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Alnylam (ALNY) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Health Care· Apr 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Alnylam Q1 FY26 — first billion-dollar product-revenue quarter powered by TTR franchise

Alnylam's quarter was defined by the TTR franchise crossing the billion-dollar product-revenue line, with the ATTR-CM launch of AMVUTTRA one year in still showing rapid uptake, deepening first-line preference and unusually high real-world adherence for the class. Management framed the print as fully in line with the Q1 phasing it flagged in February — demand-led U.S. growth partly masked by fewer shipping weeks, insurance reauthorizations and a deliberate Germany price reset — and reiterated full-year guidance on the expectation of accelerating sequential growth. The forward stance leans on prescriber-base expansion, sustained category growth against a large untreated ATTR-CM population, and international CM launch ramps offsetting near-term PN-base repricing. Beyond TTR, the story is pipeline optionality: a 25+ program engine, the enrollment-expanded TRITON-CM study for next-generation nucresiran, and the new Alnylam 2030 framework, with management repeatedly stressing that its growth is not tethered to the timing of generic stabilizer entry.

Highlights

5
  • Combined net product revenues of $1.03B, up 121% YoY and 4% QoQ — Alnylam's first quarter exceeding $1B in product revenue

  • TTR franchise net revenues of $910M, up 153% YoY and 6% QoQ; U.S. TTR grew more than 230% YoY and 9% QoQ (a $59M sequential gain), international TTR up 35% YoY

  • Non-GAAP operating income of $339M, a more than 4x increase YoY, with a third consecutive quarter of both GAAP and non-GAAP profitability

  • Rare-disease revenue of $126M (+15% YoY) and royalty revenue of $49M (+85% YoY); cash, equivalents and marketable securities rose to $3B from $2.9B

  • Durable launch fundamentals: >90% AMVUTTRA adherence, >90% first-line access with most patients at $0 out-of-pocket, and 1,200+ new U.S. prescribers since last March

Concerns

5
  • International TTR revenue declined $7M QoQ, driven by the previously announced Germany price adjustment following ATTR-CM launch — the most significant international impact in Q1

  • Q1 carried anticipated headwinds: only 12 shipping 'Wednesdays' vs 14 in Q4, plus customary insurance-reauthorization dynamics that made January the weakest demand month

  • Product gross margin fell to 80% (down 5 points YoY) and is expected to keep declining through the year as the Sanofi royalty rate on AMVUTTRA resets and rises with volume

  • Collaboration revenue of $82M fell 17% YoY, lapping a $30M milestone payment received in Q1 2025

  • FY26 TTR guidance of $4.4B–$4.7B assumes significantly higher quarter-on-quarter growth over the balance of the year — the plan is back-end loaded

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
TTR product sales (full year)
$4.4 billion to $4.7 billion
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 financial guidance (overall)
Reiterated as presented on the prior earnings call
high materiality
High
TTR quarterly revenue trajectory
Significantly higher quarter-over-quarter growth in TTR revenues, both U.S. and worldwide, over the balance of the year
high materiality
High
International TTR growth contribution
Net positive growth from ex-U.S. starting in Q2, building through the year; full-year ex-U.S. growth contribution about the same net-net as last year
medium materiality
Medium
Product gross margin trajectory
Quarterly gross margin on product sales expected to decrease over the course of the year
medium materiality
High
R&D investment (long-term)
Invest approximately 30% of revenues in non-GAAP R&D through the period to 2030
high materiality
Medium
Pipeline scale target (Alnylam 2030)
RNAi delivery to at least 10 tissue types with over 40 programs in the clinic by end of 2030
high materiality
Medium
New-medicine target (Alnylam 2030)
Deliver at least 2 new transformative medicines beyond TTR with blockbuster potential
high materiality
Medium
Pipeline milestone (nucresiran / TRITON-CM)
Project to launch nucresiran by 2030, assuming positive data and regulatory approval
high materiality
Medium
Pipeline milestone (nucresiran / TRITON-PN)
TRITON-PN, if successful, has potential to support approval in hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy by 2028
medium materiality
Medium
U.S. shipping-week cadence
Q2 will have 13 Wednesdays, Q3 14, and Q4 13 (52 total for the year)
low materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
TTR franchise (AMVUTTRA + ONPATTRO)
Primary growth engine, driven by the U.S. ATTR-CM launch. Sequential U.S. gain achieved despite fewer shipping weeks (12 Wednesdays vs 14) and insurance-reauthorization dynamics; ex-U.S. dip driven by the Germany CM-launch price adjustment, offset by Japan and PN strength.
U.S. TTR growth YoY: >230%U.S. TTR growth QoQ: +9% ($59M increase over Q4)International TTR growth YoY: +35%International TTR change QoQ: -$7M (declined)AMVUTTRA adherence: >90%First-line access: >90% with $0 out-of-pocket for most patients
$910M+153%+6% (a $52M increase vs Q4)—
Rare disease portfolio
Growth driven by increased patient demand, partially offset by higher gross-to-net deductions across U.S. and international markets. Described as consistent, meaningful performance.
$126M+15%——
Collaboration revenue
Decrease primarily driven by a $30M milestone payment received from a partner (name indiscernible) in Q1 2025 that did not recur.
$82M-17%——
Royalty revenue
Increase driven by higher global sales of a royalty-bearing product (name indiscernible).
$49M+85%——

