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American Tower (AMT) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Real Estate· Apr 28, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

American Tower Q1 FY26 — Raised full-year outlook on FX/straight-line tailwinds; CoreSite data centers inflect on AI and interconnection

Management framed Q1 as a strong start with the company on its firmest strategic footing in a decade, the guidance raise driven mainly by FX and straight-line tailwinds rather than operating upside. The thesis pivots on durable tower demand from mobile-data growth and a compounding CoreSite interconnection platform now inflecting on AI, as the business works through event-driven DISH and Brazil churn toward reaccelerating growth in 2027–2028.

Highlights

5
  • Raised full-year outlook across all key consolidated metrics: property revenue +~$145M (+1%) at midpoint, adjusted EBITDA +~$105M (+1%), and attributable AFFO +$0.12/share (+1%, to ~$10.99)

  • Data center (CoreSite) cash property revenue grew ~17% YoY (ex straight-line), driven by hybrid/multi-cloud demand, accelerating AI/inferencing use cases and an inflection in interconnection activity

  • Organic tenant billings growth ~4% normalized for one-time DISH churn (~2% reported); property revenue ~5% and adjusted EBITDA ~4% on a cash FX-neutral basis normalized for DISH

  • Returned capital: repurchased ~$184M of stock in Q1 plus ~$19M through April 21, bringing buybacks since Q4 to over $565M; dividend grew 5% in Q1

  • Development-held-for-development data center capacity increased ~200 MW (from ~280–287 MW to ~480 MW); lowest leverage (4.9x) and highest credit rating in peer group

Concerns

4
  • Cash adjusted EBITDA margins declined ~110 bps YoY, primarily from DISH churn, SG&A timing and higher fuel prices in Africa

  • Reported attributable AFFO per share declined ~1% ex-FX; DISH churn is a ~400 bps headwind to 2026 AFFO/share growth

  • Latin America organic tenant billings growth declined ~2%, driven by elevated Brazil churn (~8% contribution to regional OTBG) from delayed 2025 churn plus accelerated 2027 churn

  • Net interest a ~100 bps AFFO/share headwind; services business growth and debt refinancings each a further ~100 bps headwind in 2026

