Skip to content
    ARXS
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Arxis Q1 FY26 earnings call ARXS

    May 28, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Arxis Q1 FY26 — record first quarter as a public company; 21% sales growth and IPO deleveraging to 2x

    Arxis debuts publicly as a diversified proprietary-component compounder, turning broad-based defense, aerospace and industrial-technology demand into record results. Its EDGE bookings system gives management rare full-year visibility that underpins confident inaugural guidance, while a sharply deleveraged post-IPO balance sheet re-arms the Arcline-sourced M&A engine that sits at the heart of the long-term thesis.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record Q1 sales of $459M, up 21% YoY (17% organic + 4% acquisitions), with all three end markets delivering double-digit growth

    • Adjusted EBITDA of $175M, up 31% YoY; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 290 bps YoY to 38.2%, with incremental EBITDA margins in excess of 50%

    • Post-IPO deleveraging: net leverage cut from 4x to 2x TTM EBITDA on $1.2B of net proceeds ($946M debt repaid), lifting available liquidity to ~$1.1B

    • Debt paydown expected to lower annual cash interest expense by more than $70M vs 2025

    • Roughly 90% of FY26 revenue already booked in backlog via the Arxis EDGE system, underpinning confident inaugural guidance

    Concerns

    4
    • Free cash flow of only $25M in Q1 (though +107% YoY) burdened by ~$29M AR/inventory build and ~$50M of timing items — $17M defense billing timing, $13M extra pre-IPO cash interest, $20M annual bonuses — some of which may persist into Q2

    • Guidance midpoint implies only ~1% sequential revenue growth across the remaining three quarters, prompting repeated analyst questions on whether Q1 strength is being conservatively extrapolated

    • Elevated near-term non-cash costs: share-based compensation ~$155M and D&A ~$206M for FY26, expected to normalize only over the next few years

    • Defense customers beginning to push for multiyear/long-term agreements vs the company's PO-to-PO model — not yet converted to orders and could reduce pricing flexibility

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 revenue
    $1.86 billion to $1.88 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA
    $720 million to $730 million
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin
    38.8% at midpoint
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 organic growth by end market
    Mid-teens organic growth across all three end markets (Defense & Space, Commercial Aerospace, Industrial Technology)
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 capital expenditures
    ~$63 million (~3% of revenue)
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 interest expense
    ~$135 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Annual cash interest expense reduction vs 2025
    More than $70 million lower than 2025
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 effective tax rate
    ~25%
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 depreciation & amortization
    ~$206 million
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 share-based compensation expense
    ~$155 million
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year 2026 free cash flow conversion
    Well over 100%
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Defense & Space (end market)
    Largest end market, aligned to key government spending priorities. Space is only 3-4% of revenue, mirroring space's ~3-4% share of the DoD budget. Early qualitative signs of primes seeking multiyear agreements, but none signed or in backlog yet.
    Space submarket share: 3-4% of revenueKey exposures: air defense, radar, missile systems, missile defense, electronic warfare, modernization
    ~50% of total revenue (~$230M implied on $459M)Double-digit
    Commercial Aerospace (end market)
    Benefiting from ramping production rates. Aftermarket is a relatively small piece; business-jet exposure (~5%) remains strong with no fuel-price or Middle East conflict impact. Supply chain resilient and mostly in-country; PO-to-PO contracting allows cost pass-through.
    Narrow-body/wide-body share: ~15% of revenueIncluding business jet: 20-23% of revenueBusiness jet aftermarket share: ~5% of revenue
    ~20% of total revenueDouble-digit
    Industrial Technology (end market)
    Broad-based strength ('up and to the right') across a highly diversified set of submarkets, led by semiconductor (AI) and medical, with no single driver.
    Largest submarkets: AI-related semiconductor manufacturing; medical technologyOther applications: factory automation, robotics, quantum computing
    ~30% of total revenueDouble-digit
    Mechanical Components (MCS) segment
    Strongest margin expansion in the quarter, driven by VPC-algorithm volume growth at >50% conversion, mid-single-digit pricing, and cost reductions from a large 2024 MCS acquisition still flowing through the P&L in H1 2026. Started from a lower ~30% base with room to expand toward the higher-margin Electronic Components segment; pace expected to modulate.
    Incremental EBITDA conversion: >50%Pricing: mid-single-digit
    ~37.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, up from ~30% in Q1 FY25 (per 10-Q, analyst-cited and confirmed)
    Electronic Components segment
    One of the two reporting segments, described as roughly balanced with MCS in size and running on the same business model. Carries higher margins than Mechanical Components; management sees no structural reason the two segments' margins should differ over time. No quantified Q1 figures disclosed.
    Higher than MCS (no specific figure given)

