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    AVAV
    Earnings call· Apr 2026(Q4 FY26)

    AeroVironment Q4 FY26 earnings call AVAV

    Jun 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    AeroVironment Q4 FY26 — Record quarter as BlueHalo integration and organic strength drive scale

    A transformational year closes with record scale as the BlueHalo combination and 30%-plus organic loitering-munition and counter-UAS demand offset a soft SCDE segment hit by the SCAR termination and government-shutdown drag. Management is deliberately trading near-term EPS and cash flow for aggressive capacity buildout, betting that a delayed but unprecedented FY27 defense-funding wave converts a deep backlog into multi-year growth.

    Highlights

    6
    • Record Q4 revenue of ~$642M with 31% organic growth YoY (30% pro forma) — the strongest quarterly growth rate of the year

    • Record full-year revenue of ~$2B with 30% organic growth and $2.7B of full-year bookings

    • Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $140M (22% of revenue), more than doubling from $62M in the prior-year quarter

    • Full-year adjusted EBITDA of $286M (14% margin), above the high end of revised guidance; non-GAAP EPS $3.31 vs $3.28 FY25

    • Titan RF counter-UAS sales more than doubled in FY26 (pro forma), making it one of the fastest-growing and most profitable product lines

    • First positive free-cash-flow quarter since Q1 FY25, at $73M

    Concerns

    7
    • Q4 book-to-bill fell to 0.9x (vs 1.4x trailing-12-month) on timing delays of anticipated large program awards

    • $89M incremental non-cash goodwill impairment (restated Q3 FY26) tied to SCAR termination, plus an identified material weakness in internal controls over the impairment analysis

    • SCDE segment revenue down 8% pro forma to $150M with negative $3M full-year adjusted EBITDA; Cyber & Mission Solutions down 26% pro forma

    • SCAR termination for convenience removed $1.5B of unfunded backlog and leaves a ~$30M revenue hole in Q1 FY27

    • Q4 adjusted service gross margin of just 2% from a one-time forward loss/EAC revision on a legacy BlueHalo contract and delayed CMS funding; full-year adjusted gross margin fell to 30% (from 40% in Q4 FY25)

    • FY27 free cash flow expected to be negative given elevated CapEx of 12-14% of revenue

    • Federal budget/CR timing uncertainty — guidance assumes FY27 funding does not arrive early, likely not reaching the services until ~March

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year revenue
    $2.125B-$2.225B
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $305M-$325M
    high materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP adjusted EPS
    $3.02-$3.34
    high materiality
    High
    Depreciation and cloud amortization expense
    increase ~$37M or ~77% YoY
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Research and development expense (% of revenue)
    7%-9% of revenue
    medium materiality
    High
    Capital expenditures (% of revenue)
    12%-14% of revenue
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted SG&A (% of revenue)
    14%-16% of revenue
    medium materiality
    High
    Free cash flow
    Not expected to be positive in FY27
    high materiality
    Medium
    Revenue phasing (H1 vs H2)
    ~45%-55% first half / second half split; Q1 = 45% of first-half revenue
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Adjusted EBITDA phasing (H1 vs H2)
    ~1/3 first half / 2/3 second half; Q1 = 1/3 of first-half total
    low materiality
    Medium
    Non-GAAP EPS phasing (H1 vs H2)
    ~25% first half / 75% second half; Q1 = 25% of first-half total
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Autonomous Systems (AxS)
    Primary growth driver for the company; led by loitering munitions, RedDragon and Titan counter-UAS within Precision Strike.
    Share of total revenue: 76% (Q4), 69% (FY26)Funded backlog: $869M (73% of total)Unfunded backlog: $209M (14% of total)
    $492M (Q4); $1.3B (FY26)+49% vs FY25 pro forma (Q4)FY26 adjusted EBITDA $289M (21% margin)
    Precision Strike and Defense Systems (AxS operating group)
    Fastest-growing operating group; also hit a one-time forward loss/EAC revision on a legacy BlueHalo contract in Q4.
    Drivers: Switchblade loitering munitions, RedDragon one-way attack, Titan RF counter-UAS
    $333M (Q4)+80% vs FY25 pro forma
    Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (AxS operating group)
    Group 1-3 UAS group; won VAPOR 55 CLE (~$15M) and P550 LRR ($117M, just after quarter close) awards.
    Drivers: JUMP 20-X, Puma, P550
    +17%
    Space, Cyber and Directed Energy (SCDE)
    Pressured by the March SCAR termination for convenience and government-shutdown funding delays; negative FY adjusted EBITDA reflects under-absorption of fixed costs.
    Funded backlog: $314M (27% of total)Unfunded backlog: $1.25B (86% of total, excludes $1.5B SCAR)SCAR-related revenue: $31M (Q4), $121M (FY26)
    $150M (Q4); $619M (FY26)-8% pro forma (Q4)FY26 adjusted EBITDA negative $3M
    Space and Directed Energy (SCDE operating group)
    Offset weakness in Cyber & Mission Solutions within the SCDE segment.
    Driver: LOCUST directed-energy counter-UAS demand
    +23%
    Cyber and Mission Solutions (SCDE operating group)
    On-site employee-deployment model hit by shutdown and DOGE-driven government service reductions; management expects only slow growth going forward.
    Cause: discontinued programs and government-shutdown funding delays
    -26% pro forma

