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    AMAT
    Earnings call· Apr 2026(Q2 FY26)

    APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE Q2 FY26 earnings call AMAT

    May 14, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Applied Materials Q2 FY26 — Record revenue, best gross margin in 25+ years as AI shifts WFE to its strengths

    The core thesis: the AI build-out has pulled industry WFE spending squarely into Applied's areas of strength — leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging — lifting the mix, margins and pricing power. Management frames demand as secular and supply-constrained rather than demand-limited, with rolling multiyear customer visibility underpinning confidence in sustained growth into 2027 and beyond.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record revenue of $7.91B, up 13% sequentially and 11% YoY, with record non-GAAP EPS of $2.86 (+20% YoY) and the highest gross margin in more than 25 years

    • Non-GAAP gross margin of 50% (+80bps YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin of 32.1% (+140bps YoY); Semiconductor Systems segment gross margin of 54.8%

    • Semiconductor Systems record revenue of $5.97B (+16% seq, +10% YoY); DRAM revenue $1.7B (+18% YoY); record foundry revenue driven by gate-all-around transition

    • AGS record revenue of $1.67B (+17% YoY); management raised the AGS multiyear growth outlook to mid-teens (higher this year)

    • Semiconductor-equipment business now expected to grow more than 30% in calendar 2026, with advanced-packaging revenue up more than 50%

    Concerns

    5
    • China represented 24% of Semi Systems + AGS revenue; China and worldwide ICAPS expected only flat to slightly higher in calendar 2026, with ICAPS digesting recently added capacity

    • Growth is constrained by supply chain and clean-room availability rather than demand — supply chain pacing the ramp despite operations able to scale well beyond current output

    • Free cash flow was only $210M as capex rose to $635M against $845M cash from operations

    • Export-control / restriction risk (Huawei letter) raised by analysts; management declined to comment specifically, saying impacts are factored into guidance

    • Process-control market share continued to decline per Gartner (analyst-cited), even as conductor etch share rose ~300bps in 2025

    Guidance & targets

    20
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q3 FY26 total company revenue
    $8.95B plus or minus $500M
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 non-GAAP EPS
    $3.36 plus or minus $0.20
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 Semiconductor Systems revenue
    around $6.9B
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 AGS (Applied Global Services) revenue
    about $1.75B
    medium materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 Other revenue
    around $300M
    low materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 non-GAAP gross margin
    approximately 50.1%
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 non-GAAP operating expenses
    around $1.485B
    medium materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 non-GAAP tax rate
    around 11%
    low materiality
    High
    Semiconductor-equipment business revenue growth (calendar 2026)
    more than 30%
    high materiality
    High
    Advanced-packaging revenue growth (calendar 2026)
    more than 50%
    high materiality
    High
    AGS (services) revenue growth rate (sustainable / multiyear)
    mid-teens, and potentially higher this year
    medium materiality
    High
    Concentration of WFE year-on-year growth in leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging (2026)
    more than 80% of the year-on-year growth in total WFE spending
    high materiality
    High
    Concentration of WFE year-on-year growth in the three areas (2027 profile)
    a similar profile (more than 80%)
    high materiality
    Medium
    Industry outlook for 2027
    another strong record year for the industry
    high materiality
    Medium
    China + worldwide ICAPS business revenue (calendar year)
    flat to slightly higher
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Semiconductor Systems revenue linearity (Q3 FY26 through Q1 FY27)
    grows linearly from the Q3 guide through fiscal Q1
    medium materiality
    Medium
    NAND bit-growth demand forecast revision
    raised a few percentage points
    low materiality
    Medium
    ICAPS equipment growth rate (longer-term, post-digestion)
    eventually grow at the device rate, mid- to high single digits
    low materiality
    Low
    Operating leverage / spending discipline
    increase spending more slowly than revenue and deliver increasing operating profit
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Semiconductor Systems gross-margin trajectory
    continued gradual improvement going forward
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Semiconductor Systems
    Record segment revenue driven by the transition to gate-all-around nodes plus capacity additions at leading-edge FinFET nodes. Advanced packaging is accelerating this calendar year within both foundry logic and DRAM, with investment shifting toward Applied's 3D-stacking leadership. Now includes the recast 200-millimeter equipment business moved out of AGS.
    Segment gross margin: 54.8% (non-GAAP, Q2, approaching 55%)Foundry revenue: record (driven by GAA transition and leading-edge FinFET capacity additions)DRAM revenue: $1.7B (+18% YoY)Record revenue across ALD, epitaxy and materials treatments
    $5.97B+10%+16%Segment gross margin 54.8% (non-GAAP); both segment gross margin and operating margin increased YoY
    Applied Global Services (AGS)
    Record services revenue reflecting higher fab utilizations, installed-base expansion, and customer adoption of Applied's most advanced services. Gross-margin gains came from a mix toward transactional/spare parts and new higher-value service products; some restructuring aided expenses. Management raised the multiyear AGS growth outlook to mid-teens (higher this year).
    Gross margin: +30bps QoQ, +120bps YoYOperating margin: ~29% (+100bps QoQ)Connected chambers on AIx: more than 35,000Growth driver: higher fab utilizations and installed-base expansion
    $1.67B+17%Gross margin +30bps QoQ / +120bps YoY; operating margin ~29% (+100bps QoQ, highest in ~2-3 years)
    Other
    Other revenue of $280M was in line with expectations; Q3 guided to ~$300M.
    In line with expectations
    $280M
    China (geography)
    China represented 24% of Semiconductor Systems plus AGS revenue. Applied expects its China business and worldwide ICAPS business to be flat to slightly higher in the calendar year.
    China share of Semi Systems + AGS revenue: 24%