    Operational metrics

    13
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $175M+31% YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Record Q1; margin 38.2% with incremental margins above 50%.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    38.2%+290 bps YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP margin; full-year guide is 38.8% at midpoint.

    Incremental EBITDA margin
    >50%
    Q1 FY26

    Aligns with the model's ~50% incremental EBITDA conversion algorithm.

    Organic revenue growth
    17%YoY; part of 21% total growth
    Q1 FY26

    CFO's decomposition of growth; new business, volume, price, and acquisitions each contributed mid-single-digit.

    Price realization
    Mid-single-digit
    Q1 FY26

    Modest price increases part of the balanced growth algorithm (volume-price-cost).

    Net leverage
    2xImproved from 4.2x at YE2025 and 4x at quarter end
    Post-IPO (shortly after Q1 FY26 end)

    Substantially strengthened balance sheet enhancing M&A flexibility.

    IPO net proceeds
    $1.2B
    Shortly after Q1 FY26 end

    IPO completed shortly after quarter end; drove deleveraging to 2x.

    Available liquidity
    $1.1B
    Post-IPO

    Supports continued disciplined M&A deployment.

    Proprietary revenue mix
    90%
    Current

    Components typically designed-in as the only qualified part and stay for decades.

    Business units
    46
    Current

    Decentralized, empowered, accountable structure connected via the Arxis EDGE operating system.

    Platforms served
    >600
    Current

    Diversification across nearly every metric provides a stable foundation.

    New business opportunities booked
    ~1,000
    Q1 FY26

    New business wins are highly diversified with no single dominant product or platform.

    Acquisitions completed since inception
    32
    Since late 2020

    M&A embedded in the model; activity described as as high as it has ever been, sourced with Arcline.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratioPositive (above 1.0)
    Free cash flow bridge$25M$M
    Aftermarket services splitCommercial aerospace aftermarket a relatively small piece; business-jet aftermarket ~5% of revenue%
    Total company backlog total estimated contract vAbove $1.2B$B

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Total PO backlogAbove $1.2B (grew in Q1)Q1 FY26 (as of May 2026 commentary)

    Up from $1.2B at year-end 2025 on positive book-to-bill

    Total backlog spread over ~12-18 months; ~90% of FY26 revenue already booked/secured; management focuses on in-year backlog coverage against the ~$1.87B revenue guide rather than the headline total.

    Deals & partnerships

    5
    Micro-Tronicsacquisition

    Successfully completed in January; sourced/executed via the Arcline partnership. Part of the 2025-vintage cohort management says is performing well and an excellent business-model fit.

    [indiscernible] Steelsacquisition

    Named by the CFO as one of two acquisitions contributing the 4% inorganic portion of Q1's 21% growth. Company name garbled in transcript (ASR).

    Arcline Investment Managementstrategic partnership (M&A sourcing/underwriting)

    Provides 60+ investment professionals plus a business-development team for sourcing, research, underwriting, and long-term portfolio strategy. Described as a key structural advantage pairing industrial operators with institutional-quality capital allocators.