    Operational metrics

    11
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $140Mmore than doubled vs $62M in Q4 FY25; up from 11% margin in Q3
    Q4 FY26

    Demonstrates profitability leverage at higher sales volume.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $286Mabove high end of revised guidance
    FY26

    Full-year figure; AxS contributed $289M (21% margin), SCDE negative $3M.

    Adjusted gross margin
    34%vs 40% in Q4 FY25; +730 bps above Q2 FY26 low
    Q4 FY26

    Highest quarter of FY26; lower YoY on higher service mix, more flexibly-priced contracts and early-maturity products.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $1.84up from $1.61 in Q4 FY25
    Q4 FY26

    Adjusted/non-GAAP diluted EPS.

    Adjusted SG&A
    $72Mvs $37M in Q4 FY25; 11% of revenue vs 13%
    Q4 FY26

    As-a-percent decline reflects scale despite higher absolute dollars.

    R&D expense
    $31M5% of revenue vs $25M/9% in Q4 FY25
    Q4 FY26

    FY27 R&D to step back up to 7-9% of revenue.

    Organic revenue growth
    31%vs 30% pro forma; strongest quarterly rate of the year
    Q4 FY26

    Driven by Switchblade, Titan counter-UAS, RedDragon and JUMP 20.

    Net leverage ratio
    1.2x
    Q4 FY26 (period end)

    Balance-sheet leverage as management frames it.

    Counter-UAS revenue
    ~$200M (couple hundred million)Titan RF sales more than doubled YoY (pro forma)
    FY26

    Management sees potential for DE/counter-UAS to reach 2-3x the ~$0.5B loitering-munition business in 3-5 years.

    SCAR program revenue
    $31M (Q4); $121M (FY26)
    Q4/FY26

    Excluded from FY27 revenue guidance; drove the goodwill impairment.

    Goodwill impairment charge
    $89M
    Q3 FY26 (restated)

    Detected and corrected by management in Q4; third-party firm had prepared the Q3 analysis.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratio0.9x (quarter); 1.4x (trailing 12 months)x
    Free cash flow bridgeQ4 FY26 FCF $73M (first positive FCF quarter since Q1 FY25)$M
    Defense program awardsP550 LRR $117M; FE1 (long-range Kinetic Intercept) $96M; long-haul laser comm terminals $240M; PANTHER $43M; RedDragon $17M; VAPOR 55 CLE ~$15M; ceramic materials $20M; human-performance $25M$M
    Program segment backlogAxS funded $869M; SCDE funded $314M$M
    Production rates by programSwitchblade 600 Block 1 at historic production levels
    Program margins eac chargesOne-time forward loss & EAC revision (dollar not disclosed) on a legacy BlueHalo contract
    Production capacity expansionSalt Lake City +>$2B/yr Switchblade capacity; Albuquerque +$30M (LOCUST full-rate this year)$B/yr and $M
    Total company backlog total estimated contract v$2.7B total backlog$B

