Skip to content
    APO
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Apollo Global Management Q4 FY25 earnings call APO

    Feb 9, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Apollo Q4 FY25 — Record Origination and Strong Earnings Growth

    Apollo delivered a robust Q4, capping a year of record origination and strong earnings growth, driven by its integrated platform and diversified capital formation channels. The firm is strategically expanding into new markets, including wealth and 401(k), while maintaining a principal's mindset and disciplined underwriting, particularly in areas like software. Management anticipates continued earnings growth and margin expansion, leveraging its global reach and specialized ecosystem strategies.

    Highlights

    5
    • Generated record combined fee-related earnings (FRE) and spread-related earnings (SRE) of $5.9 billion for the full year.

    • Achieved adjusted net income of $5.2 billion, up 14% year-over-year, or $8.38 per share for FY25.

    • FRE for the year grew 23% year-over-year to $2.5 billion.

    • Origination volume crossed $300 billion in FY25, up nearly 40% from the prior year.

    • Recorded $228 billion in inflows for the full year, including $42 billion in Q4 FY25.

    Concerns

    3
    • Software exposure is intentionally low across the firm (less than 2% of total AUM, 0% in PE, 0.5% on Athene's balance sheet, less than 4% in credit business ex-Athene), indicating a defensive stance against potential market overvaluation.

    • Athene built a $24 billion position of cash, treasuries, and agencies, which is acknowledged as a short-term drag on profitability.

    • Athene's blended net spread ex notables was 120 basis points in Q4, a slight decrease from 121 basis points in the prior quarter, primarily reflecting asset prepayments.

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Asset Management FRE Growth
    20% plus
    high materiality
    High
    Retirement Services Inflows
    approximately $85 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    SRE Growth
    10%
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Dividend per Share
    $2.25
    medium materiality
    High
    Dividend Growth Rate
    approximately 10% annually
    medium materiality
    High
    FRE Growth
    20% plus
    high materiality
    High
    Non-comp FRE Expenses Growth
    low double-digit growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Compensation Cost Growth
    high teens growth rate
    medium materiality
    Medium
    SRE
    $3.85 billion
    high materiality
    High
    FRE Margin Expansion
    100 basis points annually
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Multiyear Tax Rate
    approximately 20%
    low materiality
    High
    401(k) Inflows
    north of $1 billion
    low materiality
    Medium

    Operational metrics

    48
    Adjusted Net Income
    $5.2 billionup 14% year-over-year
    FY25

    Full year adjusted net income.

    Origination Volume
    $305 billionup nearly 40% for the prior year
    FY25

    Record volume across the business.

    Debt Origination Volume
    $282 billion
    FY25

    Comprised of 80% IG and 20% sub-investment-grade.

    Sponsor-backed Origination Volume
    $80 billionquadrupling in 4 years
    FY25

    Across mid-cap and large-cap direct lending.

    Investment-Grade Origination Spread
    290 basis points
    FY25

    Excess spread over treasuries and rated corporates.

    Sub-Investment-Grade Origination Spread
    490 basis points
    FY25

    Excess spread over treasuries and comparably rated high-yield corporates.

    Software Exposure (Total AUM)
    less than 2%
    current

    Positioning amongst the lowest in the industry.

    Software Exposure (Private Equity)
    0%
    current

    Zero exposure to growth software.

    Software Exposure (Athene Balance Sheet)
    0.5%
    current

    De minimis exposure, virtually all IG rated with hyperscalers.

    Software Exposure (Credit Business ex-Athene)
    less than 4%
    current

    Within credit business, excluding Athene.

    ADS AUM
    more than $25 billion
    current

    Largest private markets direct lending vehicle.

    ADS Return
    approximately 8%
    Q4 and FY25

    For the quarter and for the year, with lowest leverage, top of capital structure, large company, no PIK.

    AAA AUM
    exceeds $25 billion
    current

    Largest hybrid vehicle.

    AAA Inception-to-date Return
    12%
    inception-to-date

    Very low volatility.

    AAA Positive Quarters
    43 of 44
    inception-to-date

    Including 23 consecutive positive quarters.

    PE Flagship Funds Gross Return
    39%
    last 3.5 decades

    Gross return for PE flagship funds.

    PE Flagship Funds Net Return
    24%
    last 3.5 decades

    Net return for PE flagship funds.

    Athene Cash, Treasuries, and Agencies
    $24 billion
    current

    Position built defensively, provides significant firepower.

