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    ARES
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    Ares Management Corp ARES

    Feb 5, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Ares Management Q4 FY24 — Record Fundraising and Deployment Drive Double-Digit Growth

    Ares Management delivered a strong Q4 FY24, marked by record fundraising and deployment, driving double-digit growth in AUM and fee-related earnings. The firm is expanding its executive leadership and capabilities, including the pending GCP International acquisition, positioning for continued growth in 2025 amidst an anticipated improvement in transaction activity and sustained demand for private assets across institutional and wealth channels.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record annual fundraising of $92.7 billion in 2024, exceeding the previous record by over $15 billion.

    • Record deployment of $106.7 billion in 2024, up more than 50% over 2023, with Q4 deployment at $32 billion.

    • Assets Under Management (AUM) grew 16% year-over-year to over $484 billion.

    • Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) for Q4 reached a record $396 million, contributing to a 17% increase for the full year.

    • Quarterly dividend increased 20% to $1.12 per share, reflecting confidence in FRE growth.

    Concerns

    6
    • Modest FRPR growth in 2025

    • FRE drag from GCP International data center funds

    • Increased supplemental distribution fees

    • Impact of Trump administration on European market

    • Competition in large market unitranches

    • Slower transaction volumes impacting deployment

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Fee-Related Performance Revenue (FRPR) growth
    modest growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    European style net realized performance income
    $225 million to $275 million
    high materiality
    High
    European style net realized performance income
    considerably grow
    high materiality
    Medium
    Effective tax rate on realized income
    11% to 15%
    medium materiality
    High
    Management fees from wealth management products
    $500 million to $550 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Aspida total assets
    $50 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Fundraising
    modestly lower than record in 2024
    high materiality
    Medium
    GCP International acquisition close
    current quarter
    high materiality
    High
    GCP Japan logistics development fund (fifth vintage) capital raise
    ~$2.7 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    GCP US self-storage fund (second vintage) capital raise
    $1.5 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    GCP data center development vehicles (Japan & Europe) total final equity commitments
    ~$4 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    GCP International FRE
    $200 million
    medium materiality
    High
    GCP International FRE
    $245 million
    medium materiality
    High
    FRE margin expansion
    0 to 150 basis points
    high materiality
    Medium

    Operational metrics

    76
    Management fees
    $781 million
    Q4 FY24

    Record management fees for the quarter.

    Fee-related performance revenues
    $162 million28% YoY (FY24)
    Q4 FY24

    In line with quarterly targeted range. Full year FRPR increased 28% versus prior period, driven by alternative credit and secondaries products.

    Fee-related earnings (FRE)
    $396 million17% YoY (FY24)
    Q4 FY24

    Record FRE for the quarter. Full year FRE increased 17% over prior period.

    FRE margin
    40.9%
    Q4 FY24

    Ahead of 40% target, due to compensation and G&A expenses coming in slightly below expectations.

    FRE margin
    41.5%60 bps increase YoY
    FY24

    Full year FRE margin increased by 60 basis points, despite drag from increased supplemental distribution fees.

    Supplemental distribution expenses
    $13.6 million
    Q4 FY24

    Associated with wealth management products.

    Supplemental distribution expenses
    $51.2 millionvs $16.7 million in 2023
    FY24

    Increased from $16.7 million in 2023, creating a drag on year-over-year FRE margin growth.

    Net realized performance income
    $89.3 million
    Q4 FY24

    Realization activity increased in the fourth quarter.

    Net realized performance income
    $148.9 million
    FY24

    Full year net realized performance income.

    Net realized performance income (European style funds)
    $94.5 million63% of total
    FY24

    63% of full year net realized performance income came from European style funds.

    Net accrued performance income
    $1 billionup 10% YoY
    year-end

    Net accrued performance income on an unconsolidated basis rose by approximately $86 million or 10% to $1 billion at year-end.

    Net accrued performance income (European style funds)
    $856 million85% of total
    year-end

    Approximately 85% of total net accrued performance income is in European style funds.

    Realized income
    $476 million
    Q4 FY24

    Record realized income for the fourth quarter.

    Realized income
    $1.4 billion16% increase from 2023
    FY24

    Full year realized income exceeded $1.4 billion, a 16% increase from 2023.