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Property revenue
~3% YoY growth (ex non-cash straight-line and FX); ~5% normalized for DISH churn on a cash FX-neutral basis; outlook raised ~$145M at midpoint (+1%)
high materiality
High
Organic tenant billings growth
~1% reported; ~4% excluding DISH churn
high materiality
High
Data center revenue growth
~13% YoY
high materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA
~2% YoY growth (ex non-cash net straight-line and FX); ~5% normalized for DISH on cash FX-neutral basis; outlook raised ~$105M at midpoint (+1%)
high materiality
High
Attributable AFFO per share
~$10.99, ~2% reported YoY growth; ~5% normalized for DISH and excluding refinancing costs on FX-neutral basis
high materiality
High
Tower cash adjusted EBITDA margin expansion
200 to 300 basis points of cash adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in the tower business
high materiality
Medium
Data center growth capital
over $700 million in success-based investments in data center portfolio
medium materiality
High
European new builds
over 700 new sites planned in Europe
medium materiality
High
Capital allocation mix
~85% of discretionary capital spent within developed-markets platforms
medium materiality
High
Long-term AFFO per share growth
mid-single-digit to upper-single-digit growth (before FX/interest-rate impacts)
high materiality
Medium
Dividend growth
mid-single-digit growth, in line on average with AFFO per share growth
medium materiality
Medium
Capital expenditure
investing $1.5 billion to $2 billion in CapEx
medium materiality
Medium
Leverage
reduce overall leverage further from 4.9x
medium materiality
Medium
Regional organic growth phasing (Africa & APAC)
~10% organic growth in first half, ~7% in second half
medium materiality
Medium
Latin America organic growth recovery
negative OTBG in 2026 moving to positive lower-single-digit in 2027, returning to normalized growth by 2028 and beyond
medium materiality
Medium
Services business revenue
third-highest revenue year ever
low materiality
Medium
AFFO/share growth headwinds
services business growth and debt refinancings each ~100 basis point headwind to attributable AFFO per share growth
medium materiality
High
European build-to-suit contract (Telefonica)
build 3,000 sites for Telefonica over 10 years
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
U.S. & Canada (towers)
Flagship market; growth suppressed by one-time DISH churn. Little new tower building recently; management sees opportunity to resume hard-to-build construction where AMT has advantage.
Organic tenant billings growth: ~1% reportedOrganic tenant billings growth ex-DISH: ~5%
—~1% organic tenant billings growth (~5% excluding DISH churn)——
Europe (towers)
Outperforming the original Telefonica business case; growth moderated from upper-single-digit to mid-single-digit. Build-to-suit returns expected above regional WACC by ~200 bps over time.
Organic tenant billings growth: ~4%New sites planned FY26: over 700Telefonica build-to-suit: 3,000 sites over 10 years
—~4% organic tenant billings growth——
Africa & APAC (towers)
Strongest-growing region; Africa growing double digits and accretive to overall growth. Higher fuel prices in Africa pressured margins. Strong sales results cited.
Organic tenant billings growth: ~11%H1 organic growth: ~10%; H2: ~7% (churn back-half weighted)
—~11% organic tenant billings growth——
Latin America (towers)
Elevated Brazil churn from delayed 2025 churn plus accelerated 2027 (Oi) churn; ~$35M accelerated non-cash straight-line revenue related to Oi. Recovery to positive OTBG expected 2027, normalized by 2028.
Organic tenant billings growth: ~-2%Churn contribution: ~8% of regional OTBGNew business: a couple hundred bps
—~-2% organic tenant billings growth——
Data Centers (CoreSite)
Growth driven by hybrid/multi-cloud installations, accelerating AI/inferencing use cases and an inflection in interconnection activity. Vast majority of revenue with providers interconnected to 5+ others; positioned as interconnection hub outperforming single-tenant hyperscale models.
Cash data center property revenue growth: ~17%Development held for development: ~480 MW (increased ~200 MW)FY26 success-based investment: over $700M
—~17% cash property revenue growth (ex non-cash straight-line); full-year guide ~13%—high-margin interconnection revenue stream; described as highest returns on invested capital available today
Consolidated
Margin decline driven by DISH churn, SG&A timing and higher Africa fuel prices.
Attributable AFFO per share: ~-1% ex-FX (reported); ~4% growth normalized ex-refinancing on FX-neutral basisCash adjusted EBITDA margin change: ~-110 bps
—Property revenue ~3% (ex straight-line/FX), ~5% normalized for DISH; organic tenant billings ~2% (~4% ex-DISH); adjusted EBITDA ~1% (~4% normalized)—Cash adjusted EBITDA margin declined ~110 bps YoY

Orderbook & backlog

Data center development held for development (banked power/land pipeline) ~480 MW Q1 FY26

increased ~200 MW from ~280-287 MW prior year

Power/land secured or under negotiation across existing campuses for future CoreSite development; MW figure is the forward development pipeline, not a signed-dollar backlog. No dollar backlog figure disclosed.

European new-build pipeline over 700 new sites planned (FY26); 3,000-site Telefonica build-to-suit contract over 10 years FY26 plan

Forward development/build-to-suit pipeline; Telefonica contract underway with additional carrier build-to-suits added. No aggregate dollar value disclosed.

Deals & partnerships

Telefonica build-to-suit contract (European towers) 10 years

Contract announced at the Telefonica (Telxius) acquisition to build 3,000 sites over 10 years; being executed with additional build-to-suits added for other regional carriers. European market outperforming the original acquisition business case.

ASP minority investment / board seat (satellite)

AMT holds a board seat at [ ASP ] (ASR), giving it a 'front row seat' to the satellite space. Management views satellites as complementary to terrestrial networks and enabling of 6G use cases. (Speaker referenced '[ ASP ]' — likely AST SpaceMobile — captured verbatim.)

EchoStar / DISH master lease agreement / contract (in litigation)

Management believes its contract is enforceable and continues to defend it; declined to comment on ongoing litigation or the AT&T/EchoStar spectrum deal. Public docket available to investors.

Undisclosed small existing data center buildings acquisition (small bolt-on)

AMT has bought a couple of small existing buildings with available power as a possible strategy to accelerate CoreSite development; no counterparty or value disclosed.