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Alnylam 2030 (five-year strategic vision)roadmap
RNA Roundtable-style pipeline webinar seriesupdate

Deals & partnerships

Sanofi licensing / royalty arrangement royalty rate on AMVUTTRA sales (resets each calendar year; rises with volume)

Alnylam pays Sanofi a royalty on AMVUTTRA sales; the rate resets annually and the average rate rises as cumulative sales grow through the year.

Regeneron collaboration

Regeneron has advanced an Alnylam-invented asset (name indiscernible) in myasthenia gravis; management called the myasthenia data compelling and deferred market detail to Regeneron.

American Heart Association and AI-diagnostics partners (names indiscernible) partnership (disease awareness / diagnosis)

New AI-enabled collaborations to drive TTR disease awareness and diagnosis, embedding AI diagnostics into real-world care pathways, plus support for an American Heart Association initiative.

Unnamed partner (name indiscernible) collaboration (milestone) $30M milestone payment (received Q1 2025)

A $30M milestone received in Q1 2025 did not recur, the primary driver of the collaboration-revenue decline.

Risks & headwinds

Ex-U.S. price adjustment following ATTR-CM launch (Germany most significant) Q1 FY26; expected to turn net-positive from Q2

International TTR revenue declined $7M QoQ; Germany was the largest Q1 international impact

Mitigation:Deliberate mix shift trading a smaller higher-priced PN segment for a larger CM population; CM volume expected to more than offset the PN-base repricing over time

Product gross-margin compression from rising Sanofi royalty Full-year 2026

Gross margin fell 5 points YoY to 80%; expected to decline further each quarter through 2026

Mitigation:Structural (royalty rate resets annually and rises with volume); offset by top-line growth and operating leverage

U.S. Q1 shipping-week and reauthorization headwinds Q1 FY26

12 Wednesdays in Q1 vs 14 in Q4 (an analyst suggested ~11% sequential headwind, which management did not confirm); January was the weakest demand month on insurance reauthorizations

Mitigation:Sequential demand improvement into February/March; Q2 13, Q3 14, Q4 13 Wednesdays support higher growth over the balance of the year

Back-end-loaded FY26 TTR guidance Full-year 2026

$4.4B–$4.7B FY26 TTR guidance requires significantly higher QoQ growth over the balance of the year vs $910M in Q1

Mitigation:Confidence in launch fundamentals, prescriber-base expansion, and favorable shipping-week cadence

Competitive entry into TTR silencer/stabilizer class 2026 and beyond

AstraZeneca TTR reportedly down 35% QoQ; CARDIO-TRANSFORM readout expected later this year; competitor priced slightly premium and after Alnylam

Mitigation:Established >75% PN new-patient share and >35% first-line CM use; HELIOS-B combination data already in the label; TRITON-CM to generate a rich silencer-on-stabilizer dataset

Generic stabilizer (tafamidis) entry following Pfizer settlement Multi-year

Impact characterized as rather limited; growth outlook not dependent on generic-entry timing

Mitigation:Large untreated category, nearly half of stabilizer patients continue to progress and need a silencer; Alnylam well ahead of any LOE considerations with broad first-line access

Collaboration revenue volatility Q1 FY26

Collaboration revenue $82M, down 17% YoY on non-recurrence of a $30M Q1 2025 milestone

Mitigation:Offset by 85% YoY growth in royalty revenue to $49M

Part B vs Part D reimbursement dynamics for injectables Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Quarterly subcutaneous dosing aligns with office-visit cadence; nearly 90% overall access and >90% first-line access with no step edits and $0 out-of-pocket; payers not showing price sensitivity

Q&A highlights

What is the experience driving the shift, are doctors starting second-line then moving to first-line, and how much do detailing and combination therapy contribute?