    Effective tax rate on realized income
    11.7%
    FY24

    Higher in Q4 due to greater net realized performance income, which has fewer deductions.

    Dividend per share
    $1.1220% increase YoY
    Q1 FY25

    Quarterly common dividend on Class A and nonvoting common stock, paid March 31, 2025, to holders of record on March 17.

    AUM
    $484 billionup 16% YoY
    year-end

    Driven almost entirely by organic growth.

    Fee-paying AUM
    $293 billionup 12% YoY
    year-end

    Increase from year-end 2023.

    Dry powder
    $133 billion
    year-end

    Record amount of dry powder.

    AUM raised but not yet paying fees
    $81 billion
    year-end

    Provides approximately 30% embedded gross base management fee growth upon deployment.

    Deployment
    $106.7 billionup >50% over 2023
    FY24

    Record deployment, despite a more subdued transaction environment.

    Deployment
    $32 billion34% increase from prior year period
    Q4 FY24

    Driven by increases in U.S. private credit, real estate debt and equity, and secondary solutions.

    Fundraising
    $28.3 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Quarterly record in new capital commitments.

    Fundraising
    $92.7 billionexceeded previous record by >$15 billion
    FY24

    Full year fundraising record, showcasing depth and diversity of fundraising platform.

    Fundraising outside campaign funds
    65%
    FY24

    Indicates greater depth and diversification, raising the fundraising floor.

    ACE VI LP commitments
    EUR 17 billion>50% increase from predecessor fund
    Q4 FY24

    Total LP commitments for ACE VI, believed to be the largest institutional private credit fund ever raised globally based on LP equity commitments.

    ACE VI total available investment capital
    EUR 30 billion
    expected

    Expected total available investment capital for the Ares European direct lending strategy, including related vehicles and anticipated leverage.

    SDL III total investment capital
    $34 billion
    last quarter

    Final close for SDL III, including related vehicles and anticipated fund leverage.

    Institutional drawdown capital (direct lending strategies)
    $65 billion
    past 24 months

    Generated from ACE VI and SDL III combined.

    Open-ended European Direct Lending Fund AUM
    $2.2 billion
    year-end

    After raising nearly $1.5 billion in equity commitments in 2024 and crossing its 1-year anniversary.

    Equity raised (nontraded BDC and public BDC)
    $15.7 billion
    FY24

    Raised across nontraded BDC and public BDC for the full year.

    CLOs issued
    12record
    FY24

    Record number of CLOs issued, totaling nearly $7 billion.

    Sports, media and entertainment fund first close
    $1 billion
    Q4 FY24

    First close for the second sports, media and entertainment fund, with significant capital expected to be raised across multiple vehicles this year.

    Real estate debt strategies raised
    $2.4 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Strong investor demand for real estate debt strategies.

    Infrastructure debt fund capital
    ~$1.5 billion
    expected shortly

    Expected to reach nearly $1.5 billion in total capital for Ares' sixth infrastructure debt fund.

    Real assets fundraising
    $11.5 billion
    FY24

    Optimistic about continued recovery in these markets throughout 2025.

    Private equity structured solutions fund initial closing
    >$500 million
    Q4 FY24

    New fund raised over $500 million in its initial closing.

    Third infrastructure secondaries fund raised
    $630 million
    Q4 FY24

    Including related vehicles.

    APMF total AUM
    >$2 billion
    year-end

    APMF continues to see strong fundraising momentum.

    Institutional investor equity commitments and related capital
    >$56 billion
    FY24

    Strong support across the platform, with increasing commitments in real assets and secondaries year-over-year.

    Institutional channel fundraising from current investors
    85%
    FY24

    Current investors accounted for 85% of institutional channel fundraising.

    New institutional investors
    >300
    FY24

    Welcomed more than 300 new institutional investors to the platform.

    Wealth channel equity inflows
    $10 billiontripled YoY
    FY24

    Demand for products exceeded ambitious expectations, with inflows approximately tripling year-over-year.

    Wealth channel equity inflows
    $3.1 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Highest quarterly inflows, culminating in Q4.

    Wealth channel equity inflows
    >$1 billion
    January

    Momentum continued into January.

