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    AMZN
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    AMAZON COM INC AMZN

    Feb 6, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Amazon.com Q4 FY24 — Record Operating Income and Strong AWS/Advertising Growth

    Amazon delivered a robust Q4 FY24, marked by record operating income and strong growth across its Stores, AWS, and Advertising segments, driven by continued efficiency gains and customer experience improvements. The company is making significant investments in AI, particularly within AWS with custom silicon and generative AI services, and integrating AI and robotics into its retail operations to further reduce costs and enhance customer experiences, despite facing some near-term supply chain and FX headwinds.

    Highlights

    5
    • Worldwide revenue reached $187.8 billion, up 10% year-over-year (11% ex-FX), exceeding the top end of guidance ex-FX.

    • Operating income was a record $21.2 billion, up 61% year-over-year, and $1.2 billion above the high end of guidance.

    • Trailing 12-month free cash flow adjusted for equipment finance leases was $36.2 billion, up $700 million year-over-year.

    • AWS revenue grew 19% year-over-year to $28.8 billion, reaching a $115 billion annualized run rate.

    • Advertising revenue grew 18% year-over-year to $17.3 billion, achieving a $69 billion annual run rate.

    Concerns

    4
    • Q4 revenue experienced an additional $700 million foreign exchange headwind compared to guidance.

    • AWS growth is currently moderated by supply constraints related to chips, power, and certain hardware components.

    • Q1 FY25 revenue guidance includes an estimated $2.1 billion (150 bps) FX headwind and a $1.5 billion (120 bps) impact from comping last year's leap year.

    • Changes to server useful life and accelerated depreciation are expected to decrease full-year 2025 operating income by a combined $1.3 billion.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Net Sales
    $151 billion to $155.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Operating Income
    $14 billion and $18 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full Year 2025 Operating Income Impact (Server Useful Life)
    decrease by approximately $700 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Full Year 2025 Operating Income Impact (Accelerated Depreciation)
    decrease by approximately $600 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Full Year 2025 Operating Income Impact (FC Equipment Useful Life)
    increase by approximately $900 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Capital Investments
    approximately $105.2 billion
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    North America
    Strong revenue growth and significant operating income improvement, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin improvement.
    Operating income: $9.3 billionOperating income increase YoY: $2.8 billionOperating margin increase YoY: 190 basis points
    $115.6 billion10%8%
    International
    Solid revenue growth ex-FX and substantial operating income improvement, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin improvement.
    Operating income: $1.3 billionOperating income improvement YoY: $1.7 billionOperating margin increase YoY: 400 basis points
    $43.4 billion9% excluding the impact of foreign exchange3%
    AWS
    Continued strong growth driven by both generative AI and non-generative AI offerings. Operating income benefited from strong growth, innovation, and cost control, with a 200 bps margin increase from server useful life changes.
    Annualized revenue run rate: $115 billionOperating income increase YoY: $3.5 billion
    $28.8 billion19%$10.6 billion

    Operational metrics

    17
    Worldwide paid units growth
    11%YoY
    Q4 FY24

    Driven by focus on low prices, broad selection, and fast shipping.

    Foreign exchange headwind
    $900 millionvs guidance
    Q4 FY24

    Higher than anticipated, impacting revenue.

    Customer savings
    $15 billion
    Q4 FY24

    From low everyday prices and record-setting events like Prime Big Deal Days and Black Friday/Cyber Monday.

    Online prices vs. competitors
    14% lower
    Q4 FY24

    Amazon had the lowest online prices, averaging 14% lower than other leading retailers.

    Same-day delivery sites expansion
    60%
    2024

    Expanded number of same-day delivery sites.

    Units delivered same or next day
    9 billion
    2024

    Overall units delivered same or next day.

    Cost to serve reduction
    reducedsecond year in a row
    2024

    Reduced global cost to serve while increasing speed, improving safety, and adding selection.

    Trainium2 price performance
    30% to 40% more
    Q4 FY24

    EC2 instances with Trainium2 chips offer significantly better price performance.

    SageMaker HyperPod training time savings
    40%
    Q4 FY24

    HyperPod capability saves training time by up to 40% by automatically splitting workloads and repairing faulty instances.