    Capital Solutions Fees
    $226 million
    Q4 FY25

    Reached a new high in Q4.

    Capital Solutions Fees (Full Year)
    exceed $800 million
    FY25

    Driven by over 430 transactions during the full year, approximately 60% credit driven.

    Fee-related Performance Fees Growth
    28%year-over-year
    FY25

    Reflecting continued scaling of diversified wealth products and perpetual capital vehicles.

    FRE Margin
    approximately 57%stable year-over-year
    FY25

    Consistent with previously communicated target.

    Bridge Contribution (4 months)
    $105 billion
    2025

    Fee-related revenue from Bridge in the first 4 months post acquisition.

    FRE Margin ex-Bridge Growth
    50 basis points
    FY25

    Inclusive of the cost of significant investments in the platform.

    Athene Net Invested Assets
    $292 billionup 18% year-over-year
    FY25

    Growth in Athene's net invested assets.

    Athene Blended Net Spread ex-notables
    120 basis pointsversus 121 basis points in the prior quarter
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily reflecting asset prepayments, mostly offset by new business growth and higher return on alts portfolio.

    Realized Performance Fees
    $588 million
    Q4 FY25

    Driven by carry from several strategies, including Fund X, Accord Plus, and credit hedge fund strategies.

    Capital Returned to Shareholders
    approximately $1.5 billion
    FY25

    Via dividends and repurchases.

    Adjusted Net Income CAGR
    17%
    since early 2022

    More than double that of S&P 500 companies over the same period.

    Short Duration IG Vehicle AUM
    over $7 billion
    current

    Strategy started 18 months ago.

    Fee-related earnings (FRE)
    $2.5 billionup 23% year-over-year
    FY25

    Record FRE for the year.

    Spread-related earnings (SRE)
    $3.4 billionnormalized plus 9% year-over-year
    FY25

    Normalized SRE for the year.

    Assets Under Management (AUM)
    $938 billionup 25% year-over-year
    FY25

    Includes fee-generating AUM of $709 billion.

    Fee-generating AUM
    $709 billionup 25% year-over-year
    FY25

    Part of total AUM.

    Total Inflows
    $228 billionrecord inflows
    FY25

    Includes Athene and Asset Management.

    Q4 Inflows
    $42 billion
    Q4 FY25

    Quarterly inflows.

    Organic Inflows
    $182 billionrecord organic inflows
    FY25

    Approximately two-thirds attributable to third parties.

    Asset Management Organic Inflows
    $100 billion
    FY25

    75% went to credit-oriented strategies and 25% to equity-oriented strategies.

    Asset Management Inorganic Inflows
    $45 billion
    FY25

    Inorganic inflows into Asset Management.

    Athene Inflows
    $83 billionrecord
    FY25

    Driven by robust retail inflows, record funding agreement issuance, and strong reinsurance.

    Individual Market Inflows
    $18 billionup nearly 50% year-over-year
    FY25

    Global Wealth business fundraising.

    Third-Party Insurance New Mandates
    $15 billion
    FY25

    New mandates, contributing to the third-party insurance platform.

    Third-Party Insurance Platform Total
    $135 billion
    FY25

    Across 30 strategic and SMA mandates.

    Fund X Net IRR
    22%
    FY25

    Most recent vintage Fund '23.

    Fund X DPI
    0.3+
    current

    Versus an industry that rounds to 0.

    Global Wealth Strategies >$500M Fundraising
    9
    FY25

    Number of strategies in Global Wealth with over $500 million in annual fundraising.

    Global Wealth Strategies >$1B Fundraising
    3
    FY25

    Number of strategies in Global Wealth with over $1 billion in annual fundraising.

    401(k) Inflows
    north of $1 billion
    FY25

    Inflows into 401(k) products.

    Industry KPIs

    1
    MetricValueDetails
    Capital returns$1.5 billionUSD

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    Partnership with Schrodersmilestone
    PRIV ETF with State Streetmilestone
    Apollo Sports Capitallaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI)acquisition$9 billion

    Athene will acquire $9 billion of commercial mortgage assets from ARI, subject to ARI stockholder approval. Athene already has nearly 50% ownership overlap with the underlying loans. This transaction is part of a strategy to transfer assets from a public company trading at a discount to NAV to Athene.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Short-term drag on profitability from defensive positioningshort-term

    Athene built $24 billion position of cash, treasuries and agencies.

    Mitigation: Provides significant firepower to redeploy; willingness to sacrifice short-term profitability for doing the right thing.