    Wealth channel total AUM (incl. leverage)
    $18 billion
    FY24

    Total AUM including fund leverage.

    Wealth channel total AUM (incl. leverage)
    $6.9 billion
    Q4 FY24

    Total AUM including leverage for the quarter.

    Wealth channel market share
    ~10%
    FY24

    Estimated market share, placing Ares as a top 3 manager among listed peers according to third-party data.

    High net worth individuals' average allocation to alternatives
    3% to 4%
    FY24

    Believed to continue to increase through education, product innovation, and expanding distribution segments.

    RIA and single-family office channel raised
    $1.3 billion2.8x growth YoY
    FY24

    Representing 2.8x growth from the prior year, with momentum expected to continue in 2025.

    International capital flows
    36%vs 7% in 2023
    FY24

    Significant and sustainable driver of growth, with capital flows coming from Europe and Asia.

    Semi-liquid products AUM
    >$39 billion
    year-end

    Across 8 semi-liquid products, well on the way to the $100 billion target outlined at Investor Day.

    Retail channel AUM (publicly traded and other vehicles)
    approaching $100 billion
    year-end

    Including publicly traded and other vehicles in the retail channel.

    Aspida equity commitments
    >$2.3 billion
    FY24

    With more than 75% coming from third-party investors.

    Aspida total assets
    >$20 billion
    FY24

    Affiliated insurance platform.

    Aspida fixed annuity volumes
    >$3.8 billionnearly doubled YoY
    FY24

    Significantly outpacing the industry's 7% growth in fixed annuity sales.

    Industry fixed annuity sales growth
    7%
    FY24

    Growth in fixed annuity sales for the industry.

    Aspida new premiums (incl. reinsurance)
    >$6 billion
    FY24

    Originated for the year.

    GCP International AUM
    ~$44 billion
    pro forma

    Overall AUM of GCP International, with the lion's share coming out of Japan.

    GCP International FRE drag (data centers)
    $20 million
    near-term

    Expected FRE drag as data center funds wait to launch, carrying expense load until launch.

    GCP Japan logistics development fund (previous vintage)
    ~$2.7 billion
    previous vintage

    Capital raised in the previous vintage, expected to launch fifth vintage this year.

    GCP US self-storage fund (previous vintage)
    $1.5 billion
    previous vintage

    Capital raised in the previous vintage, expected to launch second vintage this year.

    G&A expenses growth
    >20%
    2024

    Primarily driven by supplemental distribution fees and occupancy expenses from new offices.

    Supplemental distribution fees (% of capital raised)
    50 bps
    FY24

    For the full year, representing about 50 basis points of the $10.8 billion raised in the wealth channel.

    Supplemental distribution fees (% of capital raised)
    43 bps
    Q4 FY24

    For the capital raised in the fourth quarter, indicating a trend towards lower reliance on channels with upfront fees.

    ARCC nonaccruals
    1.7%vs 2.8% long-term average since GFC
    Q4 FY24

    Remains well below long-term average, indicating strong and stable credit quality in U.S. direct lending portfolio.

    North American real estate equity composites performance
    ~8%
    FY24

    Had a fourth consecutive quarter of positive performance.

    Infrastructure debt composite returns
    11.7%
    FY24

    Continued to perform very well for the full year.

    ACOF VI time-weighted gross return
    18.9%
    2024

    Most recent vintage fund, a top quartile fund in its vintage.

    ACOF composite portfolio companies EBITDA growth
    ~14%YoY
    Q4 FY24

    Experienced nearly 14% year-over-year organic growth in EBITDA.

    Deployment YoY growth
    up ~60%
    FY24

    Compared to $68 billion in 2023, while global M&A volumes were only up 10%.

    Global M&A volumes growth
    up 10%
    FY24

    Compared to Ares' deployment growth of ~60%.

    Gross to net deployment ratio
    42%
    Q4 FY24

    Across the platform.

    Gross to net deployment ratio
    22%
    Q1 FY24

    Compared to Q4 FY24, showing a move in the ratio.

    Gross to net deployment ratio
    37%vs 46% in 2023
    FY24

    One of the lower deployment periods in the last 4 years, but expected to improve in 2025.

