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    ARES
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Ares Management Q1 FY26 earnings call ARES

    May 1, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Ares Management Q1 FY26 — Record Q1 fundraising and broad-based growth amid retail private-credit noise

    Ares framed the quarter's dislocation as opportunity: institutional demand keeps consolidating toward scaled managers even as retail US private-credit flows wobble, and management argues the same senior-secured assets simply re-route into institutional, SMA and other vehicles with negligible profitability impact. Diversification across credit, real assets and secondaries carried deployment through a soft US direct-lending quarter, positioning the firm for wider spreads and better terms into the back half.

    Highlights

    5
    • AUM grew 18% YoY to $644B and fee-paying AUM grew 19% to $400B, driving management fees above $1B for the first time (+22% YoY)

    • FRE rose 26% YoY to $464M with FRE margin expanding 90 bps to 42.4%; realized income up 24% to $503M and realized net performance income up 84% to $75M

    • Record first-quarter gross fundraising of $30B, up 46% YoY, with ASOF III final close above $8.3B equity and multiple flagship funds hitting hard caps

    • Deployment exceeded $32B (above Q1 2025) despite seasonal and geopolitical headwinds, backed by a record forward pipeline and >$158B available capital

    • X-Energy IPO (raised >$1B at a 20% premium to the range) marked Ares' ~$100M cost basis to roughly $700M fair value net of compensation

    Concerns

    4
    • US direct-lending deployment slowed as industry middle-market M&A deal count fell 41% YoY (Q1'26 vs Q1'25) amid the Iran War and shifting inflation/rate expectations

    • Elevated redemptions in the two US private-credit wealth funds (~4.5% of FPAUM); a modeled 5% quarterly-redemption year with no inflows would cut FPAUM ~1% annually

    • Software portfolio (6% of AUM) faces AI-disruption scrutiny — ~13% classified medium risk and ~1% high risk in an independent consultant review

    • Q1 realizations came in lighter than some analysts expected, dependent on transaction-market timing

    Guidance & targets

    17
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    FRE compound annual growth
    16-20%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Realized income compound annual growth
    20-25%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Dividend compound annual growth
    20%
    high materiality
    Medium
    FRE margin expansion (FY26)
    toward the upper end of the 0-150 bps annual target
    high materiality
    High
    Effective tax rate (FY26)
    11%-15% (Q1 at 13.5%)
    medium materiality
    High
    Fundraising target (2028)
    $125B (guidance unchanged)
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 fundraising
    on track for another record year
    high materiality
    High
    Alternative credit fund III (ACF III) final size
    hard cap, meaningfully above $6.5B target
    medium materiality
    High
    Senior Direct Lending fund IV first close
    first close late Q3 or early Q4 2026
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Senior Direct Lending fund IV size
    expected to exceed its $10B cover
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Global data center equity fund first close
    significant first close this summer
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Data center business FRE contribution
    shifting from negative to positive FRE contributor
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Japan logistics development fund V
    first close this spring; hard cap later this year
    low materiality
    Medium
    Real estate secondaries fund III first close
    first close in the back half of the year
    low materiality
    Medium
    G&A expense (Q2)
    high-single-digit to low-double-digit increase
    low materiality
    Medium
    Interest income run-rate
    around the Q1 level going forward
    low materiality
    Medium
    Fee-related performance revenue timing
    alt credit recognized in Q3; most other credit and real estate in Q4
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Credit
    Ares' largest group; raised over $20B in Q1 across drawdown and perpetual vehicles. Deployment strong in European direct lending and alternative credit; US direct lending softer on the middle-market M&A slowdown. Software exposure is 6% of AUM (senior-secured, ~40% LTV).
    US direct lending time-weighted return (LTM): ~12%-15%Alternative credit return (LTM): ~15%Opportunistic credit return (LTM): ~12%European direct lending return (LTM): ~9%APAC credit return (LTM): over 20%
    Real Estate
    One of the largest global real estate platforms. 11th US value-add fund closed at an increased hard cap ($3.1B commitments / ~$3.5B total capital); fifth Japan logistics development fund and third real estate secondaries fund in market.
    Diversified non-traded REIT total return (LTM): ~12%
    Infrastructure / Digital Infrastructure
    Digital-infrastructure/data-center build-out is a focus; >$10B invested historically across groups, ~$900B third-party market opportunity cited. Global data-center equity fund targeting a significant first close this summer.
    Infrastructure debt gross return (LTM): ~9%Core infrastructure fund AUM: over $3B (raised $1B equity subscriptions in Q1)
    Secondaries
    Built from the Landmark acquisition ~6 years ago; GP-led now represents half or more of deployment. Annual industry deployment roughly one-to-one with dry powder, making it the least-capitalized alternative segment — a supply-demand imbalance Ares views as return-enhancing.
    APMF since-inception net return: over 14%
    Private Equity
    Primary private-equity strategies delivering strong net returns; PE also referenced as a driver of Q1 deployment.
    ACOF VI net return: ~15%