Capital programs

CoreSite data center development / capacity expansion underway over $700M FY26 success-based investment
Period spend: over $700M planned in FY26
Funding: discretionary capital (developed-markets platforms); part of ~85% developed-market capital allocation
Start: ongoing (accelerated over past couple of years)

Benefit:~480 MW held for development (increased ~200 MW YoY); replenishes elevated capacity utilization; higher-density, multi-cooling new-build designs

Record construction over the past couple of years; buying land, securing power, evaluating new market entries and select retrofits/small existing-building acquisitions with available power. Described as some of the highest returns on invested capital available today.

European new-build program (Telefonica build-to-suit + additional carriers) underway
Period spend: over 700 new sites planned in FY26
Funding: reinvesting European market cash flow into build-to-suits; developed-markets discretionary capital
Start: began at Telefonica (Telxius) acquisition

Benefit:3,000 Telefonica sites over 10 years plus additional carrier build-to-suits; returns expected above regional WACC by ~200 bps over time, potentially into the teens long-term

Building difficult, hard-to-build sites where AMT's operational excellence wins business at healthy returns; management insists it will not build uneconomic sites.

Tower direct-cost / operational efficiency program underway
Spent to date: progress made in Q1 on land, maintenance, sourcing, internal technology platforms
Start: ongoing

Benefit:200-300 bps of cash adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in the tower business by 2030

Management also evaluating AI to further accelerate efficiency gains, viewed as meaningful upside in future years.

Risks & headwinds

One-time DISH-related churn 2026 (event-driven, to be lapped)

~400 bps headwind to 2026 attributable AFFO per share growth; primary driver of ~110 bps cash adjusted EBITDA margin decline and ~-1% reported AFFO/share

Mitigation:DISH fully removed from numbers and guidance so any resolution is incremental upside; contract believed enforceable and being defended in litigation.

Latin America / Brazil elevated churn 2026 (peaking); recovery 2027-2028

~8% contribution to regional OTBG; regional organic growth ~-2% in Q1; negative OTBG for full-year 2026

Mitigation:Includes pulled-forward 2027 Oi churn and delayed 2025 churn; three well-capitalized Brazilian carriers investing more; a couple hundred bps of new business; expected return to positive OTBG in 2027 and normalized growth by 2028.

Interest rate / debt refinancing costs 2026

~100 bps net interest headwind to 2026 AFFO/share; debt refinancings a further ~100 bps headwind

Mitigation:Lowest leverage and highest credit rating in peer group; investment-grade balance sheet; continued deleveraging from 4.9x.

Services business growth headwind 2026

~100 bps headwind to 2026 AFFO/share growth (2026 expected third-highest revenue year vs prior record ~$340M)

Mitigation:Business remains robust and positions AMT to execute large-scale carrier builds; end-to-end capability across ~43,000 sites.

Higher fuel prices in Africa Q1 FY26

contributor to ~110 bps cash adjusted EBITDA margin decline (unquantified individually)

Mitigation:Ongoing cost management; strong operational execution and sales results in Africa.

Data center construction restrictions / NIMBYism emerging / ongoing

unquantified; no projects scrapped or materially delayed to date

Mitigation:Deploying AMT government-affairs and zoning/permitting teams to support CoreSite, plus the data center coalition; long track record of working with communities.

Satellite (SpaceX/direct-to-device) competition to terrestrial wireless long-term

unquantified; only a 'tiny, tiny number' of low-performing rural towers potentially disintermediated

Mitigation:Management views satellites as complementary and net positive (enabling 6G use cases); holds ASP board seat; considers short-term disruption concern 'displaced'.

Foreign-exchange volatility 2026 and ongoing

~200 bps FX tailwind embedded in 2026 AFFO/share (a swing factor that could reverse); ~$110M of the property-revenue raise is FX

Mitigation:Long-term AFFO/share range stated before FX/interest impacts; strategic shift toward developed markets to reduce emerging-market macro volatility.

Q&A highlights

What is the build model, contract structure and return profile behind the 700+ European new builds and 85% developed-market capital?

Europe is outperforming the original Telefonica business case; growth moderated from upper-single-digit to mid-single-digit but remains compelling. A 3,000-site/10-year Telefonica build contract is being executed plus additional build-to-suits. Returns are expected above regional WACC by ~200 bps over time, potentially into the teens long-term as escalators compound. Management stressed it will not build uneconomic sites and wins hard-to-build work on operational excellence.