Management described a natural launch evolution: new prescribers start balanced first/second line; early second-line use reflects transitioning existing stabilizer-progressing patients, which normalizes over time, while growing experience drives increased first-line adoption. The business is now modestly weighted to first line; the key lever is expanding the prescriber base.

“Today, the business is modestly way towards first line. while second line remains an important and ongoing contributor to growth.”

asked by Ritu Baral · answered by Tolga Tanguler

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

First billion-dollar product-revenue quarter, led by TTR

Alnylam delivered $1.03 billion in combined net product revenues, up 121% YoY and 4% QoQ, its first quarter above $1 billion in product sales. The TTR franchise (AMVUTTRA plus ONPATTRO) contributed $910 million, up 153% YoY and 6% QoQ, while the rare-disease portfolio added $126 million (+15% YoY).

Management framed the quarter as evidence of a differentiated, durable innovation engine, noting six Alnylam-invented medicines now collectively generate several billion dollars in annual revenue reaching hundreds of thousands of patients.

U.S. ATTR-CM launch dynamics: first-line preference deepening

One year into the ATTR-CM launch, U.S. TTR revenue grew more than 230% YoY and 9% QoQ, a $59 million sequential gain achieved despite fewer shipping weeks and insurance-reauthorization dynamics. More than 1,200 unique new U.S. prescribers have adopted AMVUTTRA since last March.

Management described a natural second-line-to-first-line evolution: new prescribers initially balance first/second line, second-line use (switch or combo from progressing stabilizer patients) normalizes over time, and physician experience 'breeds' a greater proportion of first-line scripts. The business is now modestly weighted toward first line, with prescriber-base expansion cited as the key growth lever.

International launches and the Germany price reset

International TTR revenue declined $7 million QoQ but grew 35% YoY, with the sequential dip driven by a previously announced Germany price adjustment following ATTR-CM launch — the most significant international impact in Q1. Results outperformed February expectations on strength in Japan (CM launch on track with leading analogs) and PN performance across markets.

Management characterized the CM-launch repricing as a deliberate mix shift — trading a smaller, higher-priced PN segment for a much larger patient population — expected to turn net-positive for growth from Q2. Recent European CM launches were cited in Austria, the U.K., Switzerland and Italy.

Pipeline: 25+ programs and next-generation TTR

Alnylam advanced a pipeline of more than 25 clinical programs. It presented ACC data on vutrisiran (real-world adherence/persistence and a HELIOS-B diastolic-dysfunction post-hoc), initiated a Phase I of ARN-2232/ALN-2232 (first adipose-directed RNAi, targeting ACVR1, in obesity), and expanded the TRITON-CM Phase III of next-generation nucresiran by ~500 patients (1,250 to ~1,750) to mitigate low-event-rate risk given faster-than-expected enrollment and milder-disease patients. 2026 milestones include completing Capricorn 1 (mevelsiran in CAA) enrollment, initiating Alzheimer's and second-bleeding-disorder Phase II trials, and H2 readouts from ALN-6400, ALN-HTT02 and ALN-2232, with an RNA Roundtable-style webinar series starting this summer.

Financials: margin, opex and profitability

Product gross margin was 80%, down 5 points YoY on a higher average Sanofi royalty rate that resets each calendar year and rises with volume — management guided to further quarterly margin declines through the year. Non-GAAP R&D rose 39% to $335 million (Xenith, TRITON-CM/PN, plus bleeding-disorder, Huntington's and CAA programs) and non-GAAP SG&A rose 36% to $283 million on launch investment.

Non-GAAP operating income reached $339 million (>4x YoY), a third consecutive quarter of GAAP and non-GAAP profitability. Collaboration revenue was $82 million (-17% YoY, lapping a $30M milestone) and royalty revenue $49 million (+85%). Cash, equivalents and marketable securities ended at $3 billion.

Competitive landscape and generic-stabilizer positioning

Management fielded repeated questions on competitor AstraZeneca's upcoming CARDIO-TRANSFORM readout (expected later this year) and on a Pfizer settlement enabling generic tafamidis. It reiterated that Alnylam's growth outlook is not dependent on generic-stabilizer timing, citing broad first-line access (>90%), 0 out-of-pocket for most patients, >75% new-patient share in PN, and a large untreated ATTR-CM population (~200,000 U.S. patients, >80% untreated).

Management expects a positive combination readout from competitors would further validate the silencer class and pointed to its own combination label and TRITON-CM (silencer-on-stabilizer) data package as reinforcing leadership.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.