    Amazon Nova models price
    75% lower
    Q4 FY24

    Amazon's own family of frontier models offers lower latency and price.

    Q Transform savings (Java JDK migration)
    $260 million
    prior

    Q Transform helped save Amazon's teams significant resources in migrating applications to new Java JDK versions.

    Mainframe migration time reduction (with Q)
    more than 50%
    Q4 FY24

    Early customer testing indicates Q can significantly cut the time required for mainframe migrations.

    AWS operating margin increase from server useful life
    200 basis pointsYoY
    Q4 FY24

    Increased estimated useful life of servers starting in 2024 contributed to the AWS margin increase.

    Capital investments
    $26.3 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Combination of cash CapEx plus equipment-finance leases.

    AI-infused chatbot satisfaction improvement
    500 basis points
    Q4 FY24

    Re-architected chatbot with generative AI delivered better customer satisfaction.

    Inventory forecasting improvement (AI-driven)
    10% better
    Q4 FY24

    Generative AI applications led to better forecasting for inventory needs.

    Regional predictions improvement (AI-driven)
    20% better
    Q4 FY24

    Generative AI applications led to better regional predictions for inventory.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Segment revenue mix
    Ai cloud revenue backlog$28.8 billionUSD
    Regional market performance
    Advertising revenue take rate$17.3 billionUSD
    Subscription membership programaccelerated growth
    Operating income EBIT and adjusted EBITDA$21.2 billionUSD

    Product announcements

    11
    ProductTypeDetails
    Amazon Haullaunch
    Trainium2launch
    DeepSeek's R1 modelsupdate
    Amazon Novalaunch
    Amazon Q Transformationsexpansion
    Amazon Aurora DSQLlaunch
    Amazon S3 tableslaunch
    Amazon S3 Metadatalaunch
    Next generation of Amazon SageMakerupdate
    Rufusupdate
    Amazon Lensupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    17
    CliniqueWelcomed to Amazon stores

    Added to Amazon's broad range of selection in 2024.

    Estée LauderWelcomed to Amazon stores

    Added to Amazon's broad range of selection in 2024.

    Oura RingsWelcomed to Amazon stores

    Added to Amazon's broad range of selection in 2024.

    Armani BeautyWelcomed to Amazon stores

    Added to Amazon's broad range of selection in 2024.

    AnthropicCollaboration to build Project Rainier

    Project Rainier is a cluster of Trainium2 UltraServers containing hundreds of thousands of Trainium2 chips, 5x the exaflops of Anthropic's current cloud models training cluster.

    IntuitNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    PayPalNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    Northrop GrummanNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    The Guardian Life Insurance Company of AmericaNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    RedditNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    Japan AirlinesNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    Baker HughesNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    The Hertz CorporationNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    RedfinNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    Chime FinancialNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    AsanaNew AWS agreement

    Signed new AWS agreement for core modernization.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Foreign exchange headwindsQ4 FY24, Q1 FY25

    $700 million more than anticipated in Q4 guidance; $2.1 billion (150 bps) estimated for Q1 FY25

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but company reports ex-FX growth to show underlying performance.

    AWS supply constraintsCurrent, expected to relax in H2 FY25

    Impacts growth rate, could be growing faster if unconstrained

    Mitigation: Team is 'scrapping' to provide capacity; expects constraints to relax in H2 FY25.

    Leap year comparison impactQ1 FY25

    $1.5 billion (120 bps) impact on Q1 FY25 revenue guidance

    Mitigation: Not applicable, a calendar effect.

    Server useful life changeFY25

    Decrease full year 2025 operating income by approximately $700 million

    Mitigation: Not applicable, an accounting change based on increased pace of technology development.

    Accelerated depreciation from early server retirementQ4 FY24, FY25

    $920 million expense in Q4 2024; decrease full year 2025 operating income by approximately $600 million

    Mitigation: Not applicable, an accounting charge for early retirement of equipment.

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    AWS supply constraints relaxation

    Second half of '25
    CurrentGrowth moderated by constraints in chips, power, motherboards
    TargetRelaxation of constraints

    Why it matters

    Relaxation of supply constraints could accelerate AWS growth, which is a key driver for the company's overall performance and AI opportunity.

