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Applied Materials (AMAT) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Apr 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Information Technology· May 14, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Applied Materials Q2 FY26 — Record revenue, best gross margin in 25+ years as AI shifts WFE to its strengths

The core thesis: the AI build-out has pulled industry WFE spending squarely into Applied's areas of strength — leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging — lifting the mix, margins and pricing power. Management frames demand as secular and supply-constrained rather than demand-limited, with rolling multiyear customer visibility underpinning confidence in sustained growth into 2027 and beyond.

Highlights

5
  • Record revenue of $7.91B, up 13% sequentially and 11% YoY, with record non-GAAP EPS of $2.86 (+20% YoY) and the highest gross margin in more than 25 years

  • Non-GAAP gross margin of 50% (+80bps YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin of 32.1% (+140bps YoY); Semiconductor Systems segment gross margin of 54.8%

  • Semiconductor Systems record revenue of $5.97B (+16% seq, +10% YoY); DRAM revenue $1.7B (+18% YoY); record foundry revenue driven by gate-all-around transition

  • AGS record revenue of $1.67B (+17% YoY); management raised the AGS multiyear growth outlook to mid-teens (higher this year)

  • Semiconductor-equipment business now expected to grow more than 30% in calendar 2026, with advanced-packaging revenue up more than 50%

Concerns

5
  • China represented 24% of Semi Systems + AGS revenue; China and worldwide ICAPS expected only flat to slightly higher in calendar 2026, with ICAPS digesting recently added capacity

  • Growth is constrained by supply chain and clean-room availability rather than demand — supply chain pacing the ramp despite operations able to scale well beyond current output

  • Free cash flow was only $210M as capex rose to $635M against $845M cash from operations

  • Export-control / restriction risk (Huawei letter) raised by analysts; management declined to comment specifically, saying impacts are factored into guidance

  • Process-control market share continued to decline per Gartner (analyst-cited), even as conductor etch share rose ~300bps in 2025

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Q3 FY26 total company revenue
$8.95B plus or minus $500M
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 non-GAAP EPS
$3.36 plus or minus $0.20
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Semiconductor Systems revenue
around $6.9B
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 AGS (Applied Global Services) revenue
about $1.75B
medium materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Other revenue
around $300M
low materiality
High
Q3 FY26 non-GAAP gross margin
approximately 50.1%
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 non-GAAP operating expenses
around $1.485B
medium materiality
High
Q3 FY26 non-GAAP tax rate
around 11%
low materiality
High
Semiconductor-equipment business revenue growth (calendar 2026)
more than 30%
high materiality
High
Advanced-packaging revenue growth (calendar 2026)
more than 50%
high materiality
High
AGS (services) revenue growth rate (sustainable / multiyear)
mid-teens, and potentially higher this year
medium materiality
High
Concentration of WFE year-on-year growth in leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging (2026)
more than 80% of the year-on-year growth in total WFE spending
high materiality
High
Concentration of WFE year-on-year growth in the three areas (2027 profile)
a similar profile (more than 80%)
high materiality
Medium
Industry outlook for 2027
another strong record year for the industry
high materiality
Medium
China + worldwide ICAPS business revenue (calendar year)
flat to slightly higher
medium materiality
Medium
Semiconductor Systems revenue linearity (Q3 FY26 through Q1 FY27)
grows linearly from the Q3 guide through fiscal Q1
medium materiality
Medium
NAND bit-growth demand forecast revision
raised a few percentage points
low materiality
Medium
ICAPS equipment growth rate (longer-term, post-digestion)
eventually grow at the device rate, mid- to high single digits
low materiality
Low
Operating leverage / spending discipline
increase spending more slowly than revenue and deliver increasing operating profit
medium materiality
Medium
Semiconductor Systems gross-margin trajectory
continued gradual improvement going forward
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Semiconductor Systems
Record segment revenue driven by the transition to gate-all-around nodes plus capacity additions at leading-edge FinFET nodes. Advanced packaging is accelerating this calendar year within both foundry logic and DRAM, with investment shifting toward Applied's 3D-stacking leadership. Now includes the recast 200-millimeter equipment business moved out of AGS.
Segment gross margin: 54.8% (non-GAAP, Q2, approaching 55%)Foundry revenue: record (driven by GAA transition and leading-edge FinFET capacity additions)DRAM revenue: $1.7B (+18% YoY)Record revenue across ALD, epitaxy and materials treatments
$5.97B+10%+16%Segment gross margin 54.8% (non-GAAP); both segment gross margin and operating margin increased YoY
Applied Global Services (AGS)
Record services revenue reflecting higher fab utilizations, installed-base expansion, and customer adoption of Applied's most advanced services. Gross-margin gains came from a mix toward transactional/spare parts and new higher-value service products; some restructuring aided expenses. Management raised the multiyear AGS growth outlook to mid-teens (higher this year).
Gross margin: +30bps QoQ, +120bps YoYOperating margin: ~29% (+100bps QoQ)Connected chambers on AIx: more than 35,000Growth driver: higher fab utilizations and installed-base expansion
$1.67B+17%—Gross margin +30bps QoQ / +120bps YoY; operating margin ~29% (+100bps QoQ, highest in ~2-3 years)
Other
Other revenue of $280M was in line with expectations; Q3 guided to ~$300M.
In line with expectations
$280M———
China (geography)
China represented 24% of Semiconductor Systems plus AGS revenue. Applied expects its China business and worldwide ICAPS business to be flat to slightly higher in the calendar year.
China share of Semi Systems + AGS revenue: 24%
————