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Total backlog$2.7BApril 30, 2026 (FY26 year-end)

    Comprises $1.2B funded and $1.5B unfunded; excludes IDIQ ceiling values.

    Funded backlog$1.2BQ4 FY26 end

    increased YoY

    AxS $869M (73%); SCDE $314M (27%).

    Unfunded backlog$1.5BFY26 year-end

    now excludes $1.5B related to the terminated SCAR program

    SCDE $1.25B (86%); AxS $209M (14%). Excludes ceiling values from sole-source IDIQ contracts including the remaining balance of the $990M U.S. Army Switchblade contract and the remaining $874M UAS/counter-UAS FMS contract.

    Full-year bookings$2.7B (FY26); $572M in Q4FY26 / Q4 FY26

    Q4 book-to-bill 0.9x; trailing-12-month 1.4x

    Q4 bookings in new authorized contract value; Q4 ratio pressured by timing delays of anticipated large program awards.

    Product announcements

    8
    ProductTypeDetails
    Switchblade 400launch
    MAYHEM 10launch
    RedDragonexpansion
    LOCUST X3launch
    HaloShieldroadmap
    AV_Halo INSTINCT and AV_Halo DETECTlaunch
    PANTHER (phased array next-generation telemetry hypersonic emitter receiver)milestone
    Freedom Eagle 1 (FE1)milestone

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    BlueHaloacquisition

    Transformational acquisition completed ~a year ago; Titan RF counter-UAS (from BlueHalo) is among AV's fastest-growing and most profitable product lines; LOCUST directed energy also came with the deal. A one-time forward loss/EAC revision on a legacy BlueHalo contract hit Q4 following indirect-rate realignment.

    ESAeroacquisition

    Smaller acquisition completed during FY26; contribution disclosed in response to an analyst question on FY27 organic growth.

    Capital programs

    4
    Salt Lake City manufacturing facility (Switchblade / loitering munitions)underway
    Period spend: part of FY27 CapEx (12-14% of revenue)
    Funding: CapEx / cash (production-capacity growth CapEx)

    Benefit: potential to produce more than $2B/year of Switchblades or other AV products

    'Progress continues on our Salt Lake City manufacturing facility, which has the potential to produce more than $2 billion worth of Switchblades or other AV products per year. We're on track to begin production in the spring of calendar year 2027.'

    Huntsville, Alabama facility expansion (Freedom Eagle 1)underway
    Period spend: part of FY27 CapEx
    Funding: CapEx / cash
    Start: announced this past quarter

    Benefit: scales production of the FE1 kinetic interceptor platform

    'we announced efforts to expand our manufacturing facility in Huntsville, Alabama to scale production of this groundbreaking capability'; facility specifically targeted to produce the FE1 platform.

    Albuquerque, New Mexico facility expansion (LOCUST directed energy)underway$30M
    Period spend: part of FY27 CapEx
    Funding: CapEx / cash
    Start: recently announced

    Benefit: significantly expands LOCUST laser weapon manufacturing capacity

    'We recently announced a $30 million investment to significantly expand manufacturing operations in our Albuquerque, New Mexico facility.'

    Dayton, Ohio production capacity expansionunderway
    Period spend: part of FY27 CapEx
    Funding: CapEx / cash

    Benefit: additional production capacity to support long-term revenue growth

    Named alongside Salt Lake City, Huntsville and Albuquerque as multiple production-capacity sites being expanded in FY27.