    Operational metrics

    13
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    50%+80bps YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Company-level non-GAAP gross margin; Q3 guided to ~50.1%.

    Non-GAAP operating margin
    32.1%+140bps YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Company-level non-GAAP operating margin expanded on positive mix and operating leverage.

    Non-GAAP EPS (adjusted)
    $2.86+20% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Record non-GAAP earnings per share; Q3 guided to $3.36 ± $0.20.

    Non-GAAP gross margin expansion since 2013
    +800bps
    Since 2013 (Gary Dickerson CEO tenure)

    Cumulative non-GAAP gross-margin improvement since Dickerson became CEO in 2013.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $765M
    Q2 FY26

    Total distributed to shareholders in the quarter; buyback and dividend split provided by management.

    Dividend per share increase
    15%
    Announced March 2026

    15% increase to the quarterly cash dividend announced in March; completed multi-year doubling goal.

    AIx-connected chambers (installed base)
    more than 35,000
    As of Q2 FY26

    Proprietary AIx software base supporting advanced-services growth.

    Internal AI users across workforce
    more than 35,000
    As of Q2 FY26

    Enables Applied to grow the business significantly faster than headcount.

    Global factory projects tracked
    over 100added more than 10 in the last quarter
    As of Q2 FY26

    Pipeline of new clean-room capacity coming online globally.

    Direct suppliers
    on the order of 2,000
    As of Q2 FY26

    Supply chain scale cited as the gating factor for ramp speed.

    Global token generation growth (industry demand indicator)
    more than threefold
    Past three months

    Cited as evidence of accelerating AI compute demand; industry indicator, not a company metric.

    Sym3 Z etch platform chamber adoption
    more than 250 chambers
    As of Q2 FY26

    Strong adoption of the new Sym3 Z conductor-etch platform.

    Manufacturing capacity expansion
    nearly doubledoutput could roughly double from current levels
    Recent expansions

    Capacity ready ahead of demand; ramp gated by supply-chain response speed.

    Industry KPIs

    15
    MetricValueDetails
    Lead times~8-quarter supply-chain lead time needed for supplier expansions
    Backlog order bookRolling 8-quarter customer forecasts (not a disclosed dollar backlog)
    Ai data center revenue
    Market share commentaryConductor etch share up ~300bps in 2025 (Gartner); #1 process-equipment positions in leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM/memory and advanced packagingbps
    Services installed baseAGS revenue $1.67B$
    Fab capacity utilizationMost leading-edge logic and DRAM fabs running at full capacity
    Bookings net order intakeCustomers increased orders in the last 90 days
    Advanced packaging revenueGrowing more than 50%%
    Wfe industry spend outlookSemiconductor-equipment business to grow >30% in calendar 2026%
    Design wins socket pipelineMultiple points of market-share-gain catalysts at gate-all-around nodes
    Inventory channel inventoryIncreased build plan and inventory positions
    Node platform ramp scheduleGAA (leading-edge logic); DRAM 6F² → 4F² → 3D DRAM; HBM/3D chiplet stacking (advanced packaging)
    Wafer shipments foundry ASP
    End market segment revenue mixFoundry logic (record), DRAM $1.7B, plus NAND, advanced packaging and ICAPS$
    Strategic supply agreements customer prepaymentsDeposits required from some customers (not across the board)

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Customer rolling forecast visibility (8-quarter)Rolling 8-quarter forecasts from largest customersQ2 FY26

    Clearest and longest visibility the company has ever had; customers increased orders in the last 90 days

    Not a contracted dollar backlog — Applied uses the 8-quarter rolling demand forecast to plan supply-chain capacity and service resources; visibility extends into 2027, 2028 and beyond (one customer cited supply concerns into 2030). This is the sector's forward-demand analog, not RPO/backlog.