    MWave, RMB, OSG, Spiraacquisitions (2025 cohort)

    2025-class acquisitions cited by an analyst; management says all are excellent business-model fits (proprietary, mission-critical, long platform durations) performing well operationally, financially, and culturally, with continuous further optimization expected.

    Undisclosed Mechanical Components targetacquisition

    Large 2024 MCS acquisition (name indiscernible) behind the segment's elevated margin expansion (~37.6% vs ~30% YoY).

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Free cash flow timing/working-capital headwindsQ1 FY26, with some effects potentially continuing into Q2

    ~$29M AR/inventory build plus ~$50M of timing items ($17M defense billing timing, $13M extra pre-IPO cash interest, $20M annual bonuses); Q1 FCF only $25M

    Mitigation: Expected to normalize over the remainder of 2026; full-year FCF conversion projected well over 100% (capex and ΔNWC each ~3% of revenue)

    Implied sequential deceleration / extrapolation riskQ2-Q4 FY26

    Guidance midpoint implies ~1% sequential revenue growth for each of the remaining three quarters vs a strong Q1

    Mitigation: Management says forecast is data-driven off ~90% filled-in EDGE backlog and would be raised if orders accelerate; no seasonality, just normal quarterly variability from platform/customer delivery schedules

    Commercial aerospace aftermarket exposure to fuel prices and Middle East conflictOngoing

    Business-jet aftermarket ~5% of revenue (aftermarket a relatively small piece of the ~20-23% commercial aero exposure)

    Mitigation: Continues strong with no observed impact; supply chain resilient and mostly in-country; PO-to-PO contracting allows cost pass-through via price increases

    Shift toward multiyear/long-term defense agreements vs PO-to-PO modelEmerging / future periods

    Unquantified; primes seeking 7-year production runways, none signed or in backlog yet

    Mitigation: Early days; management monitoring, has not signed LTAs, and retains pricing flexibility under current PO-to-PO contracting

    Elevated near-term non-cash and financing costsFY26, normalizing over the next few years

    FY26 share-based comp ~$155M; D&A ~$206M; interest expense ~$135M

    Mitigation: Post-IPO debt paydown cuts annual cash interest by >$70M vs 2025; SBC and D&A expected to normalize over time

    Input cost / supply-chain inflationOngoing

    Unquantified

    Mitigation: Business conducted mostly PO-to-PO with very few long-term agreements, enabling pass-through of cost increases as price; supply chain described as resilient and mostly in-country

    Q&A highlights

    8

    With mid-teens growth guided across all three end markets, are you seeing any change in customer behavior in aerospace/defense given jet fuel and geopolitics, and what risk is in the plan?

    Kevin said forecasting relies on EDGE backlog rather than market signals, with ~90% of the year already booked, so forecast risk is very low. Fuel/conflict mainly touch commercial aero aftermarket, a small piece; business-jet exposure is ~5% and still strong. Supply chain is resilient and mostly in-country, and PO-to-PO contracting lets them pass through any input-cost increases.

    as we sit here in May, we have 90% of the year booked and sitting in backlog. And so our full year guidance is really just using that information

    asked by Sheila (Jefferies) · answered by Kevin Perhamus

    4 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record First Quarter and the Growth Algorithm

    Arxis delivered Q1 FY26 sales of $459M, up 21% YoY, comprising 17% organic growth and 4% from the [indiscernible] Steels and Micro-Tronics acquisitions. Management framed growth as broad-based and balanced: new business wins, underlying market volume, modest price increases, and acquisitions each contributed mid-single-digit growth. All three end markets — Defense & Space, Commercial Aerospace, and Industrial Technology — grew double digits. Adjusted EBITDA of $175M rose 31% YoY with margin up 290 bps to 38.2% and incremental margins above 50%.