    Risks & headwinds

    9
    Federal budget / continuing-resolution timing delaying FY27 fundingGovernment FY27 (starting October 2026) through early calendar 2027

    Guidance assumes no early funding; budget likely passed ~December/January, dollars to services ~March; first-half revenue softer (45/55 split)

    Mitigation: Living off strong existing backlog and already-approved funding; managing to full-year guidance; not assuming reconciliation-bill upside

    SCAR program termination for convenienceAnnounced March 2026; impact through FY27

    Removed $1.5B of unfunded backlog; ~$30M revenue hole in Q1 FY27; $121M of FY26 SCAR revenue not recurring; drove $89M non-cash goodwill impairment

    Mitigation: Excluded from FY27 guidance; portfolio diversification reduces single-program dependence

    Goodwill impairment restatement and material weakness in internal controlsIdentified Q4 FY26; remediation requires multiple quarters of control testing

    $89M incremental non-cash charge (Q3 FY26 restated); remaining SCDE goodwill $1.2B ($291M Space unit)

    Mitigation: Enhanced controls and review procedures implemented and executed in Q4; error detected and corrected by management

    Book-to-bill below 1.0 in the quarterQ4 FY26

    Q4 book-to-bill 0.9x (vs 1.4x trailing-12-month)

    Mitigation: Attributed to timing delays of anticipated large program awards; TTM ratio remains 1.4x

    Cyber & Mission Solutions weaknessFY26; slow recovery expected

    Down 26% pro forma in Q4; contributed to SCDE negative $3M FY26 adjusted EBITDA

    Mitigation: Market seen as stabilized; expected to grow slowly; not the highest-growth area of the portfolio

    Low Q4 service gross margin from one-time chargesQ4 FY26 (characterized as one-time)

    Q4 adjusted service gross margin 2%; one-time forward loss/EAC revision on a legacy BlueHalo contract (dollar not disclosed) plus delayed CMS funding

    Mitigation: Tied to indirect-rate realignment from integration; expected non-recurring; FY27 margins to improve on product/services mix

    Negative free cash flow in FY27FY27

    FY27 FCF not expected to be positive; CapEx 12-14% of revenue

    Mitigation: Investment is for production-capacity growth to support long-term revenue; Q4 FY26 already returned to positive FCF ($73M); streamlined Switchblade acceptance testing to shorten cash conversion cycle

    Supply-chain and production-ramp execution across multiple scaling platformsFY27 and beyond

    Not quantified; half a dozen products scaling significantly simultaneously

    Mitigation: Expanding supplier base and throughput; management cites two decades of scaling track record as a competitive advantage

    Reconciliation-bill timing uncertaintyPotentially before midterms but likely delayed by election cycle

    Up to $350B bill; not assumed in guidance; wide range of outcomes

    Mitigation: Guidance conservative (excludes it); management would update if it materializes, expecting positive revenue and margin impact

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How big is the counter-UAS business today and its growth profile, and how should we think about the remaining $1.2B goodwill and SCAR into FY27?

    Wahid sized counter-UAS at ~$200M in FY26 (Titan doubled), described a three-layer strategy (Titan RF, LOCUST directed energy, FE1 kinetic) and predicted DE/counter-UAS could become 2-3x the size of the ~$0.5B loitering-munition business in 3-5 years. Sean explained the $89M impairment was a Q3 calculation error on acquired tax-attribute goodwill, not a cash-flow change, corrected in Q4, leaving $1.2B SCDE goodwill ($291M Space).