AMAT operating KPIs by quarter

AMAT operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Jan 2026 Q1 FY26This call Apr 2026 Q2 FY26 Jul 2026 Q3 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Connected chambers AIx
30K+ Today, we have more than 30,000 chambers connected to AIx servers using AI-powered monitoring, diagnostics and analytics. Source: earnings call transcript
35K+ Today, we have more than 35,000 chambers connected to our proprietary AIx software capabilities that use AI-powered monitoring, diagnostics and analytics. Source: earnings call transcript
37K+ We already have more than 37,000 chambers in the field connected to our proprietary AIX software capabilities and use AI-powered monitoring, diagnostics and predictive analytics. Source: earnings call transcript
—

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Customer rolling forecast visibility (8-quarter) Rolling 8-quarter forecasts from largest customers Q2 FY26

Clearest and longest visibility the company has ever had; customers increased orders in the last 90 days

Not a contracted dollar backlog — Applied uses the 8-quarter rolling demand forecast to plan supply-chain capacity and service resources; visibility extends into 2027, 2028 and beyond (one customer cited supply concerns into 2030). This is the sector's forward-demand analog, not RPO/backlog.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Trillium ALD integrated material solutionlaunch
Precision PECVD system (selective bottom-up deposition)launch
Sym3 Z etch platformmilestone
EPIC Center (Silicon Valley)milestone
AIx service software / advanced service solutionsupdate

Deals & partnerships

NEXX acquisition (intent to acquire)

Applied announced its intent to acquire NEXX, a leading supplier of large-area packaging electroplating, to enable larger body packages for AI accelerators and strengthen panel-level technologies.

TSMC partnership (EPIC co-development, founding partner)

TSMC joined Applied's EPIC platform as a founding partner earlier in the week of the call, alongside Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix.

Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix partnership (EPIC co-development, founding partners)

Memory-maker founding partners in the EPIC platform alongside TSMC.

Advantest partnership (development partner agreement / EPIC)

Development-partner agreement announced as part of the EPIC engagements; Advantest is a test-equipment maker.

ASU, RPI, Stanford partnership (EPIC university partnerships)

First three EPIC university partnerships — Arizona State University, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and Stanford — announced as founding partners.

Besi JV (hybrid bonding)

Existing hybrid-bonding joint venture referenced by an analyst; Gary framed NEXX's large-area electroplating as complementary within Applied's broader packaging portfolio.