    Loan portfolio purchased from ABN AMRO
    $1.3 billion
    last week

    Example of working with banks to support their business and optimize their balance sheet.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Fundraising inflows$92.7 billionUSD
    Performance revenue$162 millionUSD
    Fee related earnings$396 millionUSD
    Deployment realizations$106.7 billionUSD

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Core infrastructure vehiclelaunch
    Sports, media and entertainment vehiclelaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    GCP InternationalAcquisition to enhance capabilities in real assets for the new economy, particularly industrial real estate and digital infrastructure.

    Transaction expected to close in the current quarter, remaining on track with previously communicated financial plans. Will bring several funds to market, including logistics development in Japan, US self-storage, and data center development vehicles.

    Walton Street MexicoCompleted acquisition to expand investment strategies and capabilities.

    Acquisition completed in 2024, enhancing future growth prospects.

    T. Rowe Price (Oak Hill)Strategic partnership to leverage fixed income capabilities for Aspida, explore co-development of investment offerings, and potential entry into 401(k) space.

    Partnership with T. Rowe Price and Oak Hill to deepen relationships and explore synergies in insurance solutions, private markets, and retirement products. Still in early stages of product development for 401(k) market.

    ABN AMROPurchase of a loan portfolio from ABN AMRO.$1.3 billion

    Purchase of a $1.3 billion loan portfolio, predominantly digital assets and digital infrastructure, demonstrating collaboration with banks to optimize balance sheets.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Modest FRPR growth in 2025FY25

    Modest growth

    Mitigation: Additional growth in AUM from direct lending, alternative credit, and secondary funds is expected, but tempered by lower base interest rates in direct lending SMAs.

    FRE drag from GCP International data center fundsnear-term

    $20 million FRE drag

    Mitigation: This is a temporary drag as the firm waits for data center funds to launch; the expense load will be carried until funds are launched.

    Increased supplemental distribution feesFY24 and ongoing

    Supplemental distribution fees increased from $16.7 million in 2023 to $51.2 million in 2024

    Mitigation: These fees are associated with significant momentum in raising long-dated perpetual capital in the wealth channel, which will generate meaningful base management fees and Part I fees in the years to come. Expected to become less impactful against growing management fees from wealth products.

    Impact of Trump administration on European marketfuture

    Discussed, not quantified

    Mitigation: Portfolio companies are not heavily exposed to GDP-sensitive sectors or significant trade flows, making direct impact from potential tariffs hard to draw. Not a significant end market focus for defense spend.

    Competition in large market unitranchesongoing

    Discussed, not quantified

    Mitigation: When banks are risk-on and the CLO market is active, there is competition. Ares' CLO machine provides a hedge, and its diversified private credit platform, especially in the core middle market, offers differentiated opportunities less prone to this competition.

    Slower transaction volumes impacting deploymentFY24, potential for 2025

    FY24 gross to net deployment was 37% vs 46% in 2023, a 4-year low

    Mitigation: Ares is uniquely positioned to provide liquidity even if new transaction volumes don't accelerate, leveraging incumbent relationships and diverse strategies. Expects 2025 to see improvement due to pent-up demand for PE exits and improving market conditions.

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    GCP International acquisition closing

    Q1 FY25
    CurrentPending regulatory approval
    TargetClosed

    Why it matters

    The closing of this acquisition is a key strategic milestone, enhancing Ares' capabilities in real assets and digital infrastructure, and will unlock several new fundraising opportunities.

    Regarding GCP International, we expect that the transaction will close in the current quarter, and we remain on track with our previously communicated financial plans for the transaction.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    What are the go-forward core growth rate of G&A, how do supplemental distribution fees impact it, and what is the near-term lift from the GCP acquisition?

    G&A growth in 2024 was primarily driven by supplemental distribution fees for wealth products, which are expected to continue increasing with fundraising momentum but become less impactful as management fees from wealth grow. Occupancy expenses from new offices also contribute, with L.A. costs eventually rolling off. GCP acquisition will bring new G&A expenses, but its margins are similar to existing real estate business, with an initial $20 million FRE drag from data centers.