    It will not surprise me in the next 3 to 5 years that our directed energy and our counter UAS business would be equally as large, if not 2 to 3x bigger.

    asked by Sheila Kahyaoglu · answered by Wahid Nawabi

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Q4 and full-year results cap a transformational year

    AV delivered record Q4 revenue of ~$642M (31% organic growth, its strongest quarterly rate of the year) and record full-year revenue of ~$2B (30% organic growth). Full-year bookings reached $2.7B and full-year adjusted EBITDA of $286M (14% margin) came in above the high end of revised guidance, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.31. Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $140M (22% of revenue) more than doubled year over year, demonstrating profitability leverage at higher volume. Management framed FY26 as a milestone year built on the BlueHalo combination that nearly doubled the company's size.

    02

    Precision Strike loitering munitions lead growth

    The Precision Strike and Defense Systems operating group grew 80% over FY25 pro forma to $333M in Q4, led by the Switchblade family, RedDragon one-way attack, and Titan RF counter-UAS. Switchblade 400 won a LASSO program award; MAYHEM 10 (a Launched Effects/common-launch-tube system carrying up to 10 lb lethal or non-lethal payloads) debuted; and RedDragon received a $17M Q4 production contract. The $990M Army Switchblade IDIQ is roughly two-thirds to three-quarters fulfilled with government options to extend or raise the ceiling, and Switchblade 600 Block 1 is at historic production levels with capacity for several thousand units per year.

    03

    Counter-UAS layered strategy: Titan, LOCUST directed energy, Freedom Eagle 1

    Management describes a multilayered counter-UAS approach worth ~$200M in FY26 today. RF detect-and-defeat Titan sales more than doubled YoY. LOCUST directed-energy (under $10/shot, 'unlimited magazine') hit milestones including a 100% intercept rate aboard USS George H.W. Bush and FAA clearance in May to operate in domestic airspace; LOCUST X3 launched and full-rate production is targeted this year. Freedom Eagle 1 (FE1), a low-cost kinetic interceptor targeted at $100K-$150K per copy, won a $96M development contract last fall (long-range Kinetic Intercept) with Congress adding funds to accelerate; flight testing is ~12 months out and the opportunity is framed at close to $1B over several years.

    04

    Space, Cyber & Directed Energy pressured by SCAR and shutdown

    The SCDE segment fell 8% pro forma to $150M in Q4 on the March SCAR termination for convenience and government-shutdown funding delays that hit Cyber & Mission Solutions (down 26% pro forma). Within the segment, Space and Directed Energy grew 23% YoY on LOCUST demand. SCAR-related revenue was $31M in Q4 and $121M for FY26. Bright spots include a $240M long-haul laser communication terminal contract (awarded last fall), a $43M PANTHER telemetry award on DoW's SkyRange platforms, and $20M ceramic-materials and $25M human-performance research awards. Management remains bullish on optical laser comms and phased-array technology as early-cycle, highly differentiated opportunities.

    05

    Goodwill impairment restatement and material weakness

    AV disclosed an $89M incremental, non-cash goodwill impairment tied to the SCAR termination, restating Q3 FY26. It stemmed from an error by a third-party accounting firm in the Q3 impairment calculation (excluding an estimated allocation of goodwill associated with acquired tax attributes), detected and corrected by management in Q4. It did not affect current assets/liabilities, revenue, operating cash flow, or non-GAAP measures. A material weakness in internal controls over the impairment analysis was identified; enhanced controls were implemented but require testing over additional quarters to remediate the SOX control. Remaining SCDE goodwill is $1.2B, of which $291M is the Space business unit.

    06

    Aggressive capacity investment and FY27 funding-timing caution

    FY27 guidance sets revenue at $2.125B-$2.225B (~10% growth) and adjusted EBITDA at $305M-$325M, with CapEx of 12-14% of revenue and R&D of 7-9% funding a broad production buildout (Salt Lake City, Huntsville, Albuquerque, Dayton). Free cash flow is expected to be negative for the year. Guidance deliberately assumes FY27 government funding arrives late — management expects a continuing resolution, a budget passed around December/January, and dollars not reaching the services until ~March — plus an uncertain $350B reconciliation bill. Revenue and profit are back-half weighted⚖️ (45/55 revenue split).

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.