Capital programs

Manufacturing capacity expansion (U.S., Europe, Singapore) underway (floor space ready and available; fit-out and hiring required to ramp)

Benefit:Nearly doubled manufacturing capacity; output could roughly double from current levels

Expansions in the U.S. and Europe plus a new manufacturing center in Singapore; increased build plan, inventory positions and logistics capacity. Ramp gated by supply-chain response speed rather than Applied's own floor space.

EPIC Center (Silicon Valley) nearing completion / on track to open

Benefit:Full-flow R&D/co-innovation center — the only full-flow packaging EPIC Center in the industry; accelerates commercialization and design-ins

Centerpiece of the global EPIC collaboration platform; founding partners include TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, Advantest, ASU, RPI and Stanford, with more to be announced.

Risks & headwinds

Supply-chain constraint pacing the ramp Near-to-medium term

~2,000 direct suppliers with many components per tool; Applied's own operations can scale significantly beyond current output but suppliers need ~8-quarter lead time

Mitigation:Systematically translating 8-quarter customer forecasts into a consolidated supplier signal; increased build plan, inventory and logistics capacity; nearly doubled manufacturing capacity

Clean-room / floor-space availability limiting industry investment Ongoing through 2026-2027

Framed as the key factor pacing the rate of industry investment; being alleviated as customers reallocate/create space (100+ factory projects, 10+ added last quarter)

Mitigation:Customers using various techniques to increase clean-room capacity; new greenfield fabs coming online expand the market and Applied's revenue

China exposure and export-control / restriction risk (Huawei letter) Ongoing

China was 24% of Semi Systems + AGS revenue; management declined to quantify or comment on restrictions specifically

Mitigation:Management said restriction impacts are factored into the quarter's guide and calendar-year growth view; expects China + ICAPS flat to slightly higher

ICAPS digestion capping trailing-edge equipment growth Calendar 2026, until utilizations catch up

ICAPS expected flat to slightly higher in CY2026; won't grow much YoY until recently added capacity is digested; longer-term reverts to device rate of mid- to high single digits

Mitigation:300mm utilizations now in a healthy range; strong pockets in analog, photonics and power chips

Process-control (PDC) market-share decline (analyst-cited) Trailing 2025 data

Analyst cited continued process-control share decline (per Gartner), contrasting with ~300bps conductor-etch share gain in 2025

Mitigation:Management disputed the framing, calling PDC one of its best opportunities and fastest-growing businesses this year, citing Cold Field Emission e-beam leadership and optical-inspection growth

Free cash flow compression from elevated capex/working capital Q2 FY26

Free cash flow of $210M (cash from operations $845M less capex $635M) in Q2

Mitigation:Investing ahead of demand in capacity, inventory and logistics; still distributed $765M to shareholders in the quarter

Q&A highlights

How is 8-quarter rolling visibility changing order patterns, upfront payments and the pricing environment given how tight equipment is?

Brice said 8-quarter visibility primarily helps plan the supply chain (~2,000 direct suppliers); some customers pay deposits but not across the board. Pricing runs on 2-3 year project-based long-term contracts and moves slowly; margin gains come from gradual portfolio enrichment. Gary added that Applied's positioning in the critical AI-enabling areas provides pricing tailwinds and opportunity to capture more value.

“What has been driving our pricing up over the past couple of years and helping us grow our gross margin over the past couple of years has been the gradual enriching of the portfolio.”

asked by C.J. Muse · answered by Brice Hill

4 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

AI demand accelerating and diversifying into agentic and physical AI

Management framed the quarter around a rapid, broadening AI build-out: publicly available data indicates global token generation increased more than threefold in just the past three months. Since the start of the year there has been a meaningful increase in agentic applications layering on top of generative-AI training and inference.

Agentic models plan, reason and execute autonomously, requiring more CPU-intensive architectures while also increasing demand for DRAM and NAND — an additional tailwind for wafer fab equipment. Management is modeling incremental CPU, DRAM and NAND demand on top of prior forecasts, with physical AI seen as a further future layer.