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Trillium ALD integrated material solutionlaunch
    Precision PECVD system (selective bottom-up deposition)launch
    Sym3 Z etch platformmilestone
    EPIC Center (Silicon Valley)milestone
    AIx service software / advanced service solutionsupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    6
    NEXXacquisition (intent to acquire)

    Applied announced its intent to acquire NEXX, a leading supplier of large-area packaging electroplating, to enable larger body packages for AI accelerators and strengthen panel-level technologies.

    TSMCpartnership (EPIC co-development, founding partner)

    TSMC joined Applied's EPIC platform as a founding partner earlier in the week of the call, alongside Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix.

    Micron, Samsung, SK Hynixpartnership (EPIC co-development, founding partners)

    Memory-maker founding partners in the EPIC platform alongside TSMC.

    Advantestpartnership (development partner agreement / EPIC)

    Development-partner agreement announced as part of the EPIC engagements; Advantest is a test-equipment maker.

    ASU, RPI, Stanfordpartnership (EPIC university partnerships)

    First three EPIC university partnerships — Arizona State University, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and Stanford — announced as founding partners.

    BesiJV (hybrid bonding)

    Existing hybrid-bonding joint venture referenced by an analyst; Gary framed NEXX's large-area electroplating as complementary within Applied's broader packaging portfolio.

    Capital programs

    2
    Manufacturing capacity expansion (U.S., Europe, Singapore)underway (floor space ready and available; fit-out and hiring required to ramp)

    Benefit: Nearly doubled manufacturing capacity; output could roughly double from current levels

    Expansions in the U.S. and Europe plus a new manufacturing center in Singapore; increased build plan, inventory positions and logistics capacity. Ramp gated by supply-chain response speed rather than Applied's own floor space.

    EPIC Center (Silicon Valley)nearing completion / on track to open

    Benefit: Full-flow R&D/co-innovation center — the only full-flow packaging EPIC Center in the industry; accelerates commercialization and design-ins

    Centerpiece of the global EPIC collaboration platform; founding partners include TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, Advantest, ASU, RPI and Stanford, with more to be announced.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Supply-chain constraint pacing the rampNear-to-medium term

    ~2,000 direct suppliers with many components per tool; Applied's own operations can scale significantly beyond current output but suppliers need ~8-quarter lead time

    Mitigation: Systematically translating 8-quarter customer forecasts into a consolidated supplier signal; increased build plan, inventory and logistics capacity; nearly doubled manufacturing capacity

    Clean-room / floor-space availability limiting industry investmentOngoing through 2026-2027

    Framed as the key factor pacing the rate of industry investment; being alleviated as customers reallocate/create space (100+ factory projects, 10+ added last quarter)

    Mitigation: Customers using various techniques to increase clean-room capacity; new greenfield fabs coming online expand the market and Applied's revenue

    China exposure and export-control / restriction risk (Huawei letter)Ongoing

    China was 24% of Semi Systems + AGS revenue; management declined to quantify or comment on restrictions specifically

    Mitigation: Management said restriction impacts are factored into the quarter's guide and calendar-year growth view; expects China + ICAPS flat to slightly higher

    ICAPS digestion capping trailing-edge equipment growthCalendar 2026, until utilizations catch up

    ICAPS expected flat to slightly higher in CY2026; won't grow much YoY until recently added capacity is digested; longer-term reverts to device rate of mid- to high single digits

    Mitigation: 300mm utilizations now in a healthy range; strong pockets in analog, photonics and power chips

    Process-control (PDC) market-share decline (analyst-cited)Trailing 2025 data

    Analyst cited continued process-control share decline (per Gartner), contrasting with ~300bps conductor-etch share gain in 2025

    Mitigation: Management disputed the framing, calling PDC one of its best opportunities and fastest-growing businesses this year, citing Cold Field Emission e-beam leadership and optical-inspection growth

    Free cash flow compression from elevated capex/working capitalQ2 FY26

    Free cash flow of $210M (cash from operations $845M less capex $635M) in Q2

    Mitigation: Investing ahead of demand in capacity, inventory and logistics; still distributed $765M to shareholders in the quarter

    Q&A highlights

    10

    How is 8-quarter rolling visibility changing order patterns, upfront payments and the pricing environment given how tight equipment is?

    Brice said 8-quarter visibility primarily helps plan the supply chain (~2,000 direct suppliers); some customers pay deposits but not across the board. Pricing runs on 2-3 year project-based long-term contracts and moves slowly; margin gains come from gradual portfolio enrichment. Gary added that Applied's positioning in the critical AI-enabling areas provides pricing tailwinds and opportunity to capture more value.