    I predict those constraints really start to relax in the second half of '25. And as I said, I think we can be growing faster even though we're growing at a pretty good clip today.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Clarification on the $100 billion CapEx for 2025 and whether AWS growth is moderated by industry-wide supply constraints.

    Andy Jassy confirmed the CapEx run rate is around $105.2 billion, primarily for AWS AI infrastructure, which is a positive sign for long-term growth. He acknowledged that AWS growth could be faster if not for supply constraints in chips, power, and certain hardware components, but expects these to relax in H2 2025.

    However, it is true that we could be growing faster, if not for some of the constraints on capacity.

    asked by Mark Stephen Mahaney · answered by Andrew Jassy

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Stores Business Performance and Customer Value

    Amazon's North America segment grew 10% year-over-year, and the International segment grew 9% year-over-year excluding FX. This growth was driven by an expanded selection, competitive pricing, and improved convenience, leading to worldwide paid units growing 11% year-over-year. Third-party sellers contributed 61% of units sold in 2024, a new annual high. Customers saved over $15 billion in Q4 through low prices and events, with Amazon maintaining the lowest online prices for the eighth consecutive year, averaging 14% lower than competitors.

    02

    Fulfillment Network Efficiency and Cost to Serve

    The company achieved its second consecutive year of reducing global cost to serve on a per-unit basis, while simultaneously increasing delivery speed and improving safety. Key drivers included the regionalization of the U.S. network, a redesigned U.S. inbound network, improved inventory placement, higher units per package, and reduced travel distances. Management expects further cost reductions in 2025 through continued refinement of inventory placement, expansion of the same-day delivery network, and acceleration of robotics and automation.

    03

    Advertising Business Momentum

    Amazon's advertising business demonstrated strong growth, generating $17.3 billion in revenue in Q4, an 18% year-over-year increase, and reaching a $69 billion annual run rate. The company is expanding its full-funnel advertising capabilities, from broad-reach brand awareness to bottom-of-the-funnel Sponsored Products. Differentiated audience features leveraging billions of customer signals and advanced attribution models like multi-touch attribution are enhancing advertiser effectiveness.

    04

    AWS AI Strategy and Custom Silicon

    AWS grew 19% year-over-year, achieving a $115 billion annualized revenue run rate. A core focus is on AI, with significant investments in custom silicon. Trainium2, launched at re:Invent, offers 30-40% better price performance than other GPU-powered instances. AWS is collaborating with Anthropic on Project Rainier, a large Trainium2 cluster, and is already developing Trainium3 and Trainium4, highlighting custom silicon as a unique strength for AWS in the AI space.

    05

    AWS Generative AI Services and Core Modernization

    Amazon Bedrock, a fully managed service, continues to iterate rapidly, offering a broad choice of foundation models and new features like prompt caching and model distillation. The company also launched its own family of frontier models, Amazon Nova, offering lower latency and 75% lower price. Amazon Q, a generative AI-powered assistant, is driving significant productivity gains, such as saving $260 million and 4,500 developer years in Java JDK migrations, and accelerating mainframe migrations by over 50%. AWS also continues to sign new agreements for core cloud modernization.

    06

    Robotics and AI in Retail Operations

    Amazon has seen significant cost savings, productivity, and safety improvements from integrating robotics into its fulfillment network. New robotics initiatives, first deployed in Shreveport, are showing encouraging results and are planned for wider rollout. Generative AI is infused into the 'brains' of many robotics, enabling tasks like object recognition and precise movement. AI is also used for productivity in customer service (500 bps better chatbot satisfaction), seller tools, and inventory management (10% better forecasting, 20% better regional predictions).

    07

    AI-Enhanced Customer Experiences in Retail

    AI is creating altogether new customer experiences in Amazon's retail business. Examples include Rufus, an AI-infused shopping assistant that helps customers find product facts and summarize reviews; Amazon Lens, which uses computer vision and generative AI for product search from images; and AI-driven sizing recommendations based on catalog comparisons. Generative AI is also being used for inventive features in Prime Video's Thursday Night Football broadcasts.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.