    02

    Business Model: Proprietary, Designed-In Components

    Arxis designs and builds proprietary components — bearings, capacitors, connectors, seals — for harsh environments, embedded in customers' bills of materials typically as the only qualified part and staying for decades. Across 46 business units it owns 67 foundational proprietary technologies (e.g., CryoFlex in the Pac Aero business, KRON in the [indiscernible] business, which adds 5–10x value to a bearing), underpinning 90% proprietary revenue. The portfolio spans 40,000 part numbers, 600+ platforms, and 5,000+ customers across two segments — Electronic and Mechanical components — run through 72 decentralized focused factories.

    03

    IPO and Balance Sheet Transformation

    Net leverage declined from 4.2x at year-end 2025 to 4x at quarter end, then to 2x TTM EBITDA shortly after the quarter following the IPO. The IPO generated $1.2B of net proceeds, all to the company: $946M repaid existing debt and $275M went to the balance sheet. The paydown is expected to cut annual cash interest expense by more than $70M vs 2025. Available liquidity now stands at roughly $1.1B (cash, undrawn revolver, and delayed draw term loan), positioning the company for continued M&A.

    04

    Arxis EDGE and Backlog Visibility

    Management repeatedly credited the Arxis EDGE operating system, into which all backlog and orders across the portfolio are loaded, for its forecasting confidence. As of May, ~90% of the full-year plan is booked and sitting in backlog, so guidance is built on actual filled-in orders rather than market assumptions. Management knows the firm backlog target for each business unit at every month of the year. Total PO backlog ended 2025 at $1.2B and grew in Q1 on positive book-to-bill; management focuses on how much backlog is due in-year against the $1.87B revenue guide.

    05

    M&A Engine and the Arcline Partnership

    Arxis was founded in late 2020 and has completed 32 acquisitions since, averaging 5–6 per year. Its partnership with Arcline — which brings 60+ investment professionals for sourcing, underwriting, and portfolio strategy — is a core structural advantage. Deal activity is described as as high as it has ever been. Screening runs on two gates: business-model fit first, then financials — the target must grow EBITDA faster than the Arxis base over three years and have its purchase multiple bought down below 10x within 36 months. No strong preference for large vs small deals, though smaller deals are more plentiful.

    06

    Segment and End-Market Trends

    End-market mix is ~50% Defense & Space, ~20% Commercial Aerospace, ~30% Industrial Technology. Defense & Space benefits from alignment to government priorities — air defense, radar, missile systems/defense, electronic warfare, and modernization — with the space submarket only 3–4% of revenue. Commercial Aerospace is benefiting from ramping production rates; narrow/wide-body is ~15% of revenue, rising to 20–23% including business jet, with the business-jet aftermarket ~5% and unaffected by fuel prices or Middle East conflict. Industrial Technology strength is broad, led by AI-related semiconductor and medical technology, plus factory automation, robotics, and quantum.

    07

    Free Cash Flow Dynamics

    Q1 free cash flow was $25M, up 107% YoY but seasonally low on conversion. Record operating performance drove ~$29M higher AR and inventory. Roughly $50M of timing items also weighed: $17M from customer billing timing on a few larger defense programs (raising net contract assets), $13M from additional months of cash interest ahead of the post-IPO debt paydown, and $20M of annual bonus payments made in Q1. Some timing effects may continue into Q2, but management expects FCF to normalize over the year, with full-year conversion well over 100%.

    08

    Mechanical Components Margin Expansion

    The Mechanical Components (MCS) segment posted the strongest margin expansion — ~37.6% adjusted EBITDA margin vs ~30% in Q1 FY25 — driven by the volume-price-cost (VPC) algorithm with >50% incremental conversion, mid-single-digit pricing, and cost reductions. The cost lever traces to a large 2024 MCS acquisition whose cost-reduction actions, taken in H1 2025, are still flowing through the P&L in H1 2026. Management expects the elevated pace to modulate but sees continued expansion, with no structural reason MCS cannot eventually match the higher-margin Electronic Components segment.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.