WFE mix shifting to Applied's strengths; supply is the constraint, not demand

Most leading-edge logic and DRAM fabs are running at full capacity, and clean-room space availability had been pacing industry investment. As customers reallocate or create space, Applied is seeing incremental 2026 equipment-delivery requests and now expects its semiconductor-equipment business to grow more than 30% in calendar 2026.

Applied is tracking over 100 factory projects globally, adding more than 10 in the last quarter alone, most of them greenfield. Largest customers now provide rolling 8-quarter forecasts, giving the clearest and longest visibility Applied has ever had, extending confidence into 2027, 2028 and beyond (one customer worried about supply into 2030).

Leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging are expected to drive more than 80% of 2026 WFE YoY growth.

Record financials and best gross margin in 25+ years

Applied delivered record revenue of $7.91B (+13% seq, +11% YoY), record non-GAAP EPS of $2.86 (+20% YoY), and its highest gross margin in more than 25 years. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 50% (+80bps YoY) driven by value-based pricing on differentiated products plus manufacturing cost innovation; non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 32.1% (+140bps YoY).

Management noted non-GAAP gross margin has risen 800 basis points since Gary Dickerson became CEO in 2013, now crossing 50% at the company level and approaching 55% in Semiconductor Systems (54.8% in Q2). Pricing works via 2-3 year project-based long-term contracts, so it moves slowly; gross-margin gains come from gradual portfolio enrichment as each new solution is more valuable.

New products strengthening the gate-all-around, DRAM and packaging portfolios

Applied announced two new gate-all-around products: the Trillium ALD integrated material solution, which precisely deposits metals in complex GAA gate stacks with angstrom-level thickness control to tune threshold voltages; and a precision PECVD system using an industry-first selective bottom-up deposition process for shallow-trench isolation to reduce parasitic capacitance and leakage.

In etch, the Sym3 platform is the fastest-ramping product in Applied's history, and the new Sym3 Z platform has seen strong adoption with more than 250 chambers and multi-hundreds of millions of dollars of growth. In DRAM, Applied cited leadership in wiring, patterning, peripheral logic, conductor etch and e-beam across 6F², 4F² and future 3D DRAM, with materials intensity expected to rise.

Conductor etch and process control (PDC, led by Cold Field Emission e-beam) were cited as among the fastest-growing businesses this year.

EPIC platform and collaboration model

Applied is building a new collaboration model via its global EPIC platform, designed to shorten the time to commercialize breakthrough technologies from research to full-scale manufacturing. The centerpiece EPIC Center in Silicon Valley remains on track to begin operations in the fall.

Applied announced eight founding partners — customers TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron; test partner Advantest; and universities ASU, RPI and Stanford — with additional agreements to be announced. EPIC is expected to give Applied greater multi-node visibility, higher R&D productivity, value sharing, and accelerated design-ins for equipment and services, with more partners to be added.

AI adoption inside Applied and in services

Applied now has more than 35,000 AI users across its global workforce, deploying AI for scientific breakthroughs, R&D acceleration, factory and supply-chain optimization, and workflow automation — allowing it to grow the business significantly faster than headcount. In services, Applied has more than 35,000 chambers connected to its proprietary AIx software for AI-powered monitoring, diagnostics and analytics, most connected remotely so experts can support them instantly.

With customers focused on output and yield to squeeze more good die from existing fabs while adding floor space, these advanced-service innovations are lifting the AGS growth rate above prior expectations.

Manufacturing capacity and supply-chain scaling

Applied has nearly doubled its manufacturing capacity with expansions in the U.S. and Europe and a new manufacturing center in Singapore; floor space is ready and available, requiring fit-out and hiring to ramp. Management said output could roughly double from current levels, with the constraint being the supply chain (about 2,000 direct suppliers and many components per tool) responding at the same speed.

Applied is systematically translating its 8-quarter customer demand forecast into a consolidated signal to suppliers, and has increased its build plan, inventory positions and logistics capacity. Some customers require deposits, though not across the board.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.