    Now we do expect to continue to raise more in that channel and for those amounts to increase, so I would expect that those expenses would increase as well. However, the one thing I'd point out is as we open new channels of distribution, we're less reliant on those channels that charge these upfront or rev share fees.

    asked by Craig Siegenthaler · answered by Jarrod Phillips

    4 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Executive Team Expansion and Strategic Focus

    Kipp deVeer and Blair Jacobson have been promoted to newly created Co-President positions, effective immediately. In these roles, they will drive firm-wide strategic and operational initiatives, support investor relationships, and develop future leaders. This expansion of the executive management team allows CEO Michael Arougheti to focus on high-impact growth opportunities, including the integration of GCP International, expanding real estate and infrastructure lending, and enhancing insurance capabilities, leveraging the firm's deep bench of 255 partners among 3,200 employees.

    02

    Market Opportunity and Origination Capabilities

    Ares operates in vast addressable markets, believing that retail and institutional investors remain meaningfully under-allocated to private assets. The firm anticipates continued inflows to scaled managers and is actively investing in its origination capabilities, having added over 100 investment professionals in 2024. This brings the total to over 1,100 Ares investment professionals across 35+ global offices, enabling the sourcing of thousands of investments across the risk-return spectrum and maintaining long-term performance through cycles.

    03

    Deployment and Transaction Environment Outlook

    Despite a more subdued transaction environment in 2024, Ares invested a record $106.7 billion, representing a more than 50% increase over 2023, with Q4 deployment reaching $32 billion. Management is optimistic about a gradual improvement in the overall transaction environment in 2025, driven by significant pent-up demand for PE exits, increased business confidence, and more active financing markets. The firm's diversified strategies and incumbent relationships allow it to be a supportive liquidity provider even if new transaction volumes do not accelerate broadly.

    04

    Fundraising Momentum and Diversification

    Ares achieved a quarterly record of $28.3 billion in new capital commitments in Q4 and a full-year fundraising record of $92.7 billion in 2024, exceeding its previous annual record by over $15 billion. This momentum was significantly diversified, with nearly 65% of total fundraising coming from outside campaign funds, including 20% from wealth, 16% from institutional SMAs, and 7% from its insurance affiliate, Aspida. This broad base of capital sources is elevating the firm's fundraising floor and providing consistent capital flows.

    05

    Wealth Channel Expansion and International Growth

    The wealth channel demonstrated significant growth, with equity inflows tripling year-over-year to over $10 billion in 2024, and total AUM reaching $18 billion including leverage. Ares estimates its market share in this channel increased to nearly 10%. Near-term priorities include expanding existing funds, establishing new strategic partnerships across RIA, family office, and IBD channels, and broadening international distribution. International business was a significant driver, with 36% of capital flows from Europe and Asia in 2024, up from 7% in 2023.

    06

    Aspida and Insurance Platform Milestones

    Ares' affiliated insurance platform, Aspida, announced raising over $2.3 billion in equity commitments, with more than 75% from third-party investors. Aspida now has over $20 billion in total assets and aims to reach $50 billion in assets by the end of 2028. In 2024, Aspida's primary fixed annuity volumes nearly doubled to over $3.8 billion, significantly outpacing the industry's 7% growth, and originated over $6 billion in new premiums including reinsurance flows.

    07

    GCP International Acquisition and Data Center Opportunity

    The acquisition of GCP International is expected to close in Q1 2025, enhancing Ares' capabilities in real assets for the new economy, particularly in vertically integrated industrial real estate and digital infrastructure. The integration will bring several funds to market, including the fifth vintage of the logistics development fund in Japan, the second U.S. self-storage fund, and new data center development vehicles in Japan and Europe, with anticipated total equity commitments of approximately $4 billion for the data center funds. Management views the data center market as having significant long-term demand, driven by cloud computing and AI, with current development plans focused on high-quality sites in major metropolitan areas.

    08

    Bank Relationships and Competitive Landscape

    Ares views banks as crucial partners rather than direct competitors, emphasizing a symbiotic relationship where banks' lending operations and client franchises complement Ares' capital base and origination capabilities. The firm's private credit platform is differentiated by covering the entire spectrum of sizes, sponsors, and non-sponsors, providing a competitive edge. While competition exists in large market unitranches when the syndicated loan market is active, Ares' CLO issuance capability provides a hedge, and its focus on the core middle market offers consistent excess return opportunities.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.