Affirm delivered excellent Q2 FY26 results, driven by robust GMV growth, significant expansion in active cardholders, and strong ABS market execution. The company continues to diversify its merchant base and product offerings, including the Affirm Card and international expansion. Management remains focused on regulatory stability and leveraging its platform for new partnerships, while acknowledging expected GMV growth deceleration in the coming quarters.

Highlights

5
  • GMV grew 36% year-over-year.

  • Active cardholders increased 121% year-over-year.

  • 0% deals on the Card grew 190% year-over-year.

  • ABS deal priced with a spread under 100 basis points and weighted average yield of 4.6%.

  • Active merchant count increased 42% year-over-year.

Concerns

3
  • GMV growth is expected to decelerate to 30% in Q3 and 25% in Q4 FY26.

  • Top 5 merchants' growth rate is blending down, impacted by a large merchant partner transition.

  • Loss provisions ticked up a few basis points.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
RLTC take rates
slightly above 4%
medium materiality
High
RLTC take rates
slightly above 4%
medium materiality
High
GMV growth
30%
high materiality
High
GMV growth
25%
high materiality
High
FY26 Adjusted Operating Margin
margin expansion
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Top 5 Merchants
Growth rate for top 5 merchants, impacted by a large merchant partner transitioning off, leading to a new subset of top 5 merchants.
GMV growth: 23%
—23%——
Other Category (GMV)
Represents the long tail of smaller merchants and wallet partnerships, showing significant diversification and high growth.
GMV contribution: 15% of total
—triple digits——

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Investor Forummilestone
Bank Charter Applicationmilestone
Rent Payment Testlaunch
Boost AIlaunch

Deals & partnerships

Shopify partnership

Announcement was 'a little while ago,' scaling in the U.K.

Wayfair partnership

Live in the U.K. in beta. Long-time partner in the U.S.

[indiscernible] partnership

Described as 'largest or certainly 1 of the first or second largest twice the company -- or selling company in U.K.'

QuickBooks Payments (Intuit) partnership

Integrates Affirm into invoices for services provided by small businesses through QuickBooks. Consumers can pay over time.

Fiserv partnership

Follows partnership with FIS. Aims to offer Affirm's platform to banks through their core banking software providers, enabling them to offer BNPL capabilities on debit cards.

FIS partnership

Fiserv partnership 'follows our partnership with FIS'.

Risks & headwinds

GMV growth deceleration Q3 FY26, Q4 FY26

30% in the third, 25% in the fourth quarter

Mitigation:No specific call-outs, but implies continued focus on diversification and product expansion. Acknowledged impact from a large retail partner transition.

Large merchant partner transition Q2 FY26 and ongoing

Impacted top 5 merchant growth (23%).

Mitigation:Diversification of merchant base, growth in 'other' category.

Loss provisions ticking up Q2 FY26

ticked up a few basis points

Mitigation:Management states consumer is healthy and credit is managed 'very, very attentively at all times' to optimize RLTC.

Q&A highlights

Inquiring about the dynamics of top 5 merchant growth (23%) versus overall GMV, and if the business is truly widening out given new merchant ads and transactions per active user.

Management clarified that the 'top 5' merchant list changes, making year-over-year comparisons difficult, especially with a large partner transitioning off. They emphasized overall business growth and diversification.

“the top 5 that we disclosed for Q2 of FY '26 is actually a different subset of merchants that we're comparing to in fiscal '25 in the same period. So I think all the more reason not to read too much into that stat.”

asked by Andrew Jeffrey · answered by Robert O'Hare

2 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Merchant Diversification and Growth

Affirm is seeing significant growth in its 'other' GMV category, which now represents 15% of total GMV and is growing triple digits. This category comprises a large number of smaller merchants, indicating a broadening of the business beyond its top partners. The company also reported a 42% year-over-year increase in active merchant count, partly driven by wallet partnerships, contributing to overall business diversification.

Affirm Card Performance

The Affirm Card continues to be a strong growth engine, with GMV up just under 10% year-over-year, active cardholders increasing 121%, and 0% deals on the Card growing 190% year-over-year. Management highlighted its strategic importance and plans for further development, noting its role in creating more 'die-hard users' and its personal focus for product development.

International Expansion

Affirm is actively expanding internationally, particularly in the U.K., with recent deals including Shopify and Wayfair. The company also announced a partnership with a major U.K. retailer. International growth is now consistent and exciting, with plans for expansion into more countries, indicating a significant driver for future growth.

Regulatory Stability and Bank Charter

Affirm has applied for an industrial loan company bank charter, viewing it as a long-term investment in regulatory certainty and stability. While the timeline for approval and operation is 'certainly years' and not guaranteed, the move aims to enhance regulatory posture and potentially unlock new products in the future, though it is not expected to impact short-term funding costs.

Funding Market and ABS Execution

The ABS market remains highly constructive, with Affirm recently pricing a deal with a spread under 100 basis points and a weighted average yield of 4.6%, levels not seen since 2021. Management noted strong demand from partners, often having to disappoint them on allocation, indicating market confidence in Affirm's ability to control credit outcomes and deliver returns.

New Vertical Exploration (Rent & Intuit)

Affirm is testing a very small rent payment product focused on time-shifting payments (e.g., splitting or moving due dates) rather than long-term installment plans, emphasizing its experimental nature. Separately, a partnership with Intuit will integrate Affirm into QuickBooks Payments, enabling consumers to pay for services from small providers over time, unlocking a new facet of transactions.

Agentic Commerce and AI Initiatives

Affirm is actively engaged in understanding and preparing for Agentic Commerce, believing its transparent, no-fee product offering will stand out as AI agents learn about financial products. The company also highlighted its 'Boost AI' product, which allows merchants to optimize 0% promotions through automated A/B testing for incremental dollars, acting more like an advertising model.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.