    Operational metrics

    19
    Management fees
    over $1B (first time in firm history)+22% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    First quarter with management fees above $1B; core recurring revenue engine.

    FRE margin
    42.4%+90 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Operating leverage from scale; guided toward upper end of 0-150 bps annual target.

    Realized income
    $503M+24% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP; Ares' realized-income measure.

    After-tax realized income per share
    $1.24+14% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP per-share earnings.

    Effective tax rate
    13.5%just above midpoint of 11%-15% range
    Q1 FY26

    In line with expected full-year rate.

    Dividend per share
    $1.35+20%+ YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Quarterly dividend on Class A and non-voting common; part of 20% longer-term dividend-growth goal.

    New products and strategies added
    14 products / $68B AUM
    past 2 years

    Platform expansion broadening origination capabilities and deployment reach.

    Investment professionals
    ~1,700
    Q1 FY26

    One of the largest, most diversified origination platforms in private markets.

    Software exposure
    6% of overall AUMless than 8% of private-credit AUM
    Q1 FY26

    Focused on core-operational/systems-of-record/regulated-industry software; only one software company on non-accrual.

    Portfolio company EBITDA growth (direct lending)
    near 10%
    recent

    Cited as evidence credit fundamentals remain positive.

    Loan-to-value (direct lending)
    mid-40%
    Q1 FY26

    Private-equity sponsors funding new transactions with majority equity.

    Interest coverage ratio (direct lending)
    2.2ximproving
    Q1 FY26

    Non-accrual ratios well below historical norms.

    Investment selectivity (yes-rate)
    ~5%
    ongoing

    Only ~5% of deals seen are done; hallmark of Ares' underwriting driving near-zero loss rates.

    Middle-market M&A deal count
    -41%industry-wide decline
    Q1'26 vs Q1'25

    Drove slower US direct-lending transaction activity; Ares gains share in slower periods.

    X-Energy investment fair value
    ~$700M (net of employee compensation) vs ~$100M cost basisvs ~$100M cost basis
    Q1 FY26

    Small modular nuclear reactor company originally identified via Ares Acquisition Corp. 1 (SPAC) in 2022.

    Non-traded BDC since-inception annualized return (Class I)
    over 10%
    since inception

    Fundamentals and performance strong despite moderating US private-credit wealth flows.

    Non-traded BDC investors not requesting redemption
    over 95%
    most recent quarter

    Management argues redemptions are isolated, not a broad-based reputation of alts.

    ARCC cumulative deployed/exited capital
    more than $70B13% asset-level realized gross IRR on all exited investments
    20+ years

    Ares Capital Corporation track record cited as proof of through-cycle performance.

    Software loan price bifurcation (traded market)
    core-operational basket -2% YTD (~98.99); content/productivity basket -24% YTD (below 65)
    YTD 2026

    Illustrates market distinguishing between less- and more-AI-exposed software borrowers; Ares' book skews to the former.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    AUM$644B total AUM; $400B fee-paying AUM$B
    Dry powderover $158B total available capital; over $100B credit dry powder$B
    Fundraising inflows$30B gross capital raised$B
    Performance revenue$75M realized net performance income; $20M fee-related performance revenue (FRPR)$M
    Fee related earnings$464M$M
    Distributable earnings$503M realized income; $1.24 after-tax realized income per share$M / $ per share
    Deployment realizationsover $32B deployed$B

    Product announcements

    6
    ProductTypeDetails
    Evergreen unlevered US senior direct lending core productlaunch
    Global data center equity fundlaunch
    Alternative credit fund III (ACF III)launch
    Senior Direct Lending fund IV (SDL IV)roadmap
    Real estate secondaries fund IIIlaunch
    Japan logistics development fund Vlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    5
    X-Energyportfolio company IPO / partial monetizationIPO raised over $1B at a 20% premium to the top of the range; Ares position ~$100M cost basis marked to ~$700M fair value (net of comp)

    Small modular nuclear reactor company Ares first identified through its first SPAC (Ares Acquisition Corp. 1) in 2022, later supported in a private transaction; strategic investors include Amazon. Largest-ever equity offering for a nuclear company.