“the return profile is -- we expect it to be above our weighted average cost of capital in that region by a couple of hundred basis points over time”

asked by Rick Prentiss · answered by Rodney Smith

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Guidance raise driven by FX and straight-line, not operating upside

American Tower raised its full-year outlook across all key consolidated metrics, but management was explicit that the raise was primarily driven by incremental FX and non-cash straight-line tailwinds rather than fundamental operating outperformance. Property revenue guidance rose ~$145M at the midpoint (~$110M FX plus ~$35M accelerated Latin America straight-line revenue related to Oi), adjusted EBITDA ~$105M, and attributable AFFO $0.12/share to ~$10.99.

Underlying organic growth assumptions were reiterated across all regions. Q1 itself showed consolidated property revenue up ~3% (ex straight-line/FX) and ~5% normalized for one-time DISH churn.

CoreSite inflection: interconnection and AI reframe the data center thesis

CoreSite delivered ~17% cash property revenue growth (full-year guide ~13%), and management called this quarter a 'clear inflection' in interconnection activity that it believes marks the start of a durable trend. Steve Vondran repeatedly reframed CoreSite as an 'interconnection hub' rather than a data center, arguing its curated ecosystem of networks, enterprises, cloud on-ramps and now inferencing instances delivers structurally higher returns than single-tenant hyperscale models.

The vast majority of CoreSite revenue is with providers interconnected to five or more others, creating stickiness. Management is buying land, securing power, adding density-flexible new builds and exploring new market entries, and is 'increasingly enthusiastic about accelerating CoreSite's expansion.'

DISH de-risking and the Spectrum litigation overhang

American Tower has removed DISH from its numbers and guidance, so any resolution of the EchoStar/DISH situation would be incremental upside. Management declined to comment on ongoing litigation or the AT&T/EchoStar spectrum deal, reiterating only that it believes its contract is enforceable and continues to defend it, with the public docket available to investors.

The one-time DISH churn is a ~400 bps headwind to 2026 AFFO/share growth; normalizing for it would lift ~2% reported growth toward ~6%.

Emerging-markets strategy unchanged despite strong growth

Africa & APAC organic growth ran ~11% and management praised operational execution on both continents, but reiterated the two-year-old strategic decision to shrink emerging markets as a share of the portfolio and shift capital to developed markets (~85% of discretionary capital).

The rationale is volatility reduction: emerging markets are accretive to U.S. growth but add earnings volatility during macro shocks. Latin America organic declined ~2% on elevated Brazil churn (~8% regional contribution), reflecting delayed 2025 churn and accelerated 2027 churn, with recovery to positive OTBG expected in 2027 and normalized growth by 2028.

Secular demand drivers: mobile data, 6G and AI

Management leaned heavily on structural demand: U.S. mobile data traffic projected to double over the next five years, European traffic to more than double by the end of the decade, and emerging-market traffic to nearly triple. Carrier capital investment is described as stable in the $30–35B range. 6G engineering principles (likely 6–7 GHz frequencies) point to denser networks, and AI applications are seen as incremental upside not yet in projections.

Management argued private-market tower multiples exceed public ones precisely because private buyers take this long-duration view.

Capital allocation: buybacks, dividend, disciplined M&A

American Tower repurchased ~$184M of stock in Q1 plus ~$19M through April 21, bringing total buybacks since Q4 to over $565M, and grew the dividend 5%. Leverage ended at 4.9x, described as the lowest with the highest credit rating in the peer group.

On M&A, management stressed discipline: the U.S. remains the flagship market for adding scale, Europe is watched but lacks attractive terms, and no compelling deals have met criteria recently. Management declined to comment on the rumored SBA take-private or its potential multiple, saying buyback decisions are driven by internal value calculations, not competitors' actions.

Edge computing and satellite competition

Management is encouraged that peers, carriers, chipmakers and cloud companies are now discussing mobile edge, reinforcing AMT's multi-year thesis; it launched a Raleigh data center as an edge 'playground' and sees edge (AI RAN, regional inferencing data centers) as the eventual synergy between towers and CoreSite, though it declined to predict timing.

On the SpaceX/satellite threat to terrestrial wireless, Vondran was dismissive: satellites are complementary, AMT holds an ASP board seat, and its very few rural towers that could be disintermediated are low performers — he sees satellite as a net positive enabling 6G use cases.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.