    Overvaluation and potential reset in software sectorcurrent/ongoing

    Software exposure less than 2% of total AUM, 0% in PE, 0.5% on Athene's balance sheet, less than 4% in credit business ex-Athene. Public software companies down 50% to 70%.

    Mitigation: Disciplined underwriting, principal's mindset, focus on first-lien debt, positioning to go on 'offense' when valuations become attractive.

    Competition in retail annuity channelscurrent

    Not quantified, but noted as 'interesting competition' in lower-quality broker channels.

    Mitigation: Athene's competitive advantages (asset origination, low-cost liability factory, low OpEx); belief that many new entrants will not achieve 'escape velocity' due to unsustainable practices (giving away fees, moving business offshore).

    Public market volatility impacting institutional portfolioscurrent/ongoing

    Not quantified, but noted as a 'significant imperative' for LPs.

    Mitigation: Drives institutions to seek less risky, better risk-adjusted returns in private assets; Apollo's focus on diversifying into new institutional markets (insurance, debt/equity, 401(k)).

    Unpredictability of performance feesongoing

    Not quantified, but acknowledged as the 'most unpredictable part of the earnings stream.'

    Mitigation: Anchored to a long-term guidepost of $900 million for PII; belief that disciplined buying at reasonable multiples allows for selling at reasonable multiples; not market-dependent on equity capital markets.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How does the ARI transaction, with its 7.7% loan yield, impact SRE and what are the offsets to consider?

    Marc Rowan explained the philosophy of transferring assets from a discounted public vehicle (ARI) to Athene at fair market value, noting it's about finding durable spread and safe yield. Jim Zelter emphasized the principal mindset and alignment. Martin Kelly clarified that the transaction helps derisk the 10% SRE growth target for 2026, rather than being purely additive, as it displaces other SRE lending.

    So it goes into a principal mindset and alignment at the core of what we do.

    asked by Michael Brown · answered by James Zelter

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Integrated Platform and Origination Moat

    Apollo emphasizes its integrated system, connecting origination, product, and investing teams across the firm. This bespoke investing approach allows for delivering the right cost of capital to opportunities quickly and at scale, while maintaining discipline. The firm originated over $305 billion of assets in 2025, a nearly 40% increase year-over-year, with $282 billion in debt, primarily investment grade. This capability is seen as a long-term moat, enabling consistent, high-quality outcomes for clients.

    02

    Expansion into New Markets

    The company is strategically expanding from serving institutional alternatives to six distinct markets: individuals, insurance, institutional debt/equity, traditional asset managers, and the 401(k) market. Each market is seen as potentially as large as the original institutional market, requiring tailored products, access points, and technology investments. This diversification is a key driver for future growth, with significant white space ahead for the business.

    03

    Disciplined Underwriting and Software Exposure

    Apollo highlights its 'principal's mindset' and patient, purchase-price-matters discipline. This is evident in its low software exposure, representing less than 2% of total AUM, 0% in PE growth software, 0.5% on Athene's balance sheet, and less than 4% in credit business excluding Athene. Management believes this defensive positioning, avoiding over-allocated sectors, will allow them to go on offense as market valuations reset, particularly in areas like software.

    04

    Capital Formation Momentum

    Apollo achieved record organic inflows of $182 billion in 2025, with $100 billion into Asset Management and $83 billion into Athene. The firm's Global Wealth business saw $18 billion in fundraising, up nearly 50% year-over-year, with 9 strategies raising over $500 million. Third-party insurance mandates contributed $15 billion, bringing the platform to over $135 billion across 30 strategic and SMA mandates, demonstrating broad-based demand.

    05

    Athene's Strategic Positioning

    Athene generated record inflows of $83 billion in 2025, driven by robust retail inflows, funding agreement issuance, and reinsurance. The company maintains a defensive posture with $24 billion in cash, treasuries, and agencies, providing significant redeployment firepower. The recently announced ARI transaction will transfer $9 billion of commercial mortgage assets to Athene, offering attractive yields and helping derisk the 10% SRE growth target for 2026.

    06

    Future Growth Drivers and Globalization

    Apollo expects continued strong growth in 2026, with Asset Management FRE projected to grow over 20% and SRE by 10%. This growth is underpinned by established core businesses (asset-backed finance, direct lending, multi-credit, hybrid) and newer initiatives like Apollo Sports Capital. The firm is globalizing its strategy, particularly in Europe and Asia, and building organic platforms to penetrate specialized industries that require specialized knowledge and capital pools.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.