    What has been driving our pricing up over the past couple of years and helping us grow our gross margin over the past couple of years has been the gradual enriching of the portfolio.

    asked by C.J. Muse · answered by Brice Hill

    4 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI demand accelerating and diversifying into agentic and physical AI

    Management framed the quarter around a rapid, broadening AI build-out: publicly available data indicates global token generation increased more than threefold in just the past three months. Since the start of the year there has been a meaningful increase in agentic applications layering on top of generative-AI training and inference. Agentic models plan, reason and execute autonomously, requiring more CPU-intensive architectures while also increasing demand for DRAM and NAND — an additional tailwind for wafer fab equipment. Management is modeling incremental CPU, DRAM and NAND demand on top of prior forecasts, with physical AI seen as a further future layer.

    02

    WFE mix shifting to Applied's strengths; supply is the constraint, not demand

    Most leading-edge logic and DRAM fabs are running at full capacity, and clean-room space availability had been pacing industry investment. As customers reallocate or create space, Applied is seeing incremental 2026 equipment-delivery requests and now expects its semiconductor-equipment business to grow more than 30% in calendar 2026. Applied is tracking over 100 factory projects globally, adding more than 10 in the last quarter alone, most of them greenfield. Largest customers now provide rolling 8-quarter forecasts, giving the clearest and longest visibility Applied has ever had, extending confidence into 2027, 2028 and beyond (one customer worried about supply into 2030). Leading-edge foundry logic, DRAM and advanced packaging are expected to drive more than 80% of 2026 WFE YoY growth.

    03

    Record financials and best gross margin in 25+ years

    Applied delivered record revenue of $7.91B (+13% seq, +11% YoY), record non-GAAP EPS of $2.86 (+20% YoY), and its highest gross margin in more than 25 years. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 50% (+80bps YoY) driven by value-based pricing on differentiated products plus manufacturing cost innovation; non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 32.1% (+140bps YoY). Management noted non-GAAP gross margin has risen 800 basis points since Gary Dickerson became CEO in 2013, now crossing 50% at the company level and approaching 55% in Semiconductor Systems (54.8% in Q2). Pricing works via 2-3 year project-based long-term contracts, so it moves slowly; gross-margin gains come from gradual portfolio enrichment as each new solution is more valuable.

    04

    New products strengthening the gate-all-around, DRAM and packaging portfolios

    Applied announced two new gate-all-around products: the Trillium ALD integrated material solution, which precisely deposits metals in complex GAA gate stacks with angstrom-level thickness control to tune threshold voltages; and a precision PECVD system using an industry-first selective bottom-up deposition process for shallow-trench isolation to reduce parasitic capacitance and leakage. In etch, the Sym3 platform is the fastest-ramping product in Applied's history, and the new Sym3 Z platform has seen strong adoption with more than 250 chambers and multi-hundreds of millions of dollars of growth. In DRAM, Applied cited leadership in wiring, patterning, peripheral logic, conductor etch and e-beam across 6F², 4F² and future 3D DRAM, with materials intensity expected to rise. Conductor etch and process control (PDC, led by Cold Field Emission e-beam) were cited as among the fastest-growing businesses this year.

    05

    EPIC platform and collaboration model

    Applied is building a new collaboration model via its global EPIC platform, designed to shorten the time to commercialize breakthrough technologies from research to full-scale manufacturing. The centerpiece EPIC Center in Silicon Valley remains on track to begin operations in the fall. Applied announced eight founding partners — customers TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron; test partner Advantest; and universities ASU, RPI and Stanford — with additional agreements to be announced. EPIC is expected to give Applied greater multi-node visibility, higher R&D productivity, value sharing, and accelerated design-ins for equipment and services, with more partners to be added.

    06

    AI adoption inside Applied and in services

    Applied now has more than 35,000 AI users across its global workforce, deploying AI for scientific breakthroughs, R&D acceleration, factory and supply-chain optimization, and workflow automation — allowing it to grow the business significantly faster than headcount. In services, Applied has more than 35,000 chambers connected to its proprietary AIx software for AI-powered monitoring, diagnostics and analytics, most connected remotely so experts can support them instantly. With customers focused on output and yield to squeeze more good die from existing fabs while adding floor space, these advanced-service innovations are lifting the AGS growth rate above prior expectations.

    07

    Manufacturing capacity and supply-chain scaling

    Applied has nearly doubled its manufacturing capacity with expansions in the U.S. and Europe and a new manufacturing center in Singapore; floor space is ready and available, requiring fit-out and hiring to ramp. Management said output could roughly double from current levels, with the constraint being the supply chain (about 2,000 direct suppliers and many components per tool) responding at the same speed. Applied is systematically translating its 8-quarter customer demand forecast into a consolidated signal to suppliers, and has increased its build plan, inventory positions and logistics capacity. Some customers require deposits, though not across the board.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.