    Top-three global management consulting firm (unnamed)advisory engagement9-week review

    Conducted an independent forward-looking AI-disruption review of Ares' software-oriented US and European direct-lending portfolio, concluding 86% low risk, ~13% medium, 1% high.

    GCP (prior acquisition)acquisition

    Referenced as the source of Ares' data-center development capability underpinning the global data center fund.

    Landmark Partners (prior acquisition)acquisition

    Ares' entry into secondaries; thesis anchored on the LP-to-GP-led shift, growing installed base across real estate/infra/credit, and wealth-channel demand for diversified PE exposure.

    Amazonstrategic investment (in X-Energy)

    Cited as a strategic investor supporting X-Energy as it executed its strategy ahead of the IPO.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Redemptions / slowing flows in US private-credit wealth vehicles (non-traded BDC and similar)current / hypothetical full year

    Two US private-credit wealth funds are ~4.5% of FPAUM; a modeled 5% quarterly-redemption year with no gross inflows would impact FPAUM by ~1% annually; over 95% of BDC investors did not redeem

    Mitigation: 5% quarterly repurchase framework aligning liquidity with natural portfolio repayments; assets redirect to other traded, institutional and SMA funds with limited/no profitability impact; strong fund performance (>10% since inception)

    US direct-lending deployment slowdown from weak middle-market M&AQ1 2026, easing in recent weeks

    Industry-wide deal count / middle-market M&A declined 41% in Q1'26 vs Q1'25

    Mitigation: Platform diversification (real estate, infra, European DL, secondaries carried deployment); pipeline reengaging; Ares gains share via certainty of capital in slower periods

    AI-disruption risk to the software loan portfolioplaying out over ~3-year weighted-average maturities

    Software is 6% of AUM (<8% of private credit); ~13% medium-risk and 1% high-risk per consultant review; medium-to-high combined <2% of US/European DL AUM

    Mitigation: Senior-secured lending at ~40% LTV (60% equity cushion); diversified names; independent nine-week consultant review; growing contractual revenues and EBITDA; selective exits of lower-conviction names

    Geopolitical shock (Iran War) pausing transaction activityQ1 2026

    Not separately quantified; cited as a driver of the Q1 M&A/deal-count decline and seasonal deployment slowdown

    Mitigation: Global diversification; analogy to April-2024 tariff pause that reaccelerated into a record deployment year

    Broader credit-cycle defaultsongoing / forward

    Not quantified — management expects the broader market will see defaults but sees no impending default cycle; only one software company on non-accrual

    Mitigation: Non-accrual ratios well below historical norms; ~10% portfolio EBITDA growth; mid-40% LTVs and 2.2x interest coverage; financing larger, more resilient businesses

    Rate and inflation uncertainty affecting transaction activityforward

    Not quantified

    Mitigation: Management sees a stable rate backdrop (even without cuts) as constructive; wider spreads and better terms improve risk-adjusted returns on deployment

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How is demand evolving across the institutional, insurance and retail channels within private credit given the deceleration in two newer retail funds?

    Arougheti distinguished funding pools (traded BDC, institutional, non-traded) and high-grade vs sub-investment-grade credit. Slowing non-traded flows don't reduce global deployment because the same senior-secured assets flow into other funds; insurance is a separate, mostly investment-grade market. Of $20B credit raised, $5B was wealth ($3B US DL, ~$2B European DL + SME), with Europe and SME enjoying strong inflows; institutional investors are not allocating away from private credit.

    if you are beginning to see slowing inflows or increased redemptions in the non-traded part of our business, that does not detract from our global deployment opportunity. And those assets will find their ways into other funds and therefore, will not have an impact on our profitability.

    asked by Craig Siegenthaler · answered by Michael Arougheti

    4 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Institutional fundraising franchise and record pipeline

    Ares raised $30B of gross capital in Q1, its highest-ever first quarter (+46% YoY), with three-quarters of its $644B AUM institutional. Management stressed a consolidation theme — large, sophisticated investors are concentrating allocations with fewer scaled GPs, benefiting incumbent platforms. Three of Ares' largest institutional private-credit funds are in market over the next 12 months, two already launched with momentum, and the firm hosted 1,100+ attendees at its Global Annual Meeting the prior week. The forward investment pipeline reached a new record, with strength across European and US direct lending, alternative credit and infrastructure.

    02

    Retail/wealth channel — redemptions isolated, non-credit products accelerating

    Wealth AUM grew 54% YoY to $68B, with $4B gross / $3B net equity raised (matching Q4). While US private-credit wealth vehicles saw moderating and elevated redemptions, over 95% of non-traded BDC investors did not request redemptions and requests concentrated among a limited number of family offices and smaller non-US institutions. The non-traded BDC has returned over 10% annualized (Class I) since inception, and its 5% quarterly repurchase framework approximates natural portfolio repayments. Demand is accelerating in the other six wealth products — core infrastructure raised $1B (now >$3B AUM), non-traded REITs took in >$640M, and European direct-lending wealth products drew ~$1.2B.

    03

    Deployment, dislocation and the direct-lending pipeline

    Deployment exceeded $32B, above Q1 2025, led by real estate, alternative credit, European direct lending and private equity. US direct lending was the soft spot as industry middle-market M&A deal count fell 41% YoY on the Iran War and shifting rate/inflation expectations, though activity has begun picking up in recent weeks. Management drew an analogy to April 2024's tariff-driven pause that preceded a record deployment back half. A recurring theme is 'liquidity-generated opportunity' — companies needing creative liquidity through opportunistic credit, secondaries and recap solutions — with wider spreads, higher fees and better terms available.

    04

    Software portfolio and independent AI-disruption review

    Ares' software exposure is 6% of overall AUM and under 8% of private-credit AUM, focused on senior lending (~40% LTV) to core-operational, systems-of-record and regulated-industry software. A top-three global consulting firm conducted a nine-week independent review, concluding 86% of the software-oriented portfolio is low AI-disruption risk, ~13% medium and only 1% high; medium-to-high combined is under 2% of US and European direct-lending AUM and well under 1% of firm AUM. Only one software company is on non-accrual, with contractual revenues still growing and ~10% EBITDA growth. Weighted-average remaining maturity is about three years, implying a slow, deal-by-deal resolution rather than a near-term shock.

    05

    Private credit structural thesis

    Management argued private-credit growth is a multi-decade structural evolution driven by private-market expansion, bank consolidation and tight bank regulation, and the syndicated/high-yield markets' focus on larger companies — leaving middle-market firms (about one-third of the economy) underserved. Over 25 years, US private credit contracted once (a decade ago) versus eight bank-sector contractions. Ares holds over $100B in credit dry powder against an estimated $500B+ industry total, and asserts private credit is not adding aggregate leverage to the economy since corporate credit as a share of GDP is unchanged over the past decade.

    06

    Digital infrastructure and data-center build-out

    Ares is raising a global data-center equity fund to capture the multi-decade supply-demand imbalance from hyperscaler cloud/AI demand, targeting a significant first close this summer. Blair Jacobson noted Ares has invested in digital infrastructure for 10-15 years across real estate, infrastructure, special situations, asset-backed, direct lending and secondaries, with over $10B invested historically; the GCP acquisition added development capability with an attractive seed portfolio (~$2.5B raised last summer for initial Japanese assets). The firm sizes the third-party market opportunity at around $900B, and management framed the broader theme as spanning data centers, GPUs and power/energy — tying in Ares' renewable/energy-transition platform and the X-Energy IPO.

    07

    Financial results and margin trajectory

    Management fees exceeded $1B for the first time (+22% YoY) on 19% FPAUM growth; FRE rose 26% to $464M with margin up 90 bps to 42.4%. Realized income grew 24% to $503M ($1.24 after-tax per share, +14%), and realized net performance income rose 84% to $75M. The effective tax rate was 13.5%. Management reaffirmed longer-term CAGR goals of 16-20% FRE, 20-25% realized income and 20% dividends, and expects FRE margin expansion toward the upper end of its 0-150 bps annual target, aided by GCP integration efficiencies and the data-center business turning